Cycle業(yè)務(wù)進(jìn)展情況匯報(bào)

1、Cycle業(yè)務(wù)進(jìn)展情況匯報(bào)研討所預(yù)測(cè)室.Cycle配置WPS(v2.2)+WRFVAR+WRF(v2.2)27和9km區(qū)域：WSM6顯式微物理方案，Kain-Fritsch對(duì)流參數(shù)化方案(cu=99),YSU邊境層方案，RRTM長(zhǎng)波輻射方案，Goddard短波輻射方案，輻射方案每15分鐘計(jì)算一次，Noah land-surface model。Cycle時(shí)間間隔：3小時(shí)，每天合計(jì)8次循環(huán)；1200UTC起始的循環(huán)為冷啟動(dòng)，其他時(shí)次為暖啟動(dòng)。對(duì)27/9km同時(shí)進(jìn)展WRFVAR分析和循環(huán)，并進(jìn)展18小時(shí)預(yù)告。每個(gè)Cycle預(yù)告從啟動(dòng)到后處置終了所需的墻鐘時(shí)間約為38分鐘。.Cycle背景場(chǎng)及邊境條

2、件獲取AVN資料每日獲取四次，獲取時(shí)間分別為北京時(shí)：1200UTC: 01:301800UTC: 07:000000UTC: 11:500600UTC: 19:00為保證趕上預(yù)告時(shí)效，1200UTC起始的冷啟動(dòng)預(yù)告采用0600UTC的6小時(shí)預(yù)告場(chǎng)作為變分同化的背景場(chǎng)；其他時(shí)次采用最近一次的AVN預(yù)告場(chǎng)來(lái)構(gòu)成邊境條件。.同化資料SYNOP和AMDAR資料目前已用于實(shí)時(shí)同化，目前正在編寫(xiě)TEMP的接口程序。GPS和AWS這兩種局地資料的實(shí)時(shí)同化曾經(jīng)根本處理。Gps資料：實(shí)時(shí)資料可以在約60-90分鐘內(nèi)獲得。Aws資料：實(shí)時(shí)資料在20分鐘內(nèi)可以獲得。.腳本曙光計(jì)算機(jī)：任務(wù)目錄：/data1/yewu

3、/cycle-WRFrun_job: 腳本存放目錄；BE-inter: WRFVAR任務(wù)目錄；WPSV2.2: WPS任務(wù)目錄；WRFV2 /data/yewu/cycle-WRF/WRFV2.2鏈接到WRF主方式目錄；Result:存放cycle運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)結(jié)果及中間數(shù)據(jù)；產(chǎn)品目錄： 9210serverB(172.18.3.3)/IUM/operation/Cycle.定時(shí)作業(yè)情況yewugnode34 run_job$ crontab -l# DO NOT EDIT THIS FILE - edit the master and reinstall.# (cron-cycle installed

4、 on Mon May 21 08:43:56 2007)# (Cron version - $Id: crontab.c,v 2.13 1994/01/17 03:20:37 vixie Exp $)#0,30 2,5,7,10,14,16,19 * * * /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/cycle.log 2&1#0,30 0,5,6,9,13,15,18,21 * * * /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.

5、d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/cycle.log 2&130 21 * * * /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/cycle-12.log 2&130 00 * * * /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/cycle-15.log 2&100 05 * * * /data1/yewu/cyc

6、le-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/cycle-18.log 2&130 06 * * * /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/cycle-21.log 2&130 09 * * * /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/cycle-00.log

7、2&130 13 * * * /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/cycle-03.log 2&130 15 * * * /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/cycle-06.log 2&130 18 * * * /data1/yewu/cycle-WRF/run_job/run_wrf.csh.d12.NIWOT /data1/yewu/c

8、ycle-WRF/run_job/cycle-09.log 2&1*每個(gè)時(shí)次的cycle循環(huán)預(yù)告根本上均可以在啟動(dòng)起始時(shí)辰后的90分鐘開(kāi)場(chǎng)，但18UTC和03UTC的作業(yè)由于要避開(kāi)MM5冷啟動(dòng)業(yè)務(wù)作業(yè)而推遲了2.5-3小時(shí)。.CYCLE起始預(yù)報(bào)時(shí)刻（UTC）CYCLE起始時(shí)刻相應(yīng)的北京時(shí)初邊條件獲取情況本地資料獲取時(shí)間（北京時(shí)間）作業(yè)啟動(dòng)時(shí)間（北京時(shí)間）計(jì)算完成時(shí)間（北京時(shí)間）產(chǎn)品生成時(shí)間（北京時(shí)間）說(shuō)明0008上次cycle的3小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)為同化背景場(chǎng)， 1800UTC起始的AVN6-24小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)插值形成邊界條件AWS: 9:00GPS: 9:059:3009:5210:080311上次cy

9、cle的3小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)為同化背景場(chǎng)， 1800UTC起始的AVN6-30小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)插值形成邊界條件AWS: 12:00GPS: 12:0513:3013:5214:08因MM5冷啟動(dòng)作業(yè)推遲本次循環(huán)啟動(dòng)時(shí)間0614上次cycle的3小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)為同化背景場(chǎng)， 0000UTC起始的AVN6-24小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)插值形成邊界條件AWS: 15:00GPS: 15:0515:3015:5216:080917上次cycle的3小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)為同化背景場(chǎng)， 0000UTC起始的AVN6-30小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)插值形成邊界條件AWS: 18:00GPS: 18:0518:3018:5219:0812200600UTC起始的AV

10、N6小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)為同化背景場(chǎng)，6-24小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)為邊界條件AWS: 21:00GPS: 21:0521:3021:5222:08冷啟動(dòng)1523上次cycle的3小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)為同化背景場(chǎng)， 0600UTC起始的AVN6-30小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)插值形成邊界條件AWS: 00:00GPS: 00:050:3000:5201:081802上次cycle的3小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)為同化背景場(chǎng)， 1200UTC起始的AVN6-24小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)插值形成邊界條件AWS: 03:00GPS: 03:0505:0005:2206:00因MM5冷啟動(dòng)作業(yè)推遲本次循環(huán)啟動(dòng)時(shí)間2105上次cycle的3小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)為同化背景場(chǎng)， 1200UTC起

11、始的AVN6-30小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng)插值形成邊界條件AWS:06:00GPS: 06:0506:3006:5207:08.應(yīng)急備份方案對(duì)于無(wú)法及時(shí)獲得冷啟動(dòng)背景場(chǎng)的情況：目前1200UTC冷啟動(dòng)的背景場(chǎng)由0600UTC的6小時(shí)預(yù)告場(chǎng)生成，對(duì)于未能及時(shí)獲得0600UTC資料的情況，腳本可以自動(dòng)判別并采用0000UTC的12小時(shí)預(yù)告場(chǎng)生成同化背景場(chǎng)；假設(shè)0000UTC的AVN資料也無(wú)法獲得，即尋覓前一日1800UTC的18小時(shí)預(yù)告場(chǎng)依此類推，最多可以在7個(gè)時(shí)次的AVN資料缺席的情況下依然可以保證Cycle的正常運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)。T213資料目前無(wú)netcdf格式的輸出，國(guó)家氣候中心已提供相關(guān)的數(shù)據(jù)處置程序，目前正在調(diào)

12、試中，很快T213資料即可用作WRF方式的備份背景場(chǎng)資料。.Cycle產(chǎn)品闡明9210serverB(172.18.3.3)/IUM/operation/Cycle200705201220070520152007052018VAPOR_SURVAPOR_2KMPPDBZVCAPE_WINDSTATION_FCST短時(shí)暴雨潛勢(shì)預(yù)告產(chǎn)品：VAPOR_SUR: 綜合圖1地面混合比和濕度輻合疊加上風(fēng)場(chǎng)VAPOR_2KM:綜合圖2 深層濕度輻合0-2km水氣通量輻合 冰雹潛勢(shì)預(yù)告產(chǎn)品：CAPE_WIND:綜合圖1 將-10C到-30C之間的對(duì)流有效位能CAPE、500hpa和地面風(fēng)矢量差、0度層的高度的

13、等值線疊加 PPDBZV:綜合圖2 -20C等溫面上反射率因子分布和0C層高度等值線疊加顯示 地面氣候要素預(yù)告產(chǎn)品：STATION_FCST：降水量、氣溫、相對(duì)濕度、風(fēng)要素相應(yīng)每小時(shí)數(shù)值產(chǎn)品文本 時(shí)序圖需進(jìn)一步處置.Cycle產(chǎn)品實(shí)例短時(shí)暴雨潛勢(shì)預(yù)告產(chǎn)品 2007052300起始的03-18小時(shí)預(yù)告深層濕度輻合0-2km水氣通量輻合.Cycle產(chǎn)品實(shí)例短時(shí)暴雨潛勢(shì)預(yù)告產(chǎn)品 2007052300起始的03-18小時(shí)預(yù)告地面混合比和濕度輻合疊加上風(fēng)場(chǎng).Cycle產(chǎn)品實(shí)例冰雹潛勢(shì)預(yù)告產(chǎn)品2007052300起始的03-18小時(shí)預(yù)告-10C到-30C之間的對(duì)流有效位能CAPE、500hpa和地面風(fēng)矢量

14、差、0度層的高度的等值線疊加.Cycle產(chǎn)品實(shí)例冰雹潛勢(shì)預(yù)告產(chǎn)品2007052300起始的03-18小時(shí)預(yù)告-20C等溫面上反射率因子分布和0C層高度等值線疊加顯示.Cycle產(chǎn)品實(shí)例地面氣候要素預(yù)告產(chǎn)品文本2007052300起始的01-18小時(shí)預(yù)告T2m.dat-2米溫度 A1007 A1017 54399 A1031 A1013 A1019 A1010 A1003 A1018 A1009 54499 54398 A1001 A1008 A1403 54406 54416 54419 54424 54431 54433 54505 54511 54513 54514 54594 54596

15、2007-05-23_01 20.7 20.7 20.4 20.0 20.4 20.0 20.3 20.8 20.8 20.8 18.3 20.5 20.8 20.7 15.7 13.8 19.0 18.8 21.4 21.2 20.8 20.0 20.8 20.0 20.3 20.7 20.02007-05-23_02 22.8 22.8 22.5 22.2 22.5 22.2 22.3 22.7 22.7 22.7 21.6 22.8 22.7 22.8 20.5 18.9 22.5 22.0 23.9 23.2 22.7 22.2 22.7 22.2 22.3 22.4 21.82007

16、-05-23_03 23.9 23.9 23.2 22.7 23.2 22.7 22.9 23.6 23.6 23.4 23.5 24.1 23.6 23.9 22.7 22.5 24.5 24.0 25.4 24.2 23.6 22.7 23.4 22.7 22.9 23.0 22.32007-05-23_04 24.0 24.0 23.4 23.0 23.4 23.0 23.0 23.8 23.8 23.6 23.7 24.3 23.8 24.0 23.0 22.8 24.9 24.2 25.5 24.3 23.8 23.0 23.6 23.0 23.0 23.2 22.52007-05-

17、23_05 24.4 24.4 23.7 23.4 23.7 23.4 23.2 23.9 23.9 23.6 24.5 24.7 23.9 24.4 23.5 23.2 25.4 25.0 25.4 24.4 23.9 23.4 23.6 23.4 23.2 23.2 22.7Uvd10m.dat- 10米風(fēng)向 A1007 A1017 54399 A1031 A1013 A1019 A1010 A1003 A1018 A1009 54499 54398 A1001 A1008 A1403 54406 54416 54419 54424 54431 54433 54505 54511 5451

18、3 54514 54594 545962007-05-23_01 31.4 31.4 100.8 102.4 100.8 102.4 146.9 292.8 292.8 58.8 308.9 25.9 292.8 31.4 304.8 333.2 59.0 275.8 52.7 282.0 292.8 102.4 58.8 102.4 146.9 63.1 75.32007-05-23_02 64.6 64.6 164.6 140.4 164.6 140.4 174.6 33.7 33.7 53.2 274.0 47.2 33.7 64.6 7.0 271.5 34.2 28.7 15.4 2

19、89.1 33.7 140.4 53.2 140.4 174.6 79.4 176.12007-05-23_03 186.7 186.7 107.8 108.4 107.8 108.4 118.7 185.6 185.6 108.7 161.7 77.5 185.6 186.7 190.9 205.6 52.5 157.7 287.2 240.7 185.6 108.4 108.7 108.4 118.7 130.6 128.82007-05-23_04 124.7 124.7 141.7 134.3 141.7 134.3 159.2 128.6 128.6 161.3 115.6 64.7

20、 128.6 124.7 192.2 224.4 71.7 109.5 240.2 196.8 128.6 134.3 161.3 134.3 159.2 164.8 157.42007-05-23_05 155.4 155.4 105.0 107.2 105.0 107.2 111.8 187.2 187.2 114.0 104.3 18.1 187.2 155.4 189.9 220.8 35.3 100.9 269.7 203.4 187.2 107.2 114.0 107.2 111.8 120.7 117.0Uvs10m.dat- 10米風(fēng)速 A1007 A1017 54399 A1

21、031 A1013 A1019 A1010 A1003 A1018 A1009 54499 54398 A1001 A1008 A1403 54406 54416 54419 54424 54431 54433 54505 54511 54513 54514 54594 545962007-05-23_01 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.3 0.6 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.6 0.9 1.4 0.8 3.3 0.9 0.4 1.3 0.4 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.62007-05-23_02 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.3 0.9 1.3

22、0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.2 1.1 0.9 2.2 1.1 0.5 1.3 0.5 1.3 0.9 1.1 1.12007-05-23_03 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.9 1.3 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.9 0.8 1.9 1.2 1.0 1.32007-05-23_04 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.7 1.3 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.7 0.6 2.3 2.4 0.1 1.5 1.9 0.4 0.

23、7 1.7 1.1 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.62007-05-23_05 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.9 1.3 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.8 0.7 0.8 0.2 2.2 2.3 0.3 1.3 1.8 0.6 0.8 1.9 1.2 1.9 1.3 1.5 1.5Rain.dat-1小時(shí)累積降水A1007 A1017 54399 A1031 A1013 A1019 A1010 A1003 A1018 A1009 54499 54398 A1001 A1008 A1403 54406 54416 54419 54424 54431 54433 54505 54511

24、54513 54514 54594 545962007-05-23_01 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02007-05-23_02 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02007-05-23_03 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0

25、.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02007-05-23_04 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0RH2m.dat-2米相對(duì)濕度 A1007 A1017 54399 A1031 A1013 A1019 A1010 A1003 A1018 A1009 54499 54398 A1001 A1008 A1403 54406 54416 54419 54424 5443