MAPA-Region-Hot-MarketsMAPA區(qū)域市場熱點(diǎn)教學(xué)課件

MAPARegionHotMarketsMAPA區(qū)域市場熱點(diǎn)46、寓形宇內(nèi)復(fù)幾時(shí)，曷不委心任去留。47、采菊東籬下，悠然見南山。48、嘯傲東軒下，聊復(fù)得此生。49、勤學(xué)如春起之苗，不見其增，日有所長。50、環(huán)堵蕭然，不蔽風(fēng)日；短褐穿結(jié)，簞瓢屢空，晏如也。MAPARegionHotMarketsMAPA區(qū)域市場熱點(diǎn)MAPARegionHotMarketsMAPA區(qū)域市場熱點(diǎn)46、寓形宇內(nèi)復(fù)幾時(shí)，曷不委心任去留。47、采菊東籬下，悠然見南山。48、嘯傲東軒下，聊復(fù)得此生。49、勤學(xué)如春起之苗，不見其增，日有所長。50、環(huán)堵蕭然，不蔽風(fēng)日；短褐穿結(jié)，簞瓢屢空，晏如也。MAPARegion2012

HotMarketsMemberWebinarMAPARegion2012HotMarketsCurrentTrends&ForecastingSummary…orbestguessfor2012MarketsbySegmentPrecaststrengths&weaknessesPotentialclientsDiscussionMAPARegion2012

HotMarketsMemberWebinarMAPARegion2012HotMarketsCurrentTrends&ForecastingSummary…orbestguessfor2012MarketsbySegmentPrecaststrengths&weaknessesPotentialclientsDiscussionMAPARegion2012HotMarketsCurrentTrends&ForecastingSummary…orbestguessfor2012MarketsbySegmentPrecaststrengths&weaknessesPotentialclientsDiscussionNationalTrends

NationalTrendsAIAArchitecturalBillingIndex

NationalTrends

Hotel/MotelSegment

OfficeVacancy

MallVacancy

ApartmentVacancy

Office/Hotel/RetailInvestment

SmallBusinessOptimism

SmallBusinessHiring

NationalForecastsAIAConsensusConstructionForecast

/aiarchitect/2011/charts/consensus-survey/july/july.html#NationalPrecastSalesYear

%Growth

PrecastSales($B)

2006

3%

5.2

2007

5%

5.5

2008

-15%

4.7

2009

-42%

3.4

2010

0%

3.4

2011

5%

3.6

2012

15%

4.1

2013

10%

4.5

2014

3%

4.6

Source:PCIMetricsCommitteeNationalPrecastSalesNational2009PrecastMarketsOtherincludesstores,hospitals,multifamily,religious,sportcomplexes,government,hotels,andresidentialMAPA2010PrecastMarkets

Otherincludesamusement,boardwalk,bridge,stadia,transportation,andothernon-residentialworkForecastsbyState

OverallConstructionState 2011Change 2012Change2010MarketSize$MNewYork +3% +9% $46,553Virginia -2% +15% $25,954Pennsylvania +3% +10% $32,075NewJersey -1% +11% $24,824Maryland +10% +9% $18,505Overall -1.3%

+10.8%

$147,911Source:GlobalInsightsPut-in-PlaceforecastsMAPAPrecastMarkets

Parking2012Change+13%2013Change+15%2013MarketSize:$225MPut-in-Placein$MMAPAPrecastMarkets

Educational2012Change+8.5%2013Change+7.4%2013MarketSize:$30.5BPut-in-Placein$MMAPAPrecastMarkets

Government2012Change-1.3%2013Change+4.6%2013MarketSize:$6.6BPut-in-Placein$MMAPAPrecastMarkets

Healthcare2012Change+7.8%2013Change+5.7%2013MarketSize:$10.1BPut-in-Placein$MMAPAPrecastMarkets

Commercial2012Change+21.4%2013Change+21.9%2013MarketSize:$19.4BPut-in-Placein$MMAPAPrecastMarkets

Multi-Family2012Change-9.1%2013Change-1.0%2013MarketSize:$3.9BPut-in-Placein$MCompositeForecastPut-in-Placein$MMAPARegion2012HotMarketsCurrentTrends&ForecastingSummary…orbestguessfor2012MarketsbySegmentPrecaststrengths&weaknessesPotentialclientsDiscussionMAPA2012MarketsForecast

ParkingStructures Up+Offices Up+Hotel/Motel Up+Retail UpK-12(new)

UpHigherEducation

Up+Multi-family DownHealthcare UpGovernment DownBlue=MAPAmarketingfocusMAPARegion2012HotMarketsCurrentTrends&ForecastingSummary…orbestguessfor2012MarketsbySegmentPrecaststrengths&weaknessesPotentialclientsMAPARegion2012HotMarketsParkingStructuresWashingtonDCmetroarea: WatchDCdevelopers.Watchfor developmentaroundMetrostationsHigherEducation: Collegecampuses…greenroofsa hottrendCIPstillverycompetitiveduetolaborratesMAPARegion2012HotMarketsParkingStructureOpportunitiesBethesdaNavalHospitalDrexelUniversity–267carsCityofLansdale(PA)–291carsEllisMedicine(AlbanyNY)BernsteinCompanies:BethesdaMDWestinBethesdaChaseBrextonHealthServicesDowntownBaltimoreheadquartersMAPARegion2012HotMarketsParkingStructureOpportunitiesCityofWatertonNYCityofMillvilleNJPenzanceProperties:WashingtonDCIntegrated300KsfofficeandparkingMosaicDistrictCommunityDevelop.FairfaxVA:FourparkingdecksCityofMillburnNJMAPARegion2012HotMarketsOfficesOfficerentalsinNYCandWashingtonheatingup.Philadelphia,Richmond,Pittsburghlagging.Historiclowinterestrates—ifbanksloanSelectivecityperimeteropportunities;Sellmulti-usecapabilitiesofprecastwithintegratedparking;quickerection.MAPARegion2012HotMarketsOfficeOpportunitiesBernsteinCompanies:BethesdaMD

Integratedhotel/office/parkingPenzanceProperties:WashingtonDC officebuilding&parkingdeckMAPARegion2012HotMarketsHotel/MotelTrendtowardsmaller100-200roomhotelsoutsidemajorcities.Woodframingistoughcompetitioninthismarket.PAmulti-familyfireresistancelegislationhassponsors…butlittleprogress.Muchoftheforecastworkmayberenovation/renewalwork.MAPARegion2012HotMarketsHotel/MotelOpportunitiesBernsteinCompanies:BethesdaMD

Integratedhotel/office/parking WestinBethesdaprojectCityofMillvilleNJ(hotel/parkingdeck)

MAPARegion2012HotMarketsRetailArchitecturalprecastopportunitiesfornewbigboxfacadesPossibilitiesforfront/rearone-storypanelsforupgradedstripcentersMarketaesthetic/functionalflexibilityofstripcenterpanels Knockouts/thin-brick/watertable stoneMAPARegion2012HotMarketsRetailOpportunitiesCityofLansdale(PA)-downtowndevelop.BoroughofFt.Lee(NJ)-downtowndevelop.BJ’sLAFitnesshhgreg,Inc.TJXCompanies(TJXandMarshalls)BestBuysMAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12TremendousbacklogofrenovationandnewconstructionworkMuchofthenewconstructiononholdduetoinabilitytopassbondreferendumsMayloosenupin2012…butnotmuchWatchforlong-spanopportunitieswithadditions,suchasgymnasiums/cafeterias/auditoriumsMAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:Virginia AlbemarleCounty ChesterfieldCounty CulpeperCounty FairfaxCounty FluvannaCounty Frederick GreeneCounty HenricoCounty KingGeorgeCounty

LoudounCounty LouisaCounty

PrinceWilliamCounty RoanokeCity RoanokeCounty SpotsylvaniaCounty

StaffordCounty VirginiaBeach Williamsburg/JamesCityCountyMAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:Maryland

AnneArundel BaltimoreCity BaltimoreCounty CalvertCounty

FrederickCounty

MAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:Delaware

Appoquinimink Christina LakeForest MotCharter Seaford

MAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:NewJersey?Elizabeth

‐AcademicMagnetHighSchool?LongBranch

‐CatramboneElementarySchool(Elberon)?Bridgeton–CherryStreetElementarySchool?JerseyCity–PS20ElementarySchool?JerseyCity–ElementarySchool3?NewBrunswick–A.ChesterRedshawElementarySchool?Newark–OliverStreetElementarySchool?Paterson–Marshall&HazelElementarySchool?Paterson–PSNumber16ElementarySchool?WestNewYork–HarryL.BainElementarySchool MAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:PennsylvaniaGulenCharterSchoolsDowningtonAreaSchoolsPennHillsPennsylvaniahasproposedallowinglocalschooldistrictstocreatecharterschoolswithintheirdistrict

MAPARegion2012HotMarketsHigherEdStatefundingisdeclining,college-agepopulationisflat,competitionmorefierceforstudentsCollegesutilizingpublic/privatepartnershipstofinancerevenuegeneratingprojects(dorms/dining),butalsoincludingacademicandsportsfacilitiesMAPARegion2012HotMarketsHigherEdOpportunitiesDrexelUniversity(PA)dormsPaceUniversity(NY)dormsChristopherNewport(VA)newbldgs.VirginiaCommonwealth–3dormsMAPARegion2012HotMarketsMulti-familyOpportunitieslimitedinapartment/condoconstructionToomuchaffordablesingle-familyhousingstock;predominantlywoodframeconstructionCondominiumshavehighliabilityMAPARegion2012HotMarketsMulti-familyOpportunitiesNotawareofindividualopportunities

MAPARegion2012HotMarketsHealthcareTrendtowardcreatingmoreambulatorycarefacilitiesremotefrommaincampusTendtobeonetotwostorybuildings,rangingfrom50Kto300Ksquarefeet.MarketMNL116panelsandhollowcore/doubleteesforroof.Hollowcorefloorsnothighlyregardedduetofrequentinteriorlayoutandplumbingchanges.Slowandsteadygrowthinsmallerseniorcarecommunities:assistedliving/dementiacare…tendtobelight-framing,residentialcharacterMAPARegion2012HotMarketsHealthcareOpportunitiesCooperCancerInstituteComprehensiveCareCenter:CamdenNJ/$100MCorningHospitalReplacement:CorningNY/$100MAmbulatorySurgeryCenter:FranklinLakesNJ/$3.7MNorthShore-LIJCenterforComprehensiveCare:NewYorkNY/$100MSouthNassauCommunitiesHospital-CenterforCardiovascularExpansion:OceansideNY/$1-$5MHarfordMemorialHospitalRelocation:Ha