橡膠制品制造項(xiàng)目環(huán)境影響評(píng)價(jià)報(bào)告

清水橡膠（南通）有限公司橡膠制品制造項(xiàng)目環(huán)境影響報(bào)告書目錄TOC\o"1-2"\h\u31187第1章概述 式中：pHj ——j斷面的pH監(jiān)測(cè)均值；pHsd——水質(zhì)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)中pH下限；pHsu——水質(zhì)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)中pH上限。（4）監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果及分析監(jiān)測(cè)方法詳見表4.3-12，地表水監(jiān)測(cè)統(tǒng)計(jì)結(jié)果見表4.3-13。表4.3-12地表水監(jiān)測(cè)項(xiàng)目分析方法表檢測(cè)項(xiàng)目分析方法及標(biāo)準(zhǔn)號(hào)pH值水質(zhì)pH值的測(cè)定玻璃電極法GB/T6920-1986化學(xué)需氧量水質(zhì)化學(xué)需氧量的測(cè)定重鉻酸鹽法HJ828-2017懸浮物水質(zhì)懸浮物的測(cè)定重量法GB/T11901-1989氨氮水質(zhì)氨氮的測(cè)定納氏試劑分光光度法HJ535-2009總磷水質(zhì)總磷的測(cè)定鉬酸銨分光光度法GB/T11893-1989溶解氧水質(zhì)溶解氧的測(cè)定電化學(xué)探頭法HJ506-2009五日生化需氧量水質(zhì)五日生化需氧量(BOD5)的測(cè)定稀釋與接種法HJ505-2009總氮水質(zhì)總氮的測(cè)定堿性過硫酸鉀消解-紫外分光光度法HJ636-2012石油類水質(zhì)石油類的測(cè)定紫外分光光度法（試行）HJ970-2018水溫水質(zhì)溫度的測(cè)定溫度計(jì)或顛倒溫度計(jì)測(cè)定法GB/T13195-1991表4.3-13雨水接納水體水質(zhì)監(jiān)測(cè)統(tǒng)計(jì)結(jié)果采樣地點(diǎn)采樣日期采樣時(shí)間樣品狀態(tài)檢測(cè)項(xiàng)目pH值CODSS氨氮總磷總氮BOD5溶解氧石油類水溫單位無量綱mg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/L℃南側(cè)河道上游2019.03.1109:36無色、無嗅、清6.6210180.7390.050.842.229.600.0311.113:21無色、無嗅、清6.7111150.7320.040.842.599.860.0114.12019.03.1209:13無色、無嗅、清6.7412200.7740.050.862.209.960.055.313:33無色、無嗅、清6.7713160.7590.050.892.419.800.027.6南側(cè)河道下游2019.03.1110:21無色、無嗅、清6.8015210.8400.150.953.878.110.0212.315:04無色、無嗅、清6.7718250.8520.120.963.688.400.0413.22019.03.1210:01無色、無嗅、清6.8517220.8280.120.963.657.850.045.715:09無色、無嗅、清6.9016260.8400.140.943.448.210.017.3Ⅲ類標(biāo)準(zhǔn)6-920301.00.21.0450.05/由表4.3-13可知，項(xiàng)目南側(cè)雨水接納水體監(jiān)測(cè)斷面中各水質(zhì)監(jiān)測(cè)因子均能滿足《地表水環(huán)境質(zhì)量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》（GB3838-2002）Ⅲ類標(biāo)準(zhǔn)要求，說明周邊地表水環(huán)境質(zhì)量較好。4.3.4地下水環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀評(píng)價(jià)為了解本項(xiàng)目周邊地下水體的水環(huán)境現(xiàn)狀，本次環(huán)評(píng)編制期間委托無錫諾信安全科技有限公司于2018年9月3日對(duì)廠界周邊的地下水水質(zhì)進(jìn)行監(jiān)測(cè)。監(jiān)測(cè)內(nèi)容及評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果如下：（1）監(jiān)測(cè)點(diǎn)布設(shè)監(jiān)測(cè)點(diǎn)布設(shè)：在項(xiàng)目所在地及附近水井采樣，共布設(shè)6個(gè)監(jiān)測(cè)點(diǎn)，對(duì)擬建區(qū)域地下水進(jìn)行現(xiàn)狀監(jiān)測(cè)。表4.3-14地下水環(huán)境監(jiān)測(cè)點(diǎn)一覽表測(cè)點(diǎn)編號(hào)測(cè)點(diǎn)名稱與本項(xiàng)目的距離地下水水位m監(jiān)測(cè)項(xiàng)目D1新河村102m3.6水位、pH值、氨氮、揮發(fā)酚、總硬度、溶解性總固體、鐵、鉛、高錳酸鹽指數(shù)、氟化物、硝酸鹽、亞硝酸鹽；K+、Na+、Ca2+、Mg2+、CO32-、HCO3-、Cl-、SO42-。D2新河村西側(cè)730m3.3D3英雄村260m3.3D4項(xiàng)目地北側(cè)150m3.5水位D5項(xiàng)目地西側(cè)1000m4.1D6項(xiàng)目地南側(cè)600m3.7（2）監(jiān)測(cè)采樣及方法采樣分析方法：按《地下水環(huán)境監(jiān)測(cè)技術(shù)規(guī)范》（HJ/T164-2016）有關(guān)規(guī)定和要求執(zhí)行，具體見下表。表4.3-15地下水監(jiān)測(cè)項(xiàng)目分析方法表檢測(cè)項(xiàng)目分析方法及標(biāo)準(zhǔn)號(hào)K+、Na+GB/T11904-1989水質(zhì)鉀和鈉的測(cè)定火焰原子吸收分光光度法Ca2+、Mg2+GB/T11905-1989水質(zhì)鈣和鎂的測(cè)定原子吸收分光光度法CO32-、HCO3-酸堿指示劑滴定法《水和廢水監(jiān)測(cè)分析方法》（第四版）國家環(huán)保總局（2002年）硫酸根離子、氯離子、硝酸鹽、氟化物HJ84-2016水質(zhì)無機(jī)陰離子（F-、Cl-、NO2-、Br-、NO3-、PO43-、SO32-、SO42-）的測(cè)定離子色譜法亞硝酸鹽GB/T7493-1987水質(zhì)亞硝酸鹽氮的測(cè)定分光光度法pH值GB/T6920-1986水質(zhì)pH值的測(cè)定玻璃電極法氨氮HJ535-2009水質(zhì)氨氮的測(cè)定納氏試劑分光光度法揮發(fā)酚HJ503-2009水質(zhì)揮發(fā)酚的測(cè)定4-氨基安替比林分光光度法總硬度GB/T7477-1987水質(zhì)鈣和鎂總量的測(cè)定EDTA滴定法鉛石墨爐原子吸收法《水和廢水監(jiān)測(cè)分析方法》（第四版）國家環(huán)?？偩郑?002年）鐵GB/T11911-1989水質(zhì)鐵、錳的測(cè)定火焰原子吸收分光光度法溶解性總固體GB/T5750.4-2006生活飲用水標(biāo)準(zhǔn)檢驗(yàn)方法感官性狀和物理指標(biāo)高錳酸鹽指數(shù)GB/T11892-1989水質(zhì)高錳酸鹽指數(shù)的測(cè)定（3）評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果地下水監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果見表4.3-16。表4.3-16地下水評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果一覽表采樣日期檢測(cè)項(xiàng)目檢測(cè)結(jié)果質(zhì)量類別D1新河村D2新河村西側(cè)D3英雄村2018.9.1K+濃度（mg/L）10.19.058.78/摩爾濃度（mol/L）2.59×10-42.32×10-42.25×10-4Na+濃度（mg/L）96.391.256.3/摩爾濃度（mol/L）4.19×10-33.96×10-32.45×10-3Ca2+濃度（mg/L）124110111/摩爾濃度（mol/L）3.10×10-32.75×10-32.78×10-3Mg2+濃度（mg/L）33.833.731.6/摩爾濃度（mol/L）1.41×10-31.40×10-31.32×10-3CO32-濃度（mg/L）000/摩爾濃度（mol/L）000HCO3-濃度（mg/L）4.755.005.07/摩爾濃度（mol/L）7.79×10-58.2×10-58.3×10-5SO42-濃度（mg/L）55.945.338.6/摩爾濃度（mol/L）5.82×10-44.72×10-44.02×10-3Cl-濃度（mg/L）75.215477.2/摩爾濃度（mol/L）2.12×10-34.34×10-32.17×10-3氟化物（mg/L）0.4680.4040.510Ⅰ類硝酸鹽氮（mg/L）14.415.826.6Ⅳ類亞硝酸鹽氮（mg/L）0.0460.0450.042Ⅱ類pH值（無量綱）7.117.087.14Ⅰ類氨氮（mg/L）1.261.171.02Ⅳ類揮發(fā)酚（mg/L）NDNDNDⅠ類總硬度（mg/L）316328396Ⅲ類鉛（mg/L）6×10-34×10-35×10-3Ⅲ類鐵（mg/L）0.420.350.29Ⅳ類溶解性總固體（mg/L）454497398/高錳酸鹽指數(shù)（mg/L）2.681.361.62/備注“ND”表示未檢出，揮發(fā)酚的檢出限為3.0×10-4mg/L。由表4.3-16監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果可知，監(jiān)測(cè)期間，本項(xiàng)目附近各監(jiān)測(cè)點(diǎn)地下水氟化物、PH值以及揮發(fā)酚指標(biāo)可達(dá)到《地下水環(huán)境質(zhì)量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》（GB/T14848-2017）中的Ⅰ類標(biāo)準(zhǔn)；亞硝酸鹽氮指標(biāo)可達(dá)到《地下水環(huán)境質(zhì)量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》（GB/T14848-2017）中的Ⅱ類標(biāo)準(zhǔn)；總硬度、鉛指標(biāo)可達(dá)到《地下水環(huán)境質(zhì)量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》（GB/T14848-2017）中的Ⅲ類標(biāo)準(zhǔn)；硝酸鹽氮、氨氮、鐵指標(biāo)可達(dá)到《地下水環(huán)境質(zhì)量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》（GB/T14848-2017）中的Ⅳ類標(biāo)準(zhǔn)。4.3.5土壤環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀評(píng)價(jià)根據(jù)《土壤環(huán)境質(zhì)量建設(shè)用地土壤污染風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》（GB36600-2018）和《環(huán)境影響評(píng)價(jià)技術(shù)導(dǎo)則土壤環(huán)境（試行）》（HJ964-2018），本項(xiàng)目行業(yè)類別屬于其他行業(yè)，項(xiàng)目類別為Ⅳ類，可不進(jìn)行土壤環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀監(jiān)測(cè)。但為了解本項(xiàng)目周邊土壤環(huán)境現(xiàn)狀，本次環(huán)評(píng)編制期間委托無錫諾信安全科技有限公司于2018年9月3日對(duì)項(xiàng)目所在地土壤現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行監(jiān)測(cè)。監(jiān)測(cè)內(nèi)容及評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果如下：（1）監(jiān)測(cè)點(diǎn)：清水橡膠（南通）有限公司廠址。（2）監(jiān)測(cè)方案監(jiān)測(cè)項(xiàng)目：pH、銅、鎳、鉻、鉛、鎘、汞、砷；監(jiān)測(cè)時(shí)間：2018年9月3日進(jìn)行監(jiān)測(cè)。（3）采樣與分析方法：監(jiān)測(cè)方法見下表。表4.3-17監(jiān)測(cè)方法檢測(cè)項(xiàng)目分析方法及標(biāo)準(zhǔn)號(hào)pH值土壤pH的測(cè)定NY/T1377-2007總鉻土壤總鉻的測(cè)定火焰原子吸收分光光度法HJ491-2009總銅土壤質(zhì)量銅、鋅的測(cè)定火焰原子吸收分光光度法GB/T17138-1997總鉛、總鎘土壤質(zhì)量鉛、鎘的測(cè)定石墨爐原子吸收分光光度法GB/T17141-1997總汞土壤質(zhì)量總汞、總砷、總鉛的測(cè)定原子熒光法第1部分：土壤中總汞的測(cè)定GB/T22105.1-2008總砷土壤質(zhì)量總汞、總砷、總鉛的測(cè)定原子熒光法第2部分：土壤中總砷的測(cè)定GB/T22105.2-2008總鎳鎳的測(cè)定火焰原子吸收分光光度法GB/T17139-1997（4）監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果與評(píng)價(jià)土壤環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果詳見下表。表4.3-18土壤環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果采樣日期檢測(cè)點(diǎn)位檢測(cè)項(xiàng)結(jié)果（mg/kg）pH值（無量綱）總鉻總銅總鉛總鎘總汞總砷總鎳2018.9.3項(xiàng)目所在地7.837636320.160.08614.242第二類用地（篩選值）//18000800653860900監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果表明，土壤環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀監(jiān)測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)中各個(gè)監(jiān)測(cè)指標(biāo)均符合《土壤環(huán)境質(zhì)量建設(shè)用地土壤污染風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》（GB36600-2018）中第二類用地篩選值限值要求，表明目前本區(qū)域土壤環(huán)境質(zhì)量良好，區(qū)域內(nèi)土壤環(huán)境還未受到污染。4.3.6聲環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀評(píng)價(jià)為了解項(xiàng)目所在地的聲環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀，本次評(píng)價(jià)期間委托無錫諾信安全科技有限公司于2018年9月3日和2018年9月26日進(jìn)行了聲環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀監(jiān)測(cè)。（1）測(cè)點(diǎn)布置項(xiàng)目廠界東、南、西、北側(cè)和北側(cè)最近敏感點(diǎn)處各設(shè)置一個(gè)噪聲點(diǎn)位，共計(jì)5個(gè)監(jiān)測(cè)點(diǎn)位。（2）監(jiān)測(cè)時(shí)間及頻次對(duì)各測(cè)點(diǎn)進(jìn)行晝夜測(cè)定。（3）監(jiān)測(cè)方法按照GB3096-2008《聲環(huán)境質(zhì)量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》中的有關(guān)規(guī)定進(jìn)行。（4）監(jiān)測(cè)儀器和數(shù)據(jù)處理監(jiān)測(cè)儀器采用AWA6221B型聲級(jí)計(jì)。在每一個(gè)測(cè)點(diǎn)，每隔0.01分鐘儀器自動(dòng)采樣一次，連續(xù)采樣10分鐘，經(jīng)儀器自動(dòng)處理數(shù)據(jù)后，顯示記錄監(jiān)測(cè)值。（5）監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果統(tǒng)計(jì)聲環(huán)境現(xiàn)狀監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果見下表。表4.3-19企業(yè)周邊現(xiàn)狀聲環(huán)境監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果單位：dB(A)測(cè)點(diǎn)編號(hào)檢測(cè)位置采樣時(shí)間采樣時(shí)間檢測(cè)結(jié)果dB（A）晝間夜間1廠界東N22018.9.3晝間：16:02-17:5954.2/2廠界南N356.1/3廠界西N459.5/4廠界北N153.3/5北側(cè)最近敏感點(diǎn)N556.2/1廠界東N22018.09.26夜間：00:44-02:49/49.12廠界南N3/45.43廠界西N4/47.44廠界北N1/47.35北側(cè)最近敏感點(diǎn)N5/45.6根據(jù)上述監(jiān)測(cè)結(jié)果，本項(xiàng)目各廠界的晝間噪聲值在53.3～59.5dB(A)，夜間噪聲值在45.4～49.1dB(A)，各廠界及敏感點(diǎn)處現(xiàn)狀監(jiān)測(cè)點(diǎn)位晝、夜間聲環(huán)境能達(dá)到《聲環(huán)境質(zhì)量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》(GB3096-2008)中的2類聲環(huán)境功能區(qū)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)要求，項(xiàng)目項(xiàng)目所在地聲環(huán)境質(zhì)量較好。第5章環(huán)境影響預(yù)測(cè)與評(píng)價(jià)5.1施工期環(huán)境影響分析本項(xiàng)目車間已建設(shè)完畢，不存在大型的土建工程，只需一定量的設(shè)備安裝調(diào)試，只要加強(qiáng)施工期的管理，做好施工期的“三廢”達(dá)標(biāo)治理和噪聲防治，本項(xiàng)目施工期對(duì)周圍環(huán)境影響較小，施工期影響在施工結(jié)束后自然消除。5.2營運(yùn)期大氣環(huán)境影響分析5.2.1污染氣象分析（1）氣象資料來源地面氣象資料引用啟東氣象站，為距離項(xiàng)目較近的地面氣象觀測(cè)站，直線距離為49公里，兩地受相同氣候系統(tǒng)的影響和控制，其常規(guī)氣象資料可以反映技改擴(kuò)建項(xiàng)目區(qū)域的基本氣候特征，因而可以直接使用該氣象站提供的近幾年連續(xù)一年的地面氣象資料。（2）氣象統(tǒng)計(jì)資料根據(jù)啟東氣象站近一年的氣象數(shù)據(jù)及累計(jì)二十年以上氣象數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)當(dāng)?shù)氐臏囟?、風(fēng)速、風(fēng)向風(fēng)頻進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計(jì)。①溫度當(dāng)?shù)啬昶骄鶜鉁卦伦兓闆r見表5.2-1，年平均氣溫月變化曲線見圖5.2-1。從年平均氣溫月變化資料中可以看出啟東氣象站7月份平均氣溫最高（28.4℃），1月份氣溫平均最低（3.8℃）。表5.2-1年平均溫度的月變化單位：℃月份1月2月3月4月5月6月7月8月9月10月11月12月溫度16.120.523.328.428.222.919.011.65.8②風(fēng)速月平均風(fēng)速隨月份的變化和季小時(shí)平均風(fēng)速的日變化情況分別見表5.2-2和表5.2-3，月平均風(fēng)速、各季小時(shí)的平均風(fēng)速變化曲線見圖5.2-2和圖5.2-3。表5.2-2年平均風(fēng)速的月變化單位：m/s月份1月2月3月4月5月6月7月8月9月10月11月12月年均風(fēng)速2.462.812.923.062.752.882.823.462.792.52.722.962.84圖5.2-1年平均溫度的月邊變化圖5.2-2月平均風(fēng)速變化曲線從月平均風(fēng)速統(tǒng)計(jì)資料中可以看出，8月份平均風(fēng)速最高(3.46m/s)，1月份平均風(fēng)速最低(2.46m/s)。表5.2-3季小時(shí)平均風(fēng)速的日變化小時(shí)(h)風(fēng)速(m/s)281420春季2.013.343.732.56夏季2.133.433.772.89秋季1.823.273.562.02冬季2.193.033.52.25圖5.2-3 各季小時(shí)月平均風(fēng)速變化曲線從各季小時(shí)月平均風(fēng)速統(tǒng)計(jì)資料中可以看出，在春季風(fēng)速最高，秋季風(fēng)速最低，一天內(nèi)14：00的平均風(fēng)速最高。③風(fēng)向、風(fēng)頻每月、各季及長期平均各向風(fēng)頻變化情況見表5.2-4和表5.2-5。表5.2-4年均風(fēng)頻的月變化情況（%）表5.2-5季均風(fēng)頻的季變化及年均風(fēng)頻（%）從年均風(fēng)頻的季變化統(tǒng)計(jì)資料可以看出，該地區(qū)的年主導(dǎo)風(fēng)向的風(fēng)向角范圍為E～SE，出現(xiàn)頻率為36.46%。風(fēng)頻玫瑰見圖5.2-4。圖5.2-4風(fēng)玫瑰圖5.2.2預(yù)測(cè)內(nèi)容本項(xiàng)目大氣環(huán)境預(yù)測(cè)內(nèi)容見表5.2-6。表5.2-6預(yù)測(cè)內(nèi)容一覽表序號(hào)預(yù)測(cè)內(nèi)容顆粒物非甲烷總烴H2S二硫化碳1點(diǎn)源下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度、最大預(yù)測(cè)濃度、距源中心距離及濃度占標(biāo)率√√√√2面源下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度、最大預(yù)測(cè)濃度、距源中心距離及濃度占標(biāo)率√√√√3大氣環(huán)境防護(hù)距離√√√√4衛(wèi)生防護(hù)距離√√√√5.2.3預(yù)測(cè)參數(shù)本項(xiàng)目廢氣影響預(yù)測(cè)排放參數(shù)詳見表5.2-7~表5.2-9。表5.2-7項(xiàng)目有組織排放參數(shù)名稱排氣筒底部中心坐標(biāo)排氣筒底部海拔高度/m排氣筒高度/m排氣筒出口內(nèi)徑/m煙氣流速/（m/s）煙氣溫度/℃年排放小時(shí)數(shù)/h排放工況污染物排放速率/（kg/h）經(jīng)度（E）緯度（N）顆粒物非甲烷總烴H2S二硫化碳1#排氣筒120°40′52.04″31°55′17.21″0150.213.32981500正常0.000410.00006//2#排氣筒120°40′51.46″31°55′15.97″0150.512.7298500正常/0.00061.8×10-60.00009表5.2-8項(xiàng)目無組織排放參數(shù)名稱面源起點(diǎn)坐標(biāo)面源海拔高度/m面源長度/m面源寬度/m與正北向夾角/°面源有效排放高度/m年排放小時(shí)數(shù)/h排放工況污染物排放速率/（kg/h）經(jīng)度（E）緯度（N）顆粒物非甲烷總烴H2S二硫化碳車間一121°40′51.39″31°55′17.34″046.5170101500正常0.00470.000732×10-60.0001表5.2-9項(xiàng)目非正常情況下排放參數(shù)名稱排氣筒底部中心坐標(biāo)排氣筒底部海拔高度/m排氣筒高度/m排氣筒出口內(nèi)徑/m煙氣流速/（m/s）煙氣溫度/℃年排放小時(shí)數(shù)/h排放工況污染物排放速率/（kg/h）經(jīng)度（E）緯度（N）顆粒物非甲烷總烴H2S二硫化碳1#排氣筒120°40′52.04″31°55′17.21″0150.213.32981500正常0.04230.0007//2#排氣筒120°40′51.46″31°55′15.97″0150.512.7298500正常/0.005940.000020.00095.2.4預(yù)測(cè)結(jié)果本評(píng)價(jià)大氣預(yù)測(cè)采用AERSCREEN模型進(jìn)行估算，其中最小風(fēng)速取0.5m/s，風(fēng)速計(jì)高度取10m，預(yù)測(cè)結(jié)果如下。表5.2-10點(diǎn)源大氣環(huán)境影響估算結(jié)果距源中心下風(fēng)向距離D(m)1#排氣筒2#排氣筒顆粒物非甲烷總烴非甲烷總烴H2S二硫化碳下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）104.45E-0306.52E-0402.43E-0307.27E-0603.63E-040252.53E-0203.71E-0301.80E-0205.39E-0502.70E-030.01504.02E-0205.89E-0305.89E-0201.76E-0408.82E-030.02757.94E-020.011.16E-0201.16E-010.013.48E-0401.74E-020.041009.96E-020.011.46E-0201.46E-010.014.37E-0402.18E-020.051251.04E-010.011.52E-0201.52E-010.014.54E-0402.27E-020.061501.03E-010.011.51E-0201.51E-010.014.53E-0402.27E-020.061759.96E-020.011.46E-0201.46E-010.014.37E-0402.18E-020.052009.31E-020.011.36E-0201.36E-010.014.08E-0402.04E-020.052258.57E-020.011.26E-0201.26E-010.013.76E-0401.88E-020.052507.85E-020.011.15E-0201.15E-010.013.44E-0401.72E-020.042757.19E-020.011.05E-0201.05E-0103.15E-0401.58E-020.043006.59E-020.019.65E-0309.65E-0202.89E-0401.44E-020.043256.06E-020.018.87E-0308.87E-0202.66E-0401.33E-020.033505.58E-020.018.18E-0308.18E-0202.45E-0401.22E-020.033755.16E-020.017.56E-0307.56E-0202.26E-0401.13E-020.034004.79E-020.017.02E-0307.02E-0202.10E-0401.05E-020.034254.46E-0206.53E-0306.53E-0201.96E-0409.78E-030.024504.16E-0206.10E-0306.10E-0201.83E-0409.13E-030.024753.90E-0205.71E-0305.71E-0201.71E-0408.55E-030.025003.66E-0205.36E-0305.36E-0201.60E-0408.02E-030.025253.44E-0205.04E-0305.04E-0201.51E-0407.55E-030.025503.25E-0204.76E-0304.76E-0201.42E-0407.12E-030.025753.07E-0204.50E-0304.50E-0201.35E-0406.73E-030.026002.91E-0204.26E-0304.26E-0201.28E-0406.38E-030.026252.76E-0204.04E-0304.04E-0201.21E-0406.05E-030.026502.62E-0203.84E-0303.84E-0201.15E-0405.75E-030.016752.50E-0203.66E-0303.66E-0201.10E-0405.48E-030.017002.38E-0203.49E-0303.49E-0201.04E-0405.22E-030.017252.27E-0203.33E-0303.33E-0209.98E-0504.99E-030.017502.18E-0203.19E-0303.19E-0209.54E-0504.77E-030.017752.08E-0203.05E-0303.05E-0209.14E-0504.57E-030.018002.00E-0202.93E-0302.93E-0208.76E-0504.38E-030.018251.92E-0202.81E-0302.81E-0208.41E-0504.21E-030.018501.84E-0202.70E-0302.70E-0208.08E-0504.04E-030.018751.77E-0202.60E-0302.60E-0207.78E-0503.89E-030.019001.71E-0202.50E-0302.50E-0207.49E-0503.75E-030.019251.65E-0202.41E-0302.41E-0207.22E-0503.61E-030.019501.59E-0202.33E-0302.33E-0206.97E-0503.48E-030.019751.53E-0202.25E-0302.25E-0206.73E-0503.36E-030.0110001.48E-0202.17E-0302.17E-0206.50E-0503.25E-030.0110251.43E-0202.10E-0302.10E-0206.29E-0503.14E-030.0110501.39E-0202.04E-0302.04E-0206.10E-0503.05E-030.0110751.35E-0201.98E-0301.98E-0205.93E-0502.96E-030.0111001.31E-0201.92E-0301.92E-0205.76E-0502.88E-030.0111251.28E-0201.87E-0301.87E-0205.60E-0502.80E-030.0111501.24E-0201.82E-0301.82E-0205.45E-0502.73E-030.0111751.21E-0201.77E-0301.77E-0205.31E-0502.65E-030.0112001.18E-0201.73E-0301.73E-0205.17E-0502.58E-030.0112251.15E-0201.68E-0301.68E-0205.03E-0502.52E-030.0112501.12E-0201.64E-0301.64E-0204.91E-0502.45E-030.0112751.09E-0201.60E-0301.60E-0204.78E-0502.39E-030.0113001.06E-0201.56E-0301.56E-0204.67E-0502.33E-030.0113251.04E-0201.52E-0301.52E-0204.56E-0502.28E-030.0113501.01E-0201.49E-0301.49E-0204.45E-0502.22E-030.0113759.90E-0301.45E-0301.45E-0204.34E-0502.17E-030.0114009.68E-0301.42E-0301.42E-0204.24E-0502.12E-030.0114259.46E-0301.39E-0301.39E-0204.15E-0502.07E-030.0114509.25E-0301.36E-0301.36E-0204.06E-0502.03E-030.0114759.05E-0301.33E-0301.33E-0203.97E-0501.98E-03015008.85E-0301.30E-0301.30E-0203.88E-0501.94E-03015258.66E-0301.27E-0301.27E-0203.80E-0501.90E-03015508.48E-0301.24E-0301.24E-0203.72E-0501.86E-03015758.31E-0301.22E-0301.22E-0203.64E-0501.82E-03016008.14E-0301.19E-0301.19E-0203.57E-0501.78E-03016257.98E-0301.17E-0301.17E-0203.50E-0501.75E-03016507.82E-0301.15E-0301.15E-0203.43E-0501.71E-03016757.66E-0301.12E-0301.12E-0203.36E-0501.68E-03017007.52E-0301.10E-0301.10E-0203.30E-0501.65E-03017257.37E-0301.08E-0301.08E-0203.23E-0501.62E-03017507.24E-0301.06E-0301.06E-0203.17E-0501.59E-03017757.10E-0301.04E-0301.04E-0203.11E-0501.56E-03018006.97E-0301.02E-0301.02E-0203.06E-0501.53E-03018256.85E-0301.00E-0301.00E-0203.00E-0501.50E-03018506.72E-0309.85E-0409.85E-0302.95E-0501.47E-03018756.61E-0309.68E-0409.68E-0302.90E-0501.45E-03019006.49E-0309.51E-0409.51E-0302.85E-0501.42E-03019256.38E-0309.34E-0409.34E-0302.80E-0501.40E-03019506.27E-0309.19E-0409.19E-0302.75E-0501.38E-03019756.17E-0309.03E-0409.03E-0302.70E-0501.35E-03020006.06E-0308.88E-0408.88E-0302.66E-0501.33E-03020255.96E-0308.74E-0408.74E-0302.62E-0501.31E-03020505.87E-0308.59E-0408.59E-0302.57E-0501.29E-03020755.77E-0308.46E-0408.46E-0302.53E-0501.27E-03021005.68E-0308.32E-0408.32E-0302.49E-0501.25E-03021255.59E-0308.19E-0408.19E-0302.45E-0501.23E-03021505.50E-0308.06E-0408.06E-0302.41E-0501.21E-03021755.42E-0307.94E-0407.94E-0302.38E-0501.19E-03022005.34E-0307.82E-0407.82E-0302.34E-0501.17E-03022255.26E-0307.70E-0407.70E-0302.31E-0501.15E-03022505.18E-0307.59E-0407.59E-0302.27E-0501.14E-03022755.10E-0307.47E-0407.47E-0302.24E-0501.12E-03023005.03E-0307.37E-0407.37E-0302.21E-0501.10E-03023254.96E-0307.26E-0407.26E-0302.17E-0501.09E-03023504.88E-0307.16E-0407.16E-0302.14E-0501.07E-03023754.82E-0307.05E-0407.05E-0302.11E-0501.06E-03024004.75E-0306.96E-0406.96E-0302.08E-0501.04E-03024254.68E-0306.86E-0406.86E-0302.05E-0501.03E-03024504.62E-0306.76E-0406.76E-0302.03E-0501.01E-03024754.55E-0306.67E-0406.67E-0302.00E-0509.99E-04025004.49E-0306.58E-0406.58E-0301.97E-0509.85E-040下風(fēng)向最大濃度1.04E-010.011.52E-0201.52E-010.014.54E-0402.27E-020.06最大濃度出現(xiàn)距離（m）120120120120120由表5.2-10預(yù)測(cè)結(jié)果可知，1#排氣筒顆粒物下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為0.104μg/m3，占標(biāo)率約0.01%；非甲烷總烴下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為0.0152μg/m3，占標(biāo)率約0%；2#排氣筒非甲烷總烴下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為0.152μg/m3，占標(biāo)率約0.01%；H2S下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為0.000454μg/m3，占標(biāo)率約0%；二硫化碳下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為0.0227μg/m3，占標(biāo)率約0.06%。表5.2-11無組織排放預(yù)測(cè)結(jié)果距源中心下風(fēng)向距離D(m)車間一顆粒物非甲烷總烴H2S二硫化碳下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）102.82E+000.314.36E-010.021.71E-0405.97E-020.15254.25E+000.476.58E-010.032.55E-0409.01E-020.23504.73E+000.537.34E-010.042.69E-0401.00E-010.25754.66E+000.527.23E-010.042.68E-0409.90E-020.251004.09E+000.456.34E-010.032.66E-0408.69E-020.221253.63E+000.45.63E-010.032.65E-0407.70E-020.191503.13E+000.354.86E-010.022.58E-0406.65E-020.171752.70E+000.34.19E-010.022.48E-0405.73E-020.142002.35E+000.263.65E-010.022.38E-0404.99E-020.122252.07E+000.233.20E-010.022.27E-0404.39E-020.112501.83E+000.22.84E-010.012.15E-0403.89E-020.12751.64E+000.182.54E-010.012.04E-0403.48E-020.093001.47E+000.162.28E-010.011.93E-0403.13E-020.083251.34E+000.152.07E-010.011.83E-0402.83E-020.073501.22E+000.141.89E-010.011.73E-0402.58E-020.063751.12E+000.121.73E-010.011.64E-0402.37E-020.064001.03E+000.111.59E-010.011.56E-0402.18E-020.054259.49E-010.111.47E-010.011.48E-0402.02E-020.054508.81E-010.11.37E-010.011.41E-0401.87E-020.054758.21E-010.091.27E-010.011.34E-0401.74E-020.045007.82E-010.091.21E-010.011.29E-0401.66E-020.045257.32E-010.081.13E-010.011.23E-0401.55E-020.045506.88E-010.081.07E-010.011.18E-0401.46E-020.045756.48E-010.071.00E-010.011.13E-0401.38E-020.036006.12E-010.079.48E-0201.08E-0401.30E-020.036255.79E-010.068.97E-0201.03E-0401.23E-020.036505.49E-010.068.51E-0209.89E-0501.17E-020.036755.22E-010.068.09E-0209.49E-0501.11E-020.037004.97E-010.067.70E-0209.12E-0501.05E-020.037254.74E-010.057.34E-0208.77E-0501.01E-020.037504.52E-010.057.01E-0208.45E-0509.60E-030.027754.33E-010.056.70E-0208.14E-0509.18E-030.028004.14E-010.056.42E-0207.85E-0508.79E-030.028253.97E-010.046.16E-0207.58E-0508.43E-030.028503.82E-010.045.91E-0207.32E-0508.10E-030.028753.67E-010.045.68E-0207.08E-0507.78E-030.029003.53E-010.045.47E-0206.85E-0507.49E-030.029253.40E-010.045.27E-0206.63E-0507.22E-030.029503.28E-010.045.08E-0206.42E-0506.96E-030.029753.17E-010.044.91E-0206.23E-0506.72E-030.0210003.06E-010.034.74E-0206.04E-0506.49E-030.0210252.96E-010.034.58E-0205.87E-0506.28E-030.0210502.86E-010.034.43E-0205.70E-0506.07E-030.0210752.77E-010.034.29E-0205.54E-0505.88E-030.0111002.69E-010.034.16E-0205.39E-0505.70E-030.0111252.60E-010.034.04E-0205.24E-0505.53E-030.0111502.53E-010.033.92E-0205.10E-0505.36E-030.0111752.45E-010.033.80E-0204.97E-0505.21E-030.0112002.38E-010.033.70E-0204.84E-0505.06E-030.0112252.32E-010.033.59E-0204.72E-0504.92E-030.0112502.26E-010.033.49E-0204.60E-0504.79E-030.0112752.19E-010.023.40E-0204.49E-0504.66E-030.0113002.14E-010.023.31E-0204.38E-0504.54E-030.0113252.08E-010.023.23E-0204.28E-0504.42E-030.0113502.03E-010.023.15E-0204.18E-0504.31E-030.0113751.98E-010.023.07E-0204.09E-0504.20E-030.0114001.93E-010.022.99E-0203.99E-0504.10E-030.0114251.89E-010.022.92E-0203.91E-0504.00E-030.0114501.84E-010.022.85E-0203.82E-0503.91E-030.0114751.80E-010.022.79E-0203.74E-0503.82E-030.0115001.76E-010.022.72E-0203.66E-0503.73E-030.0115251.72E-010.022.66E-0203.58E-0503.65E-030.0115501.68E-010.022.60E-0203.51E-0503.57E-030.0115751.64E-010.022.55E-0203.44E-0503.49E-030.0116001.61E-010.022.49E-0203.37E-0503.42E-030.0116251.58E-010.022.44E-0203.31E-0503.34E-030.0116501.54E-010.022.39E-0203.24E-0503.27E-030.0116751.51E-010.022.34E-0203.18E-0503.21E-030.0117001.48E-010.022.30E-0203.12E-0503.14E-030.0117251.45E-010.022.25E-0203.06E-0503.08E-030.0117501.42E-010.022.21E-0203.01E-0503.02E-030.0117751.40E-010.022.16E-0202.95E-0502.96E-030.0118001.37E-010.022.12E-0202.90E-0502.91E-030.0118251.34E-010.012.08E-0202.85E-0502.85E-030.0118501.32E-010.012.05E-0202.80E-0502.80E-030.0118751.30E-010.012.01E-0202.75E-0502.75E-030.0119001.27E-010.011.97E-0202.70E-0502.70E-030.0119251.25E-010.011.94E-0202.66E-0502.65E-030.0119501.23E-010.011.90E-0202.61E-0502.61E-030.0119751.21E-010.011.87E-0202.57E-0502.56E-030.0120001.19E-010.011.84E-0202.53E-0502.52E-030.0120251.17E-010.011.81E-0202.49E-0502.47E-030.0120501.15E-010.011.78E-0202.45E-0502.43E-030.0120751.13E-010.011.75E-0202.41E-0502.39E-030.0121001.11E-010.011.72E-0202.37E-0502.35E-030.0121251.09E-010.011.69E-0202.34E-0502.32E-030.0121501.07E-010.011.67E-0202.30E-0502.28E-030.0121751.06E-010.011.64E-0202.27E-0502.24E-030.0122001.04E-010.011.61E-0202.23E-0502.21E-030.0122251.03E-010.011.59E-0202.20E-0502.18E-030.0122501.01E-010.011.56E-0202.17E-0502.14E-030.0122759.94E-020.011.54E-0202.14E-0502.11E-030.0123009.80E-020.011.52E-0202.11E-0502.08E-030.0123259.65E-020.011.50E-0202.08E-0502.05E-030.0123509.51E-020.011.47E-0202.05E-0502.02E-030.0123759.38E-020.011.45E-0202.02E-0501.99E-03024009.24E-020.011.43E-0201.99E-0501.96E-03024259.11E-020.011.41E-0201.97E-0501.93E-03024508.99E-020.011.39E-0201.94E-0501.91E-03024758.86E-020.011.37E-0201.91E-0501.88E-03025008.74E-020.011.35E-0201.89E-0501.86E-030下風(fēng)向最大濃度4.73E+000.537.34E-010.042.69E-0401.00E-010.25最大濃度出現(xiàn)距離（m）43434343由表5.2-11無組織預(yù)測(cè)結(jié)果可知：車間一顆粒物無組織排放的污染物下風(fēng)向最大濃度為4.73μg/m3，占標(biāo)率0.53%；非甲烷總烴無組織排放的污染物下風(fēng)向最大濃度為0.734μg/m3，占標(biāo)率0.04%；H2S無組織排放的污染物下風(fēng)向最大濃度為0.000269μg/m3，占標(biāo)率約0%；二硫化碳無組織排放的污染物下風(fēng)向最大濃度為0.1μg/m3，占標(biāo)率0.25%。表5.2-12非正常情況點(diǎn)源大氣環(huán)境影響估算結(jié)果距源中心下風(fēng)向距離D(m)1#排氣筒2#排氣筒顆粒物非甲烷總烴非甲烷總烴H2S二硫化碳下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）下風(fēng)向預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)濃度占標(biāo)率（%）104.68E-010.057.57E-0302.40E-0208.08E-0503.63E-030.01252.66E+000.34.31E-0201.78E-010.016.00E-040.012.70E-020.07504.23E+000.476.85E-0205.82E-010.031.96E-030.028.82E-020.22758.36E+000.931.35E-010.011.15E+000.063.87E-030.041.74E-010.441001.05E+011.171.70E-010.011.44E+000.074.86E-030.052.18E-010.551251.09E+011.211.76E-010.011.50E+000.075.05E-030.052.27E-010.571501.09E+011.211.76E-010.011.50E+000.075.04E-030.052.27E-010.571751.05E+011.171.70E-010.011.44E+000.074.86E-030.052.18E-010.552009.80E+001.091.58E-010.011.35E+000.074.54E-030.052.04E-010.512259.02E+0011.46E-010.011.24E+000.064.18E-030.041.88E-010.472508.27E+000.921.34E-010.011.14E+000.063.83E-030.041.72E-010.432757.57E+000.841.22E-010.011.04E+000.053.51E-030.041.58E-010.393006.94E+000.771.12E-010.019.54E-010.053.21E-030.031.44E-010.363256.37E+000.711.03E-010.018.76E-010.042.95E-030.031.33E-010.333505.88E+000.659.50E-0208.08E-010.042.72E-030.031.22E-010.313755.44E+000.68.79E-0207.47E-010.042.52E-030.031.13E-010.284005.04E+000.568.15E-0206.94E-010.032.34E-030.021.05E-010.264254.69E+000.527.59E-0206.46E-010.032.18E-030.029.78E-020.244504.38E+000.497.09E-0206.03E-010.032.03E-030.029.13E-020.234754.10E+000.466.63E-0205.64E-010.031.90E-030.028.55E-020.215003.85E+000.436.23E-0205.30E-010.031.78E-030.028.02E-020.25253.62E+000.45.86E-0204.98E-010.021.68E-030.027.55E-020.195503.42E+000.385.53E-0204.70E-010.021.58E-030.027.12E-020.185753.23E+000.365.22E-0204.44E-010.021.50E-030.016.73E-020.176003.06E+000.344.95E-0204.21E-010.021.42E-030.016.38E-020.166252.90E+000.324.69E-0203.99E-010.021.35E-030.016.05E-020.156502.76E+000.314.46E-0203.80E-010.021.28E-030.015.75E-020.146752.63E+000.294.25E-0203.61E-010.021.22E-030.015.48E-020.147002.51E+000.284.05E-0203.45E-010.021.16E-030.015.22E-020.137252.39E+000.273.87E-0203.29E-010.021.11E-030.014.99E-020.127502.29E+000.253.70E-0203.15E-010.021.06E-030.014.77E-020.127752.19E+000.243.55E-0203.02E-010.021.02E-030.014.57E-020.118002.10E+000.233.40E-0202.89E-010.019.74E-040.014.38E-020.118252.02E+000.223.26E-0202.78E-010.019.35E-040.014.21E-020.118501.94E+000.223.14E-0202.67E-010.018.99E-040.014.04E-020.18751.87E+000.213.02E-0202.57E-010.018.65E-040.013.89E-020.19001.80E+000.22.91E-0202.47E-010.018.33E-040.013.75E-020.099251.73E+000.192.80E-0202.38E-010.018.03E-040.013.61E-020.099501.67E+000.192.70E-0202.30E-010.017.75E-040.013.48E-020.099751.61E+000.182.61E-0202.22E-010.017.48E-040.013.36E-020.0810001.56E+000.172.52E-0202.15E-010.017.23E-040.013.25E-020.0810251.51E+000.172.44E-0202.08E-010.016.99E-040.013.14E-020.0810501.47E+000.162.37E-0202.01E-010.016.79E-040.013.05E-020.0810751.42E+000.162.30E-0201.96E-010.016.59E-040.012.96E-020.0711001.38E+000.152.24E-0201.90E-010.016.41E-040.012.88E-020.0711251.34E+000.152.17E-0201.85E-010.016.23E-040.012.80E-020.0711501.31E+000.152.12E-0201.80E-010.016.06E-040.012.73E-020.0711751.27E+000.142.06E-0201.75E-010.015.90E-040.012.65E-020.0712001.24E+000.142.00E-0201.71E-010.015.75E-040.012.58E-020.0612251.21E+000.131.95E-0201.66E-010.015.60E-040.012.52E-020.0612501.18E+000.131.90E-0201.62E-010.015.46E-040.012.45E-020.0612751.15E+000.131.86E-0201.58E-010.015.32E-040.012.39E-020.0613001.12E+000.121.81E-0201.54E-010.015.19E-040.012.33E-020.0613251.09E+000.121.77E-0201.50E-010.015.07E-040.012.28E-020.0613501.07E+000.121.73E-0201.47E-010.014.95E-0402.22E-020.0613751.04E+000.121.69E-0201.43E-010.014.83E-0402.17E-020.0514001.02E+000.111.65E-0201.40E-010.014.72E-0402.12E-020.0514259.96E-010.111.61E-0201.37E-010.014.61E-0402.07E-020.0514509.74E-010.111.57E-0201.34E-010.014.51E-0402.03E-020.0514759.52E-010.111.54E-0201.31E-010.014.41E-0401.98E-020.0515009.32E-010.11.51E-0201.28E-010.014.32E-0401.94E-020.0515259.12E-010.11.47E-0201.25E-010.014.23E-0401.90E-020.0515508.93E-010.11.44E-0201.23E-010.014.14E-0401.86E-020.0515758.74E-010.11.41E-0201.20E-010.014.05E-0401.82E-020.0516008.57E-010.11.39E-0201.18E-010.013.97E-0401.78E-020.0416258.40E-010.091.36E-0201.15E-010.013.89E-0401.75E-020.0416508.23E-010.091.33E-0201.13E-010.013.81E-0401.71E-020.0416758.07E-010.091.30E-0201.11E-010.013.74E-0401.68E-020.0417007.91E-010.091.28E-0201.09E-010.013.67E-0401.65E-020.0417257.76E-010.091.25E-0201.07E-010.013.60E-0401.62E-020.0417507.62E-010.081.23E-0201.05E-010.013.53E-0401.59E-020.0417757.48E-010.081.21E-0201.03E-010.013.46E-0401.56E-020.0418007.34E-010.081.19E-0201.01E-010.013.40E-0401.53E-020.0418257.21E-010.081.17E-0209.91E-0203.34E-0401.50E-020.0418507.08E-010.081.14E-0209.73E-0203.28E-0401.47E-020.0418756.95E-010.081.12E-0209.56E-0203.22E-0401.45E-020.0419006.83E-010.081.10E-0209.39E-0203.17E-0401.42E-020.0419256.71E-010.071.09E-0209.23E-0203.11E-0401.40E-020.0319506.60E-010.071.07E-0209.08E-0203.06E-0401.38E-020.0319756.49E-010.071.05E-0208.92E-0203.01E-0401.35E-020.0320006.38E-010.071.03E-0208.77E-0202.96E-0401.33E-020.0320256.28E-010.071.01E-0208.63E-0202.91E-0401.31E-020.0320506.18E-010.079.98E-0308.49E-0202.86E-0401.29E-020.0320756.08E-010.079.82E-0308.35E-0202.82E-0401.27E-020.0321005.98E-010.079.67E-0308.22E-0202.77E-0401.25E-020.0321255.89E-010.079.52E-0308.09E-0202.73E-0401.23E-020.0321505.79E-010.069.37E-0307.97E-0202.68E-0401.21E-020.0321755.71E-010.069.22E-0307.84E-0202.64E-0401.19E-020.0322005.62E-010.069.08E-0307.73E-0202.60E-0401.17E-020.0322255.53E-010.068.95E-0307.61E-0202.56E-0401.15E-020.0322505.45E-010.068.81E-0307.50E-0202.53E-0401.14E-020.0322755.37E-010.068.68E-0307.39E-0202.49E-0401.12E-020.0323005.29E-010.068.56E-0307.28E-0202.45E-0401.10E-020.0323255.22E-010.068.43E-0307.17E-0202.42E-0401.09E-020.0323505.14E-010.068.31E-0307.07E-0202.38E-0401.07E-020.0323755.07E-010.068.19E-0306.97E-0202.35E-0401.06E-020.0324005.00E-010.068.08E-0306.87E-0202.32E-0401.04E-020.0324254.93E-010.057.97E-0306.78E-0202.28E-0401.03E-020.0324504.86E-010.057.86E-0306.68E-0202.25E-0401.01E-020.0324754.79E-010.057.75E-0306.59E-0202.22E-0409.99E-030.0225004.73E-010.057.65E-0306.50E-0202.19E-0409.85E-030.02下風(fēng)向最大濃度1.09E+011.211.76E-010.011.50E+000.075.05E-030.052.27E-010.57最大濃度出現(xiàn)距離（m）120120120120120由表5.2-12預(yù)測(cè)結(jié)果可知，非正常排放情況下，1#排氣筒顆粒物下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為10.9μg/m3，占標(biāo)率1.21%；非甲烷總烴下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為0.176μg/m3，占標(biāo)率0.01%；2#排氣筒非甲烷總烴下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為1.50μg/m3，占標(biāo)率0.07%；H2S下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為0.00505μg/m3，占標(biāo)率0.05%；二硫化碳下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度為0.227μg/m3，占標(biāo)率0.57%。由此可見非正常排放情況下各污染源污染物下風(fēng)向最大落地濃度明顯增大，對(duì)周邊環(huán)境影響變大。5.2.5對(duì)環(huán)境敏感目標(biāo)及廠界的大氣環(huán)境影響預(yù)測(cè)分析本評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)合環(huán)境現(xiàn)狀質(zhì)量調(diào)查和污染物最大落地濃度出現(xiàn)距離，選取周邊敏感點(diǎn)以及廠界作為預(yù)測(cè)點(diǎn)。正常排放情況下根據(jù)估算模式預(yù)測(cè)主要大氣污染物的濃度分布情況見表5.2-13。表5.2-13大氣預(yù)測(cè)值疊加現(xiàn)狀值后的統(tǒng)計(jì)結(jié)果環(huán)境敏感保護(hù)目標(biāo)污染物名稱有組織(μg/m3)無組織(μg/m3)預(yù)測(cè)濃度(μg/m3)現(xiàn)狀值(μg/m3)疊加值(μg/m3)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)值(μg/m3)是否超標(biāo)顆粒物新河村8.49E-023.27E+013.28E+0179111.80900否慶豐小學(xué)7.08E-034.23E+004.24E+007983.24900否少直中心幼兒園7.94E-022.92E+012.93E+0179108.3900否啟東市少直小學(xué)7.94E-022.92E+012.93E+0179108.3900否新河村7.62E-022.86E+012.87E+0179107.7900否昌榮小學(xué)1.40E-028.15E+008.16E+007987.16900否昌榮村1.35E-027.90E+007.91E+007986.91900否悅興村9.07E-035.39E+005.40E+007984.4900否曦陽村5.00E-033.01E+003.02E+007982.02900否樂興小學(xué)7.89E-034.70E+004.71E+007983.71900否東南村6.35E-033.80E+003.81E+007982.81900否志樂村6.29E-033.76E+003.77E+007982.77900否樂庭村4.09E-021.92E+011.92E+017998.20900否英雄村8.66E-023.27E+013.28E+0178110.80900否永興村6.54E-033.91E+003.92E+007982.92900否風(fēng)華小學(xué)1.40E-028.15E+008.16E+007987.16900否鳳祥小學(xué)4.35E-032.63E+002.63E+007981.63900否常勝小學(xué)3.99E-032.42E+002.42E+007981.42900否南陽鎮(zhèn)新河社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)站7.50E-034.45E+004.46E+007983.46900否南陽鎮(zhèn)永興社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)站3.99E-032.42E+002.42E+007981.42900否南陽鎮(zhèn)悅興社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)站5.38E-033.19E+003.20E+007982.20900否曹家鎮(zhèn)村5.84E-033.50E+003.51E+007982.51900否保田村4.42E-032.67E+002.67E+007981.67900否愛中村6.06E-033.63E+003.64E+007982.64900否廠界2.16E-023.13E+013.13E+0186117.3900否非甲烷總烴新河村1.58E-012.72E+012.74E+01890917.42000否慶豐小學(xué)1.32E-023.51E+003.52E+00890893.522000否少直中心幼兒園1.47E-012.43E+012.44E+01890914.42000否啟東市少直小學(xué)1.47E-012.43E+012.44E+01890914.42000否新河村1.37E-012.38E+012.39E+01890913.92000否昌榮小學(xué)2.61E-026.77E+006.80E+00890896.82000否昌榮村2.52E-026.56E+006.59E+00890896.592000否悅興村1.69E-024.48E+004.50E+00890894.52000否曦陽村9.31E-032.50E+002.51E+00890892.512000否樂興小學(xué)9.02E-033.90E+003.91E+00890893.912000否東南村1.19E-023.16E+003.17E+00890893.172000否志樂村1.17E-023.13E+003.14E+00890893.142000否樂庭村7.60E-021.59E+011.60E+018909062000否英雄村1.33E-022.72E+012.72E+01870897.22000否永興村1.21E-023.25E+003.26E+00890893.262000否風(fēng)華小學(xué)2.61E-026.77E+006.80E+00890896.82000否鳳祥小學(xué)8.09E-032.18E+002.19E+00890892.192000否常勝小學(xué)7.43E-032.01E+002.02E+00890892.022000否南陽鎮(zhèn)新河社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)站1.44E-023.74E+003.75E+00890893.752000否南陽鎮(zhèn)永興社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)站7.43E-032.01E+002.02E+00890892.022000否南陽鎮(zhèn)悅興社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)站9.82E-032.65E+002.66E+00890892.662000否曹家鎮(zhèn)村1.08E-022.91E+002.92E+00890892.922000否保田村8.22E-032.22E+002.23E+00890892.232000否愛中村1.13E-023.02E+003.03E+00890893.032000否廠界2.11E-022.60E+012.60E+017357612000否H2S新河村4.37E-042.66E-047.03E-043310否慶豐小學(xué)3.64E-053.44E-057.08E-053310否少直中心幼兒園4.08E-042.38E-046.46E-043310否啟東市少直小學(xué)4.08E-042.38E-046.46E-043310否新河村3.92E-042.33E-046.25E-043310否昌榮小學(xué)7.22E-056.63E-051.39E-043310否昌榮村6.97E-056.42E-051.34E-043310否悅興村4.67E-054.38E-059.05E-053310否曦陽村2.57E-052.45E-055.02E-053310否樂興小學(xué)4.06E-053.82E-057.88E-053310否東南村3.27E-053.09E-056.36E-053310否志樂村3.23E-053.06E-056.29E-053310否樂庭村2.10E-041.56E-043.66E-043310否英雄村4.45E-042.66E-047.11E-043310否永興村3.36E-053.18E-056.54E-053310否風(fēng)華小學(xué)7.22E-056.63E-051.39E-043310否鳳祥小學(xué)2.24E-052.14E-054.38E-053310否常勝小學(xué)2.05E-051.97E-054.02E-053310否南陽鎮(zhèn)新河社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)站3.84E-053.66E-057.50E-053310否南陽鎮(zhèn)永興社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)站2.05E-051.97E-054.02E-053310否南陽鎮(zhèn)悅興社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)站2.72E-052.59E-055.31E-053310否曹家鎮(zhèn)村3.00E-052.85E-055