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Distributedon:12/05/202423:52:07GMT
Date
13May2024
DeutscheBank
Research
Asia
China
India
Philippines
Economics
AsiaWeekAhead
Whatyouneedtoknow:13-17May
Weekahead
ChinaeconomicrecoveryislikelytobelargelyresilientinApril,assuggestedbyPMIreadingsandsomehigh-frequencydata.Industrialproductionisexpectedtoimproveslightlyto4.6%yoyfrom4.5%andfixedassetinvestmenttostayat4.5%.Retailsalesislikelytoimprovemoresignificantlyby0.4pptto3.5%yoy,supportedbytheQingmingHolidayactivities.WethinkPBOCwillholdMLFrateunchangedat2.5%foranothermonth,butweareaddinga25bpRRRcutforecastforMaytoinjectliquiditytoaccommodatetheincreaseingovernmentbondissuance.
WeareforecastingIndia’sAprilCPIinflationat5.0%yoy,slightlyhigherthanthe4.85%inMarchwiththeimpactofthefuelpricecutbehindus.Food&beveragespricesmomentumislikelytobearound+1.1%mom(8.4%yoy)inAprilvs.+0.16%mom(7.7%yoy)inMarch,whilecoreinflation(CPIexfoodandfuel)islikelytorise+0.33%mom(3.0%yoy)inAprilvs.+0.21%mom(3.31%yoy)inMarch.WeareforecastingApriltradedeficittobearoundUSD16.9bn,higherthantheUSD15.6bnoutturninMarch.Weexpectexportsandimportstorise4.6%yoyand8.2%yoyrespectively.InFY25,weexpectthecurrentaccountdeficittorisetoUSD35bn(0.9%ofGDP),from0.6%ofGDP(USD23bn),whichislikelytoresultinaBOPsurplusofaboutUSD55bn.
BSPislikelytokeepitspolicyunchanged,asinflationarypressureremainscontained(at3.8%inApril),whilegrowthroseto5.7%inQ1from5.5%inQ4,consistentwithourforecast.Thegovernmentexpectstheeconomytoexpandatleast6%thisyear,evenifratesremainhighforlonger.BSPwillremaincautiousaboutratecuts,waitingfortheFedinstead,althoughratehikeslookunlikely,barringsevereidiosyncraticpressureonthepeso.
Financialconditionindicators(FCIs)
AdvancedAsianeconomies'financialconditionshaveeasedacrosstheboard.HongKongFCIshaveextendedtheireasing,aftergainingaconsiderableimprovementinthepastmonth,largelyledbythereboundingstockmarket.Singapore,SouthKoreaandTaiwan'sFCIshavealsoimproved.
Weekinreview
ChinatourismactivitiescontinuedtoimproveduringLaborDayholiday,withvisitorsup7.6%andspendingup12.7%,respectively,fromthesameperiodlastyear.Butaveragespendingperpersonisstilllowerthanthe2019level.Wethinkthis
JulianaLee
ChiefEconomist
+65-6423-5203
KaushikDas
ChiefEconomist
+91-22-71804909
YiXiong,Ph.D.
ChiefEconomist
+852-22036139
DeyunOu
ResearchAssociate
DeutscheBankAG/HongKong
IMPORTANTRESEARCHDISCLOSURESANDANALYSTCERTIFICATIONSLOCATEDINAPPENDIX1.MCI(P)041/10/2023.UNTIL19thMARCH2021INCOMPLETEDISCLOSUREINFORMATIONMAYHAVEBEENDISPLAYED,PLEASESEEAPPENDIX1FORFURTHERDETAILS.
13May2024
AsiaWeekAhead
AdvancedAsia–financialconditions
Figure1:AdvancedAsiaFCIs
TA
SK
SG
HK
SD
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
2021222324
Source:CEIC,BloombergFinanceLP,DeutscheBankresearch
Figure3:HongKongFCI
SD1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0-1.5-2.0
-2.5
marketsbanking
externalFCI
Mar-23Jun-23Sep-23Dec-23Mar-24
Source:CEIC,BloombergFinanceLP,DeutscheBankresearch
Figure5:SouthKoreaFCI
SDmarketsbanking
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0-1.5
-2.0
externalFCI
Mar-23Jun-23Sep-23Dec-23Mar-24
Source:CEIC,BloombergFinanceLP,DeutscheBankresearch
Figure2:AdvancedAsiaFCIchanges
1W1M3M
SD
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
HKSGSKTA
Source:CEIC,BloombergFinanceLP,DeutscheBankresearch
Figure4:SingaporeFCI
SDmarketsbanking
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0-1.5
-2.0
externalFCI
Mar-23Jun-23Sep-23Dec-23Mar-24
Source:CEIC,BloombergFinanceLP,DeutscheBankresearch
Figure6:TaiwanFCI
SDmarketsbanking
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0-1.5
-2.0
externalFCI
Mar-23Jun-23Sep-23Dec-23Mar-24
Source:CEIC,BloombergFinanceLP,DeutscheBankresearch
DeutscheBankAG/HongKong
Page3
13May2024
AsiaWeekAhead
Page4DeutscheBankAG/HongKong
Figure7:Economicdiary
Country
Release
Period
DBExpected
Consensus
Actual
Previous
Monday,May6
GDP
Indonesia
Q1
5.1%
5.1%
5.1%
5.1%
Tuesday,May7
CPI
Taiwan
Apr-YoY
2.3%
2.1%
2.0%
2.1%
Wednesday,May8
Taiwan
Exports
Apr-YoY
16.3%
7.4%
4.3%
18.9%
Taiwan
Imports
Apr-YoY
18.8%
7.7%
6.6%
7.1%
Taiwan
Tradebalance
April
USD7.2bn
USD8.0bn
USD6.5bn
USD8.7bn
Thursday,May9
GDP
Phillipines
Q1
5.8%
5.9%
5.7%
5.5%
EventsandMeeting:BNMOvernightRate
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
Friday,May10
ChinaExports
Apr-YoY
4.0%
1.3%
1.5%
-7.5%
ChinaImports
Apr-YoY
3.0%
4.7%
8.4%
-1.9%
ChinaTradebalance
April
USD91.8bn
USD81.0bn
USD72.4bn
USD58.6bn
MalaysiaIndustrialProduction
Mar-YoY
0.5%
1.9%
3.1%
IndiaIndustrialProduction
Mar-YoY
7.0%
5.2%
5.7%
Saturday,May11
ChinaCPI
Apr-YoY
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
ChinaPPI
Apr-YoY
-2.5%
-2.3%
-2.8%
Monday,May13
China
M2Growth
Apr-YoY
8.5%
8.3%
8.3%
CPI
India
Apr-YoY
5.0%
4.9%
4.9%
India
Exports
Apr-YoY
4.6%
-6.0%
India
Imports
Apr-YoY
8.2%
-0.7%
India
Tradebalance
April
-USD16.9bn
-USD17.2bn
-USD15.6bn
Wednesday,May15
EventsandMeeting:PBOCMLFRate
2.50%
2.50%
Thursday,May16
EventsandMeeting:BPSOvernightBorrowingRate
6.50%
6.50%
6.50%
6.50%
Friday,May17
SouthKoreaUnemploymentRate
Apr
2.8%
ChinaIndustrialProduction
Apr-YoY
4.6%
5.4%
4.5%
ChinaRetailSales
Apr-YoY
3.5%
3.8%
3.1%
ChinaFixedAssetInvestment,
Apr-YoYYtd
4.5%
4.6%
4.5%
Source:BloombergFinanceLP,DeutscheBankresearch
13May2024
AsiaWeekAhead
Appendix1
ImportantDisclosures
*Otherinformationavailableuponrequest
*PricesarecurrentasoftheendoftheprevioustradingsessionunlessotherwiseindicatedandaresourcedfromlocalexchangesviaReuters,Bloombergandothervendors.OtherinformationissourcedfromDeutscheBank,subjectcompanies,andothersources.ForfurtherinformationregardingdisclosuresrelevanttoDeutscheBankResearch,pleasevisitourglobaldisclosurelook-uppageonourwebsiteat
/Research/Disclosures/FICCDisclosures
.Asidefromwithinthisreport,importantriskandconflictdisclosurescanalsobefoundat
/Research/Disclosures/
Disclaimer.Investorsarestronglyencouragedtoreviewthisinformationbeforeinvesting.
AnalystCertification
Theviewsexpressedinthisreportaccuratelyreflectthepersonalviewsoftheundersignedleadanalyst(s).Inaddition,theundersignedleadanalyst(s)hasnotandwillnotreceiveanycompensationforprovidingaspecificrecommendationorviewinthisreport.JulianaLee,KaushikDas,YiXiong.
DeutscheBankAG/HongKong
Page5
13May2024
AsiaWeekAhead
AdditionalInformation
TheinformationandopinionsinthisreportwerepreparedbyDeutscheBankAGoroneofitsaffiliates(collectively'DeutscheBank').Thoughtheinformationhereinisbelievedtobereliableandhasbeenobtainedfrompublicsourcesbelievedtobereliable,DeutscheBankmakesnorepresentationastoitsaccuracyorcompleteness.Hyperlinkstothird-partywebsitesinthisreportareprovidedforreaderconvenienceonly.DeutscheBankneitherendorsesthecontentnorisresponsiblefortheaccuracyorsecuritycontrolsofthosewebsites.
Effective13October2023,DeutscheBankAGacquiredNumisCorporationPlcanditssubsidiaries(the"NumisGroup").NumisSecuritiesLimited("NSL")isamemberoftheNumisGroupandafirmauthorisedandregulatedbytheFinancialConductAuthority(FirmReferenceNumber:144822).DeutscheBankAGprovidesclientswith,amongstotherservices,InvestmentResearchservices.NSLprovidesclientswith,amongstotherservices,non-independentresearchservices.
Duringaninitialintegrationprocess,theresearchdepartmentsofDeutscheBankAGandNSLwillremainoperationallydistinct.Consequently,disclosuresrelatingtoconflictsofinterestthatmayexistforDeutscheBankAGand/oritsaffiliatesdonotcurrentlytakeintoaccountthebusinessandactivitiesoftheNumisGroup.TheconflictsofinterestthatmayexistfortheNumisGroup,inrelationtotheprovisionofresearch,canbefoundontheNumiswebsiteat
/legal
-and-regulatory/conditions-and-disclaimers-that-govern-research-contained-in-the-researchs-of-this-website.ThedisclosuresonthisNumiswebpagedonotcurrentlytakeintoaccountthebusinessandactivitiesofDeutscheBankAGand/oritsaffiliateswhicharenotmembersoftheNumisGroup.
Additionally,anydetailedconflictsofinterestdisclosurespertainingtoaspecificrecommendationorestimatemadeonasecuritymentionedinthisreportorwhichhavebeenincludedinourmostrecentlypublishedcompanyreportorfoundonourglobaldisclosurelook-uppage,donotcurrentlytakeintoaccountthebusinessandactivitiesoftheNumisGroup.Instead,detailsofdetailedconflictsofinterestdisclosuresfortheNumisGroup,relatingtospecificissuersorsecurities,canbefoundat:
/regulatory
_notice.Theissuer/security-specificconflictofinterestdisclosuresonthisNumiswebpagedonottakeintoaccountthebusinessandactivitiesofDeutscheBankand/oritsaffiliateswhicharenotmembersoftheNumisGroup.
IfyouusetheservicesofDeutscheBankinconnectionwithapurchaseorsaleofasecuritythatisdiscussedinthisreport,orisincludedordiscussedinanothercommunication(oralorwritten)fromaDeutscheBankanalyst,DeutscheBankmayactasprincipalforitsownaccountorasagentforanotherperson.
DeutscheBankmayconsiderthisreportindecidingtotradeasprincipal.Itmayalsoengageintransactions,foritsownaccountorwithcustomers,inamannerinconsistentwiththeviewstakeninthisresearchreport.OtherswithinDeutscheBank,includingstrategists,salesstaffandotheranalysts,maytakeviewsthatareinconsistentwiththosetakeninthisresearchreport.DeutscheBankissuesavarietyofresearchproducts,includingfundamentalanalysis,equity-linkedanalysis,quantitativeanalysisandtradeideas.Recommendationscontainedinonetypeofcommunicationmaydifferfromrecommendationscontainedinothers,whetherasaresultofdifferingtimehorizons,methodologies,perspectivesorotherwise.DeutscheBankand/oritsaffiliatesmayalsobeholdingdebtorequitysecuritiesoftheissuersitwriteson.AnalystsarepaidinpartbasedontheprofitabilityofDeutscheBankAGanditsaffiliates,whichincludesinvestmentbanking,tradingandprincipaltradingrevenues.
Opinions,estimatesandprojectionsconstitutethecurrentjudgmentoftheauthorasofthedateofthisreport.TheydonotnecessarilyreflecttheopinionsofDeutscheBankandaresubjecttochangewithoutnotice.DeutscheBankprovidesliquidityforbuyersandsellersofsecuritiesissuedbythecompaniesitcovers.DeutscheBankresearchanalystssometimeshaveshorter-termtradeideasthatmaybeinconsistentwithDeutscheBank'sexistinglonger-termratings.SometradeideasforequitiesarelistedasCatalystCallsontheResearchWebsite(
/Research/
),andcanbefoundonthegeneralcoveragelistandalsoonthecoveredcompany'spage.ACatalystCallrepresentsahigh-convictionbeliefbyananalystthatastockwilloutperformorunderperformthemarketand/oraspecifiedsectoroveratimeframeofnolessthantwoweeksandnomorethanthreemonths.InadditiontoCatalystCalls,analystsmayoccasionallydiscusswithourclients,andwithDeutscheBanksalespersonsandtraders,tradingstrategiesorideasthatreferencecatalystsoreventsthatmayhaveanear-termormedium-termimpactonthemarketpriceofthesecuritiesdiscussedinthisreport,whichimpactmaybedirectionallycountertotheanalysts'current12-monthviewoftotalreturnorinvestmentreturnasdescribedherein.DeutscheBankhasnoobligationtoupdate,modifyoramendthisreportortootherwisenotifyarecipientthereofifanopinion,forecastorestimatechangesorbecomesinaccurate.Coverageandthefrequencyofchangesinmarketconditionsandinbothgeneralandcompany-specificeconomicprospectsmakeitdifficulttoupdateresearchatdefinedintervals.UpdatesareatthesolediscretionofthecoverageanalystoroftheResearchDepartmentManagement,andthemajorityofreportsarepublishedatirregularintervals.Thisreportisprovidedforinformationalpurposesonlyanddoesnottakeintoaccounttheparticularinvestmentobjectives,financialsituations,orneedsofindividualclients.Itisnotanofferorasolicitationofanoffertobuyorsellanyfinancialinstrumentsortoparticipateinanyparticulartradingstrategy.Targetpricesareinherentlyimpreciseandaproductoftheanalyst'sjudgment.Thefinancialinstrumentsdiscussedinthisreportmaynotbesuitableforallinvestors,andinvestorsmustmaketheirowninformedinvestmentdecisions.Pricesandavailabilityoffinancialinstrumentsaresubjecttochangewithoutnotice,andinvestmenttransactionscanleadtolossesasaresultofpricefluctuationsandotherfactors.Ifafinancialinstrumentisdenominatedinacurrencyotherthananinvestor'scurrency,achangeinexchangeratesmayadverselyaffecttheinvestment.Pastperformanceisnotnecessarilyindicativeoffutureresults.Performancecalculationsexcludetransactioncosts,unlessotherwiseindicated.Unlessotherwiseindicated,pricesarecurrentasoftheendoftheprevioustradingsessionandaresourcedfromlocalexchangesviaReuters,Bloombergandothervendors.DataisalsosourcedfromDeutscheBank,subjectcompanies,andotherparties.
Page6DeutscheBankAG/HongKong
13May2024
AsiaWeekAhead
TheDeutscheBankResearchDepartmentisindependentofotherbusinessdivisionsoftheBank.Detailsregardingourorganizationalarrangementsandinformationbarrierswehavetopreventandavoidconflictsofinterestwithrespecttoourresearchareavailableonourwebsite(
/Research/
)underDisclaimer.
Macroeconomicfluctuationsoftenaccountformostoftherisksassociatedwithexposurestoinstrumentsthatpromisetopayfixedorvariableinterestrates.Foraninvestorwhoislongfixed-rateinstruments(thusreceivingthesecashflows),increasesininterestratesnaturallyliftthediscountfactorsappliedtotheexpectedcashflowsandthuscausealoss.Thelongerthematurityofacertaincashflowandthehigherthemoveinthediscountfactor,thehigherwillbetheloss.Upsidesurprisesininflation,fiscalfundingneeds,andFXdepreciationratesareamongthemostcommonadversemacroeconomicshockstoreceivers.Butcounterpartyexposure,issuercreditworthiness,clientsegmentation,regulation(includingchangesinassetsholdinglimitsfordifferenttypesofinvestors),changesintaxpolicies,currencyconvertibility(whichmayconstraincurrencyconversion,repatriationofprofitsand/orliquidationofpositions),andsettlementissuesrelatedtolocalclearinghousesarealsoimportantriskfactors.Thesensitivityoffixed-incomeinstrumentstomacroeconomicshocksmaybemitigatedbyindexingthecontractedcashflowstoinflation,toFXdepreciation,ortospecifiedinterestrates-thesearecommoninemergingmarkets.Theindexfixingsmay-byconstruction-lagormis-measuretheactualmoveintheunderlyingvariablestheyareintendedtotrack.Thechoiceoftheproperfixing(ormetric)isparticularlyimportantinswapsmarkets,wherefloatingcouponrates(i.e.,couponsindexedtoatypicallyshort-datedinterestratereferenceindex)areexchangedforfixedcoupons.FundinginacurrencythatdiffersfromthecurrencyinwhichcouponsaredenominatedcarriesFXrisk.Optionsonswaps(swaptions)theriskstypicaltooptionsinadditiontotherisksrelatedtoratesmovements.
Derivativetransactionsinvolvenumerousrisksincludingmarket,counterpartydefaultandilliquidityrisk.Theappropriatenessoftheseproductsforusebyinvestorsdependsontheinvestors'owncircumstances,includingtheirtaxposition,theirregulatoryenvironmentandthenatureoftheirotherassetsandliabilities;assuch,investorsshouldtakeexpertlegalandfinancialadvicebeforeenteringintoanytransactionsimilartoorinspiredbythecontentsofthispublication.Theriskoflossinfuturestradingandoptions,foreignordomestic,canbesubstantial.Asaresultofthehighdegreeofleverageobtainableinfuturesandoptionstrading,lossesmaybeincurredthataregreaterthantheamountoffundsinitiallydeposited-uptotheoreticallyunlimitedlosses.Tradinginoptionsinvolvesriskandisnotsuitableforallinvestors.Priortobuyingorsellinganoption,investorsmustreviewthe'CharacteristicsandRisksofStandardizedOptions",at
/company
-information/documents-and-archives/publications.Ifyouareunabletoaccessthewebsite,pleasecontactyourDeutscheBankrepresentativeforacopyofthisimportantdocument.
Participantsinforeignexchangetransactionsmayincurrisksarisingfromseveralfactors,includingthefollowing:(i)exchangeratescanbevolatileandaresubjecttolargefluctuations;(ii)thevalueofcurrenciesmaybeaffectedbynumerousmarketfactors,includingworldandnationaleconomic,politicalandregulatoryevents,eventsinequityanddebtmarketsandchangesininterestrates;and(iii)currenciesmaybesubjecttodevaluationorgovernment-imposedexchangecontrols,whichcouldaffectthevalueofthecurrency.InvestorsinsecuritiessuchasADRs,whosevaluesareaffectedbythecurrencyofanunderlyingsecurity,effectivelyassumecurrencyrisk.
Unlessgoverninglawprovidesotherwise,alltransactionsshouldbeexecutedthroughtheDeutscheBankentityintheinvestor'shomejurisdiction.Asidefromwithinthisreport,importantconflictdisclosurescanalsobefoundathttps:///Research/oneachcompany'sresearchpage.Investorsarestronglyencouragedtoreviewthisinformationbeforeinvesting.
DeutscheBank(whichincludesDeutscheBankAG,itsbranchesandaffiliatedcompanies)isnotactingasafinancialadviser,consultantorfiduciarytoyouoranyofyouragents(collectively,"You"or"Your")withrespecttoanyinformationprovidedinthisreport.DeutscheBankdoesnotprovideinvestment,legal,taxoraccountingadvice,DeutscheBankisnotactingasyourimpartialadviser,anddoesnotexpressanyopinionorrecommendationwhatsoeverastoanystrategies,productsoranyotherinformationpresentedinthematerials.Informationcontainedhereinisbeingprovidedsolelyonthebasisthattherecipientwillmakeanindependentassessmentofthemeritsofanyinvestmentdecision,anditdoesnotconstitutearecommendationof,orexpressanopinionon,anyproductorserviceoranytradingstrategy.
Theinformationpresentedisgeneralinnatureandisnotdirectedtoretirementaccountsoranyspecificpersonoraccounttype,andisthereforeprovidedtoYouontheexpressbasisthatitisnotadvice,andYoumaynotrelyuponitinmakingYourdecision.Theinformationweprovideisbeingdirectedonlytopersonswebelievetobefinanciallysophisticated,whoarecapableofevaluatinginvestmentrisksindependently,bothingeneralandwithregardtoparticulartransactionsandinvestmentstrategies,andwhounderstandthatDeutscheBankhasfinancialinterestsintheofferingofitsproductsandservices.Ifthisisnotthecase,orifYouareanIRAorotherretailinvestorreceivingthisdirectlyfromus,weaskthatyouinformusimmediately.
InJuly2018,DeutscheBankreviseditsratingsystemforshorttermideaswherebythebrandinghasbeenchangedtoCatalystCalls("CC")fromSOLARideas;theratingcategoriesforCatalystCallsoriginatedintheAmericasregionhavebeenmadeconsistentwiththecategoriesusedbyAnalystsglobally;andtheeffectivetimeperiodforCCshasbeenreducedfromamaximumof180daysto90days.
UnitedStates:Approvedand/ordistributedbyDeutscheBankSecuritiesIncorporated,amemberofFINRAandSIPC.AnalystslocatedoutsideoftheUnitedStatesareemployedbynon-USaffiliatesandarenotregistered/qualifiedasresearchanalystswithFINRA.
EuropeanEconomicArea(exc.UnitedKingdom):Approvedand/ordistributedbyDeutscheBankAG,ajointstockcorporationwithlimitedliabilityincorporatedintheFederalRepublicofGermanywithitsprincipalofficeinFrankfurtamMain.
DeutscheBankAG/HongKong
Page7
13May2024
AsiaWeekAhead
DeutscheBankAGisauthorizedunderGermanBankingLawandissubjecttosupervisionbytheEuropeanCentralBankandbyBaFin,Germany'sFederalFinancialSupervisoryAuthority.ThisresearchreportisalsodistributedbyNumisEuropeLimited('NEL'),toEEAclientsasthird-partyresearch.NELisaninvestmentfirmauthorisedandregulatedbytheCentralBankofIreland('CBI'),withitsregisteredaddressatRiverviewHouse,21-23CityQuay,Dublin2,D02FP21,TheRepublicofIreland.
UnitedKingdom:Approvedand/ordistributedbyDeutscheBankAGactingthroughitsLondonBranchat21Moorfields,LondonEC2Y9DB.DeutscheBankAGintheUnitedKingdomisauthorisedbythePrudentialRegulationAuthorityandissubjecttolimitedregulationbythePrudentialRegulationAuthorityandFinancialConductAuthority.Detailsabouttheextentofourauthorisationandregulationareavailableonrequest.
HongKongSAR:DistributedbyDeutscheBankAG,HongKongBranch,exceptforanyresearchcontentrelatingtofuturescontractswithinthemeaningoftheHongKongSecuritiesandFuturesOrdinanceCap.571.Researchreportsonsuchfuturescontractsarenotintendedforaccessbypersonswhoarelocated,incorporated,constitutedorresidentinHongKong.Theauthor(s)ofaresearchreportmaynotbelicensedtocarryonregulatedactivitiesinHongKong,andifnotlicensed,donotholdthemselvesoutasbeingabletodoso.Theprovisionssetoutaboveinthe'AdditionalInformation'sectionshallapplytothefullestextentpermissiblebylocallawsandregulations,includingwithoutlimitationtheCodeofConductforPersonsLicensedorRegisteredwiththeSecuritiesandFuturesCommission.Thisreportisintendedfordistributiononlyto'professionalinvestors'asdefinedinPart1ofScheduleoftheSFO.Thisdocumentmustnotbeactedorreliedonbypersonswhoarenotprofessionalinvestors.Anyinvestmentorinvestmentactivitytowhichthisdocumentrelatesisonlyavailabletoprofessionalinvestorsandwillbeengagedonlywithprofessionalinvestors.
India:PreparedbyDeutscheEquitiesIndiaPrivateLimited(DEIPL)havingCIN:U65990MH2002PTC137431andregisteredofficeat14thFloor,TheCapital,C-70,GBlock,BandraKurlaComplex,Mumbai(India)400051.Tel:+912271804444.ItisregisteredbytheSecuritiesandExchangeBoardofIndia(SEBI)asaStockbrokerbearingregistrationno.:INZ000252437;MerchantBankerbearingSEBIRegistrationno.:INM000010833andResearchAnalystbearingSEBIRegistrationno.:INH000001741.DEIPL'sCompliance/GrievanceofficerisMs.RashmiPoddar(Tel:+912271804929emailID:complaints.deipl@).RegistrationgrantedbySEBIandcertificationfromNISMinnowayguaranteeperformanceofDEIPLorprovideanyassuranceofreturnstoinvestors.Investmentinsecuritiesmarketaresubjecttomarketrisks.Readalltherelateddocumentscarefullybeforeinvesting.DEIPLmayhavereceivedadministrativewarningsfromtheSEBIforbreachesofIndianregulations.DeutscheBankand/oritsaffiliate(s)mayhavedebtholdingsorpositionsinthesubjectcompany.Withregardtoinformationonassociates,pleaserefertothe"Shareholdings"sectionintheAnnualReportat:https:///ir/en/annual-reports.htm.
Japan:Approvedand/ordistributedbyDeutscheSecuritiesInc.(DSI).Registrationnumber-RegisteredasafinancialinstrumentsdealerbytheHeadoftheKantoLocalFinanceBureau(Kinsho)No.117.Memberofassociations:JSDA,TypeIIFinancialInstrumentsFirmsAssociationandTheFinancialFuturesAssociationofJapan.Commissionsandrisksinvolvedinstocktransactions-forstocktransactions,wechargestockcommissionsandconsumptiontaxbymultiplyingthetransactionamountbythecommissionrateagreedwitheachcustomer.Stocktransactionscanleadtolossesasaresultofsharepricefluctuationsandotherfactors.Transactionsinforeignstockscanleadtoadditionallossesstemmingfromforeignexchangefluctuations.Wemayalsochargecommissionsandfeesforcertaincategoriesofinvestmentadvice,productsandservices.Recommendedinvestmentstrategies,productsandservicescarrytheriskoflossestoprincipalandotherlossesasaresultofchangesinmarketand/oreconomictrends,and/orfluctuationsinmarketvalue.Beforedecidingonthepurchaseoffinancialproductsand/orservices,customersshouldcarefullyreadtherelevantdisclosures,prospectusesandotherdocumentation.'Moody's','StandardPoor's',and'Fitch'mentionedinthisreportarenotregisteredcreditratingagenciesinJapanunlessJapanor'Nippon'isspecificallydesignatedinthenameoftheentity.ReportsonJapaneselistedcompaniesnotwrittenbyanalystsofDSIarewrittenbyDeutscheBankGroup'sanalystswiththecoveragecompaniesspecifiedbyDSI.Someoftheforeignsecuritiesstatedonthisreporta
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