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大學英語知識講義Devastation
by
El
Nino—a
Warning
厄爾·尼諾現(xiàn)象將帶來毀滅
一則警告
6:
30
p.m.
October
26,
2028:
Could
This
Be
the
Deadline
for
the
Apocalypse?2028
年10
月26
日下午6
:
30
世界末日的最后期限
?
New
Drugs
Kill
Cancer
新藥滅癌When
these
headlines
appeared
this
year,
their
stories
became
the
subjects
of
conversations
around
the
world
talks
spiced
with
optimism
and
confusion.
Imagine
the
hopes
raised
in
the
millions
battling
cancer.
Did
the
news
mean
these
people
never
had
toworry
about
cancer
again?Or
that
we
allhad
to
worry
about
a
catastrophe
from
outer
space
or,
more
immediately,
from
El
Nino?這些標題于今年見諸報端時,這新聞便成為全世界的話題——既摻有樂觀又帶來混亂的話題。想象—下這些新聞為成千上萬與癌癥抗爭的人們所帶來的希望。這些新聞是否意味著這些人再也不用為癌癥擔憂呢
?
還是說我們所有的人都得為來自外層空間的大禍,或者更近一點,為厄爾·尼諾現(xiàn)象造成的災難而憂心忡忡呢
?
But
thetruthisUnfortunately,
science
doesn't
work
that
way.
It
rarelyarrives
at
final
answers.
People
battlingcancer
or
victims
of
El
Nino
may
find
this
frustrating,
but
the
truth
is
that
Nature
does
not
yield
her
secrets
easily.
Science
is
done
step
by
step.
First
an
idea
is
formed.
Then
this
is
tested
by
an
experiment.The
outcome,
one
hopes,
results
in
an
increase
Inknowledge.
不幸的是,科學并非這般運作??茖W極少提供最終的答案。與癌癥搏斗的人們或厄爾.尼諾現(xiàn)象的受害者也許會覺得這太令人沮喪,但事實是,大自然并不輕易袒露其奧秘??茖W研究是一步一步進行的,首先要有一個構想,然后用實驗檢驗這個構想,人們希望其結果能成為知識的一種積累。Science
is
not
a
set
of
unquestionable
results
but
a
way
of
under
standing
the
world
around
us.
Its
real
work
is
slow.
科學并非一組無可置疑的結果,而是認識我們周圍世界的一種方法。其實際進程是緩慢的。The
scientific
method,
as
many
of
us
learned
in
school,
is
a
gradual
process
that
begins
with
a
purpose
or
a
problem
or
question
to
be
answered.
It
includes
a
list
of
materials,
a
procedure
to
follow,
a
set
of
observations
to
make
and,
finally,
conclusions
to
reach.
In
medicine,
when
a
new
drug
is
proposed
that
might
cure
or
control
a
disease,
it
is
first
tested
on
a
large
random
group
of
people,
and
their
reactions
are
then
compared
with
those
of
another
random
group
not
given
the
drug.
All
reactions
in
both
groups
are
carefully
recorded
and
compared,
and
the
drug
is
evaluated.
All
of
this
takes
time—and
patience.
正如我們很多人在學于校里所學的那樣,科學方法是一個漸進的過程,這個過程始某個目的或某個有待解決或回答的問題。這包括一組材料,一套必須遵循的操作步驟,一系列有待進行的觀察,最后是有待得出的結論。醫(yī)學上,有人提出—種新藥可能醫(yī)治或控制某種疾病時,先是在隨意挑選的大量人群中進行試驗,然后將這部人群的用藥反應與另一組隨意挑選的未用此藥的人群的情況進行比較。兩組人群的種種反應被一一記錄,仔細比較,從而對新藥的療效作出鑒定。所有這些過程需要時間——以及耐心。It's
the
result
of
course,
that
makes
the
best
news
─not
the
years
of
quiet
work
thatcharacterize
the
bulk
of
scientific
inquiry.
成為新聞熱點的當然是結果,而非長年默默無聞的努力,而長年默默無聞的努力正是絕大多數(shù)科學探索的特點。After
an
experiment
is
concluded
or
an
observation
is
made,
the
result
continues
to
be
examined
critically.
When
itis
submitted
for
publication,
it
goes
to
a
group
of
the
scientist's
colleagues,
who
review
the
work.
If
the
work
is
importantenough,
just
before
the
report
is
published
in
a
professional
journal
or
read
at
a
conference,
a
press
release
is
issued
and
an
announcement
is
made
to
the
world.
在實驗有了結論,或觀察結束之后,其結果仍將受到嚴格的檢測。結果送交發(fā)表時,會由一組科學家的同行審閱。如果成果相當重要,那在專業(yè)雜志上發(fā)表或會議上宣讀該實驗報告之前,將會舉行新聞發(fā)布會,向世人宣布。The
world
may
think
that
the
announcement
signifies
the
end
of
the
process,
but
it
doesn't.
A
publication
is
really
a
challenge:
"Here
is
my
result.
Prove
me
wrong!"
(2)
Other
researchers
will
try
to
repeat
the
experiment,
and
the
more
often
it
works,
the
better
the
chances
that
the
result
is
sound.
世人也許會認為宣布結果標志整個過程的結束,其實不然。發(fā)表成果實際上是種挑戰(zhàn):“本人所作結論在此。請證其謬!”(2)
別的研究人員會試圖重復這一實驗,實驗成功的次數(shù)越多,其結果就越有可能是可靠的。Einstein
was
right
when
he
said:
"No
amount
of
experimentation
can
ever
prove
me
right;
a
single
experiment
can
at
any
time
prove
me
wrong."
愛因斯坦說得對:“再多的實驗也永遠不能證明我正確,而一項實驗隨時就能證明我錯誤?!?/p>
In
August
1996,
NASA
announced
thediscovery
in
Antarctica
of
a
meteorite
from
Mars
that
might
contain
evidence
of
ancient
life
on
another
world.
1996年8月,美國國家航空和宇宙航行局宣布發(fā)現(xiàn)了一塊隕石在南極洲的可能包含從火星上有古代生命的證據(jù)的另一個世界。As
President
Clinton
said
that
day,
the
possibility
that
life
existed
on
Mars
billions
of
years
ago
was
potentially
one
of
the
great
discoveries
of
our
time.
正如克林頓總統(tǒng)那天所說,發(fā)現(xiàn)億萬年前火星上可能存在生命這件事,有可能是我們時代最偉大的發(fā)現(xiàn)之—。After
the
excitement
wore
downand
initial
papers
were
published,
other
researchers
began
looking
at
sles
from
the
same
meteorite.
Some
concluded
that
the
"evidence
of
life"
was
mostly
contamination
from
Antarctic
ice
or
that
there
was
nothing
organic
at
all
in
the
rock.當興奮和激動慢慢平息,首批論文發(fā)表之后,其他研究人員開始研究取自同一顆隕石的樣本。有些人得出結論說,這些“生命的證據(jù)”大多來自南極冰的污染,或者說那塊石頭里根本就沒有有機物。Was
this
a
failure
of
science,
as
some
news
reports
trumpeted?這是某些新聞報道所鼓噪的科學的失敗嗎?
No!
It
was
a
good
exle
of
the
scientific
method
working
the
way
it
is
supposed
to.
Scientists
spend
years
on
research,
announce
their
findings,
and
these
findings
are
examined
by
other
scientists.
That's
how
we
learn.
Like
climbing
a
mountain,
we
struggle
up
three
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