外匯交易分析

1、外匯交易技巧外匯交易技巧學(xué)習(xí)班學(xué)習(xí)班-技術(shù)分析技術(shù)分析 哈分行外匯交易室 張曉光期貨市場技術(shù)分析 -約翰.墨菲價位價位時間時間生成階段生成階段成長與成長與老化階段老化階段衰病階段衰病階段死亡死亡階段階段* *下跌速度是上漲下跌速度是上漲速度的三倍速度的三倍曲線圖曲線圖 圖表分析-形態(tài)學(xué) 六大形態(tài)：1）、頭肩頂（底）2）、箱形走勢3）、三角形4）、圓弧底（頂）5）、V形反轉(zhuǎn)6）、跳空形Q.SSEC, Last Trade CandleMA 20 Minute13Mar02 02:31 - 14Mar02 01:3403:3006:0007:0003:0005:3006:30PriceCNY161

2、8162016221624162616281630163216341636163816401642164416461648165016521654葛南維買賣法則示意圖葛南維買賣法則示意圖Q.SSEC, Last Trade CandleMA 10 Daily16Jun00 - 06Nov01JulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2001PriceCNY1400145015001550160016501700175018001850190019502000205021002150220022502300Q.SSEC, Last Trade

3、, Candle11Nov2002 1519.603 1526.132 1501.989 1504.403Q.SSEC, Close(Last Trade), MA 1011Nov2002 1526.231葛南維買賣法則示意圖葛南維買賣法則示意圖JPY=, Bid CandleMA 60MA 20MA 5 Hourly17Jul02 - 15Aug0218Jul0219Jul20Jul23Jul24Jul25Jul26Jul27Jul30Jul31Jul01Aug02Aug03Aug06Aug07Aug08Aug09Aug10Aug13Aug14Aug15AugPr/ USD115.4115.

4、6115.8116116.2116.4116.6116.8117117.2117.4117.6117.8118118.2118.4118.6118.8119119.2119.4119.6119.8120120.2120.4120.6120.8121121.2JPY= , Bid, Candle14Aug 16:00:00 117.18 117.42 116.97 117.35JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 6014Aug 16:00:00 118.92JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 6014Aug 16:00:00 118.92JPY= , Close(Bid), MA

5、 6014Aug 16:00:00 118.92JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 2014Aug 16:00:00 118.27JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 514Aug 16:00:00 117.20三線匯聚后金叉三線匯聚后金叉三線匯聚后金叉三線匯聚后金叉短線金叉中線短線金叉中線多頭排列，最強勢多頭排列，最強勢空頭排列，最弱勢空頭排列，最弱勢均線交織，平勢均線交織，平勢三線匯三線匯聚死叉聚死叉三線匯三線匯聚死叉聚死叉短線死短線死叉中線叉中線常用參數(shù)：常用參數(shù)：5、10、20、30、50、100、200空頭回補空頭回補多頭建倉多頭建倉多頭回吐多頭回吐空頭建倉空頭建倉JP

6、Y=, Bid CandleMACD 12, 26, 9 Weekly11Feb98 - 30Dec02Apr98JulOctJan99AprJulOctJan00AprJulOctJan01AprJulOctJan02AprJulOctPr/ USD105110115120125130135140145JPY= , Bid, Candle17Nov02 119.78 120.07 119.07 119.71MACD/ USD-5-4-3-2-10123JPY= , Close(Bid), Signal 12, 26, 917Nov02 -0.85637JPY= , Close(Bid), M

7、ACD 12, 2617Nov02 -0.65314MACD底背離底背離JPY=, Bid CandleMACD 12, 26, 9 Daily16May01 - 23Nov0205Jun0103Jul31Jul28Aug25Sep23Oct20Nov18Dec15Jan12Feb12Mar09Apr07May04Jun02Jul30Jul27Aug24Sep22Oct19NovPr/ USD116118120122124126128130132134JPY= , Bid, Candle12Nov02 119.60 119.87 119.53 119.69MACD/ USD-2-1.5-1-0

8、.500.511.5JPY= , Close(Bid), Signal 12, 26, 912Nov02 -0.26685JPY= , Close(Bid), MACD 12, 2612Nov02 -0.79240死叉死叉金叉金叉EUR=, Bid CandleMA 5MA 10MA 20MA 30MA 50MA 100MA 120MA 200MA 240Bol. Bands 20 2RSI 7 D21Mar06 - 11Sep0627Mar06 10Apr24Apr08May22May05Jun19Jun03Jul17Jul31Jul14Aug28Aug11SepPrUSD1.181.21.

9、221.241.261.28RSIUSD20406070以上運行，強勢上漲以上運行，強勢上漲30以下運行，弱勢下跌以下運行，弱勢下跌30-70區(qū)域運行，盤整區(qū)域運行，盤整EUR=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 5MA 10MA 20MA 30MA 50MA 100MA 200RSI 7RSI 14 Daily07Jan03 - 15Oct0327Jan0324Feb24Mar21Apr19May16Jun14Jul11Aug08Sep06OctPrUSD0.9811.021.041.061.081.11.121.141.161.18RSIUSD20406080趨勢分

10、析理論應(yīng)用于趨勢分析理論應(yīng)用于RSI趨勢線、支撐線、壓力線趨勢線、支撐線、壓力線上升趨勢上升趨勢下降趨勢下降趨勢壓力線壓力線支撐線支撐線EUR=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 5MA 10MA 20MA 30MA 50MA 100MA 200RSI 7RSI 14 Daily07Jan03 - 15Oct0327Jan0324Feb24Mar21Apr19May16Jun14Jul11Aug08Sep06OctPrUSD0.9811.021.041.061.081.11.121.141.161.18RSIUSD20406080趨勢分析理論應(yīng)用于趨勢分析理論應(yīng)用于RS

11、I趨勢線、支撐線、壓力線趨勢線、支撐線、壓力線下降通道下降通道EUR=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 5MA 10MA 20MA 30MA 50MA 100MA 200RSI 7RSI 14 Daily20Jun02 - 31Mar0310Jul0207Aug04Sep02Oct30Oct27Nov25Dec22Jan19Feb19MarPrUSD0.880.90.920.940.960.9811.021.041.061.081.11.12RSIUSD020406080盤整市道盤整市道RSI 作用比較明顯作用比較明顯QEUR=, Bid CandleFast Sto

12、ch 5,3 Weekly06Aug00 - 17Nov02OctAprJulOctAprJulOct20012002PriceUSD0.820.840.860.880.90.920.940.960.981StochUSD020406080QEUR=, Bid, Candle27Oct2002 0.9718 0.9802 0.9685 0.9793QEUR=, Bid, %D Fast 5,327Oct2002 55.245QEUR=, Bid, %K Fast 5,327Oct2002 44.813大趨勢時候指標(biāo)鈍化無效大趨勢時候指標(biāo)鈍化無效QJPY=, Bid CandleFast Sto

13、ch 5,3 Weekly06Aug00 - 17Nov02OctAprJulOctAprJulOct20012002Price/USD106108110112114116118120122124126128130132Stoch/USD020406080QJPY=, Bid, Candle27Oct2002 125.42 125.64 123.60 123.73QJPY=, Bid, %D Fast 5,327Oct2002 82.521QJPY=, Bid, %K Fast 5,327Oct2002 58.388大升市指標(biāo)大升市指標(biāo)鈍化，無效鈍化，無效大跌市大跌市指標(biāo)鈍指標(biāo)鈍化無效化無效快

14、速隨機指標(biāo)快速隨機指標(biāo)JPY=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 20 Daily04May01 - 13Nov0216May0113Jun11Jul08Aug05Sep03Oct31Oct28Nov26Dec23Jan20Feb20Mar17Apr15May12Jun10Jul07Aug04Sep02Oct30OctPr/ USD115116117118119120121122123124125126127128129130131132133134135136JPY= , Bid, Candle31Oct02 123.02 123.23 122.35 122.41JP

15、Y= , Close(Bid), Hi Bol. Band 20 231Oct02 125.69JPY= , Close(Bid), Lo Bol. Band 20 231Oct02 122.52JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 2031Oct02 124.11EUR=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 20 Daily22Mar02 - 06Nov0228Mar0211Apr25Apr09May23May06Jun20Jun04Jul18Jul01Aug15Aug29Aug12Sep26Sep10Oct24OctPrUSD0.860.870.880.890.90.910.920.930.940.