高頻以前考過共有60個題目所以后面至少把這提綱復習一遍

24Thefollowingappearedinaletterfromafirmprovidinginvestmentadvicetoa"HomesinthenortheasternUnitedStates,wherewintersaretypicallycold,havetraditionallyusedoilastheirmajorfuelforheating.Lastyearthatregionexperiencedtwentydayswithbelow-averagetemperatures,andlocalweatherforecastersthroughouttheregionpredictthatthisweatherpatternwillcontinueforseveralmoreyears.Furthermore,manynewhomeshavebeenbuiltinthisregionduringthepastyear.Becauseofthesedevelopments, redictanincreaseddemandforheatingoiland mendinvestmentinConsolidatedIndustries,oneofwhosemajorbusinessoperationsistheretailsaleofhomeheatingoil."Writearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatspecificevidenceisneededtoevaluatetheargumentandexplainhowtheevidencewouldweakenorstrengthentheargument.料。去年該地區(qū)經(jīng)歷了90天低于往年平均氣溫的嚴寒，并且氣象家對于油料的需求將會增加.所以建議對CI公司投資，該公司的主要業(yè)務190多天的冬季看似很久，可以以前的天氣情況沒有提，要是一般的冬季都比這個時間長的話，那2>很多的住宅新建起來，不見得很多人都會立刻搬進去居住，可能是房子的質量不好，也可能是人們的工資負擔不起那里昂貴的房價>又或者交通不便利，環(huán)境不好等因素。。。。3>這個公司是零售的，而那里的人們，小區(qū)什么的都是承包給大的公司，他們這樣的小公司可1841Thefollowingappearedinahealth"Aten-yearnationwidestudyoftheeffectivenessofwearingahelmetwhilebicyclingindicatesthattenyearsago,approximay35percentofallbicyclistsreportedwearinghelmets,whereastodaythatnumberisnearly80percent.Anotherstudy,however,suggeststhatduringthesameten-yearperiod,thenumberofbicycle-relatedaccidentshasincreased200percent.Theseresultsdemonstratethatbicyclistsfeelsaferbecausetheyarewearinghelmets,andtheytakemorerisksasaresult.Thus,toreducethenumberofseriousinjuriesfrombicycleaccidents,the shouldconcentratemoreoneducatingpeopleaboutbicyclesafetyandlessonencouragingorrequiringbicycliststowearhelmets."Writearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted.一項為期十年的對于在騎自行車時戴頭盔的作用的研究顯示，101>事故數(shù)量上升不能說明現(xiàn)在這個問題比以前嚴重。因為人口的增加，騎車的人增多，都可能使得2>出事故是否與戴頭盔有關，論者沒有相關資料。首先論者對于戴頭盔會使人更容易的結論完3>其次論者也沒有提供有多少戴頭盔的人出了事故，如果出事故的多數(shù)都沒有戴頭盔，這樣就16ThefollowingispartofamemorandumfromtheofHumana"LastyearthenumberofstudentswhoenrolledinonlinedegreeprogramsofferedbynearbyOmniUniversityincreasedby50percent.Duringthesameyear,Omnishowedasignificantdecreasefromprioryearsinexpendituresfordormitoryandclassroomspace,mostlikelybecauseinstructionintheonlineprogramstakesplaceviatheInternet.Incontrast,overthepastthreeyears,enrollmentatHumanaUniversityhasfailedtogrow,andthecostofmaintainingbuildingshasincreasedalongwithourbudgetdeficit.Toaddresstheseproblems,HumanaUniversitywillbegin ytocreateandactivelypromoteonlinedegreeprogramslikethoseatOmni. thatinstitutingtheseonlinedegreeprogramswillhelpHumanabothincreaseitstotalenrollmentandsolveitsbudgetproblems."Writearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatquestionswouldneedtobeansweredinordertodecidewhetherthepredictionandtheargumentonwhichitisbasedarereasonable.Besuretoexplainhowtheanswerstothesequestionswouldhelptoevaluatetheprediction.授課。比較而言，在過去三年中，Humana于房屋的費用和財政赤字都上升。因此，為解決這些問題，也應該開展并積極推廣與Omni一樣的教學系統(tǒng)。預計推出這樣的課程不光可以增們的招生也同時可以解決目前的財政赤字。其他因素：作者沒有考慮是什么原因導致Humana大學建筑的費用上升；此外，也沒有考慮1>沒有表明Omni大學的宿舍費用減少是因為網(wǎng)絡授課的緣故，可能是學校生源不好，或2>沒有信息表明Humana大學和Omni是相類似的3>其他因素：作者沒有考慮是什么原因導致Humana大學建筑的費用上升；此外，也沒有考慮113/126/127/161Thefollowingisa mendationfromthe neldirectortothe ofAcmePublishing"ManyothercompanieshaverecentlystatedthathavingtheiremployeestaketheEasyReadSpeed-ReadingCoursehasgreatlyimprovedproductivity.Onegraduateofthecoursewasabletoreada500reportinonlytwohours;anothergraduaterosefromanassistantmanagertoofthecompanyinunderayear.Obviously,thefasteryoucanread,themoreinformationyoucanabsorbinasingleworkday.Moreover,EasyReadwouldcostAcmeonly$500peremployee—asmallpricetopaywhenyouconsiderthebenefits.Includedinthisfeeisathree-weekseminarinSpruceCityandalifelongsubscriptiontotheEasyReadnewsletter.Clearly,AcmewouldbenefitgreatlybyrequiringallofouremployeestotaketheEasyReadcourse."Writearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted.很多其他公司最近他們的員工參加了EasyRead的速讀課程之后生產(chǎn)效率一天之內所能吸收的信息就越多。而且，EasyRead500元，當?shù)臑橹艿难杏憰虴asyRead的終生贈閱。顯然，為了提高A公司的整體生產(chǎn)效率，它要求所有員工參加EasyRead的課程。2500塊，但是還有別的費用，像什么閱讀資料費，輔導費，或者要求你買什么3>給的所謂的資料可能不過是性質的宣傳資料，真正有作用的才不會免費的給，讓 14Thefollowingis mendationfromthofDirectorsofMonarch mendthatMonarchBooksopenacaféinitsstore.Monarch,havingbeeninbusinessatthesamelocationformorethantwentyyears,hasalargecustomerbasebecauseitisknownforitswideselectionofbooksonallsubjects.Clearly,openingthecaféwouldattractmorecustomers.Spacecouldbemadeforthecafébydiscontinuingthechildren'sbooksection,whichwillprobablyelesspopulargiventhatthemostrecentnationalcensusindicatedasignificantdeclineinthepercentageofthepopulationunderageten.OpeningacaféwillallowMonarchtoattractmorecustomersandbettercompetewithRegalBooks,whichrecentlyopeneditsowncafé."Writearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatquestionswouldneedtobeansweredinordertodecidewhetherthe mendationislikelytohavethepredictedresult.Besuretoexplainhowtheanswerstothesequestionswouldhelptoevaluatethe 建議m書店在電內開設一個咖啡廳。M20顯示10歲以下兒童的比率顯著下降，所以兒童書就可能沒以前那么暢銷。開設新咖啡廳將會使m吸引客戶并更好的與最近剛開設了咖啡廳的rTheviceofhumanresourcesatClimpsonIndustriessentthefollowing tothecompany's."Inanefforttoimproveouremployees'productivity,weshouldimplemen ectronicmonitoringofemployees'Internetusefromtheirworkstations.EmployeeswhousetheInternetfromtheirworkstationsneedtobeidentifiedandpunishedifwearetoreducethenumberofworkhoursspenton alorrecreationalactivities,suchasshop orplayinggames.Byinstallingsoftwaretodetectemployees'Internetuseoncompanycomputers,wecanpreventemployeesfromwastingtime,fosterabetterworkethicatClimpson,andimproveouroverallprofits."Writearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted. 77The mendationappearedinamemofromthemayorofthetownof"Twoyearsago,thenearbytownofOceanViewbuiltanewmunicipalgolfcourseandresortho.Duringthepasttwoyears,tourisminOceanViewhasincreased,newbusinesseshaveopenedthere,andOceanView'staxrevenueshaverisenby30percent.Therefore,thebestwaytoimproveHopewell'seconomy—andgenerateadditionaltaxrevenues—istobuildagolfcourseandresorthohosimilartothoseinOceanWritearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted.OceanView很多新的商業(yè)，而且增加了30％。改Hopewell的經(jīng)濟，產(chǎn)生的最好途徑就是建立一個和OceanView類似的球場和度假旅館。沒有足夠的表明在Hopewell修建地方性的球場和度假勝地會和OceanView一樣收到此外，作者提供詳細的說明OceanView的經(jīng)濟提高是因為修建了市球場以及度假酒店的2>增加的餓原因，的各種措施，，或者是別的其他的大企業(yè)的發(fā)展或者加盟，自己地3>作者還忽略了其他因素：作者沒有提供Hopewell居民的信息，可能當?shù)氐娘L俗排斥旅游； 129ThefollowingappearedinaletterfromtheowneroftheSunnysideTowersapartmentcomplextoitsmanager."Lastweek,alltheshowerheadsinthe threebuildingsoftheSunnysideTowerscomplexweremodifiedtorestrict umwaterflowtoone-thirdofwhatitusedtobe.Althoughactualreadingsofwaterusagebeforeandaftertheadjustmentarenotyetavailable,thechangewillobviouslyresultinaconsiderablesavingsforSunnysideCorporation,sincethecorporationmustpayforwaterea onth.Exceptforafewcomplaintsaboutlowwaterpressure,noproblemswithshowershavebeenreportedsincetheadjustment.Clearly,modifyingshowerheadstorestrictwaterflowthroughoutalltwelvebuildingsintheSunnysideTowerscomplexwillincreaseourprofitsWritearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted.一個月前，Sunnyside 顯然將為Sunnyside公司節(jié)省大量的花 后沒有發(fā)生關于淋浴噴頭的問題的報告。我預計在Sunnyside塔樓所有的12層1>前提，是否節(jié)水了。既然還不知體的指數(shù)就不排除用水量上升的可能。因為水流變小，用水時間就會加長。另外由于水壓的swill作用沒了，這種時間compensate很有可能會特2>前提，沒人抱怨。首先剛一個月就有了抱怨。其次樓層越高對水壓要求越到。第三樓上的人可能3>結論：利潤，收入得靠賣房，有可能是租房，水費只是其中很小一部分12 ArecentsalesstudyindicatesthatconsumptionofseafooddishesinBayCityrestaurantshasincreasedby30percentduringthepastfiveyears.Yettherearenocurrentlyoperatingcityrestaurantswhosespecialtyisseafood.Moreover,themajorityoffamiliesinBayCityare efamilies,andanationwidestudyhasshownthatsuchfamilieseatsignificantlyfewerhome-cookedmealsthantheydidadecadeagobutatthesametimeexpressmoreconcernabouthealthfuleating.Therefore,thenewCaptainSeafoodrestaurantthatspecializesinseafoodshouldbequitepopularandprofitable.Writearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatspecificevidenceisneededtoevaluatetheargumentandexplainhowtheevidencewouldweakenorstrengthentheargument.最近的銷量顯示BayCity餐館的海鮮菜肴的消費量比過去五年增加了30％而現(xiàn)在該市還沒有專門經(jīng)營海鮮菜的餐廳。而且，BayCity的大多數(shù)家庭是雙收們更關注健康飲食。因此，在BayCity開設一家新的專營海鮮食品的C餐館將會對于雙收入家庭的并不意味著BarCity同樣適作者同樣忽略了其他因素：比如BarCity當?shù)氐牟蛷d數(shù)量很多而且對于海鮮食品的供應是否已經(jīng)足夠豐富；或者是否BarCity的居民的飲食>上升2>對于雙收入家庭的并不意味著BarCity同樣適用(而且他們不愿意在家里吃也不代表他們愿>3>同樣忽略了其他因素：比如BarCity當?shù)氐牟蛷d數(shù)量很多而且對于海鮮食品的供應是否已經(jīng)足夠豐富；或者是否BarCity的居民的飲食Anancient,traditionalremedyforinsomnia—thescentoflavenderflowers—hasnowbeenprovedeffective.Inarecentstudy,30volunteerswithchronicinsomniaslepteachnightforthreeweeksonlavender-scentedpillowsinacontrolledroomwheretheirsleepwasmonitoredelectronically.Duringtheweek,volunteerscontinuedtotaketheirusualsleemedication.Theysleptsoundlybutwakenedfeelingtired.Atthebeginningofthesecondweek,thevolunteersdiscontinuedtheirsleemedication.Duringthatweek,theysleptlesssoundlythanthepreviousweekandfeltevenmoretired.Duringthethirdweek,thevolunteerssleptlongerandmoresoundlythanintheprevioustwoweeks.Therefore,thestudyprovesthatlavendercuresinsomniawithinashortperiodoftime.Writearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatspecificevidenceisneededtoevaluatetheargumentandexplainhowtheevidencewouldweakenorstrengthentheargument.近的中，30名患有慢性失眠的在三周之內每晚都在一個受監(jiān)視的控制室內睡在帶薰衣草花香的枕頭上。在第一周，繼續(xù)服用他們常用的安眠藥。他們睡得很沉但醒來時很累。在第二周，他們用藥物。結果與前一周相1>推論以研究為基礎，但這還只是初步的研究，并不足以得出30位以及三個2>但是拋開這些不考慮，論者的推理過程仍有錯誤。?第三個星期醒來以后的感覺論者沒有3>研究本身對有影響,是否會有副作用或者不良反應。三個星期里的睡眠變化與對環(huán)境的熟悉有關，第三個星期完全熟悉了，所以不緊張了。?在短期內的概念不清楚。62Thefollowingappearedinamemofromthedirectorofalargegroupof"Inalaboratorystudyofliquidantibacterialhandsoaps,aconcentratedsolutionofUltraCleanproduceda40percentgreaterreductioninthebacteriapopulationthandidtheliquidhandsoapscurrentlyusedinourhospitals.DuringasubsequenttestofUltraCleanatourhospitalinWorkby,thathospitalreportedsignificantlyfewercasesofpatientinfectionthandidanyoftheotherhospitalsinourgroup.Therefore,topreventseriouspatientinfections,weshouldsupplyUltraCleanatallhand-washingstationsthroughoutourhospitalsystem."Writearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted再一次對于抗菌洗手液的實驗研究中，UC濃縮液比醫(yī)院目前使用的洗手40%的細菌。對在W的醫(yī)院做的隨后測試中發(fā)現(xiàn)，該醫(yī)院上報的患者數(shù)量明顯少于的其他醫(yī)院。因此，為防止嚴重的患者，該在的醫(yī)院系統(tǒng)內的所有洗手站提供UC洗手液1>前提不一定成立，即使用N洗手能減少，論者提供的論據(jù)不足以支持2首先室驗室的結果不證明在現(xiàn)實使用中效果一樣顯著，因為N有可能受到現(xiàn)實環(huán)境中其它化學和3>論據(jù)沒有說服力，關于S醫(yī)院的經(jīng)驗。首先S醫(yī)院的比其它醫(yī)院少，但是與它不使用N的時候呢？如果不使用N，S醫(yī)院的此類也少，就不能證明是N防止了。其次S醫(yī)院對N的測試，但未說是如何使用，可能并不只是用于洗手液。結論：首先N是否有副作用，4>其次，N殺死的細菌是否是能引起嚴重的，還是只是較弱的結論：論者應進N用于洗手液在實際情況中的殺菌效果，并一步了解S醫(yī)院的經(jīng)驗是否值Inanattempttoimprovehighwaysafety,PruntyCountylastyearlowereditsspeedlimitfrom55to45perhouronallcountyhighways.Butthisefforthasfailed:thenumberofaccidentshasnotdecreased,and,basedonreportsbythehighwaypatrol,manydriversareexceedingthespeedlimit.PruntyCountyshouldinsteadundertakethesamekindofroadimprovementprojectthatButlerCountycompletedfiveyearsago:increasinglanewidths,resurfacingroughhighways,andimprovingvisibilityatdangerousintersections.Today,majorButlerCountyroadsstillhavea55mphspeedlimit,yettherewere25percentfewerreportedaccidentsinButlerCountythispastyearthantherewerefiveyearsago.為了提升高速公路的安全性，p5545。告很多都超速駕駛。所以p市應該采用b市5年前相同的道路改善計劃：增主要道路依然是55限速，但上報的事故率卻比5年前減少了25％。thischangeinreducingtheaccidentrate.(I.E)★★★minorroadsnotsubjecttothespeed-limitreductionithasincreased.(I.I)★★★★sincethecountylowereditsspeedlimit.(P→F)★★★(NCR)★★TheauthorunfairlyimpliesthatthehigherspeedlimitinButlerCountyhasnotservedtoincreasetheincidenceofroadaccidentsinthatcounty.(lackofcontrolledexperiment)★★★Thecitedstatisticinvolvesonly"reported"accidentsinButlerCounty,wedonotknowthepercentageofaccidentswhicharegoingunreportedinthatcounty.(I.I)★★★ThesituationatPruntyCountyandButlerCountymaynotbecomparable.(F.A)TheauthorfailstodemonstratethatroadimprovementwillbebothsufficientandnecessarytoguaranteefeweraccidentsinPruntyCounty.(sufficiency/necessityofthesolution)★★★★Thefollowingappearedinahealthmagazinepublishedin"Medicalexpertssaythatonlyone-quarterofCorpora'scitizensmeetthecurrentstandardsforadequatephysicalfitness,eventhoughtwentyyearsago,one-halfofallofCorpora'scitizensmetthestandardsasthendefined.Buttheseexpertsaremistakenwhentheysuggestthatspendingtoomuchtimeusingcomputershascausedadeclineinfitness.SinceoverallfitnesslevelsarehighestinregionsofCorporawherelevelsofcomputerownershiparealsohighest,itisclearthatusingcomputershasnotmadecitizenslessphysicallyfit.Instead,asshownbythisyear'sunusuallylowexpendituresonfitness-relatedproductsandservices,therecentdeclineintheeconomyismostlikelythecause,andfitnesslevelswillimprovewhentheeconomydoes."Writearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted醫(yī)學C20濟的最可能是原因，當經(jīng)濟復蘇了健康水平也會隨之提高。.1.作者沒有提供的信息說明使用電腦并不是導致身退的主要原作者沒有足夠的信息說明是經(jīng)濟導致產(chǎn)品和服務消費的下降，并最終導致人們身體的下1>人口增加是比例下降的一個因素，也可能是健康準則的定義2>電腦擁有量最多不代表使用的就多，就頻繁，而且那里的人可能在那里工作，但是3>沒有提供其他可能的導致身體下降的原因，可能是傳統(tǒng)飲食4>作者沒有足夠的信息說明是經(jīng)濟導致產(chǎn)品和服務消費的下降，并最終導致人們身體的下152/153152The152ThefollowingappearedinamemotoofdirectorsofBargainBrand"Oneyearagoweintroducedour product,BargainBrandbreakfastcereal.Ourverylowpricesquicklydrewmanycustomersawayfromthetop-sellingcerealcompanies.Althoughthecompaniesproducingthetopbrandshavesincetriedtocompetewithusbyloweringtheirpricesandalthoughseveralplantointroducetheirownbudgetbrands,notoncehaveweneededtoraiseourpricestocontinuemakingaprofit.Givenoursuccessinsellingcereal,we mendthatBargainBrandnowexpanditsbusinessandbeginmarketingotherlow-pricedfoodproductsasquicklyasWritearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatquestionswouldneedtobeansweredinordertodecidewhetherthe mendationandtheargumentonwhichitisbasedarereasonable.Besuretoexplainhowtheanswerstothesequestionswouldhelptoevaluatethe 一年以前推出了第一種產(chǎn)品BargainBrand早餐麥片。低廉的價格迅速1>前提是否成功是否在贏利。沒有資料證明在贏利2低價低利潤率，而且知名品牌都降價了，如果你提價就會失去顧客。用一個需要證明的，而且可3>論據(jù)：顧客選擇BB，最主要的可能不是因為低價，而是其他因素。不然別人降價，顧客早回去4結論：一個產(chǎn)品因為低價成功，不保證其他市場低價也能成功。盡快拓展業(yè)務，還要考慮大的經(jīng)78Thefollowingappearedinamemofromthevice ofafooddistributioncompanywithfoodstoragewarehousesinseveralcities."Recently,wesignedacontractwiththeFly-AwayPestControlCompanytoprovidepestcontrolservicesatourfast-foodwarehouseinPalmCity,butlastmonthwediscoveredthatover$20,000worthoffoodtherehadbeendestroyedbypestdamage.Meanwhile,theBuzzoffPestControlCompany,whichwehaveusedformanyyears,continuedtoserviceourwarehouseinWintervale,andlastmonthonly$10,000worthofthefoodstoredtherehadbeendestroyedbypestdamage.EventhoughthepricechargedbyFly-Awayisconsiderablylower,ourbestmeansofsavingmoneyistoreturntoBuzzoffforallourpestcontrolservices."andexplainhowtheevidencewouldweakenorstrengthentheargument.最 Writeaandexplainhowtheevidencewouldweakenorstrengthentheargument.最 Fly-AwayPest-Control公司簽訂了一項合同來為 在PalmCity的快餐食品倉庫 發(fā)現(xiàn)，那里有價值超過$20000的食品 使用多年的BuzzoffPest-Control公司繼續(xù)在Wintervale的倉庫服務，上個月那里只有價值$10000的食 節(jié) 的最好方式就是重新使用Buzzoff公司來提 所有的殺蟲作者沒有提供足夠的證明Buzzoff的效果比Fly-AwayPest-ControlCompany好，可能過去Buzzoff在這個地區(qū)效果更差作者也沒有提供詳細的信息說明這兩個公司的價格各是多少，如果差價很高，則還是應當 兩個地方的的規(guī)模不同，的東西不同，而且一個月的情況不能說明什么太大的問2>作者沒有提供足夠的證明Buzzoff的效果比Fly-AwayPest-ControlCompany好，可能過去Buzzoff在這個地區(qū)效果更差，作者也沒有提供詳細的信息說明這兩個公司的價格各是多少，如果差價很高，則還是應當選Bezzoff 其他ThefollowingmemorandumisfromthebusinessmanagerofHappyPancakeHouse"ButterhasnowbeenreplacedbymargarineinHappyPancakeHouserestaurantsthroughoutthesouthwesternUnitedStates.Onlyabout2percentofcustomershavecomplained,indicatingthatanaverageof98peopleoutof100arehappywiththechange.Furthermore,manyservershavereportedthatanumberofcustomerswhoaskforbutterdonotcomplainwhentheyaregivenmargarineinstead.Clearly,eitherthesecustomerscannotdistinguishbutterfrommargarineortheyusetheterm'butter'torefertoeitherbutterormargarine.Thus,toavoidtheexpenseofpurchasingbutterandtoincreaseprofitability,theHappyPancakeHouseshouldextendthiscost-savingchangetoitsrestaurantsinthesoutheastandnortheastaswell."WriteWritearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatspecificevidenceisneededtoevaluatetheandexplainhowtheevidencewouldweakenorstrengthentheargument.在整 西南的所有Hp餐廳都采用人造黃油替代了天然黃油。只有2%的顧客，這意味著100人中有98人對于這次改變都是愉悅的。另外，很多服務生報告說很多投 天然黃油的花銷并且提升利潤率，Hp餐廳應該將這種節(jié)約 1前提，顧客沒意見。2%的顧客抱怨，不代98%的就高興。有人不在乎，有人在乎但不說，但2>，要黃油的顧客拿到人造的不說什么，不表示他們分辨不出來，沒資料顯示顧客看不出來，3結論：各地不一樣，有些地方的人特別在乎人造的問題。還有地方不一樣，貨的成本可能也會有4>不一定 132Thefollowingappearedinalettertotheschoolboardinthetownof"Allstudentsshouldberequiredtotakethedriver'seducationcourseatCentervilleHighSchool.Inthepasttwoyears,severalaccidentsinandaroundCentervillehaveinvolvedteenagedrivers.SinceanumberofparentsinCentervillehavecomplainedthattheyaretoobusytoteachtheirteenagerstodrive,someotherinstructionisnecessarytoensurethattheseteenagersaresafedrivers.AlthoughtherearetwodrivingschoolsinCenterville,parentsonatightbudgetcannotaffordtopayfordrivinginstruction.Thereforeaneffectiveandmandatoryprogramsponsoredbythehighschoolistheonlysolutiontothisseriousproblem."Writearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted.Centerville周圍有幾起交通事故涉及了青少年駕駛者。由于Centerville的一些家1>涉及了青少年不代表是青少年或者該校學生的駕駛責任，可能是他人在駕駛，造成的事故中有學生和青少年，或者是由于其他的原因造成的事故，和駕駛本身沒有太大的關聯(lián)例如天氣，地形，特2>一些家長具體是多少？學校組織類似的課程也是需要錢的，如果投資太多的話可能學校也是無法3>學習這些課程學生到底愿不愿意，是否必要，可能學生都已經(jīng)很熟練的駕駛了 69The69Thefollowingappearedinamemofromaofalarge,highlydiversified"Tenyearsagoourcompanyhadtwonewofficebuildingsconstructedasregionalheadquartersfortworegions.Thebuildingswereerectedbydifferentconstructioncompanies—AlphaandZeta.Althoughthetwobuildingshadidenticalfloorplans,thebuildingconstructedbyZetacost30percentmoretobuild.However,thatbuilding'sexpensesformaintenancelastyearwereonlyhalfthoseofAlpha's.Inaddition,theenergyconsumptionoftheZetabuildinghasbeenlowerthanthatoftheAlphabuildingeveryyearsinceitsconstruction.Giventhesedata,plusthefactthatZetahasastableworkforcewithlittleemployeeturnover,we mendusingZetaratherth phaforournewbuildingproject,eventhoughAlpha'sbidpromiseslowerconstructioncosts."Writearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatquestionswouldneedtobeansweredinordertodecidewhetherthe mendationandtheargumentonwhichitisbasedarereasonable.Besuretoexplainhowtheanswerstothesequestionswouldhelptoevaluatethe 10年以前公司在兩個不同地區(qū)擁有兩座地方辦公建筑。它們由兩家建筑的建筑造價高出了30％，但去年的費用是由Alpha建的樓的50%。而且，Z大樓建成以來的能耗每年都比AlphaZ公司擁有穩(wěn)定的員工隊伍且雇員流動性很小的事實，表明應該使用Z建筑公司而不是A公司來建造未來的建筑工程，盡管A的標書承諾造價會更低。>>來>`2>兩個樓的用途不一樣，或者地理位置等其他因素造成他們的能耗不同，開銷不同3>可能A公司比較大，他的流動大也不奇怪，這樣的競爭機制有利于公司的發(fā)展保證了他們的 Thefollowingwaswrittenasapartofanapplicationforasmall-businessloanbyagroupofdevelopersinthecityofMonroe."JazzmusicisextremelypopularinthecityofMonroe:over100,000peopleattendedMonroe'sannualjazzfestivallastsummer,andthehighest-ratedradioprograminMonroeis'JazzNightly,'whichairseveryweeknight.Also,anumberofwell-knownjazzmusiciansownhomesinMonroe.Nevertheless,thenearestjazzclubisoveranhouraway.GiventhepopularityofjazzinMonroeandarecentnationwidestudyindicatingthatthetypicaljazzfanspendscloseto$1,000peryearonjazzentertainment, redictthatournewjazzmusicclubinMonroewillbeatremendouslyprofitableenterprise."Writearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatquestionswouldneedtobeansweredinordertodecidewhetherthepredictionandtheargumentonwhichitisbasedarereasonable.Besuretoexplainhowtheanswerstothesequestionswouldhelptoevaluatetheprediction.爵士樂在Monroe10萬多人參加了Monroe而且Monroe獲評價最高的廣播是平時每天的JazzNightly。同時，若干鑒于目前M地區(qū)爵士音樂的流行以及一項性研究表明典型的爵士者每年花費近1000元用于爵士。因此，在Monroe建立爵士樂將會是非去年夏天的爵士節(jié)的詳細信息沒有提供，可能100,000都是外地來的 樣本有問性的不一定適用于Monroe，可能根本就不會花那么多錯誤類比其他因素：收聽'JazzNightly,'的人多不意味著他們愿意花錢去買唱片purchasetheCompactDisc錯誤因果關系（推論此外，不一定CNote能夠贏得全部的本地市場結論市場1>流行？10萬人來看可能是因為這里的交通方面或者歷史悠久等原因，大多數(shù)都是外地人，而且JAZZ的音樂家住在這里不代表這里JAZZ會受歡迎，他們來這里不能帶來音樂的流行，而是因為自己個人的其他原因，這里環(huán)境好，或者什么2>的觀眾多不代表他們愿意買唱片或者去現(xiàn)場看JAZZ的演出，人們欣賞的方式有很多種，而且即使交通很方面，也不能否認昂貴的價格是一個。3>不等于地方，典型不等于大眾，1000塊可能不是看音樂會或者現(xiàn)場的演出，而是買樂器或者其他的一些紀念品4Thefollowingappearedinaletterfromahomeownertoa"Ofthetwoleadingrealestatefirmsinourtown—AdamsRealtyandFitchRealty—AdamsRealtyisclearlysuperior.Adamshas40realestateagents;incontrast,Fitchhas25,manyofwhomworkonlypart-time.Moreover,Adams'revenuelastyearwastwiceashighasthatofFitchandincludedhomesalesthataveraged$168,000,comparedtoFitch's$144,000.HomeslistedwithAdamssellfasteraswell:tenyearsagoIlistedmyhomewithFitch,andittookmorethanfourmonthstosell;lastyear,whenIsoldanotherhome,IlisteditwithAdams,andittookonlyonemonth.Thus,ifyouwanttosellyourhomequicklyandatagoodprice,youshoulduseAdamsRealty."Writearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted.在本市的兩家最大的房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀公司--AdamsRealtyFitchRealty--顯然更優(yōu)秀一些。Adams有40名房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀人，而Fitch只有25個，且很多是工作。而且，Adams去年的收入是Fitch的兩倍，其平均房價為$168000，而Fitch僅為$144000。在Adams銷售的房屋賣得也更快：十年前，我把 作者沒有足夠的信息說明AdamsFitch慢，可能是季節(jié)不2>經(jīng)營的不同，168000都是貴的差房子，144000都是便宜的好房子，雖然他們依靠貴的房子TheThefollowingappearedinamemofromthe ofmarketingatDura-Sock,Inc."ArecentstudyofourcustomerssuggeststhatourcompanyiswastingthemoneyitspendsonitspatentedEnduremanufacturingprocess,whichensuresthatoursocksarestrongenoughtolastfortwoyears.Wehavealwaysadvertisedouruseof ureprocess,butthenewstudyshowsthatdespiteoursocks'durability,ouraveragecustomeractuallypurchasesnewDura-Sockseverythreemonths.Furthermore,ourcustomerssurveyedinourlargestmarket,northeasternUnitedStatescities,saythattheymostvalueDura-Socks'stylishappearanceandavailabilityinmanycolors.Thesefindingssuggestthatwecanincreaseourprofitsbydiscontinuinguseof manufacturingprocess."Writearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsfortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted.最近一次對于Dura-Sock表明公司用于其專利生產(chǎn)方式"Endure"上的錢是浪費的，這種方式使我們生產(chǎn)的襪子足以使用兩年。Dura-Sock一直在做宣傳它使用"Endure"方式，但這次新顯示盡管的襪子十分耐穿，但Dura-Sock的消費者每三個月就買一雙Dura-Sock襪子。而且，在位于北部城市最大的商場回應的Dura-Sock消費者說他們最欣賞Dura-Sock時尚的外觀和眾多顏色的選擇。這些事實說明Dura-Sock可以通過停止使用"Endure"生產(chǎn)方式來增加。1>前提的顧客不再重視耐用3>其次顧客看中式樣和顏色多樣，并不意味著他們就不被耐用性吸引，完全有可能是因為中對4>論據(jù)沒有說服力。首先該是在某地進行的，還不足以說明的情況，完全有可能在其他地5>結論，如果耐用性真不像以前那樣受到顧客重視，放棄它也不會帶來利潤上升。因為式樣和顏色Nature'sWay,achainofstoressellinghealthfoodandotherhealth-relatedproducts,isopeningitsnextfranchiseinthetownofPlainsville.Thestoreshouldprovetobeverysuccessful:Nature'sWayfranchisestendtobemostprofitableinareaswhereresidentsleadhealthylives,andclearlyPlainsvilleissuchanarea.Plainsvillemerchantsreportthatsalesofrunningshoesandexerciseclothingareatall-timehighs.Thelocalhealthclubhasmoremembersthanever,andtheweighttrainingandaerobicsclassesarealwaysfull.Finally,Plainsville'sschoolchildrenrepresentanewgenerationofpotentialcustomers:theseschoolchildrenarerequiredtoparticipateinafitness-for-lifeprogram,whichemphasizesthebenefitsofregularexerciseatanearlyWritearesponseinwhichyouexaminethestatedand/orunstatedassumptionsoftheargument.Besuretoexplainhowtheargumentdependsontheseassumptionsandwhattheimplicationsarefortheargumentiftheassumptionsproveunwarranted.NW是一家專賣食品及其他相關產(chǎn)品的連鎖店，準備將其下一家開Plainsville。這家店一定會很成功：因為的商店在那些居對健活高度關注的地區(qū)是最多的。很明顯，plainsville就是這樣的地方。Plainsville的商家報學生買Nature'sWay的產(chǎn)品1>商品的暢銷不代表居民也喜歡運動，買這些東西可能有其他原因：潮流，時尚，品2>學校要求不代表學生會買，他們可能有自己的運動計劃和設施3>他因影響計劃，運動水平，食物Thefollowingappearedinahealth"ThecitizensofForsythehaveadoptedmorehealthfullifestyles.Theirresponsestoarecentsurveyshowthatintheireatinghabitstheyconformmorecloselyto ernmentnutritionalmendationsthantheydidtenyearsago.Furthermore,therehasbeenafourfoldincreaseinsalesoffoodproductscontainingkiran,asubstancethatascientificstudyhasshownreducescholesterol.Thistrendisalsoevidentinreducedsalesofsulia,afoodthatfewofthemosthealthycitizensregularlyeat."Writearesponseinwhichyoudiscusswhatspecificevidenceisneededtoevaluatetheandexplainhowtheevidencewouldweakenorstrengthentheargument.Forsythe的居選擇了 前更加貼近的營養(yǎng)建議。而且，含有kiran的食品銷量增長了四倍，在一次科學研究中發(fā)現(xiàn)kiran是一種能夠降低膽固醇水平的物質。這種趨勢同樣也被sulia的銷量下降所證實，sulia是那些最健康的居極少經(jīng)常食用的食品andandadministrativestaffofmendationwasmadebyTheCollege,aprivateinstitution,tothecollege's erning"Recently,therehavebeendiscussionsaboutendingGroveCollege'scentury-oldtraditionall-femaleeducationbyadmittingmalestudentsintoourprograms.Atarecentfacultymeeting,amajorityoffacultymembersvotedinfavorofcoeducation,arguingthatitwouldencouragemorestudentstoapplytoGrove.However,Grovestudents,bothpas