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CHAPTER2
MechanicsofFuturesMarkets
PracticeQuestions
Problem2.1.
Distinguishbetweenthetermsopeninterestandtradingvolume.
Theopeninterestofafuturescontractataparticulartimeisthetotalnumberoflongpositions
outstanding.(Equivalently,itisthetotalnumberofshortpositionsoutstanding.)Thetrading
volumeduringacertainperiodoftimeisthenumberofcontractstradedduringthisperiod.
Problem2.2.
Whatisthedifferencebetweenalocalandafuturescommissionmerchant?
Afuturescommissionmerchanttradesonbehalfofaclientandchargesacommission.Alocal
tradesonhisorherownbehalf.
Problem2.3.
SupposethatyouenterintoashortfuturescontracttosellJulysilverfor$17.20perounce.The
sizeofthecontractis5,000ounces.Theinitialmarginis$4,000,andthemaintenancemarginis
$3,000.Whatchangeinthefuturespricewillleadtoamargincall?Whathappensifyoudonot
meetthemargincall?
Therewillbeamargincallwhen$1,000hasbeenlostfromthemarginaccount.Thiswilloccur
whenthepriceofsilverincreasesby1,000/5,000$0.20.Thepriceofsilvermustthereforerise
to$17.40perouncefortheretobeamargincall.Ifthemargincallisnotmet,yourbrokercloses
outyourposition.
Problem2.4.
SupposethatinSeptember2015acompanytakesalongpositioninacontractonMay2016
crudeoilfutures.ItclosesoutitspositioninMarch2016.Thefuturesprice(perbarrel)is
$88.30whenitentersintothecontract,$90.50whenitclosesoutitsposition,and$89.10atthe
endofDecember2015.Onecontractisforthedeliveryof1,000barrels.Whatisthecompany’s
totalprofit?Whenisitrealized?Howisittaxedifitis(a)ahedgerand(b)aspeculator?
AssumethatthecompanyhasaDecember31year-end.
Thetotalprofitis($90.50$88.30)1,000$2,200.Ofthis($89.10$88.30)1,000or
$800isrealizedonaday-by-daybasisbetweenSeptember2015andDecember31,2015.A
further($90.50$89.10)1,000or$1,400isrealizedonaday-by-daybasisbetweenJanuary
1,2016,andMarch2016.Ahedgerwouldbetaxedonthewholeprofitof$2,200in2016.A
speculatorwouldbetaxedon$800in2015and$1,400in2016.
Problem2.5.
Whatdoesastopordertosellat$2mean?Whenmightitbeused?Whatdoesalimitorderto
sellat$2mean?Whenmightitbeused?
Astopordertosellat$2isanordertosellatthebestavailablepriceonceapriceof$2orlessis
reached.Itcouldbeusedtolimitthelossesfromanexistinglongposition.Alimitordertosellat
$2isanordertosellatapriceof$2ormore.Itcouldbeusedtoinstructabrokerthatashort
positionshouldbetaken,providingitcanbedoneatapricemorefavorablethan$2.
Problem2.6.
Whatisthedifferencebetweentheoperationofthemarginaccountsadministeredbyaclearing
houseandthoseadministeredbyabroker?
Themarginaccountadministeredbytheclearinghouseismarkedtomarketdaily,andthe
clearinghousememberisrequiredtobringtheaccountbackuptotheprescribedleveldaily.The
marginaccountadministeredbythebrokerisalsomarkedtomarketdaily.However,theaccount
doesnothavetobebroughtuptotheinitialmarginlevelonadailybasis.Ithastobebroughtup
totheinitialmarginlevelwhenthebalanceintheaccountfallsbelowthemaintenancemargin
level.Themaintenancemarginisusuallyabout75%oftheinitialmargin.
Problem2.7.
Whatdifferencesexistinthewaypricesarequotedintheforeignexchangefuturesmarket,the
foreignexchangespotmarket,andtheforeignexchangeforwardmarket?
Infuturesmarkets,pricesarequotedasthenumberofUSdollarsperunitofforeigncurrency.
SpotandforwardratesarequotedinthiswayfortheBritishpound,euro,Australiandollar,and
NewZealanddollar.Forothermajorcurrencies,spotandforwardratesarequotedasthenumber
ofunitsofforeigncurrencyperUSdollar.
Problem2.8.
Thepartywithashortpositioninafuturescontractsometimeshasoptionsastotheprecise
assetthatwillbedelivered,wheredeliverywilltakeplace,whendeliverywilltakeplace,andso
on.Dotheseoptionsincreaseordecreasethefuturesprice?Explainyourreasoning.
Theseoptionsmakethecontractlessattractivetothepartywiththelongpositionandmore
attractivetothepartywiththeshortposition.Theythereforetendtoreducethefuturesprice.
Problem2.9.
Whatarethemostimportantaspectsofthedesignofanewfuturescontract?
Themostimportantaspectsofthedesignofanewfuturescontractarethespecificationofthe
underlyingasset,thesizeofthecontract,thedeliveryarrangements,andthedeliverymonths.
Problem2.10.
Explainhowmarginaccountsprotectinvestorsagainstthepossibilityofdefault.
Amarginisasumofmoneydepositedbyaninvestorwithhisorherbroker.Itactsasa
guaranteethattheinvestorcancoveranylossesonthefuturescontract.Thebalanceinthe
marginaccountisadjusteddailytoreflectgainsandlossesonthefuturescontract.Iflossesare
aboveacertainlevel,theinvestorisrequiredtodepositafurthermargin.Thissystemmakesit
unlikelythattheinvestorwilldefault.Asimilarsystemofmarginaccountsmakesitunlikelythat
theinvestor’sbrokerwilldefaultonthecontractithaswiththeclearinghousememberand
unlikelythattheclearinghousememberwilldefaultwiththeclearinghouse.
Problem2.11.
AtraderbuystwoJulyfuturescontractsonfrozenorangejuice.Eachcontractisforthedelivery
of15,000pounds.Thecurrentfuturespriceis160centsperpound,theinitialmarginis$6,000
percontract,andthemaintenancemarginis$4,500percontract.Whatpricechangewouldlead
toamargincall?Underwhatcircumstancescould$2,000bewithdrawnfromthemargin
account?
Thereisamargincallifmorethan$1,500islostononecontract.Thishappensifthefutures
priceoffrozenorangejuicefallsbymorethan10centstobelow150centsperpound.$2,000
canbewithdrawnfromthemarginaccountifthereisagainononecontractof$1,000.Thiswill
happenifthefuturespricerisesby6.67centsto166.67centsperpound.
Problem2.12.
Showthat,ifthefuturespriceofacommodityisgreaterthanthespotpriceduringthedelivery
period,thenthereisanarbitrageopportunity.Doesanarbitrageopportunityexistifthefutures
priceislessthanthespotprice?Explainyouranswer.
Ifthefuturespriceisgreaterthanthespotpriceduringthedeliveryperiod,anarbitrageurbuys
theasset,shortsafuturescontract,andmakesdeliveryforanimmediateprofit.Ifthefutures
priceislessthanthespotpriceduringthedeliveryperiod,thereisnosimilarperfectarbitrage
strategy.Anarbitrageurcantakealongfuturespositionbutcannotforceimmediatedeliveryof
theasset.Thedecisiononwhendeliverywillbemadeismadebythepartywiththeshort
position.Neverthelesscompaniesinterestedinacquiringtheassetmayfinditattractivetoenter
intoalongfuturescontractandwaitfordeliverytobemade.
Problem2.13.
Explainthedifferencebetweenamarket-if-touchedorderandastoporder.
Amarket-if-touchedorderisexecutedatthebestavailablepriceafteratradeoccursata
specifiedpriceoratapricemorefavorablethanthespecifiedprice.Astoporderisexecutedat
thebestavailablepriceafterthereisabidorofferatthespecifiedpriceoratapriceless
favorablethanthespecifiedprice.
Problem2.14.
Explainwhatastop-limitordertosellat20.30withalimitof20.10means.
Astop-limitordertosellat20.30withalimitof20.10meansthatassoonasthereisabidat
20.30thecontractshouldbesoldprovidingthiscanbedoneat20.10orahigherprice.
Problem2.15.
Attheendofonedayaclearinghousememberislong100contracts,andthesettlementpriceis
$50,000percontract.Theoriginalmarginis$2,000percontract.Onthefollowingdaythe
memberbecomesresponsibleforclearinganadditional20longcontracts,enteredintoata
priceof$51,000percontract.Thesettlementpriceattheendofthisdayis$50,200.Howmuch
doesthememberhavetoaddtoitsmarginaccountwiththeexchangeclearinghouse?
Theclearinghousememberisrequiredtoprovide20$2000$40000asinitialmarginfor
thenewcontracts.Thereisagainof(50,200
50,000)100$20,000ontheexisting
contracts.Thereisalsoalossof(5100050200)20$16000onthenewcontracts.The
membermustthereforeadd
400002000016000$36000
tothemarginaccount.
Problem2.16.
ExplainwhycollateralrequirementswillincreaseintheOTCmarketasaresultofnew
regulationsintroducedsincethe2008creditcrisis.
RegulationsrequiremoststandardOTCtransactionsenteredintobetweenderivativesdealersto
beclearedbyCCPs.Thesehaveinitialandvariationmarginrequirementssimilartoexchanges.
Thereisalsoarequirementthatinitialandvariationmarginbeprovidedformostbilaterally
clearedOTCtransactions.
Problem2.17.
TheforwardpriceontheSwissfrancfordeliveryin45daysisquotedas1.1000.Thefutures
priceforacontractthatwillbedeliveredin45daysis0.9000.Explainthesetwoquotes.Which
ismorefavorableforaninvestorwantingtosellSwissfrancs?
The1.1000forwardquoteisthenumberofSwissfrancsperdollar.The0.9000futuresquoteis
thenumberofdollarsperSwissfranc.Whenquotedinthesamewayasthefuturespricethe
forwardpriceis11100009091.TheSwissfrancisthereforemorevaluableintheforward
marketthaninthefuturesmarket.Theforwardmarketisthereforemoreattractiveforaninvestor
wantingtosellSwissfrancs.
Problem2.18.
SupposeyoucallyourbrokerandissueinstructionstoselloneJulyhogscontract.Describe
whathappens.
LivehogfuturesaretradedbytheCMEGroup.Thebrokerwillrequestsomeinitialmargin.The
orderwillberelayedbytelephonetoyourbroker’stradingdeskonthefloor
oftheexchange(or
tothetradingdeskofanotherbroker).Itwillthenbesentbymessengertoacommissionbroker
whowillexecutethetradeaccordingtoyourinstructions.Confirmationofthetradeeventually
reachesyou.Ifthereareadversemovementsinthefuturespriceyourbrokermaycontactyouto
requestadditionalmargin.
Problem2.19.
“Speculationinfuturesmarketsispuregambling.Itisnotinthepublicinteresttoallow
speculatorstotradeonafuturesexchange.”Discussthisviewpoint
.
Speculatorsareimportantmarketparticipantsbecausetheyaddliquiditytothemarket.However,
contractsmustbeusefulforhedgingaswellasspeculation.Thisisbecauseregulatorsgenerally
onlyapprovecontractswhentheyarelikelytobeofinteresttohedgersaswellasspeculators.
Problem2.20.
ExplainthedifferencebetweenbilateralandcentralclearingforOTCderivatives.
Inbilateralclearingthetwosidesenterintoanagreementgoverningthecircumstancesunder
whichtransactionscanbeclosedoutbyoneside,howtransactionswillbevaluedifthereisa
closeout,howthecollateralpostedbyeachsideiscalculated,andsoon.Incentralclearinga
CCPstandsbetweenthetwosidesinthesamewaythatanexchangeclearinghousestands
betweentwosidesfortransactionsenteredintoonanexchange
Problem2.21.
Whatdoyouthinkwouldhappenifanexchangestartedtradingacontractinwhichthequality
oftheunderlyingassetwasincompletelyspecified?
Thecontractwouldnotbeasuccess.Partieswithshortpositionswouldholdtheircontractsuntil
deliveryandthendeliverthecheapestformoftheasset.Thismightwellbeviewedbytheparty
withthelongpositionasgarbage!Oncenewsofthequalityproblembecamewidelyknownno
onewouldbepreparedtobuythecontract.Thisshowsthatfuturescontractsarefeasibleonly
whentherearerigorousstandardswithinanindustryfordefiningthequalityoftheasset.Many
futurescontractshaveinpracticefailedbecauseoftheproblemofdefiningquality.
Problem2.22.
“Whenafuturescontractistradedontheflooroftheexchange,itmaybethecasethattheopen
interestincreasesbyone,staysthesame,ordecreasesbyone.”Explainthisstatement.
Ifbothsidesofthetransactionareenteringintoanewcontract,theopeninterestincreasesbyone.
Ifbothsidesofthetransactionareclosingoutexistingpositions,theopeninterestdecreasesby
one.Ifonepartyisenteringintoanewcontractwhiletheotherpartyisclosingoutanexisting
position,theopenintereststaysthesame.
Problem2.23.
SupposethatonOctober24,2015,acompanysellsoneApril2016live-cattlefuturescontracts.
ItclosesoutitspositiononJanuary21,2016.Thefuturesprice(perpound)is121.20centswhen
itentersintothecontract,118.30centswhenitclosesoutitsposition,and118.80centsatthe
endofDecember2015.Onecontractisforthedeliveryof40,000poundsofcattle.Whatisthe
totalprofit?Howisittaxedifthecompanyis(a)ahedgerand(b)aspeculator?Assumethatthe
companyhasaDecember31yearend.
Thetotalprofitis
40,000×(1.2120?1.1830)=$1,160
Ifthecompanyisahedgerthisisalltaxedin2016.Ifitisaspeculator
40,000×(1.2120?1.1880)=$960
istaxedin2015and
40,000×(1.1880?1.1830)=$200
istaxedin2016.
Problem2.24.
Acattlefarmerexpectstohave120,000poundsoflivecattletosellinthreemonths.Thelive-
cattlefuturescontracttradedbytheCMEGroupisforthedeliveryof40,000poundsofcattle.
Howcanthefarmerusethecontractforhedging?Fromthefarmer’sviewpoint,whatarethe
prosandconsofhedging?
Thefarmercanshort3contractsthathave3monthstomaturity.Ifthepriceofcattlefalls,the
gainonthefuturescontractwilloffsetthelossonthesaleofthecattle.Ifthepriceofcattlerises,
thegainonthesaleofthecattlewillbeoffsetbythelossonthefuturescontract.Usingfutures
contractstohedgehastheadvantagethatthefarmercangreatlyreducetheuncertaintyaboutthe
pricethatwillbereceived.Itsdisadvantageisthatthefarmernolongergainsfromfavorable
movementsincattleprices.
Problem2.25.
ItisJuly2014.Aminingcompanyhasjustdiscoveredasmalldepositofgold.Itwilltakesix
monthstoconstructthemine.Thegoldwillthenbeextractedonamoreorlesscontinuousbasis
foroneyear.Futurescontractsongoldareavailablewithdeliverymonthseverytwomonths
fromAugust2014toDecember2015.Eachcontractisforthedeliveryof100ounces.Discuss
howtheminingcompanymightusefuturesmarketsforhedging.
Theminingcompanycanestimateitsproductiononamonthbymonthbasis.Itcanthenshort
futurescontractstolockinthepricereceivedforthegold.Forexample,ifatotalof3,000ounces
areexpectedtobeproducedinSeptember2015andOctober2015,thepricereceivedforthis
productioncanbehedgedbyshorting30October2015contracts.
Problem2.26.
ExplainhowCCPswork.Whataretheadvantagestothefinancialsystemofrequiringall
standardizedderivativestransactionstobeclearedthroughCCPs?
ACCPstandsbetweenthetwopartiesinanOTCderivativetransactioninmuchthesameway
thataclearinghousedoesforexchange-tradedcontracts.Itabsorbsthecreditriskbutrequires
initialandvariationmarginfromeachside.Inaddition,CCPmembersarerequiredtocontribute
toadefaultfund.Theadvantagetothefinancialsystemisthatthereisalotmorecollateral(i.e.,
margin)availableanditisthereforemuchlesslikelythatadefaultbyonemajorparticipantin
thederivativesmarketwillleadtolossesbyothermarketparticipants.Thereisalsomore
transparencyinthatthetradesofdifferentfinancialinstitutionsaremorereadilyknown.The
disadvantageisthatCCPsarereplacingbanksasthetoo-big-to-failentitiesinthefinancial
system.ThereclearlyneedstobecarefuloversightofthemanagementofCCPs.
FurtherQuestions
Problem2.27.
TraderAentersintofuturescontractstobuy1millioneurosfor1.3milliondollarsinthree
months.TraderBentersinaforwardcontracttodothesamething.Theexchangerate(dollars
pereuro)declinessharplyduringthefirsttwomonthsandthenincreasesforthethirdmonthto
closeat1.3300.Ignoringdailysettlement,whatisthetotalprofitofeachtrader?Whenthe
impactofdailysettlementistakenintoaccount,whichtraderdoesbetter?
Thetotalprofitofeachtraderindollarsis0.03×1,000,000=30,000.TraderB’sprofitisrealized
attheendofthethreemonths.TraderA’sprofitisrealizedday-by-dayduringthethreemonths.
Substantiallossesaremadeduringthefirsttwomonthsandprofitsaremadeduringthefinal
month.ItislikelythatTraderBhasdonebetterbecauseTraderAhadtofinanceitslossesduring
thefirsttwomonths.
Problem2.28.
Explainwhatismeantbyopeninterest.Whydoestheopeninterestusuallydeclineduringthe
monthprecedingthedeliverymonth?Onaparticularday,therewere2,000tradesina
particularfuturescontract.Thismeansthattherewere2000buyers(goinglong)and2000
sellers(goingshort).Ofthe2,000buyers,1,400wereclosingoutpositionsand600were
enteringintonewpositions.Ofthe2,000sellers,1,200wereclosingoutpositionsand800were
enteringintonewpositions.Whatistheimpactoftheday'stradingonopeninterest?
Openinterestisthenumberofcontractoutstanding.Manytraderscloseouttheirpositionsjust
beforethedeliverymonthisreached.Thisiswhytheopeninterestdeclinesduringthemonth
precedingthedeliverymonth.Theopeninterestwentdownby600.Wecanseethisintwoways.
First,1,400shortsclosedoutandtherewere800newshorts.Second,1,200longsclosedoutand
therewere600newlongs.
Problem2.29.
Oneorangejuicefuturecontractison15,000poundsoffrozenconcentrate.Supposethatin
September2014acompanysellsaMarch2016orangejuicefuturescontractfor120centsper
pound.InDecember2014thefuturespriceis140cents;inDecember2015thefuturespriceis
110cents;andinFebruary2016itisclosedoutat125cents.ThecompanyhasaDecemberyear
end.Whatisthecompany'sprofitorlossonthecontract?Howisitrealized?Whatisthe
accountingandtaxtreatmentofthetransactionifthecompanyisclassifiedasa)ahedgerandb)
aspeculator?
Thepricegoesupduringthetimethecompanyholdsthecontractfrom120to125centsper
pound.Overallthecompanythereforetakesalossof15,000×0.05=$750.Ifthecompanyis
classifiedasahedgerthislossisrealizedin2016,Ifitisclassifiedasaspeculatoritrealizesa
lossof15,000×0.20=$3000in2014,againof15,000×0.30=$4,500in2015,andalossof
15,000×0.15=$2,250in2016.
Problem2.30.
Acompanyentersintoashortfuturescontracttosell5,000bushelsofwheatfor750centsper
bushel.Theinitialmarginis$3,000andthemaintenancemarginis$2,000.Whatpricechange
wouldleadtoamargincall?Underwhatcircumstancescould$1,500bewithdrawnfromthe
marginaccount?
Thereisamargincallif$1000islostonthecontract.Thiswillhappenifthepriceofwheat
futuresrisesby20centsfrom750centsto770centsperbushel.$1500canbewithdrawnifthe
futurespricefallsby30centsto720centsperbushel.
Problem2.31.
Supposethattherearenostoragecostsforcrudeoilandtheinterestrateforborrowingor
lendingis5%perannum.HowcouldyoumakemoneyiftheJuneandDecemberfutures
contractsforaparticularyeartradeat$80and$86?
YoucouldgolongoneJuneoilcontractandshortoneDecembercontract.InJuneyoutake
deliveryoftheoilborrowing$80perbarrelat5%tomeetcashoutflows.Theinterest
accumulatedinsixmonthsisabout80×0.05×1/2or$2.InDecembertheoilissoldfor$86per
barrelwhichismorethanthe$82thathastoberepaidontheloan.Thestrategythereforeleads
toaprofit.NotethatthisprofitisindependentoftheactualpriceofoilinJuneandDecember.It
willbeslightlyaffectedbythedailysettlementprocedures.
Problem2.32.
WhatpositionisequivalenttoalongforwardcontracttobuyanassetatKonacertaindate
andaputoptiontosellitforKonthatdate?
ThelongforwardcontractprovidesapayoffofST?KwhereSTistheassetpriceonthedateand
Kisthedeliveryprice.Theputoptionprovidesapayoffofmax(K?ST,0).IfST>Kthesumof
thetwopayoffsisST–K.IfST<Kthesumofthetwopayoffsis0.Thecombinedpayoffis
thereforemax(ST–K,0).Thisisthepayofffromacalloption.Theequivalentpositionis
thereforeacalloption.
Problem2.33.
AcompanyhasderivativestransactionswithBanksA,B,andCwhichareworth+$20million,
?$15million,and?$25million,respectivelytothecompany.Howmuchmarginorcollateral
doesthecompanyhavetoprovideineachofthefollowingtwosituations?
a)Thetransactionsareclearedbilaterallyandaresubjecttoone-waycollateralagreements
wherethecompanypostsvariationmargin,butnoinitialmargin.Thebanksdonothavetopost
collateral.
b)ThetransactionsareclearedcentrallythroughthesameCCPandtheCCPrequiresatotal
initialmarginof$10million.
Ifthetransactionsareclearedbilaterally,thecompanyhastoprovidecollateraltoBanksA,B,
andCof(inmillionsofdollars)0,15,and25,respectively.Thetotalcollateralrequiredis$40
million.Ifthetransactionsareclearedcentrallytheyarenettedagainsteachotherandthe
company’stotalvariationmargin(inmillionsofdollars)is–20+15+25or$20millionintotal.
Thetotalmarginrequired(includingtheinitialmargin)istherefore$30million.
Problem2.34.
Abank’sderivativestransactionswithacounterpartyareworth+$10milliontothebank
andareclearedbilaterally.Thecounterpartyhasposted$10millionofcashcollateral.
Whatcreditexposuredoesthebankhave?
Thecou
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