Deloie年給AIC做的落基山脈能源項(xiàng)目評估

U.S.Energy&TheRoleofRockyMountainNaturalGas:

CleanDomesticEnergyForaGrowingAmerica(2005)Thereisnoeconomy,beitnew,oldorevenfuturistic,thatwouldexistwithoutreliable,accessibleandaffordableenergyBasicEnergyFactsThereisnoeconomy,beitnew,oldorevenfuturistic,thatwouldexistwithoutreliable,accessibleandaffordableenergyBasicEnergyFactsOverthepast25yearsU.S.demandforenergyhasincreasedby35%whileoursupplyhasonlyincreasedby17%Thereisnoeconomy,beitnew,oldorevenfuturistic,thatwouldexistwithoutreliable,accessibleandaffordableenergyBasicEnergyFactsWeimport14%ofthegasand53%oftheoilweuseOverthepast25yearsU.S.demandforenergyhasincreasedby35%whileoursupplyhasonlyincreasedby17%PollsdemonstratethattheAmericanpublic:Source:COGAFlowline,Vol.17,#3BasicEnergyFacts

1.TakesenergyforgrantedPollsdemonstratethattheAmericanpublic:Source:COGAFlowline,Vol.17,#3BasicEnergyFacts

1.Takesenergyforgranted

2.NeitherunderstandsnorappreciateshowcheapourenergyisinconstantdollarsorincomparisontootherconsumernationsPollsdemonstratethattheAmericanpublic:Source:COGAFlowline,Vol.17,#3BasicEnergyFacts

1.Takesenergyforgranted

2.Neitherunderstandsnorappreciateshowcheapourenergyisinconstantdollarsorincomparisontootherconsumernations3.SeemstobelievethemistakennotionthatenergyproductionnecessarilyentailsunacceptableenvironmentalimpactInColoradoabout2,000drillingpermitsareissuedannuallycomparedtoabout50,000housingpermitsSource:COGAFlowline,Vol.17,#3BasicEnergyFactsOILTotalU.S.EnergyConsumptionby

PrimaryEnergySource2001Source:EIAPetroleum39.4%NaturalGas22.8%Coal23.1%Other-3.9%Hydro-2.5%Nuclear-8.4%WorldPetroleumDemand25.9%76.0MMbodSource:EIAInthelast5yearstheworldconsumed27billionbarrels/year,buttheindustrydiscoveredonly3billionbarrels/yearTherefore:used135billionbarrelsofoilwhilediscovering15billionbarrelsofoilSource:USGSBasicEnergyFactsWorldTopOilProducingCountriesin2001U.S. 9.0MMbo/dRussia 8.8MMbo/dSaudiArabia 8.0MMbo/dNorthSea(UK,Norway,Denmark) 6.3MMbo/dIran 3.7MMbo/dMexico 3.6MMbo/dChina 3.3MMbo/dVenezuela 2.9MMbo/dCanada 2.8MMbo/dIraq 2.4MMbo/dSource:EIAU.S.PetroleumProductsProductionvs.U.S.PetroleumDemandProduction-25%Demand+24%Source:EIAU.S.CrudeOilProduction

&CrudeOilImportsSource:EIA051015202519731976197919821985198819911994199720002001QuadrillionBtuOilProductionOilImportsTopSuppliersofCrudeOiltoU.S.in2001SaudiArabia 1,611Mbo/dMexico 1,394Mbo/dCanada 1,356Mbo/dVenezuela 1,291Mbo/dNigeria 842Mbo/dIraq 795Mbo/dSource:EIANATURALGASTotalU.S.EnergyConsumptionby

PrimaryEnergySource2001Source:EIAPetroleum39.4%Natural

Gas22.8%Coal23.1%Other-3.9%Hydro-2.5%Nuclear-8.4%U.S.NaturalGasConsumptionin2001

22.0TcfSource:Groppe,Long&LittellResidential22%Commercial15%Industrial26%ElectricUtilities26%ChemicalsandMaterials3%Other9%U.S.NaturalGasConsumptionvs.DryProductionSource:EIA01020304050607019731977198119851989199319972001BcfdConsumptionProductionU.S.膠Sho靠rtfa快lli扶nPr收oduc娃tion謹(jǐn)vs.錫Con顫sump睜tionSour警ce:東EIAIn2001U.S.consumptionwas

6BcfdgreaterthanU.S.production!Proj亦ecte揀dNa壤tura顧lGa凍sDe者mandSou庫rce根:E叼IATcfperyearU.S.鑄man捆ufac瞞turi煮ngi綢sba屠sed辮ona杰ffor河dabl子ean小dre緊liab期les逗uppl味ies惜ofn椅atur帶alg面as.Att取hese住pri荷ces,鈔it罪isu泰nlik例ely焰the挽U.S.窮wil句lat腐trac夢tne上wma免nufa冒ctur兔ing臉capi候tal.Toda畫y’s汽gas極pric召esa柏ref骨orci董ngm間anuf藝actu罵rers足to嘉cons生ider餅pro校duct賭ion掉over妙seas打.Sour棟ce:建Indu胡stri僅alE錘nerg桌yCo想nsum帥ers踏ofA啟meri尊caELEC磚TRIC插ITYU.S.偵hig魂hway刪fue健lma描rket宗tot害als拋11-1非2MM叉bopd睛mak溝ing度itt并hes洽ingl畏ela艙rges伏tpe瓶trol唱eum均mark縮慧eti雞nth項(xiàng)ewo豪rldHow遷eve殿rt艘he羊ene婆rgy擁co反nte止nt莖cre巴ati廳ng嶄Kil享owa陳tts鑒in汗th診eU糊.S.卸is羞al終mos犯tt雄wic奮ea沉sl孫arg赴ea疑st弊he徒hig劫hwa偏yf凡uel驕ma貨rke灰t!Elec驅(qū)tric檔ity雀–Ba攔sic雕Ener厲gyF壓actsBasi戲cEn斧ergy叔Fac肉tsIn環(huán)200窯1n哀ear酬ly禿42%謎of蛙th徐ee匹ner這gy飯con凡sum腔ed度in門the維U.準(zhǔn)S.伴was蘿us徑ed省to胸gen他era舞te李ele眉ctr亂ici敘ty.Sou神rce扛:G貫rop異pe,由Lo賄ng賣&L為itt眠ellU.S.烏Ele蹈ctri流city未Sup寇ply蝦byS挽ourc洽ein懇200圍1Sou玻rce昨:E互IANatu樂ral蔬Gas16.浪5%Coal51.5扣%Othe賞rGa才seou鮮sFu魂els蛇-0.栽5%Geot拒herm找al,服Sola姐r,W質(zhì)ind雖-2.固1%Pet鄉(xiāng)豐rol陰eum到-漆3.4狹%Hyd牧ro鄰-5粱.8%Nuc置lea鑄r20.援3%From重end惕of評WWII而to嶼star佳tof冶200測0re杯side刪ntia齒lan排dco隸mmer叫cial顯ele轎ctri陣cal洽use法incr恐ease難d51扯out柴of截53y子earsYet傅no恢si救gni坊fic有ant皆ne俯wp閣owe封rp獵lan尖ts貪wer刻eb對uil砍tb斬etw蛛een鞭19窗90匪and明20項(xiàng)00Bas塑ic貿(mào)Ene桐rgy私Fa國ctsIn屋200輝0,臨PC’艦sa態(tài)nd宮ele榨ctr翠oni同cs鬼con黃sum很ed汪13%捏of宗ou淘rn系ati弄on’出se每ner悶gy灣sup苗ply度.學(xué)By炒202潛0,屠the額se巧use低sa炕re摟exp丘ect特ed抗to聰con蠶sum艦e2模5%暢of顧the疲na尼t(yī)io搏n’s童en瞎erg筑ys阿upp幕ly.40%碼oft粥hec洗ount泰ry’s擁ele或ctri梨city挖is爽used和to素powe旗rai縣rco狹ndit杠ione手rs.U.S去.E哄lec航tri稱cit況yN澡et堡Gen債era濤tio躍nSour違ce:花Grop芬pe,飽Long葛&L哨itte宰ll01234197俱519801985199能0199絡(luò)5200悄02001Bill呈ion款Kilo套watt愛Hou緞rs1.6%課CAG億RU.S.料Ele漿ctri轎city肌Sup孩ply刮byS執(zhí)ourc衫ein味200晝1Sou典rce夸:E村IANatu區(qū)ral醫(yī)Gas16.5疾%Nucl久ear20.3猶%Coal51.5航%Othe斧rGa諷seou榜sFu城els五-0.撐5%Geo海the踏rma辨l,拳Sol晉ar,銷Wi騎nd凍-2宰.1%Petr襲oleu權(quán)m-歪3.4%Hyd非ro椅–5抖.8%U.S.請Hyd皆roel鐮ectr電icP源ower換Pro洽duct嫩ionSou店rce垂:E陳IA05101520251973197619791982198519881991199419972000QuadrillionBtu2001Over類the探pas日t25量yea摧rsU側(cè).S.磨dema節(jié)ndf裁ore吩nerg況yha圖sin刃crea燭sed衡by3容5%w押hile輸our羞sup陵ply蹄has訊only概inc救reas右edb航y(tǒng)17惹%Bas慨ic深Ene戲rgy腐Fa盼ctsBas午ic兆Ene壟rgy睬Fa須ctsOil撿,g彎as積and愛hy訪dro量pr丑odu駱cti心on您are謝fl屋at恐to歌dow杏n–凱so趣wh圓at察has瘋in托cre貪ase李de社ner烈gy誓sup壞ply巖?Over粥the好pas狡t25鍬yea稠rsU形.S.鑰dema返ndf報(bào)ore夢nerg感yha白sin便crea忠sed罪by3島5%w薦hile思o(jì)ur銳sup糞ply把has包only卡inc虎reas激edb叢y17屈%U.S滾.E召lec擊tri謙cit田yS咽upp榴ly踢by斧Sou景rce閥in及20賴01Sour疲ce:哪EIANat喝ura殘lG倚as16.5歡%Nuclear20.3%Coa使l51.5杠%Oth勁er遍Gas白eou皂sF秋uel陽s-黃0.僵5%Geo港the跡rma困l,獲Sol稱ar,舉Wi包nd披-2撇.1%Pet筐rol丑eum退-每3.4郊%Hyd虜ro饞-5催.8%U.S.看Nuc毯lear優(yōu)Ele松ctri歐cPo饒wer摸Prod揚(yáng)ucti旋on2505101520197給31976197猶919821985198819911994199槽72000Quad湯rill故ion陪BtuThr踐ee鑼Mil替eIsl壓and200立1Sou詢r(jià)ce波:E營IAU.S附.E裕lec停tri啄cit委yS江upp羞ly充by巡壽Sou烏rce擱in助20迎01Sou扯rce吉:E裳IANat嘴ura剪lG物as16.5蜻%Nuclear20.3%Coal51.5%Oth房誠er妹Gas逝eou稻sF績uel紫s-蠶0.朋5%Geo呈the猾rma珍l,芳Sol海ar,員Wi嶺nd蹲-2隸.1%Petr近oleu妄m-糊3.4%Hydr滑o-耗5.8%U.S匆.E拆lec于tri刑cP項(xiàng)owe念rP誘rod萬uct獄ion乘fr叉om猜Coa堅(jiān)lSou擊rce商:E題IACoa勤l0510152025197謙3197619791982198妨51988199伴1199適41997200熄0Qua霸dri喪lli置on林Btu2001Can’荒tst煉ore段elec灶tric甲ity頌like記you隸can幫oil牲and傭gas扣–s席oex對cess迫cap寬acit或yis穗ess爺enti凝al!The艱nati絹oni瘡sno嶺wad微ding怠gas鐵fir喊edp貧ower枕pla街nts加ata舌nun庫prec滴eden良ted棋rateEle窗ctr耕ici拉ty情–B獅asi婦cE恨ner出gy爬Fac巡壽tsEas沾ier對to誰pe斥rmi登tMor疾ec頸ost大ef業(yè)fic雖ien臘tTake糞yea沾rsl毯ess輝toc弦onst挺ructDist駛ribu怖ted倆loca缸tionCle贈an瘦(50悲%o掃fc肚oal切an豪do源il謙pow構(gòu)er絡(luò)pla裂nt擴(kuò)emi培ssi魯ons羽)Why書Ga版sF拴ire烈dP休owe洪rP盞lan延ts?Sour漸ce:咸EPA勒&AG悲AAir泡Po洞llu據(jù)tio樹nE漂mis廈sio和ns剩of遞Nit學(xué)rog讀en科Oxi現(xiàn)des任(N焦Ox)Sour扛ce:角EPA宰&AG泳AAir喊Poll圈utio重nEm衛(wèi)issi校ons淘ofS鐘ulph咸erD幟ioxi允de(胃SOx)Sou淡rce料:E萍PA負(fù)&A頌GAAir悄Po纏llu哨tio豪nE戰(zhàn)mis聯(lián)sio僑ns計(jì)of鳴Par私tic綁ula別te漫Mat劍terSour朵ce:臣EPA討&AG潛AAir丟Po陪llu數(shù)tio輔nE睡mis摟sio昨ns趕of郵Car撕bon尋Di兩oxi胳de以(CO夏2)Roc翅kie配sr回epr戀ese乎nt跟the嬌si晃ngl錘el任arg揉est鄙un狼tap啊pedonsh云ore只natu化ral觀gas偽basi汽nin俘the您U.S具.Sou禽rce哥:Nat支ion物al適Pet莫rol社eum曬Co旁unc槍ilRockies41%GulfCoast23%Mid-Continent36%Esti臭mate豈dPr項(xiàng)oven宴and小Pot往enti換alG泉asR潤eser按ves脈int怪heU競.S.食(1,1物35T養(yǎng)cf)Why師the餓Rock逐ies?Sou療rce遍:A評APG欄Me篇moi堤r6剪7,采p.順286飛.Basi春nCe造nter蹄Gas腹(BC敢G)Roc到ky構(gòu)Mou幟nta裙in圾BCGHuge腰and嬌lar獎gely衰unt監(jiān)appe杯d“u壓ncon沿vent罷iona傭l”n釀atur燥alg棟asr削esou穩(wěn)rceAbno像rmal讀lyp赤ress晃ured社gas義acc弄umul瞞atio連nsb獻(xiàn)elow鼠nor喇mall遍ypr冒essu師red亮wate憤rsy調(diào)stemComp淹artm威enta蓋lize徑dno望n-co支ntin道uous啞gas說col訂umnsUsu倘all貴yl海ow駝per辱mr或ese頁rvo苦irs黎bu就th墓igh疲pe慕rm鏡are遵as忘do濫exi關(guān)st扎(sw窮eet約spo騾ts)Com述ple筍xp頂oor盲ly余und吵ers怪too澆ds刪yst貧em戚whi濫ch犁rep狗res陳ent民st門rem鄭end屠ous簡op博por歇tun祖ityRoc忙ky軋Mou狂nta業(yè)in撈BCGThe請se插acc咬umu特lat貓ion森sh咳ave嚷de末fie傍de鍵xpl假oit傲ati衣on勸by游con叨ven娃tio震nal格te欠chn碗iqu座esAd逼eep某ba電sin駛hi稱gh濱pot屬ent警ial“fro擔(dān)ntie眾r”exi仗sts膽in快ma肌tur貞ep仰rov犯inc秧eRoc撕ky蘿Mou分nta連in追BCGUnco斑nven驅(qū)tion刑alr顧esou特rce1.4幟TCFG興pro喚duce狹dan銹nual絡(luò)ly>緊7%o地fU.溪S.g悅asp顏rodu雪ctio它nOve活r9趙0%織of眠CBM扛pr觀odu帳cti朱on拾cam纖ef蛇rom蹲Ro萄cki蔬es進(jìn)in肌200傻0Coa惑lB防ed喪Met證han姨eCoa交lB盈ed住Met棗han鹽e39.7赴TCF寸Gmo劫stl插ikel指yre束cove葛rabl割efr噴omR映ocky樂Mou域ntai暮nre吃gionCBM絲式po武ten鞏tia閱lo熔fe取nti姨re翠Roc惹kie隸sb扁ein冊gr糧eev政alu龍ate專da舅fte湯rs跌ucc之ess富in藍(lán)Po搏wde飼rR禽ive引r,奔Uin挎ta,虛Ra選ton陶&芽Pic虹ean批ce秒Bas友insThr技ee繪of褲the傻fo臥ur宣lar功ges赤t(都?)樓U.S兇.o冠nsh史ore慣ga燭sd溫isc求ove攜rie飲si葵nl劃ast敢25風(fēng)ye譯ars有ar品ei淚nt營he穴Roc挨kie轉(zhuǎn)sPro穿duc校ingSan禮Ju銜an異Bas楚in墊CBM(198滾6) 2輪,000論MMc饞fdPowd芝erR各iver糧Bas憶inC查BM(199銳1) 9繪30M暫McfdBar法net經(jīng)tS芳hal寶e(19叉81)羽70蓮0M撤Mcf波dJona科h–支BCG(199略5) 6墻50M抄McfdU.S.糟Dai冷lyG醋asP類rodu呢ctio粉n19沖72-豬199概9Sour治ce:鳥2000法Pot猶enti接alG畝asC膨ommi孔ttee沫Rep芒ort-24%-36趟%518%010203040Gulf仙Co毫astMid扇-

C網(wǎng)ont平ine份ntRock翅iesPaci夠ficN.餐Cent宿r(nóng)alBcfd-24%-36賞%518旦%-21間%700%19721999U.S躬.G蘿as討Sup映ply要:W機(jī)hy障the款Ro束cki霧es?Disc笑ount所to唱NYME瘋XF=’0高3(A夸ctua仆lJa稻n-Fe雁b,F療utur糖esM丑ar-D術(shù)ec),維’04逆&’減05F稀utur菜es2剩-7-0就3$/周MMbt崖uCIGBasis1.150.600.3戀10.250.5獨(dú)20.7壺81.2貨51.771.0翁80.8費(fèi)4Vola陡tile秒pri愚cesExc技ess快ive液re虧gul償ati槐onsInef徑fici陽ent漲perm膝itti膝ngp海roce素dure阿sLac慈ko蠶fl婦and浸an誰dl邊eas像ea作cce軟ssi恨bil粥ityWha觸ti巧sh霉old啊ing聾us紫ba有ck俗fro即mg儀row款ing紗ou藏rg茫as憐pro黨duc驅(qū)tio豪n?Bar冷rie合rs賴to薄Mee思tin已gt必he壁Nat工ion沾’s協(xié)Dem濾and淚fo躺rN俊atu也ral認(rèn)Ga恭s21Tcf137Tcf31Tcf24TcfSou驗(yàn)rce雖:N吸ati逼ona丘lP遮etr紗ole過um想Cou返nci煉lU.S.耐Low岔er-4吩8Na坡tura詳lGa投sRe涼serv草esS中ubje暢ctt悲oAc椒cess虧Res抓tric姓tion論sLack子of羽infr園astr唐uctu濃reLac轟ko減fi哲mpa腔ctf走ul界new勾te完chn躁olo批gy(“si芹lver搏bul棟lets壁”)Lack醉of旅pros垃pect干s?What唉is對hold癢ing然usb梅ack吧from階gro湖wing門our殿gas絞pro范duct略ion?Mos卡to側(cè)fo之ur散gas互su測ppl刺ya廣nd掀dri沉lli櫻ng吉act胳ivi衫ty持in斯las寒t1泰0y辱ear姜sh做as構(gòu)com飲ef座rom券ex烤tre隔mel盼ys侵ucc木ess茶fulexpl墻oita渡tioneff邪ort批sThe倍pr進(jìn)obl席em繪is標(biāo)tha社tt它his皆is鬧afin臥itegame05,00010,00015,00020,000197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000#ofWellsCompletedOilGasDry19727,55紗1198117,慰50019867,1凝5620002,0爸76Sou晚rce裂:A依PIHis咳tor務(wù)yo獄fU脊.S.似Ex賓plo乏rat確ion占Ac賀tiv找ityPri脹ce趕unc節(jié)ert僻ain恩ty“Tir折ed”軌matu剛reb挨asin載sLack享of樣crea醋tive顯new屢ide炊as

–食whe鈔reh串a(chǎn)ve歡all瘋the敏pros遷pect蹄ors挖gone支?Why成ar評ee訊xpl等ora貍tio請ne若ffo牧rts簽so嘴an辟emi避c?Quar屋terl寒yfi旅nanc溉ial當(dāng)“str失eet”序exp郊ecta棄tion身sPer狗cep下tio汗nt禾hat賣do貫mes億tic頂pr岸oje鋤cts足ca約n’t郵co秧mpe倆te泄wit變hg竿lob晉al槽opp擇ort盤uni往tie拋sWhy編ar賽ee末xpl這ora銷tio雷ne餃ffo財(cái)rts慘so性an離emi免c?Lac界ko駝fc凈ons贏ist酸ent烘co姻rpo驅(qū)rat貍ec躁omm淺itm垃ent淚or油fo光rti知tud開eWhy主are婦expl消orat漆ion歸effo寺rts跟soa末nemi躬c?Wemus茂te紡xpl蟲orefor確th太eg栗ood刻of沉ou灰rc替oun默tryand損the域surv勾ival災(zāi)of撞our覺indu喝stryWANT饑ED:敬ANe坊wSu束pply捏of“Sil趣ver榮Bull辟ets”IP/渴EUR洪Log鼻s!Pipe咸set傅“dr售yho酷les”考are性tre緒mend諷ous厲wast灣eof團(tuán)cap允italCos哄tE漂ffe爆cti贈ve約(Ch悔eap按)O剃nsh迎ore含3D漢Se績ism評ic科Acq六uis霸iti肺on!Nee閉d“餓off殲sho策re-滋lik畜e”草cov汽era矮ge忽in緣瑞all橋of眨ou仿rb京asi虧nsNeed追ed:患New“Si橡lve史rB匪ull減ets坑”BOP錦’s申Tha拖tC云an王Dri撤ll證Wit忠hA傻ir茅to爛Gre梅ate婚rT舟han宅5,膠000群#Eff光ici寸ent雁ai運(yùn)rd褲ril簡lin燒gi驢nh濕ori輪zon倚tal桂la靈ter棉als“Can堂ada-捏Like撒”Re造gula茄tion惑sSu裂chT船hatALLData縮慧Bec憐omes繪Pub摘lic獻(xiàn)Allo含wing志Muc塘hMo項(xiàng)reE由ffic渣ient國Dat燙aFa般rmin洲gMore謠Sub駁surf郵ace翠Hole怨wit側(cè)hLe鄉(xiāng)豐ssS于urfa繞ceI酷mpac屬tNeed趨ed:祥New“Sil依ver項(xiàng)Bull者ets”Inde永pend純ents習(xí)dri訓(xùn)ll8似5%o卵