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Atmospheric(內(nèi)網(wǎng)) Lec.7:RadiationandClimate(2000.03-2004.05,單位:W Trenberth等1 r20(-)=r2sTe取S01367Wm-2,R0.3,可算出Te255K-18C。地–吸收率為As,對長波輻射的吸收率為AL。根441-4aAL+T4g1AL)1-R-s4aA=sTLgT4=gaT4=a
121- 2Tg=278.6K,Ta=247.7DDT=Q-DF)gDtCpQ:ΔFz=z+z全球地面輻射差額[(SS’)(1αLe0],大氣輻射差額(QΔF)以前就凝結(jié);對流層頂以下熱量難以通過湍流模式(RadiationConvcctionModeL簡稱RCM)CCM3(TheNCARCommunityModel)theCommunityAtmosphereModelRegCM2RadiativeRadiativeInThenetfluxofradiationintooroutofaAsaconsequenceofradiativeforcingtheremustbesomechangetothenonradiativeenergystatesofthesystem(e.g.,itstemperaturemaychange).RadiativeInAsystematicperturbationtotheclimatologicalvalueofthenetradiantfluxdensityatsomepointintheearth'sclimateForexample,thisperturbationmaybeduetoachangeinconcentrationoftheradiativelyactivegases,achangeinsolarradiationreachingtheearth,orchangesinsurfaceRadiativeInclimatescience,radiativeforcingorclimateforcing,isdefinedasthedifferenceofradiantenergy(sunlight)receivedbytheEarthandenergyradiatedbacktospace.Typically,radiativeforcing fiedatthetropopauseinunitsofwattspersquaremeteroftheEarth'ssurface.Apositiveforcing(moreingenergy)warmsthesystem,whilenegativeforcing(moreoutgoingenergy)coolsit.RadiativeRadiativeforcingsincesemi-directeffect?VerylowFromVerylow
RadiativeFromIPCCRadiativeFromIPCCClimateRadiativeforcingcanbeusedtoestimateasubsequentchangeinequilibriumsurfacetemperature(ΔTs)arisingfromthatradiativeforcingviatheequation:DTs=whereλistheclimatesensitivity,usuallywithunitsinK/(W/m2),andΔFistheradiativeAtypicalvalueofλis0.8K/(W/m2),whichgivesawarmingof3KfordoublingofCO2.全球增暖潛力(GlobleWarmingnGWP
0n0n
ttThevariousradiativemechanismsassociatedwithcloudeffectsthathavebeenidentifiedassignificantinrelationtoaerosols.(IPCC,2007)Directeffect:scattering/absorbingSemi-directaerosolabsorptionheatsatmosphericlayerwarmerair→lowerRH→less/nocloudIndirecteffect:modifyingcloud“brightness(first)effect”“l(fā)ifetime(second)effect”GlaciationeffectDirect
e.g.Blackcarbon,mineral
tospace(Cooling)e.g.Sulphates,nitrates,MostaerosolsbothabsorbandDifferentScatteringandabsorptionofsolarandterrestrialradiationcoolingatthetopoftheatmospherefromscatteringaerosolssuchassulfatewarmingatthetopoftheatmospherefromabsorbingaerosolssuchassoot t=e-t+w-b-e-t r
+t2rR
+t2r2R
F?=r+t2R+
=
1
rR+r2R
+r3R
=r+ s r<1;R 1- s
F?
t2R
=r+ s
1-rRsDDR= -=r t2Rps1-rRRssDDF=FDR=0p0 c2art2Rs1-rR-Rss輻射強迫(Radiative 2
t2R
-F
=-DF=-F1-A r
-R ss
1-rRs r=wb-e-t;t=e-t+w-b-e-t solarflux(W·m-Ac:fractionofthesurfacecoveredbycloudsTa:fractionaltransmittanceoftheatmosphereRs:albedooftheunderlyingEarthsurfaceω:single-scatteringalbedooftheβ:upscatterfractionoftheτ:aerosolopticalCoolingvs.F?=r+t2R+t2rR2+t2r2R3 -ΔRp>0:ΔRp<0:由ΔRp0ωcω>ωc:coolingω<ωc:heatingCoolingvs.τ~-=e-t+w-b-e-t1-t+w-b2spDR=rsp
t2R
wb
1-b
ss-ss1- 1-wbs?1-
2
2Rs
1 bwc=2Rs+b-Rs2Coolingvs.cw c2R+b1-R aerosoleffectson yamajorroleintheclimatesystem.AsmallchangeincloudpropertiescanstronglyaffectclimateThesemi-directAerosolsabsorbsolarEvaporationoftheAbsorbingaerosolsinandaroundacloud
AbsorbingaerosolsmayreducelowcloudThiswouldwarmtheclimateaslowcloudsscattersolarradiationbacktospace.Noconsensusonhowimportantthesemi-directeffectis!Firstindirectaerosoleffect(cloudalbedoforaconstantcloudwatercontent,moreaerosolsleadtomoreandsmallerclouddropletslargercrosssectionalareamorereflectionofsolarradiationSecondindirectaerosoleffect(cloudlifetimeeffect)themoreandsmallerclouddropletswillcollideasefficientlydecreasedrizzleformationincreasecloudlifetimemorereflectionofsolarradiationIndirectaerosoleffectFewLessreflectivecloud
NumerousaerosolsMorereflectivecloud(Coolerclimate)IndirectaerosoleffectEvidenceforthe1stindirectaerosoleffectinmarinestratusclouds
Pengetal.,Indirecteffect CloudsarelongerlivedandretainhigherliquidwatercontentEvidenceofthe2ndindirectPengPengetal.,Whyistheindirecteffectpoorlyunderstood?Indirectforcinguncertaintiesarisebecause:Aerosol-cloudin ctionstake ceatsmallerspatialscalesthanclimatemodelscanresolve,andmustbeparameterized.Aerosol-cloudin ctionsarecomplex;manyaspectsareunknownorpoorlyunderstood.Climatemodelsprovidelimitedinformationaboutclouds,andaerosols.Whyistheindirecteffectpoorlyunderstood?CentralproblemofindirectDeterminetherelationshipbetweenaerosol
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