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20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
Paris,5September2023Referenceperiod:July2023
Headlineinflationrisesslightlyto5.9%inJuly2023despiteadeclineinmostOECDcountries
Year-on-yearinflationintheOECD,asmeasuredbytheConsumerPriceIndex(CPI),roseto5.9%inJuly2023,after5.7%inJune,thefirstincreasesinceOctober2022(Figures1and3).ThisincreasewasmainlydrivenbyasharpriseininflationinTürkiye.ExcludingTürkiye,OECDinflationisestimatedtohavebeenbroadlystableinJuly.Fallsininflationwererecordedin26of38OECDcountries,ofwhich17experienceddeclinesabove0.5percentagepoints.(Table1).
EnergyinflationintheOECDremainednegative,atminus7.5%,afterminus9.6%inJune.Itwasnegativeinyear-on-yeartermsin30OECDcountries,anditdeclinedin22countriesrelativetothepreviousmonth.Foodinflationcontinuedtofallatthesamepaceasinthepreviousmonth,reaching9.2%inJuly,itslowestlevelsinceFebruary2022,after10.1%inJune.Inflationlessfoodandenergy(coreinflation)roseslightly,to6.7%from6.6%inJune.
Year-on-yearinflationintheG7wasstableat3.9%inJuly.ThelargestdeclinewasobservedintheUnitedKingdomwhereenergyinflationfellsharply.However,theinflationrateintheUnitedKingdomisstillthehighestrateamongG7countries.HeadlineinflationalsodeclinedinItaly,FranceandGermany.Bycontrast,headlineinflationincreasedinCanadaandtheUnitedStates,neverthelessheadlineinflationratesremainedmorethan2.5percentagepointsbelowtheaverageOECDrate.HeadlineinflationwasstableinJapan.Non-foodandnon-energyitemsremainedthemaincontributorstoheadlineinflationinallG7countriesinJuly(Figure2).
Intheeuroarea,year-on-yearinflationasmeasuredbytheHarmonisedIndexofConsumerPrices(HICP),continuedtodecline,albeitataslowerpacethaninprevioustwomonths,reaching5.3%inJuly2023,after5.5%inJune.InAugust2023,accordingtoEurostat’s
flashestimate,
inflationisestimatedtohavebeenstableintheeuroarea.Thismasksvariabilityacrossmemberstates.HICPinflationisestimatedtohaveincreasedto5.7%inFranceafter5.1%inJulywithasharpriseinenergyinflation,whileheadlineinflationestimateshavebeenbroadlystableinGermanyanddeclininginItaly.EnergydeflationintheeuroareaisestimatedtohavebeenlesspronouncedinAugustthaninJulyandcoreinflationisestimatedtohaveslowedto5.3%,after5.5%inJuly.
IntheG20,year-on-yearinflationincreased,to5.8%inJuly2023,from5.5%inJune.InflationincreasedinIndiaforthesecondconsecutivemonthandinBrazilafteroneyearofcontinuingdecrease.Bycontrast,headlineinflationdeclinedinArgentina,SouthAfrica,SaudiArabia,IndonesiaandChina,wheretotalinflationwasnegativeforthefirsttimesinceFebruary2021.
Figure1-Consumerprices,G7economiesandOECD-Allitemsinflationanditscomponents
July2023,year-on-yearinflationrate
%AllitemsAllitemslessfoodandEnergyFoodEnergy
United
States
Italy
Germany
CanadaJapan
OECD
France
United
Kingdom
》OECD
Visittheinteractive
OECDDataPortal
toexplorethesedata
1
2
8.07.06.05.04.03.02.01.00.0-1.0
-2.0
Figure2-Contributiontoyear-on-yearCPIinflationinG7countries
July2023,percentagepoints
EnergyFoodAllitemslessfoodandenergy
UnitedStatesCanadaJapanFranceItalyGermanyUnitedKingdom
》OECD
3
Figure3-Inflationsincethe1990s:Allitemsandallitemslessfoodandenergy
OECD,UnitedStates,Japan(CPI)andeuroarea(HICP),year-on-yearinflationrate
OECD
%AllitemsAllitemslessfoodandenergy
12
9
6
3
0
-3
UnitedStates
%AllitemsAllitemslessfoodandenergy
12
9
6
3
0
-3
Japan
12
9
6
3
0
-3
%AllitemsAllitemslessfoodandenergy
Euroarea(20countries)
%
______Allitems—Allitemslessfoodandenergy
12
9
6
3
0
-3
Visittheinteractive
OECDDataPortal
toexplorethese
》OECD
4
Table1-CPIandHICP,OECDcountriesandzoneaggregates
July2023,year-on-yearinflationrate(%)andcontributionstoyear-on-yearCPIinflation(percentagepoints)
CPI
HICP
CPI
Contributionstoyear-on-yearCPIinflation
Allitems
Allitems
Food
Energy
Allitems
excludingfood&
energy
FoodEnergy
Allitems
excluding
food&
energy
Jul-22
Jun-23
Jul-23
Jul-22
Jun-23Jul-23
Jun-23Jul-23
Jun-23Jul-23
Jun-23Jul-23
Jul-23
Year-on-yearinflationrate(percentage)
percentagepoints
OECD-Total
10.3
5.7
5.9
…
…
…
10.1
9.2
-9.6
-7.5
6.6
6.7
………
G7
7.6
3.9
3.9
…
…
…
7.7
6.6
-10.3
-8.0
4.7
4.5
…
…
…
EuropeanUnion(HICP)
…
…
…
9.8
6.4
6.1
13.8
12.5
-4.1
-4.4
6.2
6.2
…
…
…
Euroarea(HICP)
…
…
…
8.9
5.5
5.3
12.5
11.6
-5.6
-6.1
5.5
5.5
…
…
…
Australia1
6.1
7.0
6.0
…
…
…
9.6
8.7
7.3
4.1
6.6
5.8
..
..
..
Austria
9.4
8.0
7.0
9.4
7.8
7.0
11.1
10.5
1.3
-4.5
8.3
8.0
1.2
-0.4
6.2
Belgium
9.6
4.2
4.1
10.4
1.6
1.7
15.1
13.9
-25.8
-24.1
7.1
7.0
2.4
-3.2
4.9
Canada
7.6
2.8
3.3
…
…
…
9.1
8.5
-14.6
-8.2
4.0
3.8
0.9
-0.8
3.1
Chile
13.1
7.6
6.5
…
…
…
11.8
11.0
2.1
-3.0
6.9
6.2
2.4
-0.3
4.4
Colombia
10.2
12.1
11.8
…
…
…
14.3
13.2
22.7
22.3
10.5
10.4
3.4
1.5
7.6
CostaRica
11.5
-1.0
-2.3
…
…
…
3.8
-0.8
-20.5
-18.9
0.2
-0.3
-0.2
-1.9
-0.2
CzechRepublic
17.5
9.7
8.8
17.3
11.2
10.2
12.0
9.5
15.0
13.7
7.5
7.1
1.7
1.7
5.4
Denmark
8.7
2.5
3.1
9.6
2.4
3.2
8.8
6.6
-22.2
-17.4
4.3
5.0
0.8
-1.6
4.0
Estonia
22.9
9.2
6.4
23.2
9.0
6.2
19.5
16.4
-4.7
-10.0
9.4
7.7
3.6
-1.8
4.6
Finland
7.8
6.3
6.5
8.0
4.1
4.2
9.2
8.2
-6.7
-4.5
7.3
7.4
1.1
-0.4
5.7
France
6.1
4.5
4.3
6.8
5.3
5.1
14.3
13.2
-2.7
-3.1
3.7
3.6
1.9
-0.3
2.7
Germany
6.7
6.4
6.2
8.5
6.8
6.5
13.4
10.9
3.8
6.2
5.6
5.5
1.4
0.5
4.2
Greece
11.6
1.8
2.5
11.3
2.8
3.5
12.2
12.3
-21.1
-19.1
4.8
5.3
2.6
-3.4
3.2
Hungary
13.7
20.1
17.6
14.7
19.9
17.5
29.3
21.9
27.6
28.9
15.4
14.0
5.2
3.0
9.5
Iceland
9.9
8.9
7.6
6.4
8.0
7.5
12.1
12.4
-0.5
-1.4
9.1
7.6
1.8
-0.1
6.1
Ireland
9.1
6.1
5.8
9.6
4.8
4.6
10.2
8.8
-3.1
-1.3
6.7
6.2
1.0
-0.1
5.0
Israel
5.2
4.2
3.4
…
…
…
4.3
4.8
-2.1
-5.0
4.7
3.9
0.7
-0.2
3.0
Italy
7.9
6.4
5.9
8.4
6.7
6.3
11.0
10.7
2.1
0.6
4.6
4.2
1.9
0.9
3.2
Japan
2.6
3.3
3.3
…
…
…
8.9
9.4
-6.5
-8.7
2.8
2.8
2.0
-0.7
2.0
Korea
6.3
2.7
2.3
…
…
…
4.2
3.4
-6.9
-9.2
3.5
3.3
0.5
-0.8
2.5
Latvia
21.5
7.9
6.4
21.3
8.1
6.6
14.4
11.2
-2.3
-5.3
8.6
8.7
2.9
-1.1
4.6
Lithuania
21.6
9.0
7.4
20.9
8.2
7.2
14.4
12.6
-4.2
-10.8
10.5
10.5
2.9
-1.8
6.3
Luxembourg
6.8
3.2
3.7
9.3
1.0
2.0
11.2
10.5
-13.0
-9.4
3.8
4.1
1.3
-0.8
3.2
Mexico
8.2
5.1
4.8
…
…
…
7.7
7.3
-6.8
-7.7
5.7
5.6
2.1
-0.8
3.4
Netherlands
10.3
5.7
4.6
11.6
6.4
5.3
13.0
11.5
-16.3
-21.4
6.2
6.0
1.4
-1.6
4.6
NewZealand1
7.3
6.7
6.0
…
…
…
12.5
13.6
-2.1
-6.9
6.8
6.4
1.9
-0.8
4.9
Norway
6.8
6.4
5.4
7.3
6.8
5.6
13.4
8.9
-3.1
-9.1
6.1
6.2
1.0
-0.7
5.0
Poland
15.6
11.5
10.8
14.2
11.0
10.3
17.8
15.6
4.0
4.5
11.1
10.6
4.2
..
..
Portugal
9.1
3.4
3.1
9.4
4.7
4.3
8.6
7.3
-18.8
-14.9
5.3
4.7
1.7
-1.4
2.8
SlovakRepublic
13.6
10.9
9.7
12.8
11.3
10.3
18.9
16.5
4.9
5.0
9.5
8.4
3.7
0.7
5.3
Slovenia
11.0
6.9
6.1
11.7
6.6
5.7
12.4
11.1
-5.3
-8.3
8.0
7.8
1.9
-1.2
5.4
Spain
10.8
1.9
2.3
10.7
1.6
2.1
10.3
10.8
-24.9
-24.3
4.3
4.8
2.3
-3.2
3.3
Sweden
8.5
9.3
9.3
8.3
6.3
6.3
12.5
10.5
-12.0
-13.9
11.1
11.4
1.4
-0.6
9.2
Switzerland
3.4
1.7
1.6
3.3
1.8
2.1
5.1
5.3
-0.6
-1.3
1.5
1.4
0.6
-0.1
1.1
Türkiye
79.6
38.2
47.8
79.5
38.3
48.0
53.9
60.7
-27.1
-12.8
47.4
55.8
15.3
-1.7
34.3
UnitedKingdom
8.8
7.3
6.4
10.1
7.9
6.8
17.4
14.9
2.9
-8.2
6.4
6.4
1.4
-0.4
5.4
UnitedStates
8.5
3.0
3.2
9.3
1.4
1.7
4.6
3.5
-16.7
-12.5
4.8
4.7
0.3
-0.9
3.8
1Forthiscountry,figuresshownrefertoQ22022,Q12023&Q22023,asyear-on-yearinflationisbasedonquarterlyCPIdata.
...:notapplicable..:notavailable
Note:CPIaggregatesfortheOECDareaarecomputedasaweightedaverageofthenationalCPIs.ThismaydifferfromthedefinitionusedintheOECDEconomic
Outlook.FormethodologicalinformationconcerningtheCPIaggregatesinthisnewsrelease,pleasesee
MethodologicalNotesforOECDCPINewsRelease.
Source:OECDConsumerPriceIndices(CPIs)Database,
/index.aspx?DataSetCode=PRICES_CPI.
5
countriesandzoneaggregates
Year-on-yearinflationrate(%)
》Table2-Consumerprices,Allitems,Food,Energy&Allitemsexcludingfood&energy,selected
20212022Average
2022
JulAugSepOctNovDec
JanFebMar
2023
Apr
MayJunJul
Allitems
OECD-Total
4.0
9.6
10.310.310.610.710.39.4
9.28.87.77.36.55.75.9
G7
3.5
7.1
7.67.57.67.77.36.8
6.76.45.45.44.63.93.9
EuropeanUnion(HICP)
2.9
9.2
9.810.110.911.511.110.4
10.09.98.38.17.16.46.1
Euroarea(HICP)
2.6
8.4
8.99.29.9
10.610.19.2
8.78.56.97.06.15.55.3
G7countries
Canada
3.4
6.8
7.67.06.96.96.86.3
5.95.24.34.43.42.83.3
France
1.6
5.2
6.15.95.66.26.25.9
6.06.35.75.95.14.54.3
Germany
3.1
6.9
6.77.08.68.88.88.1
8.78.77.47.26.16.46.2
Italy
1.9
8.2
7.98.48.9
11.811.811.6
10.09.17.68.27.66.45.9
Japan
-0.3
2.5
2.63.03.03.73.84.0
4.33.33.23.53.23.33.3
UnitedKingdom
2.5
7.9
8.88.68.89.69.39.2
8.89.28.97.87.97.36.4
UnitedStates
4.7
8.0
8.58.38.27.77.16.5
6.46.05.04.94.03.03.2
G20andothernonOECDG20economies
G20*
4.3
8.6
9.29.29.59.49.08.5
8.48.06.96.55.95.55.8
Argentina
48.4
72.4
71.078.583.088.092.494.8
98.8102.5104.3108.8114.2115.6113.4
Brazil
8.3
9.3
10.18.77.26.55.95.8
5.85.64.74.23.93.24.0
China
0.9
0.0
2.72.52.82.11.61.8
2.11.00.70.10.20.0-0.3
India
4.9
5.9
5.85.96.56.15.45.5
6.26.25.85.14.45.67.5
Indonesia
1.6
4.2
4.94.76.05.75.45.5
5.35.55.04.34.03.53.1
SaudiArabia
3.1
2.5
2.73.03.13.02.93.3
3.43.02.72.72.82.72.3
SouthAfrica
4.6
7.0
8.17.97.87.87.77.5
7.27.37.37.16.65.74.8
Food
OECD-Total
3.5
13.2
14.715.115.416.116.215.6
15.214.914.012.110.910.19.2
G7
2.5
10.4
11.712.212.312.712.612.5
12.311.910.99.78.67.76.6
EuropeanUnion(HICP)
1.6
11.9
12.814.015.417.317.917.8
18.019.119.216.415.013.812.5
Euroarea(HICP)
1.3
10.5
11.512.513.815.516.016.0
16.317.317.515.013.712.511.6
G7countries
Canada
2.2
9.8
9.910.811.411.011.411.0
11.410.69.79.19.09.18.5
France
0.6
7.3
7.28.410.612.913.012.9
14.215.816.915.714.914.313.2
Germany
3.1
12.6
13.815.317.418.919.519.4
19.220.721.216.814.513.410.9
Italy
0.6
9.1
10.010.511.713.513.613.1
12.613.213.212.111.811.010.7
Japan
0.0
4.9
4.95.14.56.47.27.2
7.57.78.08.79.08.99.4
UnitedKingdom
UnitedStates
0.3
3.5
10.9
11.4
12.7
13.1
13.1
13.5
14.6
12.9
16.4
12.4
16.5
12.0
16.9
11.9
16.8
11.4
18.2
10.1
19.2
8.3
19.1
7.0
18.4
5.6
17.4
4.6
14.9
3.5
Energy
OECD-Total
15.5
29.7
35.029.728.527.623.418.2
16.411.91.30.7-5.2-9.6-7.5
G7
16.3
27.4
32.626.123.824.520.815.8
15.910.7-0.2-0.2-6.1-10.3-8.0
EuropeanUnion(HICP)
12.6
35.2
38.337.539.438.733.325.5
20.616.62.64.4-0.3-4.1-4.4
Euroarea(HICP)
13.0
36.9
39.438.540.541.334.825.4
18.913.7-0.92.2-1.8-5.6-6.1
G7countries
Canada
18.8
22.6
28.019.014.016.213.97.3
5.4-0.6-6.9-4.2-12.4-14.6-8.2
France
10.5
23.6
28.723.118.619.818.815.2
16.314.0
5.27.12.2
-2.7-3.1
Germany
10.8
30.2
28.828.137.236.132.621.4
24.020.05.08.03.73.86.2
Italy
14.1
50.8
43.044.944.571.167.664.7
42.528.210.716.411.52.10.6
Japan
4.0
17.1
16.216.916.815.213.415.2
14.6-0.7-3.8-4.4-8.2-6.5-8.7
UnitedKingdom
UnitedStates
9.1
21.0
47.3
25.2
57.7
32.9
51.8
23.8
49.4
19.8
58.6
17.6
55.2
13.1
52.3
7.3
50.7
8.7
48.3
5.2
39.7
-6.4
10.5
-5.1
8.1
-11.7
2.9
-16.7
-8.2
-12.5
AllitemsexcludingFoodandEnergy
OECD-Total
3.0
6.8
7.07.47.77.87.77.2
7.27.37.27.16.96.66.7
G7
2.6
4.9
4.85.25.55.45.25.1
5.05.15.15.25.04.74.5
EuropeanUnion(HICP)
1.8
4.7
4.95.25.76.06.06.2
6.36.66.66.56.16.26.2
Euroarea(HICP)
1.5
4.0
4.14.34.85.05.05.2
5.35.65.75.65.45.55.5
G7countries
Canada
2.4
5.1
5.45.45.65.45.55.6
5.25.04.54.54.44.03.8
France
1.0
2.8
3.33.53.13.33.33.4
3.23.63.73.93.63.73.6
Germany
2.3
3.9
3.63.84.74.85.05.2
5.75.95.75.75.25.65.5
Italy
0.8
2.9
3.23.53.94.14.14.5
4.5
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