【浙江海洋科技創(chuàng)新與海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系實(shí)證分析12000字（論文）】

[25]。見表6。表SEQ表\*ARABIC7DLNX4方差分解結(jié)果時(shí)期S.E.DLNX1DLNX2DLNX3DLNX410.06633225.786450.09078365.11389.00897420.11624131.599280.4159263.851354.13345230.118331.299062.17336562.526824.00075640.12319633.625624.61568358.019643.73905950.12410633.237725.22576457.81713.71941860.1274934.847324.95208956.67473.52589370.13043837.112064.79662854.664663.4266580.13311337.463554.67865554.559293.29849690.1345237.607964.58401554.572213.235822100.13543238.021874.6594754.122863.1958平均方差貢獻(xiàn)率34.0600893.619237258.1922434.128432從表6可知，dlnx1、dlnx2、dlnx3對(duì)dlnx4的貢獻(xiàn)率在第5期后基本穩(wěn)定，其中，海洋科技服務(wù)對(duì)海洋生產(chǎn)總值影響程度比較大，由此可見，在浙江省海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過程中，海洋科技創(chuàng)新對(duì)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)程度大于海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)對(duì)海洋科技創(chuàng)新的貢獻(xiàn)程度。其中海洋科技服務(wù)和海洋科技活動(dòng)人員對(duì)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)程度比較大，這一點(diǎn)和脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)得出的結(jié)論一致。5結(jié)論與政策建議5.1研究結(jié)論本文在分析海洋科技創(chuàng)新與海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的互動(dòng)關(guān)系時(shí)，采用了2000-2017年浙江省與海洋相關(guān)的時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)，通過數(shù)據(jù)處理、檢驗(yàn)與分析等步驟，對(duì)浙江省海洋科技創(chuàng)新與海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系進(jìn)行探討，最終得出以下結(jié)論：（1）從海洋科技創(chuàng)新與海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)的因果關(guān)系來看，海洋科技創(chuàng)新是海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的格蘭杰原因，海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)也是海洋科技創(chuàng)新的格蘭杰原因。具體而言，海洋科技成果應(yīng)用是海洋生產(chǎn)總值的格蘭杰原因；海洋科技服務(wù)是海洋生產(chǎn)總值的格蘭杰原因，而海洋生產(chǎn)總值也是海洋科技服務(wù)的格蘭杰原因。因此，促進(jìn)海洋科技創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出可以拉動(dòng)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)。（2）從海洋科技創(chuàng)新與海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)的脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)來看，海洋科技創(chuàng)新能夠拉動(dòng)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，而海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)海洋科技創(chuàng)新也有一定程度的推動(dòng)作用。具體而言，海洋機(jī)構(gòu)專業(yè)從技術(shù)人員對(duì)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)具有短期正響應(yīng)，而海洋科技服務(wù)對(duì)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)有長(zhǎng)期正向影響。而海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)海洋科技創(chuàng)新的是正負(fù)波動(dòng)式影響，但海洋生產(chǎn)總值對(duì)海洋科技服務(wù)的沖擊總體是正向影響。（3）從海洋科技創(chuàng)新與海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)的方差分解結(jié)果來看，海洋科技創(chuàng)新對(duì)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)的貢獻(xiàn)程度大于海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)對(duì)海洋科技創(chuàng)新的貢獻(xiàn)。海洋機(jī)構(gòu)專業(yè)技術(shù)人員和海洋科技服務(wù)對(duì)海洋生產(chǎn)總值的貢獻(xiàn)度都比較高，但海洋生產(chǎn)總值對(duì)海洋科技創(chuàng)新的所有變量貢獻(xiàn)度都比較低，均小于5%。5.2政策建議根據(jù)浙江省海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)狀，以及本文對(duì)海洋科技創(chuàng)新與海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)互動(dòng)關(guān)系的分析結(jié)果可知，海洋科技創(chuàng)新可以有效推動(dòng)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)；海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)海洋科技創(chuàng)新發(fā)展也有一定影響程度。因此，要持續(xù)助推海洋科技和海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展，讓兩者達(dá)到良好互動(dòng)關(guān)系。對(duì)海洋科技創(chuàng)新提出以下建議：（1）培養(yǎng)高素質(zhì)人才隊(duì)伍。高質(zhì)量人才資本是促進(jìn)海洋科技創(chuàng)新與海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)動(dòng)發(fā)展的重要要素。建設(shè)并完善海洋科技人才培養(yǎng)機(jī)制，為高素質(zhì)人員營(yíng)造良好的條件和環(huán)境，充分激發(fā)他們的熱情和動(dòng)力，從而進(jìn)行科技創(chuàng)新并創(chuàng)造出高質(zhì)量的創(chuàng)新成果；創(chuàng)設(shè)產(chǎn)學(xué)研相結(jié)合模式，提高人才的實(shí)踐能力，加強(qiáng)人才創(chuàng)新精神，注重科技服務(wù)水平，從而促進(jìn)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展。（2）營(yíng)造科技創(chuàng)新環(huán)境。堅(jiān)持“海洋強(qiáng)國(guó)”戰(zhàn)略，大力扶植海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展；減少政府直接管控，發(fā)揮市場(chǎng)作用，讓市場(chǎng)配置海洋科技資源，引導(dǎo)創(chuàng)新主體行為，提高創(chuàng)新效率，促進(jìn)海洋科技創(chuàng)新；同時(shí)構(gòu)建和完善創(chuàng)新網(wǎng)絡(luò)，加強(qiáng)知識(shí)和技術(shù)的流動(dòng)性，借助先進(jìn)省份的經(jīng)驗(yàn)。積極將海洋科技成果投入至生產(chǎn)活動(dòng)，進(jìn)而提高科技服務(wù)水平，加強(qiáng)浙江省海洋科技創(chuàng)新能力。對(duì)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展提出以下建議：（1）促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)集群發(fā)展。創(chuàng)辦集群組織，使之與海洋相關(guān)企業(yè)進(jìn)行市場(chǎng)談判交易，達(dá)到規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效果，從而獲得預(yù)期利潤(rùn)。企業(yè)聯(lián)合形成實(shí)力強(qiáng)大集體，促進(jìn)海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)形成空間集聚，讓高新知識(shí)與技術(shù)得以迅速共享，成員之間產(chǎn)生有效的正反饋，實(shí)現(xiàn)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。（2）加大海洋資金投入。強(qiáng)化政府引導(dǎo)，完善財(cái)政資金投入機(jī)制，增加資金投入于海洋資源開發(fā)和海洋科技創(chuàng)新，提高科技創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出轉(zhuǎn)化率；引入民間資本，強(qiáng)化海洋相關(guān)企業(yè)主導(dǎo)地位，完善外部制度，引導(dǎo)和鼓勵(lì)海洋相關(guān)企業(yè)增加投資，使其成為海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)投資和海洋技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的主體。參考文獻(xiàn)JosehpA.Schumpeter：TheTheoryofEconomicDevelopment[M].HarvardUniversityPress,1934,66ValentinaMeliciani.Theimpactoftechnologicalspecialisationonnationalperformanceinabalance-of-payments-constrainedgrowthmodel[J].StructuralChangeandEconomicDynamics,2002,13(1).JungmittagA.Innovations,TechnologicalSpecialisationandEconomicGrowthintheEU[J].InternationalEconomicsandEconomicPolicy,2004,1(2):247-273.Sefer?ener,ErcanSar?do?an.TheEffectsOfScienceTechnologyInnovationOnCompetitivenessAndEconomicGrowth[J].Procedia-SocialandBehavioralSciences,2011,24.ZahidLatif,Yangmengke,Danish,ShahidLatif,LiuXimei,ZulfiqarHussainPathan,ShafaqSalam,ZengJianqiu.ThedynamicsofICT,foreigndirectinvestment,globalizationandeconomicgrowth:Panelestimationrobusttoheterogeneityandcross-sectionaldependence[J].TelematicsandInformatics,2018,35(2).WenboDeng.GreycorrelationanalysisofinnovationinvestmentandindustrialeconomicgrowthinShen-Guan-Huieconomiccircle[P].Proceedingsofthe2018InternationalConferenceonEconomics,Business,ManagementandCorporateSocialResponsibility(EBMCSR2018),2018.尚勇敏,曾剛.科技創(chuàng)新推動(dòng)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式轉(zhuǎn)型:作用和機(jī)制[J].地理研究，2017,36(12):2279-2290.張葉鋒,王文寅.我國(guó)R&D投入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)間關(guān)系的實(shí)證分析[J].技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)2011,30(07):55-58.宗剛,高瑀.區(qū)域經(j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