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1、120130207201327010-s1010510120023010-s1010510120057010-s1010510120042010-s10105120900061352013-2-6http:/ 134.36% 364.62% 64.91%0.14 0.06 0.050.1112013-2-6http:/ 26h0.43%1.9%0.05%2 616:002705:007.2213,986.520.05%3.103,168.480.10%5000.831,512.120.05%0.36%0.36%2284.521.49% 2013shibor1w34.60bp 35.80bp3.
2、5960% 3.6960%1171717-6ah()20130207263.6%73.7%144.2%5.3%13.64%3.90%3.27%3.70%+37bp+20bpshibo18%3.63%3.73%4.21%3.60%3.70%4.13%5.22%5.16%5.28%5.40%4.80%4.09%3.26%3.38%4.06%3.25%3.34%4.04%5.28%5.22%5.34%5.40%4.74%+9bp+37bp+35bp+15bp+35bp+36bp+9bp-6bp-6bp-6bp+6bpwind263000.15%0.56%h0.43%6ha5
3、% 5% 7% -2% -4%ha2% -20%2013pe7.3pb11.2012013pe6.2pb1.06pe6.0pb0.912pe5.9pb1.022011 2012e 2013e 2014e2011 2012e 2013e 2014e hpepepepepbpbpbpb2013epb()-6.51.591.461.681.591.361.271.401.311.201.030.991.051.06-3%4%-9%1.161.151
4、.7.01.651.551.641.221.381.341.411.050.971.051.051.100.865%5%7%-2%30.95()6.68.431.832.411.921.121.501.971.511.001.301.641.290.911.141.381.10-4%2%-20%0.961.411.35.21.501.261.07
5、0.922ah()26h()()()()()()201302072011 2012e 2013e 2014e2011 2012e 2013e 2014e hpepepe6.06.910.1pepb1.581.321.53pb1.341.161.32pb1.131.031.18pb0.960.921.062013epb()8.59.56.71.511.421.841.301.281.551.020.971.172011 2012e 2013e 2014e2011
6、 2012e 2013e 2014eepsepsepsepsbvps bvps bvps bvps0.590.680.380.470.821.621.052.361.460.451.322.011.201.091.130.670.740.460.520.771.991.343.231.830.581.602.381.191.311.390.730.800.510.560.851.861.533.182.030.631.782.171.381.501.550.790.860.560.600.932.031.743.562.330.711.982.411.511.731.782.683.241.9
7、52.594.417.424.8510.767.982.389.2114.316.747.296.493.203.742.272.904.869.015.9513.649.522.8210.4916.597.848.087.633.694.252.573.245.4110.457.1415.9411.193.3411.8718.608.889.248.844.224.782.903.665.9811.928.5018.7113.113.9213.3220.699.9410.6210.174.425.0314.3711.7020.6312.003.7712.2021.86
8、10.1710.3511.924.635.283.423.075.1914.719.413-“”analyst certificationiiithe analysts primarily responsible for the preparation of all or part of the research report contained herein hereby certify that: (i)the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of each such
9、 analyst about the subject securities and issuers; and (ii)no part of the analysts compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in thisresearch report.“”/()(1)(2)/2013130020%63005%20%263006300300300300300300-10% 5%10%10%-10% 10%1
10、0%481568811001252220012251804826foreign broker-dealer disclosures for distributing to the u.s.this report has been produced in its entirety by citic securities limited company (“citic securities”, regulated by the china securities regulatorycommission. securities business license number: z20374000). this report is being distributed in the united states by citic securities pursuant torule 15a-6(a) (2) under the u.s. securities excha
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