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1、 全球最大的CFA(特許金融分析師)培訓中心 CFA一級模塊練習-權益投資1 . One advantage ofusing price-to-book value (PBV) multiples for stock valuation is that: A most of the time itis close to the market value. B)it is a stable andsimple benchmark for comparison to the market price. C)book value of a firmcan never be negative. The
2、 correct answer wasB Book value provides arelatively stable measure of value that can be compared to the market price.For investors who mistrust the discounted cash flow estimates of value, itprovides a much simpler benchmark for comparison. Book value may or may not becloser to the market value. A
3、firm may have negative book value if it showsaccounting losses consistently. 2 . The threat ofsubstitute products is most likely to be low for a firm that: A)produces a commodityproduct in an industry with significant unused capacity. B)operates in afragmented market with little unused capacity. C)p
4、roduces adifferentiated product with high switching costs. The correct answer wasC The threat ofcompetition from substitute products is likely to be low for a firm thatproduces a differentiated product with high switching costs. Unused capacityand low industry concentration (a fragmented market) ten
5、d to intensify rivalryamong industry competitors but are not directly related to the threat ofsubstitute products. 3 . Given thefollowing estimated financial results, value the stock of FishnChips, Inc.,using the infinite period dividend discount model (DDM). § Sales of $1,000,000. § Earni
6、ngs of $150,000. § Total assets of $800,000. § Equity of $400,000. § Dividend payout ratio of 60.0%. § Average shares outstanding of 75,000. § Real risk free interest rate of 4.0%. § Expected inflation rate of 3.0%. § Expected market return of 13.0%. § Stock B
7、eta at 2.1. The per share value ofFishnChips stock is approximately: (Note: Carry calculations out to at least 3decimal places.) A)$26.86. B)Unable to calculatestock value because ke < g. C)$17.91. The correct answer was:A Here, we are given allthe inputs we need. Use the following steps to calcu
8、late the value of thestock: First, expand theinfinite period DDM: DDM formula: P0 = D1 /(ke g) D1 = (Earnings × Payout ratio) / average number ofshares outstanding = ($150,000 × 0.60) / 75,000 = $1.20 ke = nominal risk free rate + beta × (expectedmarket return nominal risk free rate)
9、Note: Nominal risk-free rate = (1 + real risk free rate) × (1 +expected inflation) 1 = (1.04)×(1.03) 1 =0.0712, or 7.12%. ke = 7.12% + 2.1 × (13.0% ? 7.12%) = 0.19468 g = (retention rate × ROE) Retention = (1 Payout) = 1 0.60 = 0.40. ROE =(net income / sales)(sales / total assets
10、)(total assets / equity) = (150,000 / 1,000,000)(1,000,000/ 800,000)(800,000 / 400,000) = 0.375 g = 0.375 × 0.40 = 0.15 Then, calculate: P0 =D1 / (ke g) = $1.20 / (0.19468 ? 0.15) = 26.86. 4 . The free cash flowto equity model is best described as a(n): A)single-factor model. B)present value mo
11、del. C)enterprise valuemodel. The correct answer wasB The free cash flow toequity model is one type of present value model or discounted cash flow model.It estimates a stocks value as the present value of cash available to commonshareholders. The enterprise value model is an example of a multiplier
12、model. 5 . For relativevaluation, a peer group is best described as companies: A)in a similar sectoror industry classification. B)at a similar stageof the industry life cycle. C)with similarbusiness activities and competitive factors. The correct answer wasC An analyst should formpeer groups of comp
13、anies that have similar business activities, drivers ofdemand and costs, and access to capital. Companies in the same industry orsector and companies at the same stage of the industry life cycle are notnecessarily comparable for equity valuation purposes. 1 .The last dividend paid on a common stock
14、was $2.00, thegrowth rate is 5% and investors require a 10% return. Using the infinite perioddividend discount model, calculate the value of the stock. A)$42.00. B)$40.00. C)$13.33. The correct answer was:A 2(1.05) / (0.10 - 0.05)= $42.00 2 . A firms cost ofequity capit
15、al is least accurately described as the: A)ratio of the firmsnet income to its average book value. B)minimum rate of returninvestors require to invest in the firms equity securities. C)expected total returnon the firms equity shares in equilibrium. The correct answer was:A T
16、he ratio of the firmsnet income to its average book value is the firms return on equity, which canbe greater than, equal to, or less than the firms cost of equity. Cost ofequity for a firm can be defined as the expected equilibrium total return inthe market on its equity shares, or as minimum rate o
17、f return that investorsrequire as compensation for the risk of the firms equity securities. 3 . Baker Computerearned $6.00 per share last year, has a retention ratio of 55%, and a return onequity (ROE) of 20%. Assuming their required rate of return is 15%, how muchwould an investor pay for Bake
18、r on the basis of the earnings multiplier model? A)$40.00. B)$173.90. C)$74.93. The correct answer was C g = Retention × ROE =(0.55) × (0.2) = 0.11 P0/E1 = 0.45 / (0.15 ?0.11) = 11.25 Next year's earnings E1= E0 × (1 + g) = (6.00) × (1.11) =
19、 $6.66 P0 = 11.25($6.66) =$74.93 4 . Assuming a discountrate of 15%, a preferred stock with a perpetual dividend of $10 is valued atapproximately: A)$66.67. B)$1.50. C)$8.70. The correct answer was:A The formula for thevalue of preferred stock with a perpetual divi
20、dend is: D / kp, or 10.0 / 0.15 =$66.67. 5 . The price to bookvalue ratio (P/BV) is a helpful valuation technique when examining firms: A)with older assetscompared to those with newer assets. B)that hold primarilyliquid assets. C)with the same stockprices. The correct answer
21、 was B P/BV analysis works bestfor firms that hold primarily liquid assets.1 .Which of the following types ofindustries is typically characterized by above-normal expansion in sales andprofits independent of the business cycle? A)Defensive. B)Counter-cyclical. C)Growth. Thec
22、orrect answer was C Agrowth industry is typically characterized by above-normal expansion in salesand profits independent of the business cycle. 2. The earnings multiplier model, derived from the dividend discount model,expresses a stocks P/E ratio (P0/E1) as the : A)expecteddividend
23、payout ratio divided by the difference between the required return onequity and the expected dividend growth rate. B)expecteddividend payout ratio divided by the sum of the expected dividend growth rateand the required return on equity. C)expecteddividend in one year divided by the differe
24、nce between the required return onequity and the expected dividend growth rate. Thecorrect answer was: A Startingwith the dividend discount model P0 = D1/(ke ? g), and dividing both sides byE1 yields: P0/E1 = (D1/E1)/(ke ? g) Thus,the P/E ratio is determined by: §
25、60;The expected dividend payout ratio (D1/E1). § The required rate of return on the stock(ke). § The expected growth rate of dividends (g). 3. Calculate the value of a common stock that last paid a $2.00 dividend if therequired rate of return on the
26、 stock is 14 percent and the expected growth rateof dividends and earnings is 6 percent. What growth model is an example of this calculation? Value of stock Growth model A) $26.50 Supernormal growth B) $25.00 Go
27、rdon growth C) $26.50 Gordon growth Thecorrect answer was C $26.50 Gordongrowth $2(1.06)/0.14- 0.06 = $26.50. Thiscalculation is an example of the Gordon Growth Model also known as the constantgrowth model.&
28、#160;4. If an analyst estimates the intrinsic value for a security that is differentfrom its market value, the analyst should most likely take an investmentposition based on this difference if: A)themodel used is not highly sensitive to its input values. B)manyanalysts independently evalua
29、te the security. C)thesecurity lacks a liquid market and trades infrequently. Thecorrect answer was: A Ingeneral, an analyst can be more confident about an estimate of intrinsic valueif the model used is not highly sensitive to changes in its inputs. If a largenumber of analysts follo
30、w a security, its market value is more likely to be areliable estimate of its intrinsic value. A security that does not tradefrequently or in a liquid market may remain mispriced for an extended time, andthus may not result in a profit within the investment horizon even if theanalysts estimate of in
31、trinsic value is correct. 5. If a company can convince its suppliers to offer better terms on theirproducts leading to a higher profit margin, the return on equity (ROE) willmost likely: A)increaseand the stock price will increase B)increaseand the stock price will decline. C)dec
32、reaseand the stock price will increase. Thecorrect answer was: A Bettersupplier terms lead to increased profitability. Better profit margins lead toan increase in ROE. This leads to an increase in the dividend growth rate. Thedifference between the cost of equity and the dividend growth ra
33、te willdecline, causing the stock price to increase.各位考生,CFA備考已經(jīng)開始,為了方便各位考生能更加系統(tǒng)地掌握考試大綱的重點知識,幫助大家充分備考,體驗實戰(zhàn),高頓網(wǎng)校開通了全免費的CFA題庫(包括精題真題和全真??枷到y(tǒng)),題庫里附有詳細的答案解析,學員可以通過多種題型加強練習,通過針對性地訓練與???,對學習過程進行全面總結。1 .Ananalyst estimates the intrinsic value of a stock to be equal to ?1,567 pershare. If the current market v
34、alue of the stock is ?1,487 per share, the stockis: A)overvalued. B)undervalued. C)fairly valued. The correct answer wasB If a stocks intrinsicvalue is greater than its market value, the stock is undervalued. 2 . Witronix is arapidly growing U.S. company that has increa
35、sed free cash flow to equity anddividends at an average rate of 25% per year for the last four years. Thepresent value model that is most appropriate for estimating the value of thiscompany is a: A)multistage dividenddiscount model. B)Gordon growth model. C)single stage freecash flow
36、to equity model. The correct answerwas: A A multistage model isthe most appropriate model because the company is growing dividends at a higherrate than can be sustained in the long run. Though the company may be able togrow dividends at a higher-than-sustainable 25% annual rate for a finit
37、eperiod, at some point dividend growth will have to slow to a lower, moresustainable rate. The Gordon growth model is appropriate to use for maturecompanies that have a history of increasing their dividend at a steady andsustainable rate. A single stage free cash flow to equity model is similar toth
38、e Gordon growth model, but values future free cash flow to equity rather thandividends. 3 . All else equal, ifa firms return on equity (ROE) increases, the stocks value as estimated bythe constant growth dividend discount model (DDM) will most likely: A)increase. B)not change. C)
39、decrease. The correct answerwas: A Increase in ROE: ROEis a component of g. As g increases, the spread between ke and g, or the P/Edenominator, will decrease, and the P/E ratio will increase. 4 . Assuming that acompany's return on equity (ROE) is 12% and the required rate of retur
40、n is 10%,which of the following would most likely cause the company's P/E ratio to rise? A)The firm's ROEfalls. B)The inflation ratefalls. C)The firm's dividendpayout rises. The correct answer wasB § Decrease in the expected inflation rate. Thee
41、xpected inflation rate is a component of ke (through the nominal risk freerate). ke can be represented by the following: nominal risk free rate + stockrisk premium, where nominal risk free rate = (1 + real risk free rate)(1 +expected inflation rate) 1. § If the rate of inflati
42、on decreases, thenominal risk free rate will decrease. § ke will decrease. § The spread between ke and g, or the P/Edenominator, will decrease. § P/E ratio will increase. (An increase in thestock risk premium would have the op
43、posite effect.) § Decrease in ROE: ROE is a component of g. Asg decreases, the spread between ke and g, or the P/E denominator, willincrease, and the P/E ratio will decrease. § Increase in dividend payout/reduction inearnings retention. In this case, an
44、increase in the dividend payout willlikely decrease the P/E ratio because a decrease in earnings retention willlikely lower the P/E ratio. The logic is as follows: Because earnings retentionimpacts both the numerator (dividend payout) and denominator (g) of the P/Eratio, the impact of a change in ea
45、rnings retention depends upon therelationship of ke and ROE. If the company is earning a higher rate on newprojects than the rate required by the market (ROE> ke), investors willlikely prefer that the company retain more earnings. Since an increase in thedividend payout would decrease earnings re
46、tention, the P/E ratio would fall, asinvestors will value the company lower if it retains a lower percentage ofearnings. 5 . Which of thefollowing is NOT a determinant of the expected price/earnings (P/E) ratio? A)Expected dividendpayout ratio (D/E). B)Average debt tocapital ratio (D/
47、C). C)Expected growth ratein dividends (g). The correct answer wasB The P/E ratio isdetermined by payout ratio D/E, required return Ke, and expected growth g.1 .Anequity valuation model that values a firm based on the market value of itsoutstanding debt and equity securities, relative
48、 to a firm fundamental, isa(n): A)asset-based model. B)enterprise valuemodel. C)market multiplemodel. The correct answer wasB An enterprise valuemodel relates a firms enterprise value (the market value of its outstandingequity and debt securities minus its cash and marketable securities holdings)to
49、its EBITDA, operating earnings, or revenue. 2 . Dividends onnon-participating preference shares are typically: A)a fixed percentageof par value. B)a contractualobligation of the company. C)lower than thedividends on common shares. The correct answer wasA Similar to theinterest payments on a debt security, dividends on non-participating preferenceshares (preferred stock) are typically fixed. Unlike the interest payments on adebt security, the company is not contractually obligated to pay preferreddividends. Preferred
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