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文檔簡(jiǎn)介
NorthAmericaEquityResearch
April2021
VetSurveyTakeaways
ImplicationsforOurAnimalHealthCoverage
Pharmaceuticals
ChrisSchott,CFAAC
(1-212)622-5676
christopher.t.schott@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
ChristopherNeyor
(1-212)622-0334
christopher.z.neyor@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
EkaterinaKnyazkova
(1-212)622-9576
Ekaterina.v.knyazkova@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
XilingChen
(1-212)622-0364
Xiling.chen@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
Seetheendpagesofthispresentationforanalystcertificationandimportantdisclosures,includingnon-USanalystdisclosures.
J.P.Morgandoesandseekstodobusinesswithcompaniescoveredinitsresearchreports.Asaresult,investorsshouldbeawarethatthefirmmayhaveaconflictofinterestthatcouldaffecttheobjectivityofthisreport.Investorsshouldconsiderthisreportasonlyasinglefactorinmakingtheir
investmentdecision.
1
KeyTakeaways
1Wesurveyed25USveterinarianswhotreatatotalof~65,000dogsand~29,000catsonvarioustopicsrelevantfortheindustry,includingtrendsandexpectationsfordiagnostics,parasiticide,dermatology,andpainmarkets.
1Overallmarketdynamicsremainhealthy:Veterinariansareexpectingtotreatmoredogs,runmoretestsandearnmoremoneypervisitin2021
1Veterinariansexpecttotreatmoredogs(+9%YoY)andrunmorediagnostictests(+6%YoY)in2021.
1Revenuepervisitincreasedformostpracticesthroughthepandemic(+13%YoYin2020),drivenbyhigherdiagnosticutilizationandstandardofcare.Veterinariansseethesetrendspersistingandexpectrevenuepervisittoincreasein2021(+11%YoY).
1Positive:ZTS,IDXX,ELAN,HSKA
1Parasiticidemarketdynamics:.Significantsharegainsaheadfororalproducts,~35%ofdogsstillaren’tgettingcompleteparasiticidecoverage
1Unsurprisingly,mostveterinariansfavornewer-genoralproductsandexpectoralstocontinuegainingshareintheirpracticesovertime(~68%in2019to~85%in2025)attheexpenseofbothtopicalsandcollars(whichatthispointareincreasinglysoldthroughnon-vetchannels).
1Veterinariansestimate~10%ofdogswon’thaveanyparasiticidecoveragein2021andanother~25%onlypartialcoverage,suggestingroomfortheparasiticidemarkettoexpandovertime.
1Positive:ZTS
1Neutral/Negative:ELAN
1SimparicaTrio:Verypositivevetfeedbackthusfar,participantsseetheproductcapturing~40%oftheoralparasiticidemarketby2023(vs~17%ofthedogsintheirpracticetoday).
1Ontheflea&tick(orflea&worm)sideofthemarket,veterinariansseeSimparicaTriotakesharefromBravecto,TrifexisandNexGard,withmorelimitedimpactonCredelio(lowstartingshare).
1Onthewormsideofthemarket,veterinariansseearoleforbothSimparicaTrioandProHeart12withZTSsharecomingprimarilyfromHeartGard,followedbyInterceptorPlusandTriHeart.
1VeterinariansseelimitedSimparicacannibalization,withonly~10%ofSimparicaTriousecomingfrompastSimparicausers.
1WhileuseofTriowasaboveoverallmarketaverages,surveyresultssuggestacontinuedstrongrampfortheproductgoingforward
1Positive:ZTS
1Neutral/Negative:ELAN
2
KeyTakeaways
1Seresto:Mixedviewsonrecentheadlines.
1~55%ofveterinarianswereconcernedabouttherecentSerestoheadlineswhileotherslargelydismissedherisk.Only~35%hadreceivedquestions/concernsfrompetownersusingtheproduct.
1WithSerestolargelysoldoutsidethevetclinic(andvetingeneralnotallthatsupportiveofcollars),itremainsunclearifthereisanyreadacrosstothebroaderSerestouserbasefromtheseresults.
1Neutral/Negative:ELAN
1Derm:ParticipantsseeApoquelpenetrationpeakingbutroomforCytopointtogrow,remainopentoprescribingapotentialdermcompetitor.
1VeterinariansexpectedtheiruseofApoqueltoremainrelativelyflatovertimeandtheiruseofCytopointtogrowfrom~35%todayto~45%oftargetdogs5yearsfromnow.
1Mostveterinariansremainrelativelyopentoprescribingahypotheticalcompetitiveproduct,assumingacomparablesafetyandefficacyprofile(whichvetssawasmostimportant).
1Neutral:ZTS
1Positive:ELAN(assumingdermapprovalsovertime)
1Solensia/Librella:VeterinariansareveryreceptivetoZTS’supcomingpainlaunches
1Veterinariansaregenerallyopentoutilizingbothproducts,citingunmetneedinthespace,desireformorein-clinicinjectibles,trustinZTSandsomefamiliaritywiththeNGFmechanism.
1VeterinariansseeLibrellacapturing~31%shareoverthenext5years(and~19%share2yearsfromnowassuminga2022approval).
1ForfelineOA,veterinariansseeasizeablepatientpopulation(~23%ofcatstreatedhaveOA)andseeSolensiacapturing~46%ofthemarketfiveyearspost-launch.
1Positive:ZTS
1Galliprant:Vetsseeanevolvingrolefortheproduct.
1VeterinarianswerefamiliarbutonlyoccasionallyprescribingGalliprant.However,thosewhousethedruggenerallylikeit.
1VetsexpecttheiruseofGallipranttoincreasefrom~14%todayto~19%2yearsfromnow.5yearsfromnow,veterinariansexpecttheiruseofGallipranttoplateauasZTS’sLibrellaentersthemarket.
1Neutral:ELAN
3
KeyTakeaways
1Diagnosticmarketdynamics:Vetsseediagnosticutilizationincreasing.
1Veterinariansexpecttorun~47%oftestsin-house(vs~53%sentouttoreferencelabs)withthepercentagesunchanged2018-2021.
1Mostveterinariansdonotexpecttoswitchdiagnosticprovidersin2021(95%likelystayingwithexpectingproviders)orthrough2025(76%veryunlikelyorunlikelytoswitch),suggestingbroadsatisfactionwithexistingrelationshipsandthestickynatureofthemarket.
1Veterinariansareexpectingtoutilizediagnosticsinmorewellness(58%in2020vs61%expectedin2021)andnon-wellness(71%in
2020vs73%expectedin2021)visits.
1Positive:IDXX,HSKA
1Onnewofferings,~60%ofpracticesexpecttohaveaurinesedimentanalyzerby2025(vsjust~32%today).
1Positive:IDXX,HSKA,ZTS
1Fecaltesting:veterinariansaren’tparticularlyexcitedaboutfecalanalyzersbutHSKAusersaremorereceptive.
1VeterinariansgenerallydidnotthinkthattheirpracticewouldbenefitfromafecalanalyzerlikeZTS’sVetScanImagystorHSKA’selementAIM,citingworkflowandcostasthebiggestbarrierstoadoption.
1However,Heskausers’responsesweremorefavorable(6.3/10vs4.4/10forallvets),whichweseeasparticularlyimportantasHSKArollsoutelementAIMtoitssubscriberbaselaterthisyear.
1Neutral:HSKA
4
SURVEYBACKGROUND
5
SurveyBackground&MarketTrends:VetsAreSeeingMoreDogsAnd
RunningMoreTests
1Surveyedveterinarianstreatedatotalof~66,500dogsand~28,800catsin2019.Theseveterinariansexpecttotreat~73,200dogs(+10%)and~29,500(+2%)catsin2021.
1Surveyedveterinariansran~52,800diagnostictestsin2019andexpecttorun~60,300testsin2021(+14%).
1JPMView:
1Theincreaseindogsveterinariansexpecttoseein2021isconsistentwithcommentsZTS,ELAN,IDXXandHSKA(andmanyothers)havemadearoundtheCOVID-19driven“puppyadoptionboom”.Thisstepupinpetownershipshouldrepresentadurablebenefittotheindustryevenasadoptiongrowthratesnormalizeovertime.
1Resultssuggestanincreaseindiagnosticutilizationbothin2020andin2021andweseethistrendcontinuingovertimeaspenetrationofmanyoftheseproductsremainslow.
Q:Howmanydogs(cats)haveyoutreated/seenorexpecttotreat/seeineachofthefollowingyears?
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
2020petadoptionuptick
dogs
cats
201920202021
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey
Q:Howmanydiagnostictests(bloodwork,urine,fecal,etc)haveyourun-in-houseorsenttoareferencelabineachofthefollowingyears?
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
6
DiagnosticTestingVolumes
201920202021
2019
2020
Q:Pleaseestimatethepracticerevenuepervisitin2019,2020andyourexpectationsfor2021?
$243
$215
$300
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
$0
$269
2021
MarketTrends:PracticesAreEarningMoreRevenuePerVisit
1Veterinarians’practicesgeneratedrevenuesof$216/visitin2019.Veterinarianssawrevenuesincreasingin2020($243/visit,+12%)andexpectthistrendtocontinuein2021($269/visit,+10%).
1Thebiggestfactorscontributingtopracticerevenuegrowthincludedmoretesting,higherstandardorcareandagreaterwillingnesstotreatchronicconditions(inpartduetospendingmoretimewithpetsathome)andclientswantingtoruncomprehensivetestsgivenchallengesschedulingappointments.
1JPMView:
1TheseresultsahighlyconsistentwithcommentsmadebyIDXX,ZTSandothers.Petownersareincreasinglywillingtospendontheiranimalsandvetsareofferingawiderrangeofservices(includingmorediagnostics).
Q:Explainwhichfactorscontributedtogrowth(ordeclines)inrevenuepervisit?
Clientsmorewillingtododiagnostictesting
Clientswantingtorunalltestsbecausedifficulttogetappointments
increasingnumberofpetownerswithtimetomanagechronicconditionsandconductappropriatefollowup
Morenewpets,morepeopleathomewithpets,competitorsdroppingemergencyserviceslocally
Economicpositionofclients,decreasedabilitytocomeintopractice
Routinepriceincrease,moreinsurance
WEaresocrazybusy.Allappointmentfullnowpluswaitinglistandithasbeenthiswaysincelatelastyear…
NormalYOYincreaseandfolkswillingtodomore
Willingnesstospendmoneyforpreventativemanagement
theownersabilitytoaffordthecostoftestsandproducts
Withthepandemicpeopledon'twanttohavetocomebackforasecondvisit…everyoneisgettingastimuluscheckwhichtheyarespendingwithus!
Allgrowth,increaseinpetsinhousesunderquarantine.Increaseintimespentwithpetstonoticesaidpetsidiosyncrasiesandcallinthinkingitsabnormal…
7
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey.Note:Thesesurveycommentshavebeenreproducedintheiroriginalformandhavenotbeenedited.SurveycommentsshouldnotbeattributedtoJ.P.Morganandarenotrepresentativeofitsviews.
SURVEYRESULTS:PARASITICIDES
8
flea&tick+wormproduct
39%
flea&tickproductonly
9%
~35%ofDogsAreNotGettingSufficientParasiticideCoverage
1Veterinariansestimate~39%ofdogsintheirpracticewillbetakingaflea&tickproduct(suchasNexGard)andawormproduct(suchasHeartGard),~14%willbetakingaflea&tick&wormproduct(SimparicaTrio)and~12%aflea&wormproduct(suchasTrifexis),
1Thisleaves~35%notreceivingfullcoverageincluding~15%ofdogswillbetakingonlyawormproduct(suchasHeartGard),~9%onlyaflea&tickproduct(suchasNexGard)and~11%willhavenoparasiticidecoverage.
1JPMView:
1Theseresultshighlightthatasignificantnumberofdogs(~35%)includedinthesurveyarenotgettingsufficientparasiticidecoverage,missingeitherworm,fleaortickprotection(ornotgettinganyprotectionatall).
1ConvertingthesedogstoSimparicaTriooranotherflea&tick+awormcombo(onceapproved)wouldtranslateintosignificantgrowthfortheoverallparasiticidemarket.
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey
Q:Ofthedogsinyourpractice,pleaseestimatethepercentreceivingeachofthefollowingparasiticidetherapiesin2021?
NOcoverage
11%
flea&tick&wormproduct
14%
wormproduct
only
15%
flea&wormproduct
12%
9
Unsurprisingly,VeterinariansExpectOralstoGainShareOverTime
1Lookingatflea&tickproducts,veterinariansareexpectingoralstogainshareovertime(from~68%in2019to~85%in2025).
1Veterinariansexpecttopicalstolosethemostshare(from~24%in2019to~10%in2025),followedbycollars(from~7%in
2019to~3%in2025).
1JPMView:
1Theseresultsarelargelyin-linewithourexpectations-andconsistentwithresponseswehaveseeninpriorsurveys–withvetclinicsadoptingoralsoverotherflea&tickproductsovertime.Thisresultslikeoverstatetheerosionoftopicalsandcollars,whicharelargelyavailableOTCandthroughnon-vetchannels
1ForAdvantage(ELAN):TheseresultssupportourviewthatAdvantageinthevetchannelshouldcontinuetodeclineovertimeasoralscontinuegainingsharerelativetotopicals.However,weexpecterosiontomoderateovertimeasmorevolumeflowsthroughonline/alternativechannels.
1ForSeresto(ELAN):Theseresultssuggestamodestlysmallerroleforcollarsovertimeinthevetclinic.Thatsaid,weseenon-vetchannelsastheprimarymarketforaproductlikeSeresto
Q:Ofthedogsinyourpracticethatareonpreventativeparaciticideflea&tickproduct,pleaseestimatethepercentthatarereceiving(andwillbereceivinginthefuture)eachofthefollowingproductcategories
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey
oral
other
topicalcollar
2019202120232025
10
SimparicaTrioPoisedtoGainSignificantShare
1Amongoralflea&tickandflea&wormproducts,in2019themostusedproductamongourvetswasMerck’sBravecto(~38%share),followedbyBI’sNexGard(~22%),ELAN’sTrifexis(~17%),ZTS’sSimparica(~12%)andELAN’sCredelio(~10%).
1VeterinariansexpectSimparicaTriotoquicklygainshare,estimating~17%sharefortheproductin2021and~40%in2023.
1VetsseeTriosharecomingfromBravecto(~11%shareloss),Trifexis(~10%shareloss)andNexGard(~9%shareloss).VeterinariansareexpectingmoremodesterosionforCredelioandSimparica(likelysomeTriocannibalization).
1JPMView:
1ForSimparica/SimparicaTrio(ZTS):Obviouslytheseresultspointtoverystronguptake(~40%shareby2023)forSimparicaTriooverthenextseveralyears,wellaboveourexpectations.Thatsaid,othertriples,onceapproved,likelymoderatethissharegain.VeterinariansarealsoexpectingonlymodestcannibalizationforSimparica,aclearpositivefortheoverallfranchiseandconsistentwithZTSmgmtcomments.
1ForTrifexis(ELAN):VeterinariansseeTrifexislosingsharetoSimparicaTrio,andweseetheproductbecomingasmallerandsmallerpartofELAN’sparasiticideportfolioovertime.
Q:OfthedogsinyourpracticethatareonpreventativeORALparaciticideflea&tickor(flea&worm)products,pleaseestimatethepercentthatarereceivingthefollowing:
Source:J.P.Morgan
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
survey
SimparicaTrioNexGardSimparicaBravectoCredelioTrifexisOther
201920212023
11
VetsSeeaRoleforBothSimparicaTrioandProHeart12
1Amongwormproducts,in2019themostusedproductwasBI’sHeartGard(~42%share),followedbyELAN’sInterceptorPlus(~19%),Merck’sTriHeart(~17%),ZTS’sProheart6/12(~13%).
1VeterinariansexpectSimparicaTriotoquicklygainshare,estimating~18%sharefortheproductin2021and~35%in2023.
1VeterinariansseeSimparicaTrioshareinthewormmarketcominglargelyfromHeartGard(~21%shareloss),followedbyInterceptorPlus(7%)andTriHeart(6%).
1Interestingly,veterinariansexpectZTS’sinjectibleProHeart6/12togainshareoverthenextseveralyears(~4%sharegainby
2023)reflectingsharegainsintheportionofthemarketstilloptingforseparatewormandflea/tickofferings.
1JPMView:
1ForInterceptorPlus(ELAN):VeterinariansseeInterceptor/InterceptorPluslosingsomesharetoSimparicaTriointhewormmarket,albeitnotasmuchasBI’sNexGard.
1ForProHeart12(ZTS):TheseresultssuggestaroleforBOTHSimparicaTrioandProHeart12inthewormmarketandhealthysharesgainsforZTSintheparasiticidemarketovertime.
Q:Outofthedogsreceivingawormproduct(suchasHeartgardandProHeart)orSimparicaTrio,pleaseestimatethepercentofdogsinyourpracticethatare(orwillbe)oneachofthefollowing?
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
SimparicaTrioHeartGardTriHeartInterceptorProHeart6/12Other
201920212023
12
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey
Flea&worm
12%
Flea&ticktopicals
14%
SimparicaTriotoSupportShareGainsforZTSinParasiticideMarketWithLittleCannibalizationforSimparica
1AmongdogsonSimparicaTrio,only~11%ofdogswerepreviouslyonSimparica,~47%wereonotherflea&tickoralslikeNexGardandBravecto,~14%wereonflea&ticktopicalslikeAdvantage,~12%wereonaflea&wormproductlikeTrifexisand~5%werepreviouslyusingacollar.For~11%ofdogs,SimparicaTriowastheirfirstproduct.
1JPMView:
1ForSimparicaTrio(ZTS):Theseresultsagainhighlightthatvolumefortheproductisprimarilycomingfromnon-ZTSproducts(Nexgard,Bravecto,etc),withonly~11%comingfromSimparica(againhighlightingmorelimitedcannibalization).
1ThisshouldsupportmeanigfulsharegainsforZTSintheparasiticidemarketovertime.
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey
Q:ForthedogsonSimparicaTrio,whichflea&tick(orflea&worm)
productweretheyusingpriortoSimparicaTrio?
n/a-newpuppy
11%
Simparica11%
Flea&tickcollars
5%
Otherflea&tickorals
47%
13
VeterinariansHaveHadAPositiveExperiencew/SimparicaTrio
1Oftheveterinarianswhohaveprescribedtheproduct(22outof25),veterinarianswerehighlysatisfiedwithSimparicaTrio(average=8.2,median=8)whenaskedtoratetheirexperiencewiththeproductonascaleof1to10
1Mostveterinarianshighlightedtheproduct’sconvenience,effectivenessandtolerability.Afewveterinarianshighlightedtheproduct’shighcost(n=2).
Q:HowwouldyourateyourexperiencewithSimparicaTriosofar?Pleaseelaborateonyourratingabove.
Stillnewsocan'tsayI'mextremelysatisfiedyet.Alsofinditverycostly.
Easyandwelltolerated
Goodproduct
wehavenotbeenusingtheproductverylong,butwehavenothadanycomplaintsfromowners
Coupleofvomitingdogs.Notnervous.Yet.
greatnewproduct,weareinaheavytickandheartwormarea.
It'sokay
Effectiveandpalatable
wereallyonlyjuststartedtoofferit.Myonlycomplaintisitisnottootasty-myowndogsdon'tlikethetaste.
Workswell,expensivebuteasytouse.
goodstats,toleratedwellandpricecheaperthansomeotheroptions
I'mhappywithwhatIhave
Nosideeffectsnoted,dogslikethem
Reliableproductandconvenient
StillintestingphaseofefficacyforthisdemographicLowparasiterange
Q:HowwouldyourateyourexperiencewithSimparicaTriosofar?Pleaserateonascaleof1-10.
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
12345678910
14
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey.Note:Thesesurveycommentshavebeenreproducedintheiroriginalformandhavenotbeenedited.SurveycommentsshouldnotbeattributedtoJ.P.Morganandarenotrepresentativeofitsviews.
Q:AreyouconcernedabouttherecentmediaheadlinesonSeresto?
Q:Havepetownersontheproductvoicedanyconcernstoyouthusfar?
No44%
Yes36%
No
64%
Yes56%
Seresto:VeterinariansHaveMixedViewsonRecentHeadlines
1WhenaskedaboutrecentSerestoheadlines,veterinarianshadmixedviews.14vets(56%)wereconcernedaboutrecentmediaarticleshighlightingsafetyissuesfortheproduct,while11vetswerenotconcerned.Atthesametime,~35%ofvetshavehadpetownersvoiceconcerns,while65%vetshavenot.
1Vets’commentswereverydiverse,ragingfrom“Ithinkthiswassensationalizedmediamostly”to“ownersareveryconcernedfortheirpets,andtheirchildren(andthemselves)”to“wedon’tusethesecollarsanyways”.
1JPMView:
1ForSeresto(ELAN):Whileveterinarianviewsonrecentheadlinesweredifficulttogauge,itisimportanttohighlightthatSerestoislargelypurchasedoutsidethevetclinic(OTCproduct).Ultimately,petownerswilldeterminewhetherornottobuytheproductandatthispointitistooearlytotelltowhatextentmediaheadlinesareresonatingwiththebroaderpopulation(overallmediaimpressionsonthetopicseemedtohavepeakedlastmonth).
Q:AreyouconcernedabouttherecentmediaheadlinesonSeresto?Havepetownersvoicedanyconcernstoyouthusfar?Pleasexplain
Peoplewillbelievethesearticlesasfact.Wehavealreadyhadpeoplecontactuswithconcernsaboutit…
Stoppedclientsfromusing
wehaveseenacaseofsuspectedSerestorelatedtoxicity
Ithinkthiswassensationalizedmediamostly.ClientsthatuseSerestoandlikeitareloyaltotheproduct.Wecontinuetoprovideitasanoption.
Clientshaveyettoaskaboutthis.
Thesewereisolatedincidentsandwedon'tusethesecollarsanyway.
Notenoughinformationyet.
Ownersareveryconcernedfortheirpetsandtheirchildren(andthemselves...Manyhavequestionedtheirpetsepilepsyascausedbythesecollars
Itisaverylownumberperyearandreportedcasesarenotalwaysvalidated.Everycomplaintisregistered
Ihaven'thadbadexperienceswithSeresto.TheAVMAstatementwashelpfulinbackingupmylackoffaithintheseadversereports.
15
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey.Note:Thesesurveycommentshavebeenreproducedintheiroriginalformandhavenotbeenedited.SurveycommentsshouldnotbeattributedtoJ.P.Morganandarenotrepresentativeofitsviews.
SURVEYRESULTS:DERM
16
VeterinariansSeeCytopointUseIncreasing,AreSatisfiedWithBothApoquelandCytopoint
1Onaverage,veterinariansexpectedtheiruseofApoqueltoremainrelativelyflatovertime,from~46%todayto~48%5yearsfromnow.AtthesametimeveterinariansexpectedtheiruseofCytopointtoincreasesignificantlyfrom~35%todayto~44%5yearsfromnow(vs~21%2yearsago).
1Onaverage,whenaskedtoratetheirexperiencewiththeproductonascaleof1to10,veterinarianswerehighlysatisfiedwithApoquel(average=8.3,median=8)andCytopoint(average=8.3,median=9).
1JPMView:
1TheseresultssuggestthatwhileApoquelpenetrationmaybepeaking(notentirelysurprisingconsideringhasbeenonthemarketformorethan7yearsnow),veterinariansareexpectingtheiruseofCytopointtoincreaseovertime,whichbodeswellforZTS’sdermatologyportfolio.
1Veterinarians’positiveexperienceswithApoquelandCytopointarenotsurprisinggiventhecommercialsuccessZTShasseenwiththetwoproducts.
Q:Ofthedogsyoutreatforatopicdermatitisorallergicdermatitis,towhatpercentdoyouprescribeApoquelandCytopoint?
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
ApoquelCytopoint
2yearsagotoday2yearsfromnow5yearsfromnow
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey
Q:HowwouldyourateyourexperiencewithApoquelandCytopointsofar?Pleaserateonascaleof1-10
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
12345678910
ApoquelCytopoint
17
VeterinariansAreGenerallyReceptivetoaDermCompetitor
1WhenaskedhowlikelytheywouldbetoprescribeaproductcomparabletoApoquel,veterinariansweregenerallytoopentotheidea(average=7.5,median=8).
1Notsurprisingly,efficacy,verycloselyfollowedbysafetywerethemostimportantfactorsindecidingtoswitchtoahypotheticalApoquelcompetitor.Costwasthethirdmostimportantfactor.
1JPMView:
1ItisnotsurprisingthatveterinariansarereceptivetotheideaofprescribingahypotheticalApoquelcompetitor,asvetsarealmostalwayshappytohavemoreoptions.
1Ultimately,weseeuptakeforapotentialcompetitortobedrivenbythecompetitor’sefficacyandsafetyprofilerelativetoZTS’sproduct.Andveterinarians’loyaltytoZTS’sportfoliowillservethecompanywellwhencompetitiondoesinevitablyemerge.
Q:IfaproductcomparabletoApoquelweretobeapprovedtoday,howlikelywouldyoubetoprescribeit?
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
12345678910
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey
Q:WhichfactorswouldyouseeasmostimportantwhendecidingonwhethertoswitchfromApoqueltoacompetitiveproduct?
18
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
cost
experiencewithproduct
efficacyprofilesafetyprofile
SURVEYRESULTS:PAIN
19
Q:HowwouldyourateyourexperiencewithGalliprantsofar?Pleaserateonascaleof1-10.
VeterinariansGenerallySatisfiedWithGalliprant
1Ofthesurveyedveterinarians,whilemostwerefamiliarwithGalliprant(23/25),asmallerpercentage(15/25)haveprescribedtheproduct(andonly8veterinariansprescribedtheproductoften),suggestinglessfamiliarityandutilizationforGalliprant.
1However,oftheveterinarianswhohaveprescribedtheproduct,whenaskedtoratetheirexperienceonascaleof1to10,veterinariansweresatisfiedwithGalliprant(average=7.4,median=7).
1Veterinarianshighlightedtheproduct’sfavorablesafetyprofile.Whilesomethoughttheproductwaseffective(particularlyinOA),otherspointedtomoremixedexperiences(“doesn’tworkaswellasotherNSAIDs”).Anumberonvetsalsonotedthehighcostoftheproduct.
1JPMView:
1ForGalliprant(ELAN):Thesecommentsweren’tsurprising(andconsistentwithourpreviousAHsurvey)andresponsessuggestveterinariansarestillintheearlystagesofadoptingtheproduct.
1ForZTS:Thereappearstoberoomforfurtherimprovementinthepainmarketfromhere.
Pleaseelaborateonyourratingabove
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
12345678910
Effectiveforchronicarthritis,butnotbeneficialforacutepainorspinaldisease
Ok
Livetheproduct,hatetheprice
Goodpaincontrol.Notalwaysthe"safernsaid"asadvertised
Seemstoworkforsome,isthesecondorthirdMedIchoose
Somedogsdevelopdryeye
verygoodforOAandpostoppaincontrol
Highcost
Iseegoodefficacy,butlongtermusecanbecostly
OverallIthinkitunderperformscomparableproducts.Idon'tthinkwehavehadthebestindicationsforitsusehowever.
Itworks!
bettersafetyprofilebutdoesnotseemtoworkaswellasotherNSAIDSandmoreexpensive
Havenotusedenough
20
Source:J.P.Morgansurvey.Note:Thesesurveycommentshavebeenreproducedintheiroriginalformandhavenotbeenedited.Surveycomments
shouldnotbeattributedtoJ.P.Morganandarenotrepresentativeofitsviews.
Q:Basedonyourknowledgeand
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