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1、綠道對城市影響的預測研究(Prediction study of Greenway impacts on cities)Prediction study of Greenway impacts on citiesFirst, from 1990s, Chinese scholars began to study greenway. Greenway has been the research hotspot and frontier disciplines of conservation biology, landscape ecology, city planning and landsca
2、pe design of the cross, Chinese also began to appear in the research of the green road scholars and experts and research institutions. Little will be defined as the mean of Greenway parks, natural reserves, scenic areas, historical sites and high density in the open space between the link area, is a
3、long the riverside, valleys, ridges or natural corridors, railways, canals, roads and other scenic artificial corridor built up linear open space. Tonglu, as an important junction of Greenway on both sides of Sanjiang, has a planned area of 49.3 square kilometers. Tonglu with its superior geographic
4、al location, location and the advantages of tourism resources, with the most suitable for Hangzhou residents and tourists for the greenway leisure tourism conditions, become on both sides of Sanjiang greenway planning demonstration point.2, research significanceGreenway Planning in Tonglu aims to cr
5、eate a slow system to provide leisure space for residents. It is of great significance to evaluate the construction of Greenway to the economic, tourism, social, environmental and rural areas in Tonglu. It is of great significance to conduct a comprehensive evaluation of Greenway Construction Projec
6、ts in Tonglu county. Prediction of integrated assessment on Tonglu green road after the completion of the economy, environment and society, can objectively reflect the greenway planning rationality, validity and returns, thus provides the feasible basis for the Tonglu green road construction investm
7、ent decision. The Tonglu green road to improve the tourism competitiveness of Tonglu County, enrich and deepen the countys historical and cultural connotation, improve the living environment and investment environment, but the green road construction will bring economic, social and environmental eff
8、ects to the county of Tonglu, is the need to verify the.Two, Tonglu greenway overview1. Distribution of tourism resources of Greenway in TongluTonglu Green Road in tandem with many tourist resources in Tonglu, and even dot into line, fully integrated Tonglu County Tourism resources. Tonglu has a mou
9、ntain, water, forest, stone cave, unique natural landscape, there are strict zailingdiaotai red lanterns, grandma, vertical cloud daqishan Tongtian River, Forest Park, day Qiandongshan funnel hole, Bai Yunyuan, river rafting, Tianmu wave stone Gold Beach, Tong Jun Mountain and a number of other well
10、-known degree is high located along the scenic spots; F arch, arch, tower, Kim Jun Linda garden, Xiaoquan Pavilion, Xie Ao tomb Xiaoquan landscape, cultural landscape.2, the overall planning of Greenway in TongluTonglu county around the mountains, clear water, beautiful scenery of the city, the goal
11、, follow the ecology, localization, diversification and the feasibility of the principle of planning green road length of 169.7 kilometers, the formation of four horizontal and vertical, five stations, five channel overall layout. The four horizontal lines include line 1, line 3, line 5, line 7. P i
12、ncluding line 2, line 4, line 6, line 8. Five stops, that is, five first-class relay station. Respectively with beautiful scenery and interesting Binjiang Chai Bu Inn, rich cultural heritage of the East Gate Inn, Binjiang Inn, leisure agricultural products rich and unique style inn Wanli leisure and
13、 vacation in one of the CI Lu station. The five channel is to promote the Waterfront Road on both sides of the Fuchun River can effectively connected to form a whole, plan and set up across the river channel 5, the use of existing channel 4, respectively is the narrow river bridge, Yingchun bridge,
14、bridge crossing the economy, the Fuchun River dam.Three, questionnaire design and investigationAccording to the research objective, a questionnaire was designed. The questionnaire was divided into two parts: one is for the residents of Tonglu County, and two for visiting tourists in Tonglu county.A
15、total of 12 questions were designed about the greenway function, impact, demand, facility design, 5 - 6 subjects, and sub - items. Using Likert scale method, according to the respondents judgment on the issue, from the strong opposition, no, no objection does not agree and agree, strongly agree were
16、 given 1 to 5 points, the higher the score, the higher the degree of assent. With regard to the impact of Greenway on real estate values, 5 - 6 questions are designed to investigate the expectations of residents and visitors about the potential of green road to enhance their real estate values and t
17、heir acceptance. The questionnaire was conducted from November 16, 2011 to November 19, 2011. The main contents include the investigation of residents and tourists perception of green road and greenway function; both positive and negative impact on the perception of the Greenway Construction; Green
18、function demand expectations; lifting property value prediction, the acceptable degree of price increase.The questionnaires in the address selection on both sides of Sanjiang Green Road in Tonglu section, Binjiang Park, square, Rongcun narrow, Tong Jun Mei Xi Cun, Lu Ci style town, strict zailingdia
19、otai etc. to urban and rural residents and tourists visiting the random questionnaire. In fact, 312 questionnaires were issued and 135 questionnaires were received,298 questionnaires and 126 copies of valid residents and tourists were collected. The questionnaire has a recovery rate of 94.9%85%, and
20、 the data is valid and can be used for analysis.Four. Research conclusions1, social impactThe social benefits of Greenway are long-term and sustainable. The expected results are brought to the green road of social benefits, 85% of residents believe that the green channel can improve the living envir
21、onment of the residents, 85.5% of residents believe that the greenway can improve urban and rural environmental sanitation and the village, 79.9% of residents believe that Green Road residents can raise the degree of civilization, 84.9% that can increase the recreational facilities and green road le
22、isure place for residents, 78.9% of residents believe that the greenway can improve public service facilities, 68.4% of residents believe that the green channel can improve the local infrastructure construction, 67.5% of residents believe that the green channel can increase Green Road residents the
23、opportunity to communicate with the outside world.Greenway offers the convenience of leisure for residents, and recreational facilities close to home allow residents to enjoy the healthy lifestyle that greenway brings. Green Road enable people to enjoy Tonglu from the outdoor perspective, and to pro
24、vide safe and healthy gathering for family members opportunities; and encourage people to adopt low-carbon traffic mode in a reasonable range, walk or ride a bike to school, or outdoor recreation areas, and for the people to District, Business District Riverside leisure area increased, and the safet
25、y and convenience. By reducing traffic congestion and increasing motor vehicle safety, greenway has greatly reduced parking congestion at popular destinations.2, environmental impactGreen road construction to protect and restore the natural ecology along for the purpose of combining the building alo
26、ng with pollution cleaning, landscape environment, urban and rural landscape renovation work, makes the ecological environment protection and improvement of the greatest degree. Green road construction, on the one hand, greatly promote the ecological protection along the line, on the other hand will
27、 attract large numbers of residents and tourists. It makes peoples understanding of natural resources more comprehensive, expand the protection of natural resources and the environment, and pay more attention to the comprehensive benefits brought by the ecological environment.The survey of residents
28、 and tourists showed 67.4% residents and 88.1% tourists willing to support the green road maintenance management and protection of ecological environment and contribute, residents and tourists willingness to pay for ecological landscape value were 57.36 yuan and 50.56 yuan. In this way, the ecologic
29、al landscape benefits of residents and tourists are 11 million 785 thousand and 300 yuan and 365 million yuan.3, tourism and economic impactThe direct economic impact of Greenway is defined as the direct cost of greenway, which is generally considered as the initial cost of goods, services, salaries
30、, materials, and other greenway related costs by greenway users and green operators.According to cases at home and abroad, the economic benefits of using greenway can be assessed. From the use of the green road to the residents consumption intention can be predicted, the average per person consumpti
31、on is expected to 56.34 yuan, according to the Tonglu County in 2010 sixth main data of census bulletin, Tonglu resident population of 406450 people (outside the county population of 69778, accounting for 17.7%). The resident population of 0 to 14 years of age, the population of 54122 people, accoun
32、ting for 13.31%; 15 - 59 year old population is 286366 people, accounting for 70.46%; the population aged 60 and over accounted for 16.23% to 65962 people, among them, the population aged 65 and over 43471 people, accounting for 10.7%. From the analysis of residents samples, it is found that the con
33、sumption groups of Greenway are mainly between 15 and 59 years old, that is, about 70% of the population of Tonglu county can become potential consumers of greenway. The analysis result shows that 71.8% of the residents are willing to in the green road after the completion of the green road to walk
34、or ride a bike for sightseeing, which can estimate the direct economic income of residents caused by the use of the green road, at least 12 million 331 thousand and 300 yuan.From the analysis of the consumption intention of potential tourists in Tonglu, the expected amount of money spent by tourists
35、 is 82.14 yuan. According to Tonglu County 2010 national economic and social development statistical communique, in 2010, Tonglu County received 59 thousand and 500 foreign tourists, an increase of 10.8%: domestic tourists 5 million 397 thousand and 900 people, an increase of 15.4%.Because the green
36、way is very popular with foreign tourists. After the completion of the Tonglu greenway, the number of foreign inbound tourists increased to 68 thousand and 400, an increase of 15%, and 6 million 477 thousand and 500 domestic tourists, an increase of 20%. 91.3% of the visitors said they would use the
37、 green road in the Greenway Construction successfully, so as to estimate tourists due to the use of green road caused direct economic gross income is 672 million yuan per year, reaching 404 million yuan for the prediction of local residents brought the total income. The total economic income of tour
38、ism in 2010 was 4 billion 940 million yuan, and it is estimated that the total economic income of tourism will be at least 6 billion 516 million yuan after the completion of Greenway in 2012.The indirect economic benefits generated by greenway are the subsequent purchasing power of the material and
39、service providers to maintain direct consumption. The consumption of consumables by the users of Greenway is the main driving force of indirect economic benefits. Consumables consumption consists of accommodation, in coffee shops, hotels and restaurants catering, leisure (including tour guides or recreation facilities rental), entertainment, car maintenance and fuel costs, local transportation (bus and taxi), buy groceries from a retail store, and retail goods (gift or
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