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1、精選優(yōu)質(zhì)文檔-傾情為你奉上財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理中英文資料翻譯Financial Risk ManagementAlthough financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to
2、do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can ra
3、pidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management.What Is Risk?Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Ris
4、k refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure.Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposur
5、e, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits.Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may resu
6、lt in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns. Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk, understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it. Identifying exp
7、osures and risks forms the basis for an appropriate financial risk management strategy.How Does Financial Risk?Financial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature, including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other business activities. It can arise as a re
8、sult of legal transactions, new projects, mergers and acquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activities of management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. When financial prices change dramatically, it can increase costs, reduce revenues, o
9、r otherwise adversely impact the profitability of an organization. Financial fluctuations may make it more difficult to plan and budget, price goods and services, and allocate capital.There are three main sources of financial risk:1. Financial risks arising from an organizations exposure to changes
10、in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.2. Financial risks arising from the actions of, and transactions with, other organizations such as vendors, customers, and counterparties in derivatives transactions3. Financial risks resulting from internal actions or fa
11、ilures of the organization, particularly people, processes, and systemsWhat Is Financial Risk Management?Financial risk management is a process to deal with the uncertainties resulting from financial markets. It involves assessing the financial risks facing an organization and developing management
12、strategies consistent with internal priorities and policies. Addressing financial risks proactively may provide an organization with a competitive advantage. It also ensures that management, operational staff, stakeholders, and the board of directors are in agreement on key issues of risk.Managing f
13、inancial risk necessitates making organizational decisions about risks that are acceptable versus those that are not. The passive strategy of taking no action is the acceptance of all risks by default.Organizations manage financial risk using a variety of strategies and products. It is important to
14、understand how these products and strategies work to reduce risk within the context of the organizations risk tolerance and objectives.Strategies for risk management often involve derivatives. Derivatives are traded widely among financial institutions and on organized exchanges. The value of derivat
15、ives contracts, such as futures, forwards, options, and swaps, is derived from the price of the underlying asset. Derivatives trade on interest rates, exchange rates, commodities, equity and fixed income securities, credit, and even weather.The products and strategies used by market participants to
16、manage financial risk are the same ones used by speculators to increase leverage and risk. Although it can be argued that widespread use of derivatives increases risk, the existence of derivatives enables those who wish to reduce risk to pass it along to those who seek risk and its associated opport
17、unities.The ability to estimate the likelihood of a financial loss is highly desirable. However, standard theories of probability often fail in the analysis of financial markets. Risks usually do not exist in isolation, and the interactions of several exposures may have to be considered in developin
18、g an understanding of how financial risk arises. Sometimes, these interactions are difficult to forecast, since they ultimately depend on human behavior.The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented and refined as the market and requirements change. Re
19、finements may reflect changing expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows:1、Identify and prioritize key financial risks.2、Determine an appropriate level of ris
20、k tolerance.3、Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.4、Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.DiversificationFor many years, the riskiness of an asset was assessed based only on the variability of its returns. In contrast, modern portfolio theory considers not only an a
21、ssets riskiness, but also its contribution to the overall riskiness of the portfolio to which it is added. Organizations may have an opportunity to reduce risk as a result of risk diversification.In portfolio management terms, the addition of individual components to a portfolio provides opportuniti
22、es for diversification, within limits. A diversified portfolio contains assets whose returns are dissimilar, in other words, weakly or negatively correlated with one another. It is useful to think of the exposures of an organization as a portfolio and consider the impact of changes or additions on t
23、he potential risk of the total.Diversification is an important tool in managing financial risks. Diversification among counterparties may reduce the risk that unexpected events adversely impact the organization through defaults. Diversification among investment assets reduces the magnitude of loss i
24、f one issuer fails. Diversification of customers, suppliers, and financing sources reduces the possibility that an organization will have its business adversely affected by changes outside managements control. Although the risk of loss still exists, diversification may reduce the opportunity for lar
25、ge adverse outcomes.Risk Management ProcessThe process of financial risk management comprises strategies that enable an organization to manage the risks associated with financial markets. Risk management is a dynamic process that should evolve with an organization and its business. It involves and i
26、mpacts many parts of an organization including treasury, sales, marketing, legal, tax, commodity, and corporate finance.The risk management process involves both internal and external analysis. The first part of the process involves identifying and prioritizing the financial risks facing an organiza
27、tion and understanding their relevance. It may be necessary to examine the organization and its products, management, customers, suppliers, competitors, pricing, industry trends, balance sheet structure, and position in the industry. It is also necessary to consider stakeholders and their objectives
28、 and tolerance for risk.Once a clear understanding of the risks emerges, appropriate strategies can be implemented in conjunction with risk management policy. For example, it might be possible to change where and how business is done, thereby reducing the organizations exposure and risk. Alternative
29、ly, existing exposures may be managed with derivatives. Another strategy for managing risk is to accept all risks and the possibility of losses.There are three broad alternatives for managing risk:1. Do nothing and actively, or passively by default, accept all risks.2. Hedge a portion of exposures b
30、y determining which exposures can and should be hedged.3. Hedge all exposures possible.Measurement and reporting of risks provides decision makers with information to execute decisions and monitor outcomes, both before and after strategies are taken to mitigate them. Since the risk management proces
31、s is ongoing, reporting and feedback can be used to refine the system by modifying or improving strategies.An active decision-making process is an important component of risk management. Decisions about potential loss and risk reduction provide a forum for discussion of important issues and the vary
32、ing perspectives of stakeholders.Factors that Impact Financial Rates and PricesFinancial rates and prices are affected by a number of factors. It is essential to understand the factors that impact markets because those factors, in turn, impact the potential risk of an organization.Factors that Affec
33、t Interest RatesInterest rates are a key component in many market prices and an important economic barometer. They are comprised of the real rate plus a component for expected inflation, since inflation reduces the purchasing power of a lenders assets .The greater the term to maturity, the greater t
34、he uncertainty. Interest rates are also reflective of supply and demand for funds and credit risk.Interest rates are particularly important to companies and governments because they are the key ingredient in the cost of capital. Most companies and governments require debt financing for expansion and
35、 capital projects. When interest rates increase, the impact can be significant on borrowers. Interest rates also affect prices in other financial markets, so their impact is far-reaching.Other components to the interest rate may include a risk premium to reflect the creditworthiness of a borrower. F
36、or example, the threat of political or sovereign risk can cause interest rates to rise, sometimes substantially, as investors demand additional compensation for the increased risk of default.Factors that influence the level of market interest rates include:1、Expected levels of inflation2、General eco
37、nomic conditions3、Monetary policy and the stance of the central bank4、Foreign exchange market activity5、Foreign investor demand for debt securities6、Levels of sovereign debt outstanding7、Financial and political stability Yield CurveThe yield curve is a graphical representation of yields for a range
38、of terms to maturity. For example, a yield curve might illustrate yields for maturity from one day (overnight) to 30-year terms. Typically, the rates are zero coupon government rates. Since current interest rates reflect expectations, the yield curve provides useful information about the markets exp
39、ectations of future interest rates. Implied interest rates for forward-starting terms can be calculated using the information in the yield curve. For example, using rates for one- and two-year maturities, the expected one-year interest rate beginning in one years time can be determined.The shape of
40、the yield curve is widely analyzed and monitored by market participants. As a gauge of expectations, it is often considered to be a predictor of future economic activity and may provide signals of a pending change in economic fundamentals.The yield curve normally slopes upward with a positive slope,
41、 as lenders/investors demand higher rates from borrowers for longer lending terms. Since the chance of a borrower default increases with term to maturity, lenders demand to be compensated accordingly.Interest rates that make up the yield curve are also affected by the expected rate of inflation. Inv
42、estors demand at least the expected rate of inflation from borrowers, in addition to lending and risk components. If investors expect future inflation to be higher, they will demand greater premiums for longer terms to compensate for this uncertainty. As a result, the longer the term, the higher the
43、 interest rate (all else being equal), resulting in an upward-sloping yield curve.Occasionally, the demand for short-term funds increases substantially, and short-term interest rates may rise above the level of longer term interest rates. This results in an inversion of the yield curve and a downwar
44、d slope to its appearance. The high cost of short-term funds detracts from gains that would otherwise be obtained through investment and expansion and make the economy vulnerable to slowdown or recession. Eventually, rising interest rates slow the demand for both short-term and long-term funds. A de
45、cline in all rates and a return to a normal curve may occur as a result of the slowdown.Source: Karen A. Horcher, 2005. “What Is Financial Risk Management?”. Essentials of Financial Risk Management, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.pp.1-22.財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理盡管近年來(lái)金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)大大增加,但風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理不是當(dāng)代的主要問(wèn)題。全球市場(chǎng)越來(lái)越多的問(wèn)題是,風(fēng)險(xiǎn)可能來(lái)自幾千英里以外的與這
46、些事件無(wú)關(guān)的國(guó)外市場(chǎng)。意味著需要的信息可以在瞬間得到,而其后的市場(chǎng)反應(yīng),很快就發(fā)生了。經(jīng)濟(jì)氣候和市場(chǎng)可能會(huì)快速影響外匯匯率變化、利率及大宗商品價(jià)格,交易對(duì)手會(huì)迅速成為一個(gè)問(wèn)題。因此,重要的一點(diǎn)是要確保金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是可以被識(shí)別并且管理得當(dāng)?shù)摹?zhǔn)備是風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理工作的一個(gè)關(guān)鍵組成部分。什么是風(fēng)險(xiǎn)?風(fēng)險(xiǎn)給機(jī)會(huì)提供了基礎(chǔ)。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和暴露的條款讓它們?cè)诤x上有了細(xì)微的差別。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是指有損失的可能性,而暴露是可能的損失,盡管他們通??梢曰Q。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)起因是由于暴露。金融市場(chǎng)的暴露影響大多數(shù)機(jī)構(gòu),包括直接或間接的影響。當(dāng)一個(gè)組織的金融市場(chǎng)暴露,有損失的可能性,但也是一個(gè)獲利或利潤(rùn)的機(jī)會(huì)。金融市場(chǎng)的暴露可以提供戰(zhàn)略性或競(jìng)爭(zhēng)性的
47、利益。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)損失的可能性事件來(lái)自如市場(chǎng)價(jià)格的變化。事件發(fā)生的可能性很小,但這可能導(dǎo)致?lián)p失率很高,特別麻煩,因?yàn)樗麄兺阮A(yù)想的要嚴(yán)重得多。換句話說(shuō),可能就是變異的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回報(bào)。由于它并不總是可能的,或者能滿意地把風(fēng)險(xiǎn)消除,在決定如何管理它中了解它是很重要的一步。識(shí)別暴露和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)形式的基礎(chǔ)需要相應(yīng)的財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理策略。財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是如何產(chǎn)生的呢?無(wú)數(shù)金融性質(zhì)的交易包括銷售和采購(gòu),投資和貸款,以及其他各種業(yè)務(wù)活動(dòng),產(chǎn)生了財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。它可以出現(xiàn)在合法的交易中,新項(xiàng)目中,兼并和收購(gòu)中,債務(wù)融資中,能源部分的成本中,或通過(guò)管理的活動(dòng),利益相關(guān)者,競(jìng)爭(zhēng)者,外國(guó)政府,或天氣出現(xiàn)。當(dāng)金融的價(jià)格變化很大,它可以增加成本,降低財(cái)
48、政收入,或影響其他有不利影響的盈利能力的組織。金融波動(dòng)可能使人們難以規(guī)劃和預(yù)算商品和服務(wù)的價(jià)格,并分配資金。有三種金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的主要來(lái)源:1、金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)起因于組織所暴露出來(lái)的市場(chǎng)價(jià)格的變化,如利率、匯率、和大宗商品價(jià)格。2、引起金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的行為有與其他組織的交易如供應(yīng)商、客戶,和對(duì)方在金融衍生產(chǎn)品中的交易。3、由于內(nèi)部行動(dòng)或失敗的組織,特別是人、過(guò)程和系統(tǒng)所造成的金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。什么是財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理? 財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理是用來(lái)處理金融市場(chǎng)中不確定的事情的。它涉及到一個(gè)組織所面臨的評(píng)估和組織的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略、內(nèi)部管理的優(yōu)先事項(xiàng)和當(dāng)政策一致時(shí)的財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。企業(yè)積極應(yīng)對(duì)金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)可以使企業(yè)成為一個(gè)具有競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)的組織。它還確保管理,
49、業(yè)務(wù)人員,利益相關(guān)者,董事會(huì)董事在對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的關(guān)鍵問(wèn)題達(dá)成協(xié)議。金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理組織就必須作出那些不被接受的有關(guān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的決定。那些被動(dòng)不采取行動(dòng)的戰(zhàn)略是在默認(rèn)情況下接受所有的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。組織使用各種策略和產(chǎn)品來(lái)管理金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。重要的是要了解這些產(chǎn)品和戰(zhàn)略方面,通過(guò)工作來(lái)減少該組織內(nèi)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)承受能力和目標(biāo)范圍內(nèi)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的策略往往涉及衍生工具。在金融機(jī)構(gòu)和有組織的交易所,衍生物廣泛地進(jìn)行交易。衍生工具的合約的價(jià)值,如期貨,遠(yuǎn)期,期權(quán)和掉期,是源自相關(guān)資產(chǎn)的價(jià)格。衍生物利用利率,匯率,商品,股票和固定收入的證券,信貸,甚至是天氣進(jìn)行交易。這些產(chǎn)品和市場(chǎng)參與者使用策略來(lái)管理金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn),與由投機(jī)者用來(lái)提高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的杠桿作
50、用是相同。雖然可以認(rèn)為,衍生工具的廣泛使用增加了風(fēng)險(xiǎn),衍生品的存在使那些希望通過(guò)把它傳遞給那些尋求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)及相關(guān)機(jī)會(huì)的人降低了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。估計(jì)財(cái)務(wù)損失的可能性是非常令人滿意的。然而,概率標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的理論往往在金融市場(chǎng)的分析中不適用。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)通常不會(huì)孤立存在的,通常會(huì)和幾個(gè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的相互作用,必須認(rèn)真考慮在發(fā)展中國(guó)家的金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是如何產(chǎn)生的。有時(shí),這些相互作用是很難預(yù)測(cè)的,因?yàn)樗鼈冏罱K取決于人的行為。金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理是一個(gè)持續(xù)不斷的過(guò)程。隨著市場(chǎng)需求的變化和完善,戰(zhàn)略必須得到執(zhí)行。有關(guān)的修改反映不斷變化的市場(chǎng)利率,變化的預(yù)期營(yíng)商環(huán)境,或例如不斷變化的國(guó)際政治條件。一般來(lái)說(shuō),這個(gè)過(guò)程可以概括如下:1、識(shí)別并優(yōu)先考慮關(guān)鍵的財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)
51、險(xiǎn)。2、確定適當(dāng)?shù)娘L(fēng)險(xiǎn)容忍程度。3、按照政策實(shí)施風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理戰(zhàn)略。4、按需要衡量,報(bào)告,監(jiān)控和改進(jìn)。多樣化多年來(lái),公司資產(chǎn)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)的可變性僅僅基于其回報(bào)。與此形成對(duì)比的是,現(xiàn)代投資組合理論不僅考慮了一項(xiàng)資產(chǎn)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),而且是經(jīng)濟(jì)體總體風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的組合。由于風(fēng)險(xiǎn)多樣化,組織可以有機(jī)會(huì)來(lái)降低風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。在投資組合管理方面,在一定限度內(nèi)給個(gè)別部件組合提供了多樣化的機(jī)會(huì)。一個(gè)多元化的資產(chǎn)組合中包含的回報(bào)是不同的,換句話說(shuō),彼此之間的關(guān)系是弱或負(fù)面的。考慮到一個(gè)投資組合的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是非常有用的,并且應(yīng)考慮改變或增加的潛在風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的總數(shù)。多樣化是一個(gè)管理金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的重要工具。通過(guò)預(yù)設(shè)的組織,對(duì)手之間的多樣化可以減少突發(fā)事件對(duì)組織所造成的不利影響而引起的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。其中投資資產(chǎn)多元化減少了發(fā)行人失敗的損失程度。多樣化的客戶、供應(yīng)商和金融來(lái)源減少了一個(gè)組織的貿(mào)易被外面變化控制的負(fù)面影響的可能性。雖然損失的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)仍然存在,多樣化的機(jī)會(huì)可以減少大的不良結(jié)果。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理過(guò)程 金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理過(guò)程中的戰(zhàn)略使一個(gè)
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