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1、Current status and future development of silicon thin film PV industry in ChinaDr. Yaohua Mai, Dr. Yuelong HuangBaoding Tianwei SolarFilms Co., Ltd.Prof. Xinhua Geng Inst. Of Photoelectronics, Nankai University第1頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。PV industry saw fast expansionAnnual growth ratePast 10 years: 30%Past 5 years: 5

2、0%Much faster growth than IT industryData source: PV News 2007第2頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。Poly-silicon price soared$30/Kg in 2003 $400/Kg in 2008第3頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。Silicon shortage boosts TFPV industry Av. Annual increase of 80% in past 5 years Increased by 110% in 2007 TFPV: 25-30% market share in 2010 a-Si/c-Si tandem modules

3、 gives prospect for high Plans of GWs capacity for Si TF solar modules announcedPlanned capacitiesData source: A. Jger- Waldau, PV Status Report 2007第4頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。Current status of Si TFPV in China第5頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。CompanyCapacity (MW)Remark哈爾濱克羅拉1CoronaTopray Solar20OtherJinneng7.5EPVGoldensun30Sibolu Total: 100

4、 MWFirst mass production started in 1988Si TF PV companies establishedModules: a-Si single junction or a-Si/a-Si tandem Stabilized efficiency: 3 - 6%None of them passed TV or UL certificates第6頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。New ProjectsCompanyCapacity (MW)Remark中山銓欣10SiboluSuntech50AMAT(?)Xinao50AMATTianwei SolarFilms 46Oer

5、likonTotal: More than 200 MW capacity in progress; more than 1.5 GW announced.Modules: a-Si single junction and a-Si/c-Si tandem Stabilized efficiency: 5 8.5%第7頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。Challenges and risksDespite booming capacity,shall not be neglected第8頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。Roadmap for China Si TFPV industryCompanies (e.g. Kaneka)

6、 to achieved higher 10% by 2010Low cost 10% 2012: 12% Lower cost:2010: 20% most ESG importedTCOFew manufacturers in China, but with relatively low qualityNSG and Asahi dominate the marketPVB, EVA and sputtering targets Lack in bargaining and pricing ability due to low capacityHigh material priceLow

7、supply security第12頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。Solutions:Long term contractHindrance: Small production capacity Joint purchase?Materials made in China第13頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。SummaryChina Si TFPV observed fast growth in last yearsCapacity of 200MW will be released in late 2008 and 2009Challenges and risks in core technology and material supply are the bottlenecksTianwei SolarFilms calls on closer cooperation in R&D and material supply第14頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。Thank you for your attention!The authors thank colleagues for their contribution 第15頁(yè),共17頁(yè)。Site: Baoding, HebeiArea: 200,000m2 for 3 phases.65,000 m2 for phase I第16頁(yè)

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