OIV：2023年全球葡萄酒行業(yè)報告

PauRoca

DirectorGeneraloftheOIV

OIVPressConference

20April2023

INTERNATIONALORGANISATIONOFVINEANDWINE

STATEOFTHEWORLD

VINEANDWINESECTOR

1

2

Topics

Stateoftheworldvineandwinesectorin2022

?VineyardSurfaceArea

?WineProduction

?WineConsumption

?InternationalTradeofWine

FirstEstimatesSouthernHemisphereWineProductionin2023MainWineSectorChallenges:LookingAhead

3

VineyardSurfaceArea

4

Prov.Prel.

VineyardSurfaceArea

Evolutionofworldvineyardsurfacearea

mha

7,8

7,7

7,6

7,5

7,4

7,3

7,2

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

-0.4%/2021

7.3mha

Theworldareaundervines,correspondingtothetotalsurfaceareaplantedwithvinesforallpurposes(wine,tablegrapesandraisins),includingyoungvinesnotyetinproduction,isestimatedat7.3mhain2022.

Theworldvineyardhasstabilisedsince2017,mainlyduetotheslowdownoftheChinesevineyard’sgrowthandtheimplementationofthesystemofnewplantingauthorisationintheEU,whichstandsfortheeightconsecutiveyearat3.3mha.Thecurrentstabilisation,however,hidesheterogeneousevolutionsindifferentregionsoftheworld.

5

Worldvineyarddistributionin2022

VineyardSurfaceArea

In2022thereare93vinegrowingcountriesatworldlevel.Top6countriesrepresent56%oftheworldvineyardsurface

area.

Breakdownofvineyardsurface

areain2022

Spain

13%

France

11%

Other

countries

44%

China

11%

Italy

USA5%

10%

Türkiye

6%

6

VineyardSurfaceArea

Majorvine-growingcountriesbysurfacearea,2012-2022

kha

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

955

812785

718

410390

207196193188

SpainFranceChinaItalyTürkiyeUSAArgentinaChilePortugalRomania

kha

300

170

158

146

200

122

118

124

103

99

96

104

100

0

IndiaIran*AustraliaSouthAfricaMoldovaUzbekistan*Afghanistan*GermanyRussiaGreece*

*Carriedoverfromlatestavailabledata

7

Wineproduction

8

Prov.Prel.

WineProduction

mhl

300

290

280

270

260

250

240

Evolutionofworldwineproduction

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

-1%/2021

258mhl

In2022worldwineproduction,excludingjuicesandmusts,isestimatedat258mhl,markingadecreaseofalmost3mhl(-1%),comparedto2021.Thisisduetohigher-than-expectedharvestvolumeinEuropedespitethedroughtandheatwavesduringspringandsummer,andaverageproductionlevelrecordedintheSouthernHemisphere.

Overall,the2022globalwineproductionvolumecanbeconsidered,forthefourthconsecutiveyear,slightlybelowits20-yearaverage

9

Worldwineproductiondistributionin2022

WineProduction

In2022,thereare85wine-producingcountriesintheworld.

Threecountries-Italy,FranceandSpain-accountformorethanhalfoftheworldproduction.

Top8wineproducingcountriesaccountfor78%ofthetotalwineproducedin2021.

EU:161mhlin2022(+4%/2021),accountingfor62%oftheworldtotal

Breakdownofwineproductionin2022

Other

Italy

countries

19%

22%

SouthAfrica

4%

France18%

Chile

4%

Australia

Spain14%

USA9%

5%

Argentina

5%

10

63%

WineProduction

Mainwineproducingcountriesin2022

mhl

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

49,8

45,6

35,7

22,4

12,7

11,5

12,4

8,9

6,8

10,2

4,7

3,9

3,8

3,2

4,2

2,3

2,1

2,1

2,9

1,41,0

2022/2021%Var.

44%

21%

6%

9%

2%

1%

4%

-1%

-2%

-6%-5%

-8%

-7%-7%-8%-6%

-14%

-14%

-19%

-29%

11

WineConsumption

12

mhl

255

250

245

240

235

230

225

220

WineConsumption

Evolutionofworldwineconsumption

Prov.Prel.

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

232

mhl

-1%/2021

Worldwineconsumptionin2022isestimatedat232mhl,markingadecreaseof1%comparedto2021.

Thenegativetrendstartedin2018canbemainlyattributedtothedeclineinChina’sconsumption,whichhaslostonaverage2mhlperyearsince2018.Thisdownwardtrendwasaccentuatedin2020bytheCovid-19pandemic,whichbroughtadepressingeffectonmanylargewinemarkets.

In2022,theenergycrisisanddisruptionsinglobalsupplychainsledtohigherproductionanddistributioncosts,whichresultedinhigherwineprices.andhighlevelsofinflationhitthepurchasingpowerofconsumers.Inthiscontext,wineconsumptionbehavioursatcountrylevelarequiteheterogenousacrossgeographicalregions.

Worldwineconsumptiondistributionin2022

WineConsumption

In2022,thereare200wine-consumingcountriesintheworld.

Top5countriesaccountforhalfoftheworldwineconsumption.

Top10countriesrepresentmorethantwothirds.

EU:111mhlofwineconsumedin2022(-2%/2021),representing48%oftheworldconsumption.

Breakdownofwineconsumptionin2022

USA

Other

countries

31%

15%

France11%

Italy10%

Portugal

3%

Argentina

Germany

8%

Russia5%

UK6%

4%China

4%Spain

4%

13

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

WineConsumption

Mainwineconsumingcountriesin2022

mhl

34,0

23,0

19,4

8,88,3

4,64,23,73,63,63,42,62,42,22,02,0

6,05,5

25,3

10,8

10,3

12,8

2022/2021%Var.

14%

16%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

0%

0%

0%

-1%

-2%

-3%

0%0%

-3%

-5%

-3%

-6%

-16%

-13%

-14%

14

15

mhl

USA France ItalyGermany UK Russia SpainChina

Argentina Portugal AustraliaSouthAfrica Canada RomaniaNetherlandsBrazil

JapanSwitzerlandAustria

CzechRepublicBelgiumSweden

Topcountries*bytotalconsumptionin2022

25,323,0

19,4

12,8

10,8

10,3

8,8

8,3

6,0

5,5

4,6

4,2

3,7

3,6

3,6

3,4

2,6

2,4

2,2

2,0

2,0

34,0

WineConsumption

Consumptionpercapita+15intopconsuming*countriesin2022

l/capita

Portugal

France Italy Switzerland Austria Germany AustraliaCzechRepublic Spain NetherlandsArgentina

UKSwedenRomaniaBelgiumCanada

USASouthAfricaRussia

Japan

Brazil

China

67,5

47,4

44,4

35,5

30,8

27,0

26,1

25,3

25,3

24,5

23,8

23,2

23,1

22,8

20,9

13,1

12,6

10,7

9,1

3,1

2,1

0,8

*Countrieswith2022wineconsumptionabove2mhl

16

InternationalTradeofWine

17

InternationalWineTrade

Evolutionofworldwineexportbyvolume

mhl

120

110

100

90

80

70

60

50

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022Prov.Prel.

bnEUREvolutionofworldwineexportbyvalue

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022Prov.Prel.

107mhl

-5%/2021

37.6bnEUR

+9%/2021

Withavolumeof107mhl,

worldwineexportsin2022

havedecreasedby5%

comparedto2021,which

wasrecord-highvolumeever

Worldwineexportsin2022

isrecord-highandincreased

by9%comparedto2021

duetoasharpriseinaverage

exportpricesinallmajor

wineexportingcountries

18

60

50

40

30

20

25

20

15

10

5

0

InternationalTradeofWine

mhl

70

10

0

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022Prov.Prel.

Bulk(>10l)

Sparkling

BiB

Bottled(<2l)

bnEUR

30

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022Prov.Prel.

Bottled(<2l)SparklingBiBBulk(>10l)

Breakdownofglobal

tradevolumein2022

Bulk(>10l)

32%

Bottled(<2l)

53%

BiB

4%

Sparkling

11%

Breakdownofglobal

tradevaluein2022

BiB2%

Bulk(>10l)

7%

Sparkling

23%

Bottled(<2l)

68%

Bottledwine:

Volume:-4%/2021

Value:+7%/2021

Sparklingwine:

Volume:+5%/2021

Value:+18%/2021

Bag-in-Box(BiB):

Volume:-4%/2021

Value:+6%/2021

Bulkwine:

Volume:-7%/2021

Value:+5%/2021

19

14,0

8,3

6,4

4,4

3,5

3,3

3,0

2,8

MainWineExporters

Top10byvolume

mhl

25

20

15

10

5

0

21,921,220212022

ItalySpainFranceChileAustraliaSouthAfricaGermanyPortugalNewZealandUSA

ITA:-1%

ESP:-10%

FRA:-5%

CHL:-4%

AUS:+1%

ZAF:-9%

DEU:-6%

PRT:-0%

USA:-15%

NZL:+4%

FRA:+11%

ITA:+10%

ESP:+3%

CHL:+9%

AUS:+2%

USA:+12%

NZL:+16%

DEU:+4%

PRT:+1%

ARG:+7%

bn€

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Top10byvalue

12,3

20212022

7,8

3,0

1,81,4

1,4

1,3

1,00,9

0,8

FranceItalySpainChileUSAAustraliaNewZealandGermanyPortugalArgentina

20

6,1

4,6

4,2

3,9

3,4

3,3

2,8

bnEUR

Top10byvalue

8

6

4

2

0

7,0

20212022

4,8

2,7

2,2

1,8

1,5

1,4

1,3

1,3

1,0

USAUKGermanyCanadaJapanNetherlandsChinaBelgiumSwitzerlandFrance

MainWineImporters

Top10byvolume

mhl

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

14,413,413,020212022

USAGermanyUKFranceNetherlandsCanadaRussiaChinaBelgiumPortugal

USA:+3%

DEU:-9%

GBR:-2%

FRA:+3%

NLD:-6%

CAN:-0%

RUS:+5%

CHN:-21%

BEL:-4%

PRT:-4%

USA:+17%

GBR:+22%

DEU:-4%

CAN:+14%

JPN:+23%

NDL:+5%

CHN:-4%

BEL:+3%

CHE:+3%

FRA:+20%