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研究報(bào)告ResearchReport10Apr2024中國(guó)汽車ChinaAutos豐田擬搭載華為解決方案補(bǔ)足智能化短板ToyotaPlanstoIntegrateHuaweiSolutionstoAddressShortcomingsinIntelligence姚書橋BarneyYao顧永賢JonesKu季屏子PingziJibarney.sq.yao@jones.wy.ku@pz.ji@FlashAnalysis(PleaseseeAPPENDIX1forEnglishsummary)事件47日,車fans和騰訊汽車報(bào)道稱豐田智能駕駛方案將采用“豐田華為+Momenta”三方合作模式,該方案與華為現(xiàn)ADSMomenta和華為分別提供軟硬件方案,三方深度合作并整合。點(diǎn)評(píng)三方合作尚未得到各方證實(shí),如可行將大概率從華為的供應(yīng)商合作模式開(kāi)始。華為在汽車領(lǐng)域主要有三種合作模式:供應(yīng)商模式,HuaweiInside,及智選車模式。供應(yīng)商模式下,華為向汽車企業(yè)提供關(guān)鍵技術(shù)和零部件,如吉利采用鴻蒙車機(jī)系統(tǒng),哪吒搭載智能駕駛計(jì)算平臺(tái)和激光雷達(dá),和比亞迪支持HiCar車機(jī)系統(tǒng)等合作案例。HuaweiInside模式更深入,華為提供全棧智能汽車解決方案,北汽極狐阿爾法SHI11便是代表產(chǎn)品,配備了華為先進(jìn)的智能駕駛系統(tǒng)和其他智能汽車技術(shù)。智選模式即鴻蒙智行,主要聚焦于與車企深度合作造車、利用華為技術(shù)優(yōu)勢(shì)和渠道力量共同推廣和銷售。目前鴻蒙智行已推出品牌包括賽力斯問(wèn)界和奇瑞智界,已獲市場(chǎng)認(rèn)可。我們認(rèn)為,如果合作落地華為采取供應(yīng)商合作模式,需重點(diǎn)關(guān)注具體的合作的零部件和技術(shù),豐田此前也曾與華為合作開(kāi)發(fā)智能駕駛艙和聯(lián)網(wǎng)汽車系統(tǒng),如內(nèi)容沒(méi)有突破,我們認(rèn)為合作的影響力可能有限。豐田重點(diǎn)布局氫能在電動(dòng)化時(shí)代錯(cuò)過(guò)電池發(fā)展窗口,擬在智能化時(shí)代迎頭趕上。汽車行業(yè)全面進(jìn)入智能化時(shí)代,落地速度是第一要?jiǎng)?wù),豐田自行開(kāi)發(fā)時(shí)間不足以及開(kāi)發(fā)失敗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)高,如大眾Cariad車機(jī)軟件開(kāi)發(fā)進(jìn)程不及預(yù)期導(dǎo)致大眾全系車型發(fā)布延遲,所以采用供應(yīng)商合作模式也在情理之中。但未來(lái)的智能化是更系統(tǒng)性的整車智能的競(jìng)爭(zhēng),這個(gè)合作僅夠豐田跟上目前中國(guó)的智能化發(fā)展水平,尚不能實(shí)現(xiàn)領(lǐng)先,但HuaweiInside業(yè)務(wù)模式的可能性為豐田在智能化迎頭趕上提供了契機(jī)。隨著全球市場(chǎng)對(duì)新能源汽車的生態(tài)建設(shè)不斷完善,智能化解決方案將在消費(fèi)者考慮占更高的比重。智能駕駛技術(shù)方面,豐田等日企發(fā)展相對(duì)落后,而中國(guó)的汽車市場(chǎng)龐大,豐田需要想辦法在中國(guó)市場(chǎng)找到新的突破口。因此我們認(rèn)為豐田積極和貴為中國(guó)智駕技術(shù)頭部公司的華為合作符合邏輯。豐田此前也參與過(guò)Momenta的C輪融資并保有股權(quán)關(guān)系,也為本次合作的落地可能性提供更高的事實(shí)依據(jù)。本次合作的意義取決于應(yīng)用市場(chǎng)范疇。20231123.37.2%,乘聯(lián)會(huì)口徑全球市11.8%4年力壓大眾集團(tuán)蟬聯(lián)全球最大汽車制造商。與在全球市場(chǎng)持續(xù)領(lǐng)跑不同的是,豐田在中國(guó)市場(chǎng)正遭遇自主車企和新勢(shì)力的圍剿,2023190.761.7%,中國(guó)汽車技術(shù)研究中心(CATRC)口徑國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)份額7.8%。同比下降1.2pcts。豐田國(guó)內(nèi)銷量主要貢獻(xiàn)還是來(lái)自傳統(tǒng)燃油車,凱美瑞、卡羅拉、鋒蘭達(dá)、RAV4榮放、威蘭達(dá)以及卡羅拉銳放等為豐田貢獻(xiàn)了超一半的銷量。在國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)豐田也在嘗試追趕自1%算了本次合作的潛在市場(chǎng)價(jià)值空間,實(shí)際取決于應(yīng)用市場(chǎng)范疇:在零部件模式下,如合作限中國(guó)市場(chǎng)的所有豐田NEV4000-10000元,202516.9-66.1NEV車型,202572.7-345.0HI模式的深化合作,提供全棧的NEV15000-20000元,2025年市場(chǎng)空間63.2-132.2NEV,2025272.5-689.9億元。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)合作未成行,項(xiàng)目落地不及預(yù)期等。(PleaseseeappendixforEnglishtranslationofdisclaimer)圖表3合作市場(chǎng)價(jià)值空間測(cè)算中國(guó)市場(chǎng) 全球市場(chǎng)DownsideUpsideDownsideUpside2025E汽車銷量(輛)1,685,3531,888,13012,112,80013,798,400NEV滲透率25%35%15%25%2025ENEV銷量(輛)421,338660,8451,816,9203,449,600單車價(jià)值預(yù)測(cè)(元)零部件400010000400010000HuaweiInside15000200001500020000價(jià)值空間測(cè)算(億元)零部件16.966.172.7345.0HuaweiInside63.2132.2272.5689.9資料來(lái)源:豐田公告,海通國(guó)際測(cè)算APPENDIX1SummaryEventOnApril7,AutoFansandTencentAutoreportedthatToyota'ssmartdrivingsolutionwilladopta"Toyota+Huawei+Momenta"tripartitejointsolutionmode.ThisplandiffersfromHuawei'sexistingADSadvanceddriverassistancesystem,withtheautonomousdrivingcompanyMomentaandHuaweirespectivelyprovidingsoftwareandhardwaresolutions,deepcollaboration,andintegrationamongthethreeparties.CommentsThetripartitecooperationhasnotbeenconfirmedbyallpartiesinvolved.Iffeasible,itishighlylikelytostartwithHuawei'ssuppliercollaborationmodel.Huaweihasthreemaincollaborationmodelsintheautomotivesector:suppliermode,HuaweiInside,andthesmartselectionmode.Underthesuppliermode,Huaweiprovideskeytechnologiesandcomponentstoautomotivecompanies,suchasGeelyadoptingtheHarmonyOSsystem,NetacarryingtheintelligentdrivingcomputingplatformandLidar,andBYDsupportingtheHiCarsystem,amongothercooperationcases.TheHuaweiInsidemodegoesdeeper,providingafull-stacksmartautosolution.ProductslikeBAICArcfoxαSHuaweiHIEditionandChanganAvita11werelaunchedunderthismode,equippedwithadvancedautonomousdrivingsystemsandothersmartcartechnologiesfromHuawei.Thesmartselectionmode,i.e.,HarmonyIntelligentMobilityAlliance(HIMA),focusesondeepcooperationwithOEMstobuildcars,utilizingHuawei'stechnologicaladvantagesandchannelstrengthforjointpromotionandsales.BrandslaunchedunderHIMA,includingSeres'sAITOandChery'sLuxeed,havebeenrecognizedbythemarket.WebelievethatifthecollaborationwithHuaweimaterializesandadoptsthesuppliercooperationmodel,itwillbecrucialtofocusonthespecificcomponentsandtechnologiesinvolvedinthecooperation.ToyotahaspreviouslycollaboratedwithHuaweitodevelopsmartcockpitsandconnectedcarsystems.Iftherearenobreakthroughsincontent,wethinktheimpactofthecooperationmightbelimited.Toyota,focusingonhydrogenenergyaftermissingthedevelopmentwindowforbatteriesintheelectrificationera,aimstocatchupintheeraofintelligence.Astheautomotiveindustryfullyenterstheeraofintelligence,thespeedofimplementationisthefirstpriority.Toyota'sowndevelopmenttimeisinsufficient,andtheriskofdevelopmentfailureishigh,similartoVolkswagen'sCariadcarsoftwaredevelopmentprocessfallingbehindschedule,leadingtodelaysinthereleaseofVolkswagen'sentirelineup.Thus,adoptingthesuppliercooperationmodelmakessense.However,thefutureofintelligenceinvolvesmoresystematiccompetitioninvehicleintelligence.ThiscooperationmayonlyenableToyotatocatchupwithChina'scurrentlevelofintelligencedevelopmentandnotachievealeadingposition.Still,thepossibilityoftheHuaweiInsidebusinessmodelprovidesanopportunityforToyotatocatchupinintelligence.Astheglobalmarket'secologicalconstructionfornewenergyvehiclescontinuestoimprove,intelligentsolutionswilloccupyahigherweightinconsumerconsiderations.Intermsofintelligentdrivingtechnology,JapanesecompanieslikeToyotaarerelativelybehind,andwithChina'svastautomotivemarket,ToyotaneedstofindnewbreakthroughsintheChinesemarket.Therefore,webelieveitmakeslogicalsenseforToyotatoactivelycollaboratewithHuawei,aleadingcompanyinChina'ssmartdrivingtechnologysector.Toyota'spreviousparticipationinMomenta'sSeriesCfundinganditsequityrelationshipalsoprovideastrongerfactualbasisforthepotentialrealizationofthiscollaboration.Thesignificanceofthiscooperationdependsontheapplicationmarketscope.In2023,ToyotaGroup'sglobalsalesreached11.233mnvehicles,+7.2%YoY,andtheglobalmarketsharereached11.8%accordingtotheChinaAssociationofAutomobileManufacturers,continuingtoleadtheVolkswagenGroupastheworld'slargestautomakerforfourconsecutiveyears.Differentfromitscontinuedleadershipintheglobalmarket,ToyotaisfacingencirclementbydomesticOEMsandNEVstartupsintheChinesemarket.In2023,Toyota'ssalesinChinawere1.9076mnvehicles,-1.7%YoY,andthedomesticmarketsharewas7.8%accordingtotheChinaAutomotiveTechnologyandResearchCenter,-1.2pcts.Toyota'sdomesticsalesaremainlycontributedbytraditionalICEs,withmodelssuchasCamry,Corolla,Highlander,RAV4,Venza,andCorollaCrosscontributingmorethanhalfofToyota'ssales.IntheChinesemarket,Toyotaisalsotryingtocatchupwiththenewenergytransformationwaveofdomesticautomakers,butlastyear'ssalesofhybridmodelsstillaccountedforathird,andtheproportionofBEVswasevenlessthan1%.Wehaveestimatedthepotentialmarketvaluespaceofthiscooperation,whichactuallydependsontheapplicationmarketscope:underthesuppliermodescenario,ifthecooperationislimitedtoallToyotaNEVmodelsintheChinesemarket,assumingasinglevehiclevalueofRmb4,000-10,000,weestimatethemarketspacetobeRmb1.69-6.61bnby2025.IfthecooperationisexpandedtotheglobalmarketNEVs,themarketspacecouldreachRmb7.27-34.5bnby2025.Atthesametime,wethinkitisnotruledoutthatHuaweiwillseekdeepercooperationwithToyotaintheHuaweiInsidemodeinthefuture,providingafull-stackintelligentdrivingsoftwareandhardwaresolution.WeestimatethatifthecooperationislimitedtoallToyotaNEVsintheChinesemarket,assumingasinglevehiclevalueofRmb15,000-20,000,themarketspacewillreachRmb6.32-13.22bnby2025;ifthecooperationcanbeexpandedtotheglobalmarketNEVs,themarketspacecouldreachRmb27.25-68.99bnby2025.RisksThecooperationdoesnotmaterialize;theprojectdoesnotmeetexpectations.附錄APPENDIX重要信息披露本研究報(bào)告由海通國(guó)際分銷,海通國(guó)際是由海通國(guó)際研究有限公司(HTIRL),HaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(HSIPL),HaitongInternationalJapanK.K.(HTIJKK)和海通國(guó)際證券有限公司(HTISCL)的證券研究團(tuán)隊(duì)所組成的全球品牌,海通國(guó)際證券集團(tuán)(HTISG)各成員分別在其許可的司法管轄區(qū)內(nèi)從事證券活動(dòng)。IMPORTANTDISCLOSURESThisresearchreportisdistributedbyHaitongInternational,aglobalbrandnamefortheequityresearchteamsofHaitongInternationalResearchLimited(“HTIRL”),HaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(“HSIPL”),HaitongInternationalJapanK.K.(“HTIJKK”),HaitongInternationalSecuritiesCompanyLimited(“HTISCL”),andanyothermemberswithintheHaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupofCompanies(“HTISG”),eachauthorizedtoengageinsecuritiesactivitiesinitsrespectivejurisdiction.HTIRL分析師認(rèn)證AnalystCertification:我,姚書橋,在此保證(i)本研究報(bào)告中的意見(jiàn)準(zhǔn)確反映了我們對(duì)本研究中提及的任何或所有目標(biāo)公司或上市公司的個(gè)人觀點(diǎn),并且(ii)我的報(bào)酬中沒(méi)有任何部分與本研究報(bào)告中表達(dá)的具體建議或觀點(diǎn)直接或間接相關(guān);及就此報(bào)告中所討論目標(biāo)公司的證券,我們(包括我們的家屬)在其中均不持有任何財(cái)務(wù)利益。我和我的家屬(我已經(jīng)告知他們)將不會(huì)在本研究3個(gè)工作日內(nèi)交易此研究報(bào)告所討論目標(biāo)公司的證券。I,BarneyYao,certifythatitheviewsexpressedinthisresearchreportaccuratelyreflectmypersonalviewsaboutanyorallofthesubjectcompaniesorissuersreferredtointhisresearchandiinopartofmycompensationwas,isorwillbedirectlyorindirectlyrelatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreportandthatIincludingmembersofmyhouseholdhavenofinancialinterestinthesecurityorsecuritiesofthesubjectcompaniesdiscussedIandmyhousehold,whomIhavealreadynotifiedofthis,willnotdealinortradeanysecuritiesinrespectoftheissuerthatIreviewwithin3businessdaysaftertheresearchreportispublished.我,顧永賢,在此保證(i)本研究報(bào)告中的意見(jiàn)準(zhǔn)確反映了我們對(duì)本研究中提及的任何或所有目標(biāo)公司或上市公司的個(gè)人觀點(diǎn),并且(ii)我的報(bào)酬中沒(méi)有任何部分與本研究報(bào)告中表達(dá)的具體建議或觀點(diǎn)直接或間接相關(guān);及就此報(bào)告中所討論目標(biāo)公司的證券,我們(包括我們的家屬)在其中均不持有任何財(cái)務(wù)利益。我和我的家屬(我已經(jīng)告知他們)將不會(huì)在本研究3個(gè)工作日內(nèi)交易此研究報(bào)告所討論目標(biāo)公司的證券。I,JonesKu,certifythatitheviewsexpressedinthisresearchreportaccuratelyreflectmypersonalviewsaboutanyorallofthesubjectcompaniesorissuersreferredtointhisresearchandiinopartofmycompensationwasisorwillbedirectlyorindirectlyrelatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreportandthatIincludingmembersofmyhouseholdhavenofinancialinterestinthesecurityorsecuritiesofthesubjectcompaniesdiscussedIandmyhousehold,whomIhavealreadynotifiedofthis,willnotdealinortradeanysecuritiesinrespectoftheissuerthatIreviewwithin3businessdaysaftertheresearchreportispublished.我,季屏子,在此保證(i)本研究報(bào)告中的意見(jiàn)準(zhǔn)確反映了我們對(duì)本研究中提及的任何或所有目標(biāo)公司或上市公司的個(gè)人觀點(diǎn),并且(ii)我的報(bào)酬中沒(méi)有任何部分與本研究報(bào)告中表達(dá)的具體建議或觀點(diǎn)直接或間接相關(guān);及就此報(bào)告中所討論目標(biāo)公司的證券,我們(包括我們的家屬)在其中均不持有任何財(cái)務(wù)利益。我和我的家屬(我已經(jīng)告知他們)將不會(huì)在本研究3個(gè)工作日內(nèi)交易此研究報(bào)告所討論目標(biāo)公司的證券。I,PingziJicertifythatitheviewsexpressedinthisresearchreportaccuratelyreflectmypersonalviewsaboutanyorallofthesubjectcompaniesorissuersreferredtointhisresearchandiinopartofmycompensationwasisorwillbedirectlyorindirectlyrelatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreport;andthatI(includingmembersofmyhousehold)havenofinancialinterestinthesecurityorsecuritiesofthesubjectcompaniesdiscussed.Iandmyhousehold,whomIhavealreadynotifiedofthis,willnotdealinortradeanysecuritiesinrespectoftheissuerthatIreviewwithin3businessdaysaftertheresearchreportispublished.利益沖突披露ConflictofInterestDisclosures海通國(guó)際及其某些關(guān)聯(lián)公司可從事投資銀行業(yè)務(wù)和/或?qū)Ρ狙芯恐械奶囟ü善被蚬具M(jìn)行做市或持有自營(yíng)頭寸。就本研究報(bào)告而言,以下是有關(guān)該等關(guān)系的披露事項(xiàng)(以下披露不能保證及時(shí)無(wú)遺漏,如需了解及時(shí)全面信息,請(qǐng)發(fā)郵件至ERD-Disclosure@)HTIandsomeofitsaffiliatesmayengageininvestmentbankingand/orserveasamarketmakerorholdproprietarytradingpositionsofcertainstocksorcompaniesinthisresearchreport.Asfarasthisresearchreportisconcerned,thefollowingarethedisclosuremattersrelatedtosuchrelationship(Asthefollowingdisclosuredoesnotensuretimelinessandcompleteness,pleasesendanemailtoERD-Disclosure@iftimelyandcomprehensiveinformationisneeded).1958.HK12個(gè)月內(nèi)是海通的客戶。海通向客戶提供非投資銀行業(yè)務(wù)的證券相關(guān)業(yè)務(wù)服務(wù)。1958.HKandare/wereaclientofHaitongcurrentlyorwithinthepast12months.Theclienthasbeenprovidedfornon-investment-bankingsecurities-relatedservices.12hasreceivedcompensationinthepast12monthsforproductsorservicesotherthaninvestmentbankingfrom杭州塞帕思投資管理有限公司-塞帕思特斯拉指數(shù)增強(qiáng)私募證券投資基and上海汽車集團(tuán)金控管理有限公司.評(píng)級(jí)定義(從2020年7月1日開(kāi)始執(zhí)行):海通國(guó)際(以下簡(jiǎn)稱“HTI”)采用相對(duì)評(píng)級(jí)系統(tǒng)來(lái)為投資者推薦我們覆蓋的公HTI的評(píng)級(jí)定義。并且HTI發(fā)布分析師觀點(diǎn)的完整信息,投資者應(yīng)仔細(xì)閱讀全文而非僅看評(píng)級(jí)。在任何情況下,分析師的評(píng)級(jí)和研究都不能作為投資建議。投資者的買賣股票的決策應(yīng)基于各自情況(比如投資者的現(xiàn)有持倉(cāng))以及其他因素。分析師股票評(píng)級(jí)優(yōu)于大市12-1810%以上,基準(zhǔn)定義如下中性12-18個(gè)月內(nèi)預(yù)期相對(duì)基準(zhǔn)指數(shù)變化不大,基準(zhǔn)定義如下。根據(jù)
評(píng)級(jí)分布RatingDistribution FINRA/NYSE的評(píng)級(jí)分布規(guī)則,我們會(huì)將中性評(píng)級(jí)劃入持有這一類別。弱于大市,未來(lái)12-18個(gè)月內(nèi)預(yù)期相對(duì)基準(zhǔn)指數(shù)跌幅在10%以上,基準(zhǔn)定義如下TOPIX,KOSPI,TAIEXNifty100美SP500MSCIChina.RatingsDefinitions(from1Jul2020):HaitongInternationalusesarelativeratingsystemusingOutperform,Neutral,orUnderperformforrecommendingthestockswecovertoinvestors.InvestorsshouldcarefullyreadthedefinitionsofallratingsusedinHaitongInternationalResearch.Inaddition,sinceHaitongInternationalResearchcontainsmorecompleteinformationconcerningtheanalyst'sviews,investorsshouldcarefullyreadHaitongInternationalResearch,initsentirety,andnotinferthecontentsfromtheratingalone.Inanycase,ratings(orresearch)shouldnotbeusedorrelieduponasinvestmentadvice.Aninvestor'sdecisiontobuyorsellastockshoulddependonindividualcircumstances(suchastheinvestor'sexistingholdings)andotherconsiderations.AnalystStockRatingsOutperform:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtoexceedthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.Neutral:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobeinlinewiththereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.ForpurposesonlyofFINRA/NYSEratingsdistributionrules,ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory.Underperform:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobebelowthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.Benchmarksforeachstock’slistedregionareasfollows:Japan–TOPIX,Korea–KOSPI,Taiwan–TAIEX,India–Nifty100,US–SP500;forallotherChina-conceptstocks–MSCIChina. 截至2023年12月31日海通國(guó)際股票研究評(píng)級(jí)分布優(yōu)于大市中性弱于大市(持有)海通國(guó)際股票研究覆蓋率 89.4%9.6%1.0%投資銀行客戶* 3.9%5.1%5.6%*在每個(gè)評(píng)級(jí)類別里投資銀行客戶所占的百分比。上述分布中的買入,中性和賣出分別對(duì)應(yīng)我們當(dāng)前優(yōu)于大市,中性和落后大市評(píng)級(jí)。只有根據(jù)FINRA/NYSE的評(píng)級(jí)分布規(guī)則,我們才將中性評(píng)級(jí)劃入持有這一類別。請(qǐng)注意在上表中不包含非評(píng)級(jí)的股票。此前的評(píng)級(jí)系統(tǒng)定義(直至2020年6月30日):買入,未來(lái)12-18個(gè)月內(nèi)預(yù)期相對(duì)基準(zhǔn)指數(shù)漲幅在10%以上,基準(zhǔn)定義如下中性,未來(lái)12-18FINRA/NYSE的評(píng)級(jí)分布規(guī)則,我們會(huì)將中性評(píng)級(jí)劃入持有這一類別。賣出,未來(lái)12-18個(gè)月內(nèi)預(yù)期相對(duì)基準(zhǔn)指數(shù)跌幅在10%以上,基準(zhǔn)定義如下各地股票基準(zhǔn)指數(shù):日本–TOPIX,韓國(guó)–KOSPI,臺(tái)灣–TAIEX,印度–Nifty100;其他所有中國(guó)概念股–MSCIChina.HaitongInternationalEquityResearchRatingsDistribution,asofDecember31,2023OutperformNeutralUnderperformHTIEquityResearchCoverage89.4%9.6%1.0%IBclients*3.9%5.1%5.6%*Percentageofinvestmentbankingclientsineachratingcategory.BUY,Neutral,andSELLintheabovedistributioncorrespondtoourcurrentratingsofOutperform,Neutral,andUnderperform.ForpurposesonlyofFINRA/NYSEratingsdistributionrules,ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory.PleasenotethatstockswithanNRdesignationarenotincludedinthetableabove.Previousratingsystemdefinitions(until30Jun2020):BUY:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtoexceedthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow. NEUTRAL:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobeinlinewiththereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.ForpurposesonlyofFINRA/NYSEratingsdistributionrules,ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory.SELL:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobebelowthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.Benchmarksforeachstock’slistedregionareasfollows:Japan–TOPIX,Korea–KOSPI,Taiwan–TAIEX,India–Nifty100;forallotherChina-conceptstocks–MSCIChina.海通國(guó)際非評(píng)級(jí)研究:海通國(guó)際發(fā)布計(jì)量、篩選或短篇報(bào)告,并在報(bào)告中根據(jù)估值和其他指標(biāo)對(duì)股票進(jìn)行排名,或者基于可能的估值倍數(shù)提出建議價(jià)格。這種排名或建議價(jià)格并非為了進(jìn)行股票評(píng)級(jí)、提出目標(biāo)價(jià)格或進(jìn)行基本面估值,而僅供參考使用。HaitongInternationalNon-RatedResearch:HaitongInternationalpublishesquantitative,screeningorshortreportswhichmayrankstocksaccordingtovaluationandothermetricsormaysuggestpricesbasedonpossiblevaluationmultiples.Suchrankingsorsuggestedpricesdonotpurporttobestockratingsortargetpricesorfundamentalvaluesandareforinformationonly.海通國(guó)際A股覆蓋:海通國(guó)際可能會(huì)就滬港通及深港通的中國(guó)A股進(jìn)行覆蓋及評(píng)級(jí)。海通證券(600837.CH),海通國(guó)際于上海的母公司,也會(huì)于中國(guó)發(fā)布中國(guó)A股的研究報(bào)告。但是,海通國(guó)際使用與海通證券不同的評(píng)級(jí)系統(tǒng),所以海通國(guó)際與海通證券的中國(guó)A股評(píng)級(jí)可能有所不同。HaitongInternationalCoverageofA-Shares:HaitongInternationalmaycoverandrateA-SharesthataresubjecttotheHongKongStockConnectschemewithShanghaiandShenzhen.HaitongSecurities(HS;600837CH),theultimateparentcompanyofHTISGbasedinShanghai,coversandpublishesresearchonthesesameA-SharesfordistributioninmainlandChina.However,theratingsystememployedbyHSdiffersfromthatusedbyHTIandasaresulttheremaybeadifferenceintheHTIandHSratingsforthesameA-sharestocks.海通國(guó)際優(yōu)質(zhì)100A股(Q100)指數(shù):海通國(guó)際Q100指數(shù)是一個(gè)包括100支由海通證券覆蓋的優(yōu)質(zhì)中國(guó)A股的計(jì)量產(chǎn)品。這些股票是通過(guò)基于質(zhì)量的篩選過(guò)程,并結(jié)合對(duì)海通證券A股團(tuán)隊(duì)自下而上的研究。海通國(guó)際每季對(duì)Q100指數(shù)成分作出復(fù)審。HaitongInternationalQuality100A-share(Q100)Index:HTI’sQ100Indexisaquantproductthatconsistsof100ofthehighest-qualityA-sharesundercoverageatHSinShanghai.Thesestocksarecarefullyselectedthroughaquality-basedscreeningprocessincombinationwithareviewoftheHSA-shareteam’sbottom-upresearch.TheQ100constituentcompaniesarereviewedquarterly.盟浪義利(FIN-ESG)數(shù)據(jù)通免責(zé)聲明條款:在使用盟浪義利(FIN-ESG)數(shù)據(jù)之前,請(qǐng)務(wù)必仔細(xì)閱讀本條款并同意本聲明:第一條義利(FIN-ESG)數(shù)據(jù)系由盟浪可持續(xù)數(shù)字科技有限責(zé)任公司(以下簡(jiǎn)稱“本公司”)基于合法取得的公開(kāi)信息評(píng)估而成,本公司對(duì)信息的準(zhǔn)確性及完整性不作任何保證。對(duì)公司的評(píng)估結(jié)果僅供參考,并不構(gòu)成對(duì)任何個(gè)人或機(jī)構(gòu)投資建議,也不能作為任何個(gè)人或機(jī)構(gòu)購(gòu)買、出售或持有相關(guān)金融產(chǎn)品的依據(jù)。本公司不對(duì)任何個(gè)人或機(jī)構(gòu)投資者因使用本數(shù)據(jù)表述的評(píng)估結(jié)果造成的任何直接或間接損失負(fù)責(zé)。第二條盟浪并不因收到此評(píng)估數(shù)據(jù)而將收件人視為客戶,收件人使用此數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)應(yīng)根據(jù)自身實(shí)際情況作出自我獨(dú)立判斷。本數(shù)據(jù)所載內(nèi)容反映的是盟浪在最初發(fā)布本數(shù)據(jù)日期當(dāng)日的判斷,盟浪有權(quán)在不發(fā)出通知的情況下更新、修訂與發(fā)出其他與本數(shù)據(jù)所載內(nèi)容不一致或有不同結(jié)論的數(shù)據(jù)。除非另行說(shuō)明,本數(shù)據(jù)(如財(cái)務(wù)業(yè)績(jī)數(shù)據(jù)等)僅代表過(guò)往表現(xiàn),過(guò)往的業(yè)績(jī)表現(xiàn)不作為日后回報(bào)的預(yù)測(cè)。第三條本數(shù)據(jù)版權(quán)歸本公司所有,本公司依法保留各項(xiàng)權(quán)利。未經(jīng)本公司事先書面許可授權(quán),任何個(gè)人或機(jī)構(gòu)不得將本數(shù)據(jù)中的評(píng)估結(jié)果用于任何營(yíng)利性目的,不得對(duì)本數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行修改、復(fù)制、編譯、匯編、再次編輯、改編、刪減、縮寫、節(jié)選、發(fā)行、出租、展覽、表演、放映、廣播、信息網(wǎng)絡(luò)傳播、攝制、增加圖標(biāo)及說(shuō)明等,否則因此給盟浪或其他第三方造成損失的,由用戶承擔(dān)相應(yīng)的賠償責(zé)任,盟浪不承擔(dān)責(zé)任。第四條如本免責(zé)聲明未約定,而盟浪網(wǎng)站平臺(tái)載明的其他協(xié)議內(nèi)容(如《盟浪網(wǎng)站用戶注冊(cè)協(xié)議》《盟浪網(wǎng)用戶服務(wù)(含認(rèn)證)協(xié)議》《盟浪網(wǎng)隱私政策》等)有約定的,則按其他協(xié)議的約定執(zhí)行;若本免責(zé)聲明與其他協(xié)議約定存在沖突或不一致的,則以本免責(zé)聲明約定為準(zhǔn)。SusallWaveFIN-ESGDataServiceDisclaimer:PleasereadthesetermsandconditionsbelowcarefullyandconfirmyouragreementandacceptancewiththesetermsbeforeusingSusallWaveFIN-ESGDataService.FIN-ESGDataisproducedbySusallWaveDigitalTechnologyCo.,Ltd.(Inshort,SusallWave)’sassessmentbasedonlegalpubliclyaccessibleinformation.SusallWaveshallnotberesponsibleforanyaccuracyandcompletenessoftheinformation.Theassessmentresultisforreferenceonly.Itisnotforanyinvestmentadviceforanyindividualorinstitutionandnotforbasisofpurchasing,sellingorholdinganyrelativefinancialproducts.WewillnotbeliableforanydirectorindirectlossofanyindividualorinstitutionasaresultofusingSusallWaveFIN-ESGData.SusallWavedonotconsiderrecipientsascustomersforreceivingthesedata.Whenusingthedata,recipientsshallmakeyourownindependentjudgmentaccordingtoyourpracticalindividualstatus.Thecontentsofthedatareflectthejudgmentofusonlyonthereleaseday.Wehaverighttoupdateandamendthedataandreleaseotherdatathatcontainsinconsistentcontentsordifferentconclusionswithoutnotification.Unlessexpresslystated,thedata(e.g.,financialperformancedata)representspastperformanceonlyandthepastperformancecannotbeviewedasthepredictionoffuturereturn.TheofthisdatabelongstoSusallWave,andwereserveallrightsinaccordancewiththelaw.Withoutthepriorwrittenpermissionofourcompany,noneofindividualorinstitutioncanusethesedataforanyprofitablepurpose.Besides,noneofindividualorinstitutioncantakeactionssuchasamendment,replication,translation,compilation,re-editing,adaption,deletion,abbreviation,excerpts,issuance,rent,exhibition,performance,projection,broadcast,informationnetworktransmission,shooting,addingiconsandinstructions.IfanylossofSusallWaveoranythird-partyiscausedbythoseactions,usersshallbearthecorrespondingcompensationliability.SusallWaveshallnotberesponsibleforanyloss.Ifanytermisnotcontainedinthisdisclaimerbutwritteninotheragreementsonourwebsite(e.g.UserRegistrationProtocolofSusallWaveWebsite,UserService(includingauthentication)AgreementofSusallWaveWebsite,PrivacyPolicyofSusallwaveWebsite),itshouldbeexecutedaccordingtootheragreements.Ifthereisanydifferencebetweenthisdisclaimandotheragreements,thisdisclaimershallbeapplied.重要免責(zé)聲明:非印度證券的研究報(bào)告:本報(bào)告由海通國(guó)際證券集團(tuán)有限公司(“HTISGL”)的全資附屬公司海通國(guó)際研究有限公司(“HTIRL”)發(fā)行,該公司是根據(jù)香港證券及期貨條例(第571章)持有第4類受規(guī)管活動(dòng)(就證券提供意見(jiàn))HTISGLHaitongInternational(JapanK.K.(“HTIJKK”)的協(xié)助下發(fā)行,HTIJKK是由日本關(guān)東財(cái)務(wù)局監(jiān)管為投資顧問(wèn)。印度證券的研究報(bào)告:SecuritiesandExchangeBoardofIndia(“SEBI”)監(jiān)管的HaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(“HTSIPL”)所發(fā)BSELimited(“BSE”)和NationalStockExchangeofIndiaLimited(“NSE”)上市公司(統(tǒng)稱為「印度交易所」)的研究報(bào)告。HTSIPL于2016年1222日被收購(gòu)并成為海通國(guó)際證券集團(tuán)有限公司(“HTISG”)的一部分。所有研究報(bào)告均以海通國(guó)際為名作為全球品牌,經(jīng)許可由海通國(guó)際證券股份有限公司及/或海通國(guó)際證券集團(tuán)的其他成員在其司法管轄區(qū)發(fā)布。本文件所載信息和觀點(diǎn)已被編譯或源自可靠來(lái)源,但HTIRL、HTISCL或任何其他屬于海通國(guó)際證券集團(tuán)有限公司(“HTISG”)的成員對(duì)其準(zhǔn)確性、完整性和正確性不做任何明示或暗示的聲明或保證。本文件中所有觀點(diǎn)均截至本報(bào)告日期,如有更改,恕不另行通知。本文件僅供參考使用。文件中提及的任何公司或其股票的說(shuō)明并非意圖展示完整的內(nèi)容,本文件并非/不應(yīng)被解釋為對(duì)證券買賣的明示或暗示地出價(jià)或征價(jià)。在某些司法管轄區(qū),本文件中提及的證券可能無(wú)法進(jìn)行買賣。如果投資產(chǎn)品以投資者本國(guó)貨幣以外的幣種進(jìn)行計(jì)價(jià),則匯率變化可能會(huì)對(duì)投資產(chǎn)生不利影響。過(guò)去的表現(xiàn)并不一定代表將來(lái)的結(jié)果。某些特定交易,包括設(shè)計(jì)金融衍生工具的,有產(chǎn)生重大風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的可能性,因此并不適合所有的投資者。您還應(yīng)認(rèn)識(shí)到本文件中的建議并非為您量身定制。分析師并未考慮到您自身的財(cái)務(wù)情況,如您的財(cái)務(wù)狀況和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)偏好。因此您必須自行分析并在適用的情況下咨詢自己的法律、稅收、會(huì)計(jì)、金融和其他方面的專業(yè)顧問(wèn),以期在投資之前評(píng)估該項(xiàng)建議是否適合于您。若由于使用本文件所載的材料而產(chǎn)生任何直接或間接的損失,HTISG及其董事、雇員或代理人對(duì)此均不承擔(dān)任何責(zé)任。除對(duì)本文內(nèi)容承擔(dān)責(zé)任的分析師除外,HTISG及我們的關(guān)聯(lián)公司、高級(jí)管理人員、董事和雇員,均可不時(shí)作為主事人就本文件所述的任何證券或衍生品持有長(zhǎng)倉(cāng)或短倉(cāng)以及進(jìn)行買賣。HTISG的銷售員、交易員和其他專業(yè)人士均可向HTISG的相關(guān)客戶和公司提供與本文件所述意見(jiàn)相反的口頭或書面市場(chǎng)評(píng)論意見(jiàn)或交易策略。HTISG可做出與本文件所述建議或意見(jiàn)不一致的投資決策。但HTIRL沒(méi)有義務(wù)來(lái)確保本文件的收件人了解到該等交易決定、思路或建議。請(qǐng)?jiān)L問(wèn)海通國(guó)際網(wǎng)站,查閱更多有關(guān)海通國(guó)際為預(yù)防和避免利益沖突設(shè)立的組織和行政安排的內(nèi)容信息。非美國(guó)分析師披露信息:FINRA進(jìn)行注冊(cè)或者取得相應(yīng)的資格,并且不受美國(guó)FINRA有關(guān)與本項(xiàng)研究目標(biāo)公司進(jìn)行溝通、公開(kāi)露面和自營(yíng)2241條規(guī)則之限制。IMPORTANTDISCLAIMERForresearchreportsonnon-Indiansecurities:TheresearchreportisissuedbyHaitongInternationalResearchLimited(“HTIRL”),awhollyownedsubsidiaryofHaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupLimited(“HTISGL”)andalicensedcorporationtocarryonType4regulatedactivity(advisingonsecurities)forthepurposeoftheSecuritiesandFuturesOrdinance(Cap.571)ofHongKong,withtheassistanceofHaitongInternational(Japan)K.K.(“HTIJKK”),awhollyownedsubsidiaryofHTISGLandwhichisregulatedasanInvestmentAdviserbytheKantoFinanceBureauofJapan.ForresearchreportsonIndiansecurities:TheresearchreportisissuedbyHaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(“HSIPL”),anIndiancompanyandaSecuritiesandExchangeBoardofIndia(“SEBI”)registeredStockBroker,MerchantBankerandResearchAnalystthat,interalia,producesanddistributesresearchreportscoveringlistedentitiesontheBSELimited(“BSE”)andtheNationalStockExchangeofIndiaLimited(“NSE”)(collectivelyreferredtoas“IndianExchanges”).HSIPLwasacquiredandbecamepartoftheHaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupofCompanies(“HTISG”)on22December2016.AlltheresearchreportsaregloballybrandedunderthenameHaitongInternationalandapprovedfordistributionbyHaitongInternationalSecuritiesCompanyLimited(“HTISCL”)and/oranyothermemberswithinHTISGintheirrespectivejurisdictions.Theinformationandopinionscontainedinthisresearchreporthavebeencompiledorarrivedatfromsourcesbelievedtobereliableandingoodfaithbutnorepresentationorwarranty,expressorimplied,ismadebyHTIRL,HTISCL,HSIPL,HTIJKKoranyothermemberswithinHTISGfromwhichthisresearchreportmaybereceived,astotheiraccuracy,completenessorcorrectness.Allopinionsexpressedhereinareasofthedateofthisresearchreportandaresubjecttochangewithoutnotice.Thisresearchreportisforinformationpurposeonly.Descriptionsofanycompaniesortheirsecuritiesmentionedhereinarenotintendedtobecompleteandthisresearchreportisnot,andshouldnotbeconstruedexpresslyorimpliedlyas,anoffertobuyorsellsecurities.Thesecuritiesreferredtointhisresearchreportmaynotbeeligibleforpurchaseorsaleinsomejurisdictions.Ifaninvestmentproductisdenominatedinacurrencyotherthananinvestor'shomecurrency,achangeinexchangeratesmayadverselyaffecttheinvestment.Pastperformanceisnotnecessarilyindicativeoffutureresults.Certaintransactions,includingthoseinvolvingderivatives,giverisetosubstantialriskandarenotsuitableforallinvestors.Youshouldalsobearinmindthatrecommendationsinthisresearchreportarenottailor-madeforyou.Theanalysthasnottakenintoaccountyouruniquefinancialcircumstances,suchasyourfinancialsituationandriskappetite.Youmust,therefore,analyzeandshould,whereapplicable,consultyourownlegal,tax,accounting,financialandotherprofessionaladviserstoevaluatewhethertherecommendationssuitsyoubeforeinvestment.NeitherHTISGnoranyofitsdirectors,employeesoragentsacceptsanyliabilitywhatsoeverforanydirectorconsequentiallossarisingfromanyuseofthematerialscontainedinthisresearchreport.HTISGandouraffiliates,officers,directors,andemployees,excludingtheanalystsresponsibleforthecontentofthisdocument,willfromtimetotimehavelongorshortpositionsin,actasprincipalin,andbuyorsell,thesecuritiesorderivatives,ifany,referredtointhisresearchreport.Sales,traders,andotherprofessionalsofHTISGmayprovideoralorwrittenmarketcommentaryortradingstrategiestotherelevantclientsandthecompanieswithinHTISGthatreflectopinionsthatarecontrarytotheopinionsexpressedinthisresearchreport.HTISGmaymakeinvestmentdecisionsthatareinconsistentwiththerecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreport.HTIisundernoobligationtoensurethatsuchothertradingdecisions,ideasorrecommendationsarebroughttotheattentionofanyrecipientofthisresearchreport.PleaserefertoHTI’swebsiteforfurtherinformationonHTI’sorganizationalandadministrativearrangementssetupforthepreventionandavoidanceofconflictsofinterestwithrespecttoResearch.NonU.S.AnalystDisclosure:TheHTIanalyst(s)listedonthecoverofthisResearchis(are)notregisteredorqualifiedasaresearchanalystwithFINRAandarenotsubjecttoU.S.FINRARule2241restrictionsoncommunicationswithcompaniesthatarethesubjectoftheResearch;publicappearances;andtradingsecuritiesbyaresearchanalyst.分發(fā)和地區(qū)通知:除非下文另有規(guī)定,否則任何希望討論本報(bào)告或者就本項(xiàng)研究中討論的任何證券進(jìn)行任何交易的收件人均應(yīng)聯(lián)系其所在國(guó)家或地區(qū)的海通國(guó)際銷售人員。香港投資者的通知事項(xiàng):海通國(guó)際證券股份有限公司(“HTISCL”)負(fù)責(zé)分發(fā)該研究報(bào)告,HTISCL1類受規(guī)管活動(dòng)(從事證券交易)的持牌公司。該研究報(bào)告并不構(gòu)成《證券及期貨條例》(571章)(以下簡(jiǎn)稱“SFO”)SFO所界定的“專業(yè)投資者”。本研究報(bào)告未經(jīng)過(guò)證券及期貨事務(wù)監(jiān)察委員會(huì)的審查。您不應(yīng)僅根據(jù)本研究報(bào)告中所載的信息做出投資決定。本研究報(bào)告的收件人就研究報(bào)告中產(chǎn)生或與之相關(guān)的任何事宜請(qǐng)聯(lián)系HTISCL銷售人員。美國(guó)投資者的通知事項(xiàng):HTIRL,HSIPLHTIJKKHTIRL,HSIPL,HTIJKKHTISG美國(guó)聯(lián)營(yíng)公司,均未在美國(guó)注冊(cè),因此不受美國(guó)關(guān)于研究報(bào)告編制和研1934年“美國(guó)證券交易法”第15a-6條規(guī)定的豁免注冊(cè)的「美國(guó)主要機(jī)構(gòu)投資者」(“MajorU.SInstitutionalInvestor”)和「機(jī)構(gòu)投資者」(”U.SInstitutionalInvestors”)。在向美國(guó)機(jī)構(gòu)投資者分發(fā)研究報(bào)告時(shí),HaitongInternationalSecuritiesUSAInc(“HTIUSA”)HTIUSA。HTIUSA340MadisonAvenue,12thFloorNewYorkNY10173,電話(212)351-6050HTIUSAU.SSecuritiesandExchangeCommission(“SEC”)FinancialIndustryRegulatoryAuthorityInc.(“FINRA”)HTIUSA不負(fù)責(zé)編寫HSIPL,HTIRLHTIJKK直接進(jìn)行買賣證券或相HSIPL,HTIRLHTIJKKFINRAFINRA2241條規(guī)定的與目標(biāo)公司的交流,公開(kāi)露面和分析師賬戶持有的交易證券等限制。投資本研究報(bào)告中討論的任何非美國(guó)證券或相關(guān)金融工具(包括ADR)可能存在一定風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。非美國(guó)發(fā)行的證券可能沒(méi)有注冊(cè),或不受美國(guó)法規(guī)的約束。有關(guān)非美國(guó)證券或相關(guān)金融工具的信息可能有限制。外國(guó)公司可能不受審計(jì)和匯報(bào)的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)以及與美國(guó)境內(nèi)生效相符的監(jiān)管要求。本研究報(bào)告中以美元以外的其他貨幣計(jì)價(jià)的任何證券或相關(guān)金融工具的投資或收益的價(jià)值受匯率波動(dòng)的影響,可能對(duì)該等證券或相關(guān)金融工具的價(jià)值或收入產(chǎn)生正面或負(fù)面影響。美國(guó)收件人的所有問(wèn)詢請(qǐng)聯(lián)系:HaitongInternationalSecurities(USA)Inc.340MadisonAvenue,12thFloorNewYork,NY10173聯(lián)系人電話:(212)3516050DISTRIBUTIONANDREGIONALNOTICESExceptasotherwiseindicatedbelow,anyRecipientwishingtodiscussthisresearchreportoreffectanytransactioninanysecuritydiscussedinHTI’sresearchshouldcontacttheHaitongI
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