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1、19 - 1 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. nmultinational vs. domestic financial management nexchange rates and trading in foreign exchange ninternational monetary system ninternational money and capital markets chapter 19 multinational financial management 19 - 2 copyright 2001 by

2、harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. what is a multinational corporation? a corporation that operates in two or more countries. 19 - 3 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. 1. to seek new markets. 2. to seek raw materials. 3. to seek new technology. 4. to seek production efficiency. 5.

3、to avoid political and regulatory hurdles. 6. to diversify. why do firms expand into other countries? 19 - 4 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. 1. different currency denominations. 2. economic and legal ramifications. 3. language differences. 4. cultural differences. 5. role of gov

4、ernments. 6. political risk. what are the six major factors that distinguish multinational from domestic financial management? 19 - 5 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. u.s. $ to buy 1 unit japanese yen 0.009 australian dollar 0.650 nare these currency prices direct or indirect quo

5、tations? lsince they are prices of foreign currencies expressed in dollars, they are direct quotations. consider the following exchange rates: 19 - 6 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. the number of units of foreign currency needed to purchase one u. s. dollar, or the reciprocal of

6、 a direct quotation. what is an indirect quotation? 19 - 7 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. calculate the indirect quotations for yen and australian dollars. # of units of foreign currency per u.s. $ japanese yen 111.11 australian dollar1.5385 yen: 1/0.009 = 111.11. a. dollar: 1/

7、0.650 = 1.5385. 19 - 8 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. the exchange rate between any two currencies. cross rates are actually calculated on the basis of various currencies relative to the u. s. dollar. what is a cross rate? 19 - 9 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reser

8、ved. ncross rate = x = 111.11 x 0.650 = 72.22 yen/a. dollar. ncross rate = x = 1.5385 x 0.009 = 0.0138 a. dollars/yen. calculate the two cross rates between yen and australian dollars. yen u.s. dollars u.s. dollar a. dollar a. dollars u.s. dollars u.s. dollar yen 19 - 10 copyright 2001 by harcourt,

9、inc.all rights reserved. nthe two cross rates are reciprocals of one another. nthey can be calculated by dividing either the direct or indirect quotations. note: 19 - 11 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. price = (1.75)(1.50)(111.11) = 291.66 yen. the firm can produce a liter of or

10、ange juice and ship it to japan for $1.75. if the firm wants a 50% markup on the product, what should the juice sell for in japan? 19 - 12 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. 250 yen= 250(0.0138) = 3.45 a. dollars. 6 3.45 = 2.55 australian dollar profit. 1.5385 a. dollars = 1 u. s.

11、dollar. dollar profit = 2.55/1.5385 = $1.66. now the firm begins producing the orange juice in japan. the product costs 250 yen to produce and ship to australia, where it can be sold for 6 australian dollars. what is the dollar profit on the sale? 19 - 13 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights r

12、eserved. the risk that the value of a cash flow in one currency translated to another currency will decline due to a change in exchange rates. for example, in the last slide, a weakening australian dollar (strengthening dollar) would lower the dollar profit. what is exchange rate risk? 19 - 14 copyr

13、ight 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. nthe current system is a floating rate system. nprior to 1971, a fixed exchange rate system was in effect. lthe u.s. dollar was tied to gold. lother currencies were tied to the dollar. describe the current and former international monetary systems. 19

14、- 15 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. the european monetary union in 2002, the full implementation of the “euro” is expected to be complete. the national currencies of the 11 participating countries will be phased out in favor of the “euro.” the newly formed european central bank

15、 will control the monetary policy of the emu. 19 - 16 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. the 11 member nations of the european monetary union austria belgium finland france germany ireland italy luxembourg netherlands portugal spain european union countries not in the emu: britain

16、sweden denmark greece 19 - 17 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. na currency is convertible when the issuing country promises to redeem the currency at current market rates. nconvertible currencies are traded in world currency markets. what is a convertible currency? 19 - 18 copyri

17、ght 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. nit becomes very difficult for multi- national companies to conduct business because there is no easy way to take profits out of the country. noften, firms will barter for goods to export to their home countries. what problems arise when a firm operates

18、 in a country whose currency is not convertible? 19 - 19 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. nspot rates are the rates to buy currency for immediate delivery. nforward rates are the rates to buy currency at some agreed-upon date in the future. what is the difference between spot rat

19、es and forward rates? 19 - 20 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. when is the forward rate at a premium to the spot rate? nif the u. s. dollar buys fewer units of a foreign currency in the forward than in the spot market, the foreign currency is selling at a premium. nin the opposit

20、e situation, the foreign currency is selling at a discount. nthe primary determinant of the spot/forward rate relationship is relative interest rates. 19 - 21 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. what is interest rate parity? interest rate parity holds that investors should expect to

21、 earn the same return in all countries after adjusting for risk. ft = t-period forward exchange rate e0 = todays spot rate kh = periodic interest rate in the home country kf = periodic interest rate in the foreign country ft e0 = 1 + kh 1 + kf . 19 - 22 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights res

22、erved. assume 1 yen = $0.0095 in 30-day forward market and knom for 30-day risk-free securities in japan and u. s. = 4%. does interest rate parity hold? no. ft= $0.0095 kh= 4%/12 = 0.333% kf= 4%/12 = 0.333% (more.) 19 - 23 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. therefore, if interest r

23、ate parity holds then e0 = $0.0095. however, we were given earlier that e0 = $0.0090. ft e0 = 1 + kh 1 + kf = 1.0033 1.0033 $0.0095 e0 $0.0095 e0 = 1. 19 - 24 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. what security offers highest return? japanese security. 1. convert $1,000 to yen in spot

24、 market. $1,000 x 111.111 = 111,111 yen. 2. invest 111,111 yen in 30-day japanese security. in 30 days receive 111,111 yen x 1.00333 = 111,481 yen. 3. agree today to exchange 111,481 yen 30 days from now at forward rate. 111,481/105.2632 = $1,059.07. 4. 30-day return = $59.07/$1,000 = 5.907%, nomina

25、l annual return = 12 x 5.907% = 70.88%. 19 - 25 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. what is purchasing power parity (ppp)? purchasing power parity implies that the level of exchange rates adjusts so that identical goods cost the same amount in different countries. ph = pf(e0) or e0

26、= ph/pf. 19 - 26 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. if grapefruit juice costs $2.00/liter in u. s. and ppp holds, what is the price of grapefruit juice in australia? ppp = e0 = ph/pf $0.6500 = $2.00/pf pf= $2.00/$0.6500 = 3.0769 australian dollars. 19 - 27 copyright 2001 by harcour

27、t, inc.all rights reserved. nlower inflation leads to lower interest rates, so borrowing in low-interest countries may appear attractive to multinational firms. nhowever, currencies in low-inflation countries tend to appreciate against those in high-inflation rate countries, so the effective interes

28、t cost increases over the life of the loan. what impact does relative inflation have on interest rates and exchange rates? 19 - 28 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. neurodollar markets la source of dollars outside the u. s. ninternational bonds lforeign bonds: sold by foreign borr

29、ower, but denominated in the currency of the country of issue. leurobonds: sold in country other than the one in whose currency the bonds are denominated. describe the international money and capital markets. 19 - 29 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. to what extent do average capi

30、tal structures vary across different countries? nprevious studies suggested that average capital structures vary among the large industrial countries. nhowever, a recent study, which controlled for differences in accounting practices, suggests that capital structures are more similar across differen

31、t countries than previously thought. 19 - 30 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. ndistances are greater. naccess to more markets for loans and for temporary investments. ncash is often denominated in different currencies. what is the impact of multinational operations on each of the following topics? cash management 19 - 31 copyright 2001 by harcourt, inc.all rights reserved. nforeign operations are taxed locally, and then funds repatriated may be subject to u. s. taxes. nforeign projects are subject to polit

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