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1、2002 11 “”10+1 2002 18AbstractThe ASEAN and Chinese leaders signed, on November 4th 2002, the Framework Agreement on ASEAN-China Economic Cooperation which will serve as the fulcrum for establishing the free-trade area by 2010 for the older ASEAN members and 2015 for the newer members with flexibili
2、ty on sensitive commodities. The event stirred extensive attention from home and abroad.In the past four years, the implementation of the above stated Agreement has brought China great impacts on its trade as well as immense benefits. This essay, in four parts, is to analyze the benefits and impacts
3、 China gained fromthe Agreement on ASEAN-China Economic Cooperation .Part one states the general situation of Chinese trade with Asian; part two describes the trade benefits China gained from Agreement on ASEAN-China Economic Cooperation; part three accounts the impacts on Chinese trade; part four o
4、ffers some proposals on the construction of ASEAN-China free-trade area.Key WordsASEAN; Trade Benefit; Impact1 .41.1 .41.2 .52 .92.1 .92.2 .102.3 .112.4 .112.5 .123 .123.1 .123.2 .134-. 144.1 .154.2 .154.3 .164.4 .16.17.18-2002 1 02 1.1 1.1 -2006 1 10 1299.1 23.5% 572.9 726.2 05 196.3 1-101299.19.12
5、3.5 572.97.428.0 726.211.222.7-153.3 1.1 2006%20051303.79.223.1 553.77.329.1 750.011.419.1-196.320041058.89.235.3 429.07.238.7 629.811.233.1-200.82003782.59.242.9 309.37.131.2 473.311.551.7 -1642002547.78.2331.6 235.713.4128.2 312.010.5734.3 -76.3()1.2 2005 (1)2002 2005 2006 9 296.69 2004 2004 2005
6、1.1 2005 130.76 15.35 14.32 13.78 66.2%7.8%7.3%7.0%2005 138.2 13.38 10.24 6.507 67.4%6.5%5.0%3.2%(2)2002 2005 2006 268.4 2005 44.4 11.5 5.9 5.3 5.6 47.7%12.4%6.34%5.70%6%2005 78.7%90.4 8.3 4.98 68.6%6.3%3.8%(3)2002 2005 2006 184.6 2005 38.3 42.1% 6.2 8.1 3.8% 8.2 9% 2.96 38.7% 0.99 35.9% 5.9% 1.9 13
7、.5%2005 59.4 17.9 8.76.9 53.3%16%7%1.6%(4)2002 2005 2005 175.6 2004 88 52.9% 97.1%2004 22.8 56.2% 53.4% (5)2002 2005 2006 666.6 03 2005 29.5 44.3% 7.0 6.7 5.5 4.4 20.5%20.2%8.5%6.7%2005 14.1 13.5 10.724.2%23.1%18.3%(6)2002 2005 05 04 2006 46.45 2005 0.586% 04 2005 2.62%2005 95% 200581.4% 1.2% %06.1-
8、9296.692.33166.382.440.3130.312.28.136.072005331.52.3324.2166.32.1831.1165.22.5018.01.12004266.852.3137.89126.852.1431.09140.02.4933.56-13.152003193.522.2737.988.692.0227.25104.842.5448.71-16.152002140.22.2628.469.72.1420.3470.52.3937.08-0.806.1-9268.472.1198.751.429.7169.722.917.9-70.972005307.032.
9、1616.91106.071.3931.16200.963.0410.58-94.892004262.612.2730.4680.871.3631.71181.743.2429.91-100.872003201.32.3641.0661.41.4023.42139.93.3950.51-78.52002142.712.3051.4249.751.5354.592.953.1549.8-43.206.1-9184.61.4524.6101.21.4622.183.42.227.717.82005218.11.4225.7878.21.0234.8139.92.1221.2-61.72004173
10、.41.5037.0058.00.9851.59115.42.0630.68-57.42003126.571.4947.8438.260.8729.3088.312.1457.64-50.05200285.611.3821.4329.590.9126.7856.021.9018.86-26.4306.1-9125.362.236.92005175.61.2331.7546.80.619.60128.71.9542.05-81.92004133.281.1541.7942.70.7238.0190.61.6143.67-47.9200394.001.1078.7430.940.706-3.826
11、3.061.53208.8-32.12200252.590.8447.5232.170.98826.0520.420.6965.40-11.7506.1-666.60.83712.129.30.684-8.437.31.01635.9-8.02005167.891.1824.583.511.09633.584.381.27816.8-0.872004134.81.1731.862.571.0539.672.231.2925.7-9.662003102.31.20228.944.81.02230.857.51.39327.5-12.68200279.351.2818.0134.261.05220
12、.845.081.5315.95-10.8206.1-646.450.584200582.000.58621.6356.50.77832.7225.50.3862.6231.0200467.420.58445.4942.570.71733.9124.850.44370.3217.72200346.340.54441.9731.790.72547.2714.590.35330.8517.20200232.640.52616.221.490.6619.511.150.37810.310.3406.1-42.00.038950.9.20055.630.039616.75.360.070318.450
13、.2730.004-8.6965.020044.8240.041847.984.5250.076356.030.2990.005315.04.22620033.260.037616.02.900.066217.10.260.00635.92.7620022.760.044515.02.520.077422.30.2450.0083-29.52.27506.1-91.750.013820051.290.009113.61.000.0132.50.29101.90.71200420031.10.012971.020020.6390.01023.306.1-66.620.08310.85.490.1
14、2830.51.140.0311-35.94.34200512.090.0855.599.350.123-0.322.740.04232.376.61200411.450.0996.319.380.1583.302.070.03721.767.31200310.770.12724.949.080.20725.241.700.04124.097.3820028.620.13936.47.250.22345.71.370.0462.05.8806.1-92.880.02341.030.730.01183.642.150.03730.72-1.2520053.480.02416.390.960.01
15、3100.02.520.0380.398-1.5620042.990.026-13.580.480.00841.302.510.048-19.55-2.0320033.460.04131.560.340.00861.903.120.07628.93-2.7820022.630.04258.90.210.00622.72.420.08263.1-2.21221 (1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)(15)(16)(17)(18)(19)(20)(21)12002 -2.1 2004 11 29 2005 7 2004 7000 2004
16、9.9% 2005 8.1%2007 6.6%2009 2.4% 2010 93% 2004 9.9% 2005 8.1%2007 6.6%2009 2.4% 2010 93%12006P12 06 12 2007 3523 2008 2010 1.1 2002 2006 1-10 572.9 28%2.2 Revealed comparative advantageRCA RCA 1 RCA 1 HS 22 RCA 9 1 13 11 2010 GDP 3 20 12003 5 P62.3 -2005 110 363.8 92.7%2005 110 577.6 27.3 31% 76.1%2
17、006 110 793 556 7.5% 22% 31.6 13.9 3.6 1.2 20.7%16.6%1.1 69.5%2.4 1993 2003 2003 20.8% 200560%45%2.5 UNCTAD1994 7%10%25% 1.75%2.50%2005 22.75 1998 25% 15%25%3.75%6.25%. 2005 48.75 , ”( , )”( ), ,13-3.1 12003P201.12002 2006 10 153.3 2002 2004 05 04 2002 10 2004 600 2005 2004 7000 3.2 - “”“”229 “” “”
18、2005 GDP 32 65 53 50 42 40 38 36 2006 402007 24 WTO 26 10 44.1 , , , 4.2 99% 1992 2004 17.9%Form E 80% 5-15% 60% 4.3 2003 2005 4.4 1 1998,P232 2002-P133 2003P204 2003 5 ,P65 2006P126 2002-,P15-167 ASEAN-China Expert Group on Economic Cooperation, Forging Closer ASEAN-China Economic Relations in the twenty fir
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