4G技術(shù)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀與機(jī)會

1、4G技術(shù)發(fā)展現(xiàn)況與機(jī)會AgendaThe Mobile Evolution Towards 4GThe ITUs PerspectiveThe SDOs PerspectiveTechnology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetingsWho lead the Mobile Evolution towards 4G?IEEE 802.16 and WiMAX ForumLTE and LSTI AlliancesHow to Break ThroughTaiwan WiMAX Ecos

2、ystemWhat is 4G? ITU-Rs PerspectiveA high degree of commonality of functionality worldwide while retaining the flexibility to support a wide rage of services and applications in a.Capability of inter-working with other radio access systems.Capability of services within IMT and with fixed networks.En

3、hanced peak data rates 100Mbps for high and 1Gbps for low mobilitySource: ITU-R M.1645 (IMT Vision 2003)ChinaJapanKoreaUKEuropeJapanUSA mainlyUSA數(shù)據(jù)源：本研究整理，ITRI/ICL 2009年2月Standard Development OrganizationsWhat is 4G? ITU-Rs PerspectiveVisionRec M.1645RadioFramework&CoreSpecificationsMarket/Services

4、viewTechnology viewSpectrum viewNamePrinciplesCPM TextWRC-07Services&Circular LetterforprocessProposals,Evaluation,&ConsensusBuilding2002-20032005-20072006-20082008-2010Setting the Stage for FutureVision, Spectrum, and Technology ViewsDefining theTechnology2000-2003Proceeding Toward 4G (IMT-ADVANCED

5、)2010-2012Q229-1/8NowIM-EVAL and IMT-Tech DocumentSource: ITU-R M.1645 (IMT Vision 2003)What is 4G? SDOs Perspective2001-20052006HSDPAPhase I1.8M/3.6MbpsHSDPA Phase II7.2/14.4MbpsHSUPA2M/5.76MbpsLTE (FDD)In 20MHz (Rel. 8)DL PDR: 326MpsUL PDR: 86kpsWCDMAR99/R4384kbps3GPP Evolution200720082009HSPA+DL

6、40MbpsUL 10Mbps1xEV-DO Rev. 0DL: 2.4MbpsUL:153.6kbpsDO Rev. B（MC DO）DL：46.5MbpsUL: 27Mbps1xEV-D0 Rev. ADL: 3.1MbpsUL: 1.8MbpsCDMA 1X153kbps20102011IEEE802.16e70MbpsWiMAX EvolutionIEEE802.16d20MbpsIMTAdvancedTechnologyLTE-Advanced(Rel. 9)IEEE802.16mDL:100MbpsUL: 50MbpsSource:本計劃整理, 4G研討會Dec. 20083GPP

7、2 EvolutionTD-SCDMA EvolutionR2 CertificationR 1.5 CertificationR1.0/Wave 2 CertificationLTE TDDLTE-AdvancedDL:1GbpsUL:150 Mbps(Rel. 10)Technology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetingsWideband towards MobilityWiMAX CampMobile Evolution is Towards ConvergenceLTE C

8、ampMobile towards WidebandSource:本計劃整理, MWC March 2009IMT-Advanced GOALSFlexible spectrum utilizationAllIP networkBroadband servicesLow CAPEX and OPEX垂直產(chǎn)業(yè)異業(yè)結(jié)盟技術(shù)整合研發(fā)產(chǎn)銷Source: MIC,產(chǎn)銷分享會 2007Samsung LTE Product RoadmapSource:本計劃整理, MWC March 2009LSTILTE Rel 9StandardDevelopment200920102011eNBTerminalRA

9、N 2,3,4 Mar. 09RAN 5 June 09Release 9 (Dec 09)SAE Stage 3 Mar 09Release 9 (Dec 09)POC (Jan 08 March 09)IODT (Jan 09 Oct 09)IOT (Nov 09 Mar 10)FCT (Oct 09 June 10)Field Trial SystemPre-Standard for LSTI Dec 082.6GHz/700MHz20MHz BW2x2/4x2 MIMO, SONCommercial SystemCommercial HW/SW ready2.6GHz/700MHz1.

10、420MHz BW2x2/4x2 MIMO, SONHotZone20MHz BW2x2/4x4 MIMO, SONData Card PrototypeCommercial Handset從Samsung LTE產(chǎn)品Roadmap來看，2009年將推出Data Card，2010年起推出LTE手機(jī)。小結(jié)From ITU-R Perspectives: IMT-Advanced Spectrum was finalized atWRC07. IMT-Advanced Radio Access Technology is now under-progress with SDOs. Specifi

11、cation Recommendation will be expected byyear 2011.From SDOs Perspective: LTE-Advanced and WiMAX 16m (not Rel. 2) will be submitted and evaluated bymid of 2010. From Alliances Perspective: WiMAX Rel. 2 will only be ready for commercial phaseafter 2012.LTE and LTE-Advanced Industrial Evaluation Group

12、 (LSTI) is expected to have Friendly Trialready by year 2010. LTE-Advanced (Rel. 10) will be released a year later. Operators should rather wait to avoid double investment.From Global Operators Perspectives:Timing of the roll-out and uptake of 4G application and services should follow: Mobile Comput

13、ing, Mobile (2.0) Services and Mobile CE Devices and data Business model to be suitable for High throughput at Mobile.數(shù)據(jù)源：TC Song研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月AgendaThe Mobile Evolution Towards 4GThe Regulatory DevelopmentTechnology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetingsWho

14、 lead the Mobile Evolution towards 4G?IEEE 802.16 and WiMAX ForumLTE and LSTI AlliancesHow to Break ThroughTaiwan WiMAX EcosystemIEEE 802.16m 技術(shù)開發(fā)現(xiàn)況Company NameNo#58#48#58#48Samsung Electronics146279.60%10.11%Intel Corp.239168.14%5.99%Huawei Technologies333106.89%3.75%LG42795.64%3.37%ETRI527175.64%6

15、.37%Motorola820194.18%7.12%ITRI62354.80%1.87%Nokia72174.38%2.62%Fujitsu Laboratories917123.55%4.49%Nortel Networks1115133.13%4.87%ZTE101653.34%1.87%MTK1215-3.13%III131052.09%1.87%Mitsubishi Electric14871.67%2.62%NextWave159-1.88%Alcatel Lucent166-1.25%Qualcomm1840.84%Marvel194-0.84%Ericsson1751.04%D

16、oCoMo20320.63%0.75%Total Voting Members479362100%100%據(jù)了解，除了Intel及Samsung將會進(jìn)行IEEE 802.16m Self Evaluation以外，目前尚未有公司公布16m Trial的合作，是否大多公司還處于觀望姿態(tài)?數(shù)據(jù)源：TC Song研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月WiMAX ForumWiMAX Forum在2001年由英特爾、諾基亞與Alvarion等創(chuàng)建。全球目前共有530家會員臺灣目前有39家會員廠商，包含一個董事會員、以及15個主要會員。WiMAX Forum目前有17個董事會成員近年來臺灣在推動WiM

17、AX產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展不遺余力，受到全球WiMAX產(chǎn)業(yè)的高度肯定。在MWC 2009 Intel Booth公布WiMAX布建于135國家，可服務(wù)430M人數(shù)據(jù)源：WiMAX Taipei Office,本研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月3GPP LTE DevelopmentLTE獲NGMN及多家國際電信業(yè)者宣布采用后聲勢急漲電信業(yè)者自2009年起將陸續(xù)開始透過LSTI測試、甚至商用化布建。Resource: ATIS LTE Conference ,本研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月GSM Association4 billion connections worldwide219

18、countries and territories750 mobile operatorsLSTI Alliances3GPP之組織較完整及嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)，目前已由以下公司成立IMT-Advanced Evaluation Group并在LSTI做Field Trial。 Where is Taiwan!全球WiMAX及LTE電信業(yè)者分布圖North AmericaLTEVerizon Wireless(4Q09)AT&T Mobility (4Q09)T-Mobile (4Q12)Bell Canada & TelusMetroPCSWiMAX 16eClearWire (469,000 subs.

19、Sep08)BrazilEuropeLTEVodafone(German 4Q11,Britain 4Q12)Orange (Britain 4Q11)T-Mobile (German 4Q11)Telecom Italia (4Q10)TeliaSonera (4Q10)WiMAX16eRussiaAsiaLTE中國移動(China)中國電信(China)NTT DoCoMo (Japan4Q10)KDDI (Japan 4Q10)Softbank Mobile (Japan 4Q12)SK Telecom (Korea)KTF (Korea)WiMAX 16eUQ Communicatio

20、n (Japan)KT (Korea)M-Taiwan Program (Taiwan)India WiMAX Program (India)注:畫底線為CDMA運營商，括號內(nèi)為預(yù)計開通LTE服務(wù)時間) Source: Digitimes 2009/1整理: ITRI 2009/03但全球經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況不佳，電信業(yè)者能否順利募集大規(guī)模布建LTE資金，現(xiàn)況Business Model是否適合Mobile Broadband發(fā)展，仍有相當(dāng)變量。LTE電信業(yè)者已公布，將延遲布建進(jìn)度至少35年國際知名設(shè)備及系統(tǒng)整合大廠之動向 IMT-AdvancedWideband towards MobilityWiMAX CampAnd other WiMAX Forum MembersMobile towar