第三天：突擊效果分析

空軍作戰(zhàn)運(yùn)籌AirForceOperationsResearch

第二章空中進(jìn)攻作戰(zhàn)運(yùn)籌分析Chapter2:ORAnalysisfor

AirForceOffensiveOperationsII.Principles,basesandmainmethodsofselectingair-to-groundweapons二、空對(duì)地武器選擇原則、依據(jù)和主要方法

Theoverallrequirementforair-to-groundweaponselectionis:underthepreconditionsthatexpectedstrikingeffectcanbeachieved,itisimperativetosaveasmuchforceaspossibleandtoensurethesafetyoftheplatformsthemselves.總要求：在獲得預(yù)期突擊效果的前提下，最大限度地節(jié)約兵力，并保證投擲武器載機(jī)的自身安全。Section3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇

(I)Principlesofair-to-groundweaponselection

（一）空對(duì)地武器選擇原則Choosingrighttypeofweapon

1．正確選擇武器類型Section3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇II.Principles,basesandmainmethodsofselectingair-to-groundweapons二、空對(duì)地武器選擇原則、依據(jù)和主要方法

橋梁、艦船、鐵路樞紐、……bridge,ship,railwayhubs,航爆彈aerialexplosivebombs一般技術(shù)兵器和人員,……ordinaryequipmentandpersonnel,航殺彈(或航空殺爆彈）aerialkilling(aerialkillingandexplosive)bombs地下目標(biāo)undergroundtargets航空穿甲彈aerialarmored-piercingbombs坦克、裝甲車tanks,anti-tankmissile反坦克子母彈aerialclusterbombs雷達(dá)、制導(dǎo)雷達(dá)radar,guided-radar反輻射彈anti-radiationweapons機(jī)場(chǎng)跑道airfieldrunway反跑道炸彈anti-runwaybombsSection3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇

Selectappropriateequivalentweightofweapons2．合理選擇武器當(dāng)量Section3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇II.

Principles,basesandmainmethodsofselecting

air-to-groundweapons二、空對(duì)地武器選擇原則、依據(jù)和主要方法

(I)Principlesofair-to-groundweapons

（一）空對(duì)地武器選擇原則

3.Accuratelysetthefuseofweapons3．精確設(shè)定武器的引信

應(yīng)保證彈藥在能獲得最大破壞效果處（時(shí)）爆炸，并不危及載機(jī)的安全。

Itshouldbeguaranteedthatmunitionswouldbeexplodeattheplacewhere(oratthetimewhen)maximumdamagingeffectcouldbeachievedandthatthesafetyoftheplatformscanbeensured.Section3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇II.

Principles,basesandmainmethodsofselecting

air-to-groundweapons

二、空對(duì)地武器選擇原則、依據(jù)和主要方法Principlesofair-to-groundweapons

（一）空對(duì)地武器選擇原則

(II)

Principlesofair-to-groundweapons

（二）空對(duì)地武器選用的依據(jù)

Section3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇II.

Principles,basesandmainmethodsofselecting

air-to-groundweapons二、空對(duì)地武器選擇原則、依據(jù)和主要方法

依據(jù):bases

:1．Natureoftarget目標(biāo)性質(zhì)2．Missionrequirements任務(wù)要求3．Aircraft’sfavorablepayloadplan

飛機(jī)的有利載彈方案4．Altitudeofdeliveringbombs投彈高度5．Penetrationcapabilityandprobabilityoftargetdetection突防能力及發(fā)現(xiàn)目標(biāo)概率

Section3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇

(III)Methodsofair-to-GroundWeaponSelection（三）空對(duì)地武器選用的方法

Quantitativelyanalyzeandevaluatevariousoptions對(duì)各類方案進(jìn)行量化、評(píng)估Arrangetheorderofvariousoptions對(duì)各類方案排序Choosetheoptimumoption選擇最佳的方案Section3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇II.

Principles,basesandmainmethodsofselecting

air-to-groundweapons

二、空對(duì)地武器選擇原則、依據(jù)和主要方法

Cost-effectiveness

費(fèi)效比

Selectweaponsaccordingthecomparisonofdifferentratiosofcost-effectiveness.Thecostofcombatweaponssystemsusuallyincludesexpensesofproductionandmaintenanceoftheweaponsandtheexpensesofproduction,maintenanceanddepreciationofthelostaircraft,aswellastheexpensesofthetrainingofcombatpersonnel.從效能和費(fèi)用兩個(gè)方面來進(jìn)行考慮，選取單位費(fèi)用獲取效果最大的武器。作戰(zhàn)武器的費(fèi)用通常包括武器的成本費(fèi)、維修費(fèi)、損失飛機(jī)的成本費(fèi)、出動(dòng)飛機(jī)的折舊費(fèi)、維修費(fèi)、油料費(fèi)，以及戰(zhàn)勤人員的培訓(xùn)費(fèi)等。Section3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇CommonQuantitativeCriteria:常用的量化指標(biāo):

section1Introduction

第一節(jié)概述

Section2SelectionofTargetstoBeAttacked

第二節(jié)突擊目標(biāo)選擇

Section3SelectionofAir-to-GroundWeapons

第三節(jié)空對(duì)地武器選擇

Section4StrikingEffectAnalysis

第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

Section5AnalysisofStrikingForce

第五節(jié)突擊兵力分析

ORAnalysisfor

AirForceOffensiveOperations空中進(jìn)攻作戰(zhàn)運(yùn)籌分析

Theassessementofthestrikingplanandquantitativeanalysisonthedegreeofmissioncompletionisknownasstrikingeffectanalysis.

把分析突擊方案好壞（質(zhì)量）及其完成任務(wù)程度的定量分析方法稱為突擊效果分析。

Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

penetration突防destructionarea毀傷目標(biāo)ingressthetarget進(jìn)入目標(biāo)Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析I.

PenetrationEffectAnalysis一、突防效果分析

Penetrationisacombatactionduringwhichtheaviationforcesbreakthroughenemyairdefensesystemandentertheselectedtargetarea.

突防，是航空兵突破敵方對(duì)空防御系統(tǒng)的攔截，進(jìn)入預(yù)定的攻擊目標(biāo)區(qū)的戰(zhàn)斗活動(dòng)。

Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析Penetrationeffectmainlymeanstheextentoftheeffectivenessofpenetration.突防效果是指突破敵防空體系的有效程度。Penetrationeffectanalysisisaquantitativeforecastforthisextentofeffectiveness.突防效果分析，即在一定條件下，對(duì)這一有效程度進(jìn)行的定量預(yù)測(cè)。

Section4StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

Penetrationeffectanalysis一、突防效果分析(I)PenetrationEffectIndex（一）突防效果指標(biāo)Penetrationeffectindexisaquantitativeeffectivenessindexfortheevaluationofpenetrationeffectiveness.突防效果指標(biāo)，是評(píng)定突防效果好壞的數(shù)量指標(biāo)。Section4StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

1.FormationPenetrationEffectivenessIndex

編隊(duì)突防效果指標(biāo)Averagenumberofaircraftsucceedinginpenetrating突防平均架數(shù)Averagepercentageofaircraftsucceedinginpenetrating突防平均百分?jǐn)?shù)Probabilityofwholeformationsucceedinginpenetration編隊(duì)全部突防成功的概率Probabilityofrequirednumberofaircraftsucceedinginpenetrating編隊(duì)飛機(jī)至少若干架突防成功的概率Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

2.Singleaircraftpenetrationeffectivenessindex

單機(jī)突防效果指標(biāo)Singleaircraftpenetrationprobability單機(jī)突防概率Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

penetration突防destructionarea毀傷目標(biāo)ingressthetarget進(jìn)入目標(biāo)Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

二、Analysisoneffectforingressingthetarget進(jìn)入目標(biāo)效果分析

Ingressthetargetisdescribedasaprocessduringwhichastrikeformation,afteringressingthebombline,searchanddetectaccordingtothepreplanedprosedureandenoughaimingandreleasingtimeisensured.

通常把突擊編隊(duì)進(jìn)入轟炸起點(diǎn)（或發(fā)射區(qū)）后，按預(yù)設(shè)程序搜索發(fā)現(xiàn)目標(biāo)，并保證來得及瞄準(zhǔn)攻擊的這一過程稱為進(jìn)入目標(biāo)。

EffectIndex:Probalityofingressingthetarget效果指標(biāo)：進(jìn)入目標(biāo)概率Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

進(jìn)入目標(biāo)概率主要取決于飛機(jī)與目標(biāo)之間的通視率和通視條件下使用各種觀察手段對(duì)目標(biāo)的發(fā)現(xiàn)概率。即：

P進(jìn)入=P通視×P發(fā)現(xiàn)

Probabilityofingressingthetargetmainlydependsonthevisibilitybetweena/candthetarget,andthedetectionprobabilityofthetargetbyallkindsofobservationmeansinthevisibilitycondition:P

ingress

=Pvisibility

×PdetectionSection4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

III.EffectIndexoftheTargetDestruction

三、毀傷目標(biāo)效果分析

Thestrikeformationcouldreleaseordroptheair-to-groundweaponstodestroythetargetaftersuccessfulpenetrationandingression.Theextentoftargetdestructioncandirectlyreflectthestrikingeffect.

EffectIndexoftheTargetDestruction

isaforcastfortheextentofdestroyingthetargetbyair-to-groundweapons.

突擊編隊(duì)成功突防和進(jìn)入目標(biāo)后，即可投射空對(duì)地武器來毀傷目標(biāo)。對(duì)目標(biāo)的毀傷程度直接反映出突擊效果的好壞。毀傷目標(biāo)效果分析就是對(duì)空對(duì)地武器毀傷目標(biāo)程度的預(yù)測(cè)。

Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

（一）EffectivenessIndexofTargetDestruction

毀傷目標(biāo)效果指標(biāo)1.EffectivenessIndexforSingleTargetStrike

對(duì)單個(gè)目標(biāo)

單個(gè)目標(biāo)是指那些具有獨(dú)立職能且面積較小的目標(biāo)。Asingletargetisasmalltargetthatcanperformitsfunctionsindependently.Destructionprobabilityisusuallyusedaseffectivenessindex.毀傷目標(biāo)概率Section4StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

（一）EffectivenessIndexoftheTargetDestruction

毀傷目標(biāo)效果指標(biāo)2.EffectivenessIndexfor

AreaTargetStrike

對(duì)面狀目標(biāo)

Anareatargetmeansasetoftargetsthatarelocatedinacertainamountofarea.Itiscomposedofanumberoftargetsofthesameordifferentkinds(forexample,personnel,weaponsandequipment,andfortifications).面狀目標(biāo)是指分布在一定面積內(nèi)的一組目標(biāo)，這種目標(biāo)是由若干相同或不相同的目標(biāo)（如人員、武器裝備、工事建筑等）組成。

Section4StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

theaveragepercentageoftargetdestruction毀傷目標(biāo)的平均百分?jǐn)?shù)Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析

EffectivenessIndexofTargetDestruction

（一）毀傷目標(biāo)效果指標(biāo)3.EffectivenessIndexoftheStrikeofAirfieldRunway對(duì)機(jī)場(chǎng)跑道Probabilityofaccomplishingtheblockademission完成封鎖任務(wù)的概率

Section4

StrikingEffectAnalysis第四節(jié)突擊效果分析