版權(quán)說明:本文檔由用戶提供并上傳,收益歸屬內(nèi)容提供方,若內(nèi)容存在侵權(quán),請(qǐng)進(jìn)行舉報(bào)或認(rèn)領(lǐng)
文檔簡(jiǎn)介
PublicDisclosureAuthorized
PublicDisclosureAuthorizedPublicDisclosureAuthorized
PublicDisclosureAuthorized
BeyondMitigation:QuantifyingtheDevelopmentBenefitsofCarbonPricing
?2021InternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment?/?TheWorldBank
1818HStreetNW
WashingtonDC20433
Telephone:202-473-1000
Internet:
ThisworkisaproductofthestaffoftheWorldBankwithexternalcontributions.Thefindings,interpre-tations,andconclusionsexpressedinthisworkdonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsoftheWorldBank,itsBoardofExecutiveDirectors,orthegovernmentstheyrepresent.
TheWorldBankdoesnotguaranteetheaccuracy,completeness,orcurrencyofthedataincludedinthisworkanddoesnotassumeresponsibilityforanyerrors,omissions,ordiscrepanciesintheinformation,orliabilitywithrespecttotheuseoforfailuretousetheinformation,methods,processes,orconclusionssetforth.Theboundaries,colors,denominations,andotherinformationshownonanymapinthisworkdonotimplyanyjudgmentonthepartoftheWorldBankconcerningthelegalstatusofanyterritoryortheendorsementoracceptanceofsuchboundaries.
NothinghereinshallconstituteorbeconstruedorconsideredtobealimitationuponorwaiveroftheprivilegesandimmunitiesoftheWorldBank,allofwhicharespecificallyreserved.
RightsandPermissions
Thematerialinthisworkissubjecttocopyright.BecausetheWorldBankencouragesdisseminationofitsknowledge,thisworkmaybereproduced,inwholeorinpart,fornoncommercialpurposesaslongasfullattributiontothisworkisgiven.
Anyqueriesonrightsandlicenses,includingsubsidiaryrights,shouldbeaddressedtoWorldBankPublications,TheWorldBankGroup,1818HStreetNW,Washington,DC20433,USA;fax:202-522-2625;email:pubrights@.
Design:
Simpelplus
Acknowledgments
ThisreportwaspreparedforthePartnershipforMarketReadinessbyBerkeleyEconomicAdvisingandResearch.TheteamwasledbyDavidRoland-HolstwithsupportfromDrewBehnke,SamuelHeft-Neal,andRyanTriolo.ResearchassistancewasprovidedbyCharlesFondecave,LiamFr?lund,JoslynFu,SydneySchoonover,andAnnaWang.
TheWorldBankoversawthedevelopmentoftheguide,includingprovidingsubstantiveinputsandmanagingtheproject.TheWorldBankteamconsistedofDanielBesleyandMarissaSantikarn.TechnicalinputandexpertisewereprovidedbyCarloAlbertoAmadei,SimonBlack,IraDorband,HasanDudu,ErickFernandes,HarikumarGadde,DirkHeine,CharlJooste,SeanNelson,andGregorSchwerhoff.TechnicalinputswerealsoprovidedbyCyrilCassisa,LucaLoRe,andInsaHandschuchfromtheInternationalEnergyAgency.
BeyondMitigation:QuantifyingtheDevelopmentBenefitsofCarbonPricing
Contents
Synthesis:BenefitsofCarbonPricinginBrief
7
Introduction
13
2.1
Purpose,Structure,andScopeoftheGuide
16
2.2
OverviewofModelingApproaches
17
AirQuality
18
3.1
Introduction
20
3.2
IdentifyingAirQualityBenefitsandLinkages
21
3.3
MeasuringandModelingDirectImpacts
32
3.4
IndirectImpacts
41
WaterResources
46
4.1
Introduction
48
4.2
IdentifyingBenefitsandLinkagetoCarbonPrices
49
4.3
MeasuringandModelingImpacts
57
SoilHealth
74
5.1
Introduction
76
5.2
IdentifyingBenefitsandLinkagetoCarbonPrices
77
5.3
MeasuringandModelingImpacts
84
Transportation
94
6.1
Introduction
96
6.2
IdentifyingBenefitsandLinkagetoCarbonPrices
96
6.3
MeasuringandModelingImpacts
106
FiscalPolicy
118
7.1
Introduction
120
7.2
GeneratingRevenue
120
7.3
LimitingDistortionaryImpactofTaxation
125
7.4
DistributionalImplicationsofFiscalPolicywithCarbonPricing
126
7.5
MeasuringandModelingImpacts
128
BalanceofPayments
132
8.1
Introduction
134
8.2
ExportandImportResponses
134
8.3
MeasuringandModelingIndirectImpacts
135
TechnologicalChange
144
9.1
Introduction
146
9.2
ApplyingthePorterHypothesistoCarbonPricing
147
9.3
MeasuringandModelingImpacts
151
AppendixA:PartialEquilibriumandGeneralEquilibriumModels
156
References
161
FurtherReading
177
3
Figures
Figure1.1:Carbon-PricingBenefitsbeyondMitigation
9
Figure2.1:Carbon-PricingBenefitsbeyondMitigation
15
Figure3.1:
OverviewofBenefitsfromImprovedAirQuality
21
Figure3.2:
PrimaryAirPollutantsandTheirSources
22
Figure3.3:
GlobalDistributionofPollutionMortalityRates
26
Figure3.4:
PollutionDeathsbyPollutionType
27
Figure3.5:
LinkagesbetweenPollutionandCropYields
29
Figure3.6:
ProjectedOzone-RelatedCropYieldBenefitsofEmissionsReductions,2050
30
Figure3.7:
AirQualityBenefitMetrics
31
Figure3.8:
OverviewofBenefitsfromImprovedAirQuality
32
Figure3.9:
ElasticityofDemandforEnergyandReductionsinEnergyUse
33
Figure3.10:
CharacterizationofMorbidityMeasures
40
Figure3.11:
IncorporatingHealthBenefitsintoaCGEModelingFramework
42
Figure3.12:
SocialAccountingMatrixExtendedtoIncludeHealthEffectsfromPollution
43
Figure4.1:
NationalWaterSystemComponents
49
Figure4.2:
WaterQualityRiskforBiologicalOxygenDemand,Nitrogen,andElectricalConductivity
55
Figure4.3:
MetricsforAssessmentofWaterSectorBenefits
57
Figure4.4:
StepsforQuantifyingDirectBenefitsfromWaterQuantity
58
Figure4.5:
StepsforQuantifyingDirectBenefitsfromImprovedWaterQuality
63
Figure4.6:
StructureofGTAP-BIO-W
69
Figure5.1:
ThreatstoSoilHealth
77
Figure5.2:
GlobalDemandforSoilNutrients,1979–2021
80
Figure5.3:
MetricsforAssessmentofSoilHealthBenefits
83
Figure5.4:
StepsforQuantifyingDirectBenefitsfromImprovedSoilHealth
84
Figure5.5:
PartialEquilibriumEffectsofNitrogenFertilizerApplication
85
Figure6.1:
ProportionofPopulation,RoadTrafficDeaths,andRegisteredMotorVehiclesby
CountryIncomeCategory,2016
97
Figure6.2:
TrafficFatalities
97
Figure6.3:
ConceptualFrameworkoftheRelationshipbetweenGasolinePricesandTrafficSafety
99
Figure6.4:
WorldRankingofCongestion,bytop150Cities
102
Figure6.5:
NegativeExternalityMetricsforAccidentsandCongestions
103
Figure6.6:
CorridorCapacity(peopleperhourona3.5-meter-widelane)
104
Figure6.7:
RoadInjuryandCongestionBenefitFlowChart
106
Figure7.1:
GreaterFiscalDepthinHigher-IncomeCountries
121
Figure7.2:
Revenue,Price,andShareofEmissionsCoveredforImplementedCarbon
PricingInitiatives
122
Figure7.3:
TaxEvasionLevelbyIncome
124
Figure7.4:
EstimatedDistributionalImpactsofaModerateCarbonTax
127
Figure7.5:
MetricstoQuantifytheFiscalPolicyBenefitsofaCarbonPrice
128
Figure9.1:
TheTechnology-TransferStaircase
147
Figure9.2:
MetricsforTechnologicalChangeBenefits
149
Figure9.3:
HowRevenueReallocationandEnergyEfficiencyCreateJobs
150
Figure9.4:
TechnicalChangeBenefitFlowChart
152
BeyondMitigation:QuantifyingtheDevelopmentBenefitsofCarbonPricing
Tables
Table1.1:
PolicyBenefitsofCarbonPricing
11
Table3.1:
MorbidityImpactsandCostsofPollutionExposure
27
Table3.2:
AverageEnergyElasticitiesintheEmpiricalLiterature
34
Table3.3:
QuantifyingtheEffectsofaCarbonPriceonAirQuality(HealthandAgriculturalImpacts)
44
Table4.1:
QuantifyingtheEffectsofaCarbonPriceonWaterResources
73
Table5.1:
KeyThreatstoSoilHealth
78
Table5.2:
QuantifyingtheEffectsofaCarbonPriceonSoilHealth
93
Table6.1.
QuantifyingtheEffectsofaCarbonPriceonTransport(HealthandEconomicImpacts)
115
Table7.1:
QuantifyingtheEffectsofaCarbonPriceonFiscalPolicy
131
Boxes
Box3.1:
TheInteractionbetweenaCarbonPriceandHouseholdAirPollution
23
Box3.2:
DataSourcesforEstimatingPrematureDeathsfromPollution
37
Box3.3:
CalculatingIncome-AdjustedValueforMortalityRiskperLifeforIndividualCountries
39
Box4.1:
WaterResourcesinSouthAfrica
50
Box4.2:
GroundwaterUseandScarcityinIndia
52
Box4.3:
EconomicsofWaterExtractioninAgriculture
59
Box4.4:
AssessingWaterQualityImpactsofCarbonPricing
64
Box4.5:
AchievingSustainableIrrigationWaterWithdrawals
67
Box4.6:
WaterSecurityinVietnam
70
Box4.7:
SubnationalWaterResourceAllocationandPricinginChina
72
Box5.1:
ModelingExternalitiesofNitrogenFertilizerApplication
86
Box5.2:
PriceElasticityofDemandforPesticidesinEurope
88
Box5.3:
ModelingExceedanceLevelsofAcidDepositioninEuropeunderGHGPricing
89
Box5.4:
CarbonPricingandFertilizerUse
92
Box5.5:
DistributionalImpactsofPublicSpendinginAgriculture
92
Box6.1:
TheHighTollofTrafficInjuries:TheMacroeconomicandWelfareBenefits
ofReducingRoadTrafficInjuriesinLow-andMiddle-IncomeCountries
98
Box6.2:
EvidenceLinkingIncreasedGasolinePriceswithReducedVehicleAccidents
108
Box6.3:
EstimatingCountry-LevelCongestionData
111
Box6.4:
CorrelationbetweenIncreasedGasolineTaxesandFewerVehicleMilesTraveled
112
Box6.5:
CGEAssessmentofUrbanCongestioninthePhilippinesShowingEconomic
GrowthResultingfromReducedCongestion
117
Box6.6:
IntegratingBigDataandGeneralEquilibriumModelingforTransportBenefitAssessment
117
Box8.1:
ImpactofaCarbonTaxontheBalanceofPaymentsinIreland
135
Box8.2:
ImpactofaCarbonTaxonUKBalanceofPayments
137
Box8.3:
ImpactofaCarbonTaxinSouthAfrica
138
Box8.4:
GlobalWaterServices:OpportunitiesfromTradeinEmbodiedResources
140
Box8.5:
DutchDiseaseandExternalAssistance
143
Box9.1:
ModelingEvidence:TheEffectofaCarbonTaxonR&D
153
Box9.2:
CapturingEnergyandEmissionTrendsinCGEModels
154
Box9.3:
Bottom-UpAbatementTechnologiesinaGlobalCGEModel
155
BoxA.1:
PriceElasticitiesofDemand
156
5
Abbreviations
AFOLU agriculture,forestry,andotherlanduse
BOP balanceofpayments
CGE computablegeneralequilibrium
CO2 carbondioxide
CPAT CarbonPricingAssessmentTool
CTM chemicaltransportmodels
DALY disability-adjustedlifeyears
DSGE dynamicstochasticgeneralequilibrium
EPA EnvironmentalProtectionAgency(US)
ETS emissionstradingsystem
EU EuropeanUnion
EUETS EuropeanUnionEmissionTradingSystem
FASST FastScenarioScreeningTool
GAINS GreenhouseGasandAirPollution
InteractionsandSynergies
GBD GlobalBurdenofDisease
GDP grossdomesticproduct
GHG greenhousegas
GNP grossnationalproduct
Gt gigatonnes
GTAP GlobalTradeAnalysisProject
ha hectare
ITC inducedtechnologicalchange
kg kilogram
kgN kilogramofnitrogen
LCT low-carbontechnology
LPG liquifiedpetroleumgas
m3 cubicmeters
MAR meanannualrunoff
MJ megajoule
MMBtu millionBTUs
MMTCO2e millionmetrictonsofCO2equivalent
OECD OrganisationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment
PMR PartnershipforMarketReadiness
POLES ProspectiveOutlookfortheLong-termEnergySystem
R&D researchanddevelopment
SAM socialaccountingmatrix
SDG SustainableDevelopmentGoal
SIMPLE-G SIMPLE-on-a-Grid
VAT valueaddedtax
VMT vehiclemilestraveled
VOT valueoftraveltime
VSL valueofstatisticallife
WBM WaterBalanceModel
μg/m3 microgramspercubicmeter
AlldollaramountsareUSdollarsunlessotherwiseindicated.
BeyondMitigation:QuantifyingtheDevelopmentBenefitsofCarbonPricing
1.
Synthesis:BenefitsofCarbonPricinginBrief
Synthesis:BenefitsofCarbonPricinginBrief 7
Synthesis:BenefitsofCarbonPricinginBrief
Thisguideisahandbookforpublicdecisionmak-ers,researchers,andprivatestakeholderswhowanttounderstandthebroadereconomicbenefitsofcarbon-pricingmeasures.Thesearemeasuresthatexplicitlypricethecarboncontentofgoods,suchascarbontaxes,emissionstradingsystems,andcred-itingmechanisms.1Theworld’scurrentrelianceoncarbon-basedenergyhaspervasiveimplicationsforeconomicactivity,soitisnosurprisethatacar-bonpricecanhaveextensivespillovereffects.Theseeffectsorlinkagesofferaroadmapforpolicymak-ersseekingtocombinecarbonmitigationwithstrat-egiesthatadvanceotherpublicpolicyanddevel-opmentobjectives.Theguideidentifiessevenmajorareasofcarbon-pricingbenefits:airquality,water,soilhealth,transport,fiscalpolicy,balanceofpay-ments,andtechnologicalchanges.
Becauseclimategoalsoftencompetewithotherpublicpriorities,itisimportanttorecognizethatcarbonpricescanyieldnumerousbenefitstosoci-etybeyondclimatemitigation.Theseinclude,butarenotlimitedto,cleanerairandwater,improvementsinhumanhealth,saferandlesscongestedroads,increasedenergyandfoodsecurity,inducedadop-tionanddiffusionoftechnologicalinnovation,andenhancedmacroeconomicstabilitythroughstrongerfiscalandinternationalpaymentsbalances.Care-fullydesignedcarbonpricereformscanalsoimprovetheefficiencyofexistingtaxsystems,drivingmoreeffectivecoverageoftheinformalsectorindomesticresourcemobilization,improvedfiscalneutralityforvalue-addedtaxation,reduceddistortionaryimpactsfromexemptionsinpreexistingtaxschemes,taxationofeconomicrentsratherthanprofits,reducedrisksoftaxevasion,andreducedcostsoftaxcomplianceandadministration(seefigure1.1).
Thesebenefitscanbesubstantial2andcanhelpgovernmentssecureamoresustainableandinclu-sivebasisforlivelihoodimprovement.Manyofthesebenefitsaremoredirect,localized,andimmediatethanclimatebenefits,andinsomecasestheyareevenlarger(Parry,Veung,andHeine2014).Byfac-toringinthesepotentialbenefitsatthestartoftheirmitigationpolicyprocess,policymakerscandesigntheircarbonpriceandotherclimatestrat-egiestodeliverbenefitsbeyondemissionsreduc-tions,ensuringgrowinghumanneedsaremetinparallelwithenvironmentalgoals.Importantly,quantifyingandcommunicatingthesebenefitscanalsobuildbroadersupportfortheadoptionofcarbonpricing.
Itshouldbeacknowledgedattheoutsetthatallpolicieswillhavedistributionaleffects,andcar-bonpricingisnoexception.Carbonpricingcancre-atebenefitsbutalsoleadtocostsandchallenges.Asacarbonpriceaffectsbasiccommodityprices,thesecostsmaybemorevisiblethaninthecaseofalternativepolicies,butalternativepolicieswillalsohavecostimplications.Forexample,totheextentthatthepoorspendalargerproportionofincomeonfuel,carbonpricingmightberegressiveunlesscompensatorymeasures,suchastargetedexemptionsorcleanfuelsubsidies,arealsoimple-mented.Likewise,carbonpricingofmarketedfuelsmightinduceruralhouseholdstosubstitutebio-massburning,increasingindoorairpollutionunlesspairedwithcompensatorymeasures.Whilesuchchallengesmayarise,theguideidentifiesrelevantmitigatingcountermeasuresthatallowthemainbenefitsofcarbonpricingtoberealizedinmostcircumstances.
Itshouldbenoted,however,thatmanyofthebenefitsexaminedinthisguidecanbeobtainedfromawidearrayofclimatemitigationpolicies.
Notethatthese“developmentbenefits”ofclimatepolicy(inthiscasecarbonpricing)shouldnotbeconfusedwith“climatebenefits”(e.g.,reducedgreenhousegasemissionsorincreasedadaptation)ofdevelopmentpolicies.
BeyondMitigation:QuantifyingtheDevelopmentBenefitsofCarbonPricing
Figure1.1
CarbonPricingBenefitsbeyondMitigation
Balanceof
payments
Increaseenergysecurity
Macroe-conomicstabilization
Source:WorldBank.
●Reduce
Transport
congestion
●Reduceroad
injuries
Benefitsofof
●Decreasesoil
carbonpricing
contamination
Soilhealth
●Reducethreat
ofgroundwater
depletion
●Decreasesoil
acidification
Water
resources
●Decreasemorbidity/
mortality
●Increasewater
Airquality
availibility
●Decreaseextraction
●Decreasewater
Technology
Fiscal
●Reduce
pollution
●Increaseagricultural
congestion
●Increaselabor
productivity
●Increase
●Increase
productivity
●Increaselabor
tecnology
revenue
supply
transfer/
●Reduce
adoption
●Reduce
distortionary
morbidity
●Increase
taxes
low-carbon
●Coverinformal
●Increasecrop
innovation
yields
economy
●Reducetax
●Reducemortality
evasion
Loweradministrative/compliancecost
Synthesis:BenefitsofCarbonPricinginBrief 9
Despitetheirpotentialimportance,carbonpricebenefitshavereceivedquitelimitedattentiontodatefrompolicymakers.Carbonpricing’senvironmentaleffectsonissueslikeairandwaterhavebeenstud-iedinthescientificcommunity,butgreatereffortisneededtobringthesefindingstotheattentionofpolicymakers.Whilesomeacknowledgmentofthesustainabledevelopmentbenefitsofcarbon-pricingcreditsisevidentinthevoluntarycarbonmarket,additionalworkisneededtomoresystematicallyconsiderhowthesebenefitscanbeidentified,quan-tified,andfactoredintoboththetechnicalcaseforcarbonpricingandtheshapingofcommunicationnarrativestobuildsupportforthepolicy.
Areviewofcarbonpricemodelingrevealsanhis-toricallynarrowconceptualizationofthecostsandbenefits.Technical,exanteassessmentsemployedbypolicymakers–includingpartialequilibriumapproaches(e.g.,cost-benefitanalysis)andgen-eralequilibriumapproaches(e.g.,computablegen-eralequilibrium[CGE],macrostructural,ordynamicstochasticgeneralequilibrium[DSGE]models)–tendtofocusontheeffectsonregulatedsector
emissions,adjustmentcosts,employment,andoutput.Indoingso,theyarelikelytomissasub-stantialportionofthebenefitsofcarbonpricingforachievinggovernmentobjectives.Worse,gov-ernmentsmaynotevenknowthatthesebenefitsexist,aproblemcompoundedbypervasivegapsintheeconomicliteratureonbenefits.
Existingstudiesfocusonspecificbenefitswhileignoringothers,examineeffectsgloballyorindevel-opedcountriesratherthanindevelopingcountrycontexts,andrelyheavilyonscienceorengineeringasopposedtoeconomicorsocialsciencemethods(Dengetal.2017).Suchsampleandmethodologicalbiasestendtoconcentratetheevidenceonspecifictechnicalissuesanddirectimpacts;theylargelyomitthecomplexitiesandconstraintsofpolicydesignandimplementationindevelopingcountries,aswellasextensiveindirecteffectsacrosshetero-geneousstakeholdergroups.
Table1.1summarizesthekeybenefitsexploredinthisguide,alongsidesomeinitialrecommendationsonhowthesebenefitscanbequantifiedandmodeled.
BeyondMitigation:QuantifyingtheDevelopmentBenefitsofCarbonPricing
Table1.1
PolicyBenefitsofCarbonPricing
Benefits Significancefortheeconomyandsociety
Airquality ?Carbonpricingdisincentivizescarbon-heavy
fueluseandcanreducelocalpollutionlevels.
?Potentialbenefitsfromimprovedairquality
aresignificantandlikelythelargestbenefitsofcarbonpricing.
?Benefitsincludeimprovedhumanhealth,
increasedagriculturalproductivity,andreduc-tionofpollution-relateddragsoneconomicgrowthsuchasworkerabsenteeism.
Quantificationofbenefits
Emissionschangesduetocarbonpricingcanbetranslatedintopollu-tionchangesandappliedtoexistingdose-responsefunctionstomodeldirectbenefitsfromimprovedairquality.
HealthbenefitsfromimprovedairqualitycanbeincorporatedintoCGEmodelingframeworksthroughdynamicmodelingoflaborsupplyandallocation.
Waterresources ?Manyregionsoftheworldareaffectedbywaterscarcityandbythreatstowaterqualityandwaterresourcesustainability.
Carbonpricingbenefitsincludeimprovementsinboththequantityandqualityofwaterresources.
Keypathwaysforwatersectorbenefitsincludereducedoverexploitationofground-waterresources,changesinwaterend-usedemands,andreducedwatercontamination.
Long-termrainfall,drainingofsoils,atmosphericdeposition,ammonium-basedfertilizers,landusechanges.
Soilhealth
?
Keythreatstosoilhealthincludesoil
contamination,soilacidification,andaltered
soilnutrientbalance.
?
Primarypathwaysbywhichcarbonpricing
leadstosoilbenefitsincludechangesin
agrochemicalapplication(fertilizerandpesti-
cides),airpollutantdeposition,landuse,
anddeforestation.
?
Benefitsmayberealizedinimprovedhuman
healthoutcomes,improvedcropyields,reduced
deforestation,andreducedbiodiversityloss.
CGEmodelingmaybeusedtoquan-tifytheindirectbenefitsrelatedtosoilhealthduetocomplexintersec-torallinkages.
Transportation
?
Carbonpricingcanreducetheprevalenceof
?
Benefitscanbequantifiedthrough
bothroadinjuriesandcongestionthrougha
avarietyofmetrics.Foraccidents
gasolinetaxbasedoncarboncontent.
theseincludefatalities,nonfatal
?
Empiricalevidenceshowshighergasolineprices
injuries,medicalcosts,property
damage,andforgonewagesand
leadtoreducedaccidentsandcongestion.
expenditures.Forcongestionthese
includenegativehealthoutcomes,
traveldelays,reducedbenefitsof
urbanagglomeration,additionalfuel
use,andtraveltimevariability.
?
Directbenefitscanbeusedasinputs
intoCGEmodels,andtherelated
linkagesandoverallbenefittothe
macroeconomycanbemeasured.
Synthesis:BenefitsofCarbonPricinginBrief 11
Benefits Significancefortheeconomyandsociety Quantificationofbenefits
Fiscalpolicy
?
Carbonpricingoffersauniqueopportunityfor
revenuegenerationwithlimiteddistortionary
impactsontheeconomy.
?
Replacingconventionaltaxeswithcarbontaxes
incentivizesexpansionoftheformalsector.
?
Carbontaxeshelplimittaxevasionand
reducetaxadministrationcosts.
?
Whilecarbontaxesareoftenassumedtobe
regressive,existingevidencesuggeststheyare
generallyprogressive.
MostbenefitsassociatedwithfiscalpolicyareindirectandarethusbestassessedthroughaCGEmodelingframework.
Balanceofpayments
?
Carbonpricingcanincreaseenergyindepen-
?
Usinghistoricaltradedata,avari-
denceandreducetheriskofuncertainexter-
etyofstandardmacroeconometric
nalimbalancesforimportingcountries.
modelscanestimateandleverage
?
Forfossilfuelexporters,carbonpricingpro-
relevanttradeelasticitiestodevelop
uncertaintyboundsonexpected
motesenergyefficiencyathome,freeingmore
balanceofpaymentvariationsubject
resourcestoearnforeignexchange.
tohistoricalpricevolatility.
?
Forthesameexporters,pricingalsoreduces
theriskofDutchdisease,improvingcompet-
itivenessandinvestmentinothertradable
goodsandservices.
Technologicalchange
?
Carbonpricingcanprovideadynamicincen-
?
Benefitsoftechnologicalchange
tivetoinducetechnologicalchangethatleads
canbemeasuredbythefollowing
tolow-carbontechnologyinnovations.
metrics:businessperformance,
?
Empiricalevidencefindsthatenvironmental
innovation,productivity,andexport
competitiveness.
regulationstypicallyleadtoinnovations,
althoughthecostsdonotalwaysoffsetthe
?
Tofullyreflectthebenefitsfrom
gainsfrominnovation.
technologicalchange,CGEmodels
mustconsidertechnologyasan
exogenousparameter.
Source:WorldBank.
BeyondMitigation:QuantifyingtheDevelopmentBenefitsofCarbonPricing
2.
Introduction
Introduction 13
Introduction
Carbonpricingcanreduceemissionscost-effec-tively,anditcanalsogenerateanumberofotherbenefits.Thisguideprovidesanoverviewofthesebenefitstohelppolicymakersadvanceavarietyofsustainabledevelopmentobjectivesintheirowncountriesandaroundtheworld.Carbonpricesarebroadlyrecognizedasnecessaryforcorrectingmar-ketfailuresthatarisefrompollutionexternalities,becausethepricespaidforusingfossilfuelsdonotcomeclosetocompensatingsocietyforthecoststhatgreenhousegas(GHG)emissionsimposeonsociety.Wherethereisadivergencebetween(exter-nality-based)socialcostsandprivatevalues,car-bonpricingisanessentialenvironmentalpolicytool.
Thisguideusestheterm“carbonpricing”torefertopoliciesthatexplicitlypricethecarboncontentofgoods–carbontaxes,emissionstradingsystems,andcreditingmechanisms.However,manyofthebenefitsexaminedinthisguidecanbederivedfromawidearrayofclimatemitigationpolicies.Whereabenefitisexclusivetocarbonpricing,thisishigh-lightedinthetext.
Thisguideisdesignedtomeettheneedformoretimelyandreliableevidenceonbenefitstohelppolicymak-ersindevelopingcountriesmakedecisions–andcom-municate–aboutcarbon-pricinginstruments,andtohelppolicyresearcherschooseandimplementmod-elsthatyieldreliableevidenceonbenefitsandotherrelevantpolicyimpacts.Tosupporttheseefforts,thisguideidentifiesabroadrangeofcarbonpricebenefitsbeyondmitigation,whichincludeimprove-mentsinsevenareas:airquality,waterresources,soilhealth,transport,fiscalpolicy,balanceofpayments,andtechnologicalchange(seefigure2.1).Theguidealsoanalyzescasestudiesofbenefitestimationinadiversearrayofcountriesandcontexts.
Byincentivizinglow-carbonchangesinconsumptionandproduction,acarbonpriceoffersbenefitsthatmaygowellbeyondthebenefitsforglobalclimatechangemitigation.Thisbroaderconceptualizationgivespolicymakersamorenuancedunderstandingofthepervasiveimpactacarbonpricecanhaveandhowitcansupportotherdevelopmentgoals.Ofcourse,acarbonpricewillnotsolvetheissueofairpollu-tionorexcessivegroundwateruse,forinstance,butifdesignedproperlyitcansupportpositivechangesinthesevencategoriesoutlinedinthisguide.
BeyondMitigation:QuantifyingtheDevelopmentBenefitsofCarbonPricing
Figure2.1
Carbon-PricingBenefitsbeyondMitigation
Balanceof
payments
Increaseenergysecurity
Macroe-conomicstabilization
Source:WorldBank.
●Reduce
Transport
congestion
●Reduceroad
injuries
Benefitsofof
●Decreasesoil
carbonpricing
contamination
Soilhealth
●
溫馨提示
- 1. 本站所有資源如無特殊說明,都需要本地電腦安裝OFFICE2007和PDF閱讀器。圖紙軟件為CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.壓縮文件請(qǐng)下載最新的WinRAR軟件解壓。
- 2. 本站的文檔不包含任何第三方提供的附件圖紙等,如果需要附件,請(qǐng)聯(lián)系上傳者。文件的所有權(quán)益歸上傳用戶所有。
- 3. 本站RAR壓縮包中若帶圖紙,網(wǎng)頁(yè)內(nèi)容里面會(huì)有圖紙預(yù)覽,若沒有圖紙預(yù)覽就沒有圖紙。
- 4. 未經(jīng)權(quán)益所有人同意不得將文件中的內(nèi)容挪作商業(yè)或盈利用途。
- 5. 人人文庫(kù)網(wǎng)僅提供信息存儲(chǔ)空間,僅對(duì)用戶上傳內(nèi)容的表現(xiàn)方式做保護(hù)處理,對(duì)用戶上傳分享的文檔內(nèi)容本身不做任何修改或編輯,并不能對(duì)任何下載內(nèi)容負(fù)責(zé)。
- 6. 下載文件中如有侵權(quán)或不適當(dāng)內(nèi)容,請(qǐng)與我們聯(lián)系,我們立即糾正。
- 7. 本站不保證下載資源的準(zhǔn)確性、安全性和完整性, 同時(shí)也不承擔(dān)用戶因使用這些下載資源對(duì)自己和他人造成任何形式的傷害或損失。
最新文檔
- 附件:1.1521項(xiàng)擬繼續(xù)有效行業(yè)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)復(fù)審結(jié)論-表(征求意見稿)
- 石河子大學(xué)《藥物波譜解析》2022-2023學(xué)年第一學(xué)期期末試卷
- 石河子大學(xué)《食品包裝學(xué)》2022-2023學(xué)年第一學(xué)期期末試卷
- 石河子大學(xué)《計(jì)算機(jī)網(wǎng)絡(luò)基礎(chǔ)》2022-2023學(xué)年期末試卷
- 沈陽(yáng)理工大學(xué)《弱信號(hào)檢測(cè)技術(shù)》2021-2022學(xué)年第一學(xué)期期末試卷
- 沈陽(yáng)理工大學(xué)《建筑節(jié)能》2023-2024學(xué)年第一學(xué)期期末試卷
- 沈陽(yáng)理工大學(xué)《過程控制系統(tǒng)與儀表》2021-2022學(xué)年期末試卷
- 沈陽(yáng)理工大學(xué)《電鍍工藝》2022-2023學(xué)年期末試卷
- 沈陽(yáng)理工大學(xué)《環(huán)境工程概論》2023-2024學(xué)年第一學(xué)期期末試卷
- 合同產(chǎn)值申報(bào)
- 建筑工程項(xiàng)目管理咨詢招標(biāo)(范本)
- 三位數(shù)除兩位數(shù)的除法練習(xí)題
- 慢性胃炎的中醫(yī)治療培訓(xùn)課件
- Python程序設(shè)計(jì)課件第7章面向?qū)ο蟪绦蛟O(shè)計(jì)
- 最新爆破安全規(guī)程
- 主題班會(huì)課防盜
- 幼兒園課件《撓撓小怪物》
- 教師教案檢查八大評(píng)分標(biāo)準(zhǔn)教案的評(píng)分標(biāo)準(zhǔn)
- 政府會(huì)計(jì)基礎(chǔ)知識(shí)講義
- 幼兒園整合式主題活動(dòng)設(shè)計(jì)案例《溫馨家園》
- 荒漠區(qū)生態(tài)治理(麥草沙障、植物固沙)施工方案
評(píng)論
0/150
提交評(píng)論