時(shí)間序列教材

第九章時(shí)間序列分析第一節(jié)時(shí)間序列的分析指標(biāo)第二節(jié)長(zhǎng)期趨勢(shì)的測(cè)定第三節(jié)季節(jié)變動(dòng)的測(cè)定第四節(jié)循環(huán)變動(dòng)的測(cè)定第五節(jié)課程實(shí)驗(yàn)第一節(jié)時(shí)間序列的分析指標(biāo)一時(shí)間序列的概念和分類

二時(shí)間序列的分析指標(biāo)三使用時(shí)間序列分析指標(biāo)應(yīng)注意的問題例：表9-1我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)和人口發(fā)展資料年份國(guó)民生產(chǎn)總值（億元）年末總?cè)丝冢ㄈf人）城市人口比重（%）職工平均工資（元）199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200818667.821781.526932.535333.948197.960793.771176.678973.084402.389677.199214.6109655.2120332.7135822.8159879.3183217.4211923.5257305.6300670.011433311582311717111851711985012112112238912362612476112578612674312762712845312922712998813075613144813212913280226.4126.9427.4629.5129.6229.0430.4831.9133.3534.7836.2237.6639.0940.5341.7642.9943.9044.9445.68214023402711337145385500621064707479834693711087012422140401602418364210012493229229（翻一拔）推時(shí)甜間螺序所列的脅概可念時(shí)昆間亭序鏡列趁是兔把同夾一罷現(xiàn)掩象在不麥同有時(shí)幻玉間上傭的統(tǒng)氧計(jì)懇指音標(biāo)按稈照時(shí)盲間殺先削后順矩序時(shí)排才列線而摧成瓦的倉(cāng)數(shù)顧列咱。時(shí)唇間睜序杯列圍由指敵標(biāo)怕所廊屬撞的四時(shí)恰間和不像同吸時(shí)許間領(lǐng)上魄的罰統(tǒng)愚計(jì)沫指增標(biāo)倆驢部頃分唉組渾成災(zāi)。時(shí)歪間奇數(shù)怖列使的穴作包用描招述播社桂會(huì)粒經(jīng)箭濟(jì)港現(xiàn)嬌象倆發(fā)渡展笛的級(jí)過何程生和艷結(jié)貞果踩；分烈析促社獨(dú)會(huì)塘經(jīng)暗濟(jì)鄰現(xiàn)受象額的丈發(fā)漂展糕方芝向狡、生水嬸平傾、磨速泄度猾；掌云握夢(mèng)現(xiàn)哲象店發(fā)耍展創(chuàng)變隱化濫的都數(shù)柿量傘規(guī)址律告性修及旺其下發(fā)汪展澡趨頓勢(shì)嚇。(二全）阻時(shí)漁間劫序僻列岔的樓分甜類按任指看標(biāo)桃的賠絕糧對(duì)選數(shù)奇時(shí)攀間駁序朵列惑時(shí)覽期侄數(shù)瓦列表染現(xiàn)山形策式相館對(duì)屆數(shù)肯時(shí)認(rèn)間涼序討列束時(shí)座點(diǎn)貝數(shù)磁列平睜均崖數(shù)屈時(shí)掙間鉤序型列1掠.絕撫對(duì)顧數(shù)游時(shí)節(jié)間貿(mào)序屯列絕犧對(duì)他數(shù)喉時(shí)在間掠序駱列毛，由驚一肯系柏列剖同蝕類藏的錦絕賞對(duì)驢指唯標(biāo)踐（秩總聯(lián)量志指縫標(biāo)嗓）蠟數(shù)輕值目按養(yǎng)時(shí)止間遺順靜序治排藝列榜而獲成謝的還數(shù)軋列攏稱牢絕止對(duì)判數(shù)蠅時(shí)階間舌序薦列完。吊它喘反趁映悉現(xiàn)甚象忌在京不縣同原時(shí)隊(duì)間占上屋所虛達(dá)趕到緞的顧絕槽對(duì)撓發(fā)分展倘水致平泄。如咳：設(shè)上踏表斗中索：泡國(guó)擔(dān)民集生管產(chǎn)營(yíng)總赴值稅、草年代末叫總斗人詠口冊(cè)形董成各的窩時(shí)攪間攔序貿(mào)列答就摟是“絕河對(duì)戴數(shù)船時(shí)勻間央序開列”。絕柜對(duì)挨數(shù)欲時(shí)仁間蝦序珍列勁，琴是川計(jì)蠢算“相激對(duì)滑數(shù)踐時(shí)京間崖序刊列”和“平限均閥數(shù)女時(shí)舞間輔序緩列”的輪基朗礎(chǔ)配。按蔬其咬所反評(píng)映艇的聲社方會(huì)惜經(jīng)島濟(jì)兵現(xiàn)烘象旨性繩質(zhì)此不役同煉劃職分壯為尚時(shí)枕期初數(shù)醋列逢和帳時(shí)而點(diǎn)妖數(shù)察列時(shí)稈期鞠數(shù)仰列庭和棄時(shí)情點(diǎn)巴數(shù)洞列相核對(duì)回?cái)?shù)權(quán)時(shí)認(rèn)間鼻序預(yù)列腸和撐平艇均窗數(shù)擴(kuò)時(shí)盾間乒序吹列二夸、植時(shí)渡間中序厚列賢的布分廚析格指濟(jì)標(biāo)（一享）疤發(fā)吧展炕水元平（欣二晚）過增晉長(zhǎng)辯量（蔑三佩）撒發(fā)忙展尖速壇度（粒四答）鞏增臭長(zhǎng)純速幼度（騰五雨）感平頂均之發(fā)烈展憑水白平棵（煩序圍時(shí)盟平黃均逢數(shù)駱）（踢六咐）潑平臉均塊增梁長(zhǎng)濁量（濾七燦）兄平葵均凳發(fā)雖展茂速績(jī)度（辯八失）雁平皆均城增倚長(zhǎng)聰速椒度（一碧）豬發(fā)報(bào)展夫水運(yùn)平（1）沈發(fā)肌展沉水繡平你的在含債義（2）跟發(fā)據(jù)展璃水種平刑的愿表裙示臭方蝴法（1）田發(fā)俊展鄉(xiāng)豐水駁平古的疼含芝義發(fā)征展茅水血平敢（D耽e蒙v膚e息l列o緣瑞p軟m資e至n法t戴L開e乓v悼e嗚l謝)：時(shí)來間管序產(chǎn)列章中負(fù)的纏每斥個(gè)狼指汁標(biāo)狠數(shù)降值投都嫁可戰(zhàn)叫征做鴉發(fā)跟展掙水買平倍或雖時(shí)鉗間沫序拒列壞水內(nèi)平.發(fā)媽展循水隊(duì)平律可變以修是頓“御絕臉對(duì)零數(shù)舞”—吳—反苗映缺現(xiàn)終象謠在婦各笛個(gè)蒙時(shí)窩間投上牽實(shí)領(lǐng)際溉達(dá)站到松的枯總造規(guī)禮模嫌或擔(dān)總崇水枕平甜。發(fā)隸展諸水哲平擊也縮慧可宜以債是毫“色相僵對(duì)巾數(shù)頃”—米—反筐映咬現(xiàn)勤象筒在才各濕個(gè)納時(shí)憶間怪上蛋實(shí)才際濤達(dá)千到淺的解相惕對(duì)嶼規(guī)東模滿或證相換對(duì)生水騙平淋。發(fā)舊展第水腳平貍還臺(tái)可貝以尊是便“擔(dān)平守均斤數(shù)翼”—雪—反恒映去現(xiàn)予象絡(luò)在鋸各壘個(gè)待時(shí)隔間少上砍實(shí)至際女達(dá)單到緩的句一博般瘦水因平循或啊平劉均笨水兩平埋。（2）暖發(fā)痕展虎水漲平秘的聽表摩示我方翠法（述續(xù)易前銀）基討期媽的憶選揚(yáng)擇環(huán)嘆比指身標(biāo)扇：鞏報(bào)尸告局期濾不戰(zhàn)管懇是花哪畝個(gè)辯時(shí)浸期陡，融基狼期閃總孕是林選心擇郊其前伴一儲(chǔ)時(shí)債期，磚計(jì)醋算頓的青指欺標(biāo)援一辟般跡稱胃為張環(huán)客比奔指盤標(biāo).定擠基指血標(biāo)悠：報(bào)密告汁期菌不瞧管吩是項(xiàng)哪吸個(gè)肝時(shí)澆期都，也基扶期壺總喊是唐選規(guī)擇壩某煎一固博定雖時(shí)鉤期，很如五數(shù)急列年的績(jī)期訴初替水啄平虧，相計(jì)涂算除的煙指烤標(biāo)膝一栽般鎖稱仆為眠定聲基開指健標(biāo).年適距指栗標(biāo)慘：報(bào)石告毅期媽不交管躁是編哪透?jìng)€(gè)猜時(shí)揀期階，衛(wèi)基栽期鳥總精是爐選隊(duì)擇去蛛年就同資期，甲計(jì)冠算綁的餃指抹標(biāo)喝一慕般浮稱乒為妥年廟距鳴指紹標(biāo)白。（恩二擠）續(xù)增寨長(zhǎng)敞量(兩1縮慧)增改長(zhǎng)醫(yī)量水的付概清念(協(xié)2敢)增濃長(zhǎng)熄量略的片種泰類(災(zāi)3箏)逐謙期輪增六長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量芝與怒累鞋計(jì)薦增姐長(zhǎng)稼量孩計(jì)黑算窮表(與4釣)逐豬期訪增有長(zhǎng)懷量感與雷累虧計(jì)捷增擋長(zhǎng)撞量皆的幸關(guān)狡系(淹1鄭)增油長(zhǎng)趨量哥的衣概嘆念增鋒長(zhǎng)輸量體是元時(shí)拐間艱序輪列粒中壤報(bào)不告銜期賺水怠平枕與紫基源期跟水堅(jiān)平意之環(huán)差構(gòu)，杯反早映確現(xiàn)意象憶在扇一登段憶時(shí)桶期辜內(nèi)鄭增戰(zhàn)加糠或墊減旨少剛的振絕偉對(duì)欣數(shù)允量區(qū)。增懂長(zhǎng)指量=報(bào)狐告勵(lì)期絡(luò)發(fā)牌展魄水物平-基本期礙發(fā)孫展群水菜平(幻玉2扎)增且長(zhǎng)溜量做的街種語類(輪3悶)逐麥期附增軟長(zhǎng)協(xié)量延與接累眨計(jì)參增饑長(zhǎng)南量痛計(jì)雁算針表時(shí)間（t）t0t1t2…tn-1tn發(fā)展水平a0a1a2…an-1an逐期增長(zhǎng)量---a1-a0a2-a1…an-1-an-2an-an-1累計(jì)增長(zhǎng)量---a1-a0a2-a0…an-1-a0an-a0(芬4蘿)逐斷期率增斃長(zhǎng)傘量導(dǎo)與籌累句計(jì)浩增執(zhí)長(zhǎng)歉量臣的傍關(guān)逼系（滑三都）發(fā)喚展陸速穩(wěn)度（1）揭發(fā)疼展臘速室度啟的足含燙義（2）翁發(fā)鍬展壩速壩度存的港種請(qǐng)類（3）幼環(huán)采比墳發(fā)猜展勁速撿度減和爸定取基條發(fā)五展款速府度鼠的瞧關(guān)攏系（1）門發(fā)凳展歲速兇度利的拖含觸義發(fā)晚展陽(yáng)速保度辰是作反英映聲國(guó)譽(yù)民圾經(jīng)剪濟(jì)遙發(fā)嚇展展變嗎化鮮最笨常勻用暈也粒是星最含重全要持的妥指嬸標(biāo)冰之蝦一邀，沖是編時(shí)越間繪序匙列勞中改報(bào)桿告將期蛇水微平梨與切基宗期插水王平求之疏比擾，姓表鄉(xiāng)豐明存現(xiàn)基象比發(fā)蛛展可變肌化宮的隨速材度胃或兄程摸度郵，猜習(xí)猶慣器上英用撓百拾分粥數(shù)虛表戲示棗。（2）拳種撿類—裝—按盞所蛛選濱取策的膨基怒期匆不捆同與劃質(zhì)分（3）近環(huán)偉比必發(fā)昆展仔速咽度盤和筋定壞基續(xù)發(fā)六展對(duì)速裹度帽的魯關(guān)繭系(四洽）僅增據(jù)長(zhǎng)溪速心度（1）舟增反長(zhǎng)刮速裂度夕的竊含遺義（2）仿增好長(zhǎng)食速男度鄭的遙種碼類（3）血特瓦別妙應(yīng)參該健注困意垃的險(xiǎn)問塵題（1）畜增敞長(zhǎng)歸速害度勺的繡含舟義（2）楚增躺長(zhǎng)鋼速播度抬的恢種綱類（凱續(xù)萌前愛）（3）舉特詠別膛應(yīng)戒該瞞注環(huán)意加的哨問瞇題（彎五廳）霜平盯均緞發(fā)欣展竭水惠平兔（殿序糞時(shí)釋平英均賓數(shù)渡）（1）嫂平域均逝發(fā)另展晃水棄平蹄的嘴含雁義（2）暴序鉛時(shí)膝平煮均渾數(shù)井與形靜映態(tài)之平憶均置數(shù)飯的卷聯(lián)羽系宏和隊(duì)區(qū)異別（3）序歡時(shí)津平粘均灰數(shù)的孕計(jì)周算（1）謀平殺均四發(fā)凍展貫水寧平編的陵含貓義（2）幫序交時(shí)治平匹均皮數(shù)堆與笛靜生態(tài)寸平桂均們數(shù)理的憶聯(lián)襯系釋和左區(qū)氣別（3）序討時(shí)胃平附均瘋數(shù)的伍計(jì)披算（a）鐮時(shí)鑒期悲序透列盈計(jì)駕算迎序獨(dú)時(shí)鴉平爬均釋數(shù)（b）嶄連沿續(xù)梳時(shí)消點(diǎn)殊序關(guān)列黃計(jì)劇算麥序著時(shí)笑平搖均械數(shù)（c）熔間揀斷螺時(shí)孫點(diǎn)巾序悅列哭計(jì)秘算業(yè)序施時(shí)渠平磚均瓣數(shù)（d）體相竿對(duì)焦數(shù)客或活平煌均訪數(shù)彩時(shí)鬼間夕序右列舊計(jì)悅算奪序滋時(shí)荒平洲均逝數(shù)（a）隙時(shí)帖期任序責(zé)列棟計(jì)勝算霧序他時(shí)渾平妄均利數(shù)（b）匠連禮續(xù)市時(shí)亦點(diǎn)堡序眉列錦計(jì)鄙算吳序墾時(shí)船平妥均葉數(shù)（c）述間昏斷寨時(shí)忙點(diǎn)妄序伐列晃計(jì)山算味序晌時(shí)寄平某均樂數(shù)（零續(xù)孤前灶）A佳.間披隔翁相星等屬的象間集斷宇時(shí)狹點(diǎn)欲序勺列屑計(jì)毒算禾序滾時(shí)紗平縫均鋸數(shù)B殘.間浸隔夢(mèng)不示相魂等梢的業(yè)間摸斷妙時(shí)界點(diǎn)拒序渾列箭計(jì)恭算徹序成時(shí)沿平備均們數(shù)特騰別油注頑意（d）胞相民對(duì)夜數(shù)屬或元平捉均相數(shù)豈時(shí)勒間共序嶼列籮計(jì)惰算轉(zhuǎn)序晶時(shí)結(jié)平川均型數(shù)（決續(xù)撥前狂）A建.絕舒對(duì)索數(shù)a和b均沿是金時(shí)受期接序卷列警時(shí),相迅對(duì)音數(shù)跪或豪平澇均飯數(shù)c的紫序兵時(shí)兇平忽均刪數(shù)巷的姜計(jì)鑄算B愁.相監(jiān)對(duì)州數(shù)泳或筋平倍均狼數(shù)臉時(shí)倦間鼠序住列才，螺計(jì)袋算吃序攪時(shí)繼平墓均宣數(shù)耽的揉其神他賠情開形（株六惰）慨平老均紫增似長(zhǎng)看量（牲七夸）欣平藝均涼發(fā)典展劫速漂度（1）耗平憑均粱發(fā)割展品速戒度筒的婦含綢義（2）附平鄙均誕發(fā)腿展占速咽度貴的觀計(jì)暑算嘴方粥法—求—幾凡何巷平拐均百法（3）撈平掌均不發(fā)賊展呆速貧度蠅的窯計(jì)步算鋪方市法—糞—方驚程枕式固（猶累逐計(jì)祖法政）（4）堆幾獄何煩平葉均秘法墳和焦方透程嬸式斬法膠的債不滿同鹿及遞其正適遲用旦條例件（1）團(tuán)平灘均豈發(fā)果展墳速葬度鹿的蒙含賭義（2）和平紅均堤發(fā)圓展踢速占度抬的嘉計(jì)涌算傭方坡法—探—冬—伙—幾貪何梅平碑均瘡法(水賽平央法象）（棗續(xù)仇前愚）幾暑何每平謊均各法恒（顯水至平茫法排）桂的拉特劇點(diǎn)（3）碼平易均斬發(fā)謎展惠速飛度和的情計(jì)米算涉方渾法—遠(yuǎn)—方羅程奇式螞（救累輕計(jì)盟平黨均首法稠）（題續(xù)雅前嚇）（稍續(xù)剩前莖）用豪“勵(lì)方玩程塑式披法師”啦計(jì)隔算繞平判均孤發(fā)爐展養(yǎng)速福度拘的翅特掛點(diǎn)（4）育幾雜何夾平餡均驚法域和貿(mào)方盯程瞇式閘法后的愉不斯同賤及燭其亦適巾用銹條玻件（樓續(xù)項(xiàng)前幼）（蛛續(xù)棋前嚼）(八戒）拖平德均牙增輔長(zhǎng)深速到度平蔑均屆增弄長(zhǎng)靈速森度賀表途明愧現(xiàn)遮象峽在香一添個(gè)刊較漿長(zhǎng)奮時(shí)糠期中草逐班期寇平膀均暗增韻長(zhǎng)運(yùn)變虹化亦的散程搖度平曲均幸增釣長(zhǎng)爛速根度=平弟均逐發(fā)邊展灰速鮮度-朱1三路、扛使唇用災(zāi)時(shí)值間兇序喪列換分肚析散指頓標(biāo)群應(yīng)須注險(xiǎn)意扯的杜問黨題（貫一共）犬注任意還將竊速津度哭指狠標(biāo)滴與框水遞平摧指部標(biāo)國(guó)的每結(jié)型合階使東用（啊二蛾）慰時(shí)葡間潤(rùn)序棍列揭中療指遇標(biāo)嘗出壩現(xiàn)0或巨負(fù)獎(jiǎng)數(shù)諷時(shí)醫(yī)，驗(yàn)不雞宜剖計(jì)燃算距發(fā)繞展建速赤度第矩二耳節(jié)汽長(zhǎng)季期動(dòng)趨雙勢(shì)解的畢測(cè)能定一理時(shí)紛間告序育列械的鋪分畜解二插長(zhǎng)櫻期偏趨蓮勢(shì)張的林測(cè)蘭定終方背法三繼選企擇灣趨拐勢(shì)暮線鍵類駐型闊的括依宋據(jù)一陣時(shí)驅(qū)間犧序德列盆的恨分招解長(zhǎng)漸期箏趨萌勢(shì)(藏T事)季惕節(jié)賺變畢動(dòng)(俊S京)可畢解激釋滔的悅變鬼動(dòng)循葬環(huán)繳變拔動(dòng)(抓C送)不蒜規(guī)聽則乞變紛動(dòng)(唯I廊)—客—不頑規(guī)修則量的奸不閑可咬解潔釋贊的山變弄?jiǎng)永m(xù)堂前長(zhǎng)木期移趨砍勢(shì)長(zhǎng)脆期絨趨精勢(shì)蜘：滔是繪時(shí)巾間麥序喂列留變蘋動(dòng)非的破基絕本北形險(xiǎn)式恭。仙它腔是載由店于獨(dú)各枕個(gè)睬時(shí)加期立普遮遍穴的邁、囑持樣續(xù)佳的撥、任決雞定偽的蛇基葛本種因團(tuán)素單的油作腿用摟，營(yíng)使垂各鑒期鑰發(fā)定展喝水縫平此沿所著僻一屆個(gè)扛方護(hù)向擊上筐升蛛或拿下溪降世，遍形倉(cāng)成鎮(zhèn)的專變駝動(dòng)秀規(guī)摧律裕。蛙。如畫：溝隨鉛著估經(jīng)機(jī)濟(jì)琴的授快渠速舟發(fā)洞展婚、飯使疼用津的臣快棚速膏增懲加垮，袍自森然僻資尤源尚擁肆有桶量絹呈印下飼降所的培趨封勢(shì)歉；棉一釋國(guó)采經(jīng)化濟(jì)紋的蛇持域續(xù)符增今長(zhǎng)烏，海表倘現(xiàn)祥為徹人謀民封生度活窯水耐平勢(shì)的村不松斷貨提作高兵。認(rèn)胳識(shí)爐和余掌徐握稼現(xiàn)第象焰的自長(zhǎng)番期乏趨遞勢(shì)盞，掛可搏以專把錫握膛現(xiàn)討象竿發(fā)輸展晝變限化摸的穗基來本住特接點(diǎn)間。季眉節(jié)減變胳動(dòng)季訴節(jié)號(hào)變腎動(dòng)嗎：毅是陸指齊時(shí)釀間沖序頂列純?cè)趩嵋环夷曛t內(nèi)持受駛自終然順季柏節(jié)儉變域換永和貪社遵會(huì)談習(xí)就俗偏等徹因辣素旋影走響靠而亦發(fā)本生舊的校有單規(guī)狡律還的聽周市期輕性迷波唱?jiǎng)訒?。例忙如響，仙北哭方糧的筆農(nóng)困業(yè)貢生每產(chǎn)嗽受蹲季廢節(jié)肯變運(yùn)化寸的罷影支響悅出享現(xiàn)梨的窗春彈耕才、透夏眉鋤騾、卷秋勁收罪和膝冬么儲(chǔ)像波仰動(dòng)室；扯鐵癢路重、厲公就路豎等次客美運(yùn)漠量予在蠻一價(jià)年為中帖的嫂旅沙游禁旺鳴季疲出膚現(xiàn)魯高線峰咽等昨等文。橫其壩周漏期杯長(zhǎng)牢度嘉可讓以醫(yī)是鋒日壤、岔星遼期醉、普月蠅、洲季抽度攤等察。循哲環(huán)乏變費(fèi)動(dòng)“循矮環(huán)工變君動(dòng)隱”換是夾指逗社語會(huì)預(yù)經(jīng)然濟(jì)殿發(fā)如展露中修的帝一紛種或近墳乎晝規(guī)看律徑性普的傻盛餐衰累交后替油變荷動(dòng)嗎。達(dá)其始成惕因神比歉較妥復(fù)朱雜腸，拉周鬧期持在柿一山年輛以順上渡，孤長(zhǎng)孫短摘不辨一靈?！捌弓h(huán)昨變蛙動(dòng)葬”蠅與您“湯長(zhǎng)斑期擋趨還勢(shì)泡”誘不肺同深。翼它漆不凍是也“英單樂一粒方普向淺的惡持繩續(xù)潮變識(shí)動(dòng)查”餃，游而銹是燥“逐有盡漲檢有勒落境的久交快替抽變婚動(dòng)脈”說。“警循杯環(huán)觸變屯動(dòng)體”譜也仍不艙同司于格“層季周節(jié)銹變礎(chǔ)動(dòng)寨”含。裝循辮環(huán)窗變成動(dòng)堵的抹“緒周罵期箭長(zhǎng)捎短艦”完很晚不姜一投致響，掩它苗不卵象變“吉季妨節(jié)默變棗動(dòng)騰”摔那夏樣缺有兼“彼明睛顯魚的婦按挑月哭或避按臉季炭的弓固驗(yàn)定捐周憐期甘性培規(guī)抽律慣”榜，格其牧規(guī)傲律晚性蟻不押太退明歲顯閣，之通追常圍很款難鴿識(shí)先別港。一死個(gè)雖經(jīng)束濟(jì)狠周壺期捏包堆括歌經(jīng)殼濟(jì)培的御高碑漲渾、陡危令機(jī)只、蕭鼠條既、關(guān)復(fù)俱蘇天四何個(gè)浪階聞段園，材受積經(jīng)貞濟(jì)返周套期濃的役影魯響弄，獄許六多蒜社嶄會(huì)雨經(jīng)循濟(jì)租現(xiàn)蘭象雀都鹽會(huì)握呈絮現(xiàn)密出脖以很若娘干挺年越為軟周喂期姿的乖循插環(huán)塌變盈動(dòng)口。例鴨如?。郝邮П貥I(yè)仿人剃數(shù)針、社銀箱行欺利智率概和創(chuàng)基遙本爺建體設(shè)神投夫資睡規(guī)難模招等供現(xiàn)敬象甩的謀變旋化層情省況剝。不促規(guī)腰則鴨變腐動(dòng)“不么規(guī)聲則稼變辭動(dòng)唐”養(yǎng)：俯亦隆稱搖剩層余大變扁動(dòng)捎或逝隨煙機(jī)繩變仙動(dòng)記，桂它迅是祝時(shí)哈間泥序公列鮮中拋除倡了功上灑述擠三釘種堵變欲動(dòng)旨之坊外繪剩宰余秩的崗一帥種現(xiàn)變并動(dòng)增，恨是害各它種相偶種然轎的亦（梅或劇突茂發(fā)貫性懸的爛）筐因蔽素。如泳自瓣然往災(zāi)烏害宮、眼戰(zhàn)贏爭(zhēng)顏以庫(kù)及爛無堪法逆預(yù)商料耳和夢(mèng)具賭體抗解洗釋眾的底隨繡機(jī)號(hào)性暗因友素釣影蛋響揚(yáng)的星結(jié)伙果盒。不辯規(guī)手則陸變?cè)O(shè)動(dòng)菠與旱時(shí)粒間趟無走關(guān)鐵。“勺不袋規(guī)注則鑰變值動(dòng)狀”尿無飾規(guī)板律烤、蘋無蛾規(guī)裙則征，井因琴而等是谷不及可問預(yù)稿知才的戶。乘議法佛模再型乘挑法農(nóng)模鋒型瓣的爹基沫本旅假瀉設(shè)乘地法咐模領(lǐng)型播的哥基阻本調(diào)假款設(shè)勻是敢：柴假覽定勞這拜些易因蓬素惑是聯(lián)由悄不恨同咬原條因拆組悲成籌的扇，霞但買相傳互揮之養(yǎng)間手存帥在蠅一律定兇的模關(guān)研系諸，友即漠它子們鎖對(duì)上事倒物駁發(fā)瓦展晨的眨影甚響仍是早相貸互那的配。編因氣此腐，示時(shí)裳間揀序皆列造中喚各求觀驕察飽值附表鞠現(xiàn)紡為嫩各坡種召因膠素疲的皆乘殃積拔。爭(zhēng)利壺用戀乘間法貓模啄型泄可斧以宣將鋸四板個(gè)消因億素激很育容獸易嶄地經(jīng)分泄離紀(jì)出揪來辦。模因臉而償乘份法須模笨型互在酬時(shí)姨間圾序腫列售分頸析貼中憂被水廣盜泛濱使奸用肆。王本胖節(jié)潛及茅以阻后黎各算節(jié)佳介酷紹形的刊時(shí)住間祖序矛列寬構(gòu)福成耕分起析纖方著法些，娛均蘋以走乘含法沒模扭型境為藥例難。二反、咐長(zhǎng)間期嘉趨血?jiǎng)輭灥膽蜏y(cè)靠定清方省法（些一避）畜修潮勻紀(jì)方猾法（要二碗）循移萬動(dòng)窮平眼均轉(zhuǎn)法（摸三鐵）馳指靜數(shù)吩平擾滑怪法（以四應(yīng)）靈數(shù)呈學(xué)購(gòu)模娘型憐法（一壺）鼓修送勻騾方綢法1麗.隨鍬手慣法是問擬愉合宜趨請(qǐng)勢(shì)狹線剛的點(diǎn)最接簡(jiǎn)藝單艱的岡一哀種杏經(jīng)覺驗(yàn)熟判蹲斷挖法寶。盤它商是中依茅據(jù)盜觀示察街和魄經(jīng)援驗(yàn)助，逮在板時(shí)錢間襲序京列隊(duì)的先實(shí)刮際貞資匙料范曲嘆線乖圖東上帝直飯接棕畫時(shí)出營(yíng)趨扯勢(shì)竟直門線巧或臺(tái)趨宅勢(shì)情曲章線隙，寧使果趨遍勢(shì)荷線欣穿芬插膊于職實(shí)艇際枝曲掃線多之脅中黨。塌它剪也叼可病借佳助墨透程明厚尺狀和荷細(xì)麗線給來敘描淋畫猶，秒因貿(mào)此畜又抵稱妙曲徹線惠法蓄。利瓣用駱此便方胞法緒畫賣出對(duì)的桂趨技勢(shì)覆線棟應(yīng)量使期趨程勢(shì)巧線暢上撒方帳的揭曲妹線帖面蜘積用等館于伏下援方檔的礦曲漢線重面剪積雙。辯換格句叨話賞說訓(xùn)，稿趨司勢(shì)疫線饑上欲方錢的偶資濱料卸垂肉直芹偏渠差(從本資勿料寇之樂點(diǎn)瘦至掩趨垂勢(shì)單線)總躁和宰，蒜應(yīng)掃該轟與園趨鉛勢(shì)輕線獎(jiǎng)下摸方住的杏資泡料貌垂窯直鳴偏肉差乖總丹和拉一惕致赴。（有一登）元修彼勻獲方趕法2幣.時(shí)蕩距惠擴(kuò)咸大斜法時(shí)撒距犧擴(kuò)從大過法患是是把咸時(shí)洋間秧序炕列膽中龜各里期哀指屑標(biāo)晨數(shù)媽值均按較尿長(zhǎng)的團(tuán)時(shí)同距稱加辮以兩歸背并巷，王形筋成遮一診個(gè)增新館的推簡(jiǎn)股化括了映的條時(shí)爪間教序迷列時(shí)，霉以兄清跪除慰原孕數(shù)傻列付中泥各伏種偶鵝然方因念素的身影鈔響固，任顯籃現(xiàn)蘿出俗長(zhǎng)界期熟趨皆勢(shì)胸。時(shí)往距瀉擴(kuò)協(xié)大脫法章要療通火過肝擴(kuò)航大群時(shí)導(dǎo)間株距時(shí)離障來改消櫻除嶄偶闖然攔因鹽素墓的睜影渾響暗。匹因度此視，饑這詠種卵修架勻估方甚法充只鞏適世合滋于時(shí)擊期悠數(shù)母列而孫不株適仁合陵于翅時(shí)鎖點(diǎn)絮數(shù)編列螞。（準(zhǔn)二鬼）淹移烈動(dòng)俘平真均襯法是蘆對(duì)昏原豆有燃時(shí)蚊間塌序損列縣進(jìn)喚行蹄修賣勻雕，畝測(cè)車定翻長(zhǎng)炕期負(fù)趨謠勢(shì)壩的肯一肚個(gè)示常子用米而巡壽又齊較臨為妖簡(jiǎn)較單笨的詢方曲法詞，施又漆稱歡繼炒動(dòng)疤平早均旋法舞。事它等是沙對(duì)妖原姨有書時(shí)勺間恰序洞列按雅一族定現(xiàn)的咱時(shí)蕩間?？绺?jìng)度各逐芒項(xiàng)純移穩(wěn)動(dòng)，才計(jì)喜算蔥一鵝系宮列王的平妹均發(fā)蘿展暈水椅平錫，錯(cuò)形謀成農(nóng)一笨個(gè)貢新較的資時(shí)炒間妻序修列腫，哪以斗消達(dá)除杰短蜓期爬的穩(wěn)、厘偶欺然眨的良因埋素桶引造起壓的廣變緩動(dòng)劍，如呈扣現(xiàn)演出辰現(xiàn)煙象眠發(fā)鈔展登變收化映的住長(zhǎng)神期欺趨條勢(shì)摔。移亞動(dòng)津平斃均降法遞只疲能僻預(yù)蝕測(cè)無最紡近漆一欺期犁數(shù)載值迷，滋逐合期川移液動(dòng)謊、搖逐朱期專預(yù)畜測(cè)馬。似這前種墾方致法他只未是閥對(duì)n期掀資茂料衣進(jìn)衡行葵簡(jiǎn)盞單疲平生均插。且因殺此描，礎(chǔ)預(yù)胃測(cè)悲的磁準(zhǔn)峰確遼性必較漏差另。采魯用必移謀動(dòng)蜓平扇均說法唐確殃定巨長(zhǎng)偶期成趨闖勢(shì)槍值宜，之要拆注鄭意析的意問嗓題1懸.采億用胸的癢項(xiàng)盒數(shù)序?yàn)檎T奇沿?cái)?shù)王或聰偶勤數(shù)橡項(xiàng)笨：白若復(fù)移紙動(dòng)羨平體均名時(shí)悠期良為奇動(dòng)數(shù)杯項(xiàng)，輝所錦得偽移元?jiǎng)咏杵叫途驍?shù)認(rèn)對(duì)正圓中立間袍項(xiàng)綱原糟值，墳一策次盜即乞得撥長(zhǎng)南期門趨刺勢(shì)賢值鐮。淚若灘為偶麻數(shù)滋項(xiàng)，葬移蘋動(dòng)逐平頸均現(xiàn)數(shù)抹則桐對(duì)賊著統(tǒng)原選數(shù)貌列陷移滲動(dòng)蛇平畢均球期謙的銜兩蘭項(xiàng)司中號(hào)間蝴，昌因訊此陵，倘必乒須僑對(duì)雨這才些禍移盯動(dòng)冰平呀均失數(shù)拒相斃鄰專兩闖項(xiàng)盲再父次擁移鑄動(dòng)鐵平默均翻，鞠使臣新觸數(shù)矮列狹各螺項(xiàng)甲下以移涼半傍期器，貼對(duì)付正檢原份數(shù)撫列役各給項(xiàng)庸。著謂儉之須移躬正管平叫均釋數(shù)宮。2吩.移飯動(dòng)然平遇均飾項(xiàng)纏數(shù)琴的決選敢擇尚：胞必報(bào)須縫根租據(jù)走時(shí)朱間位序粉列淋的低特充點(diǎn)謀選掉擇孝移羅動(dòng)貍平羅均地的藥時(shí)減間額跨仗度石。損若使現(xiàn)吳象善變勺化膜有暗周固期憲性裙，漲就吹以阻周將期種長(zhǎng)解度處為聚移作動(dòng)尸平肆均閘的府時(shí)破間特跨毒度嬸。誦如涼三欲年木為受一詳個(gè)朱周松期時(shí)，薄則抵可釘三笛年碗移滾動(dòng)疼平碧均犬。糊如隊(duì)果幼掌零握杠的昂是牌各嶄年卡的坑季爭(zhēng)度默資煙料抖，捆應(yīng)肌取其四符項(xiàng)答移奧動(dòng)飲平闊均朱，產(chǎn)掌帳握需的斯是窄各竊年吊每鞋月績(jī)資賤料班，站應(yīng)往取旅十繡二澤項(xiàng)季移形動(dòng)懇平壟均裹。仿只余有拘這半樣堵，誤才宣能湯準(zhǔn)番確仔地慘反邁映殿長(zhǎng)歉期倒趨納勢(shì)真，乓否爺則鼻，龜趨憐勢(shì)選變叨動(dòng)恭中異就前包煙括忍周揮期稱變喚動(dòng)賤在抗內(nèi)刃。霜就曉這陷一澡點(diǎn)壤來賊說綢，熄移夜動(dòng)筐平律均盼法野是予消頭除逼周鳳期俊變襯動(dòng)宰，滲從攪而殲較差為骨準(zhǔn)井確愈地罪揭質(zhì)示界現(xiàn)回象涂長(zhǎng)探期釀趨逢勢(shì)蛇的障重爭(zhēng)要各方垃法食。3醋.移做動(dòng)遭平寺均劇后嚇根呀據(jù)具新海數(shù)面列健預(yù)屢測(cè)恢問昆題飄：煮移綱動(dòng)蹤蝶平塔均骨后瓜所山得也的猴新晚數(shù)護(hù)列聯(lián)，飄較妥原遠(yuǎn)數(shù)促列非項(xiàng)賞數(shù)疑少活。糕移筍動(dòng)熄時(shí)雁間共越歉長(zhǎng)早，埋新拾數(shù)慣列迅所栗缺壺的綢項(xiàng)閉數(shù)蒙越像多決。飄減哨少泉項(xiàng)虛數(shù)令過治多荒，牧不窮宜失于挖分膝析卵長(zhǎng)火期錢趨御勢(shì)薪，伍所使以傘計(jì)剖算退移增動(dòng)春平捐均軋數(shù)餃的逢時(shí)她間講不生宜頃過鉛長(zhǎng)創(chuàng)。寒在蘋進(jìn)少行這統(tǒng)差計(jì)迷分或析隨時(shí)拳，尺如芝果蝦需咽要尖兩激端謎數(shù)輩值五，怎則您移恢動(dòng)淺平消均功法再不鄉(xiāng)豐宜慈采焦用兆。匯但士是市，昂也寧應(yīng)找該況指硬出菊，餓移謙動(dòng)羨平鋸均濱的觸時(shí)綱間匆越轎長(zhǎng)侄，煙數(shù)指列凈所幻玉表搬現(xiàn)催的貍長(zhǎng)掛期桑趨摩勢(shì)則越很明頌顯疤。（特三防）映指蜓數(shù)理平各滑賞法1、棋一百次澆指茂數(shù)報(bào)平顧滑螺法2、鍵二吹次丸指的數(shù)晨平陪滑同法1、茂一劑次屢指津數(shù)敏平灣滑賣法。這叉便絞是吊指金數(shù)溝平厘滑倦法俘的闊基址本煙公桑式似，式馬中為t期尼的菊觀策察蟻值糟，為t期晝的縫預(yù)豈測(cè)踩值悶，為齒平嶺滑躺系膝數(shù)偷，即。從踩指舊數(shù)胳平罩滑航法錦的政基佳本難公培式慘中務(wù)可侄以穩(wěn)看喪出惡，碎若α取主較咬大街值臨（磚例弓如茶接練近1）練時(shí)涉，t場(chǎng)+憶1期再的演預(yù)宜測(cè)商值漏對(duì)軋最魄新帥信靠息梨的啦反述映棵最憲敏旨感以，格同景時(shí)粗也各最集容姻易沾受角隨即機(jī)網(wǎng)變副動(dòng)榮的偏影敢響玩，撒當(dāng)丑等城于1時(shí)猜，疫實(shí)稍際池上部就酒是突以t期老的蹲觀嚷察拘值右作確為t員+象1期簽的弟預(yù)繼測(cè)塘值誰；播當(dāng)α取鑒較安小格值酸（斗例淹如燒接妨近0）煮時(shí)赤，t怎+卵1期恢的莊預(yù)棗測(cè)盒值演對(duì)選最甩新稼信終息森反蠅映接遲此鈍早，禍但撈抗薪隨貫機(jī)烈干百擾遵的憑能控力扒增屢強(qiáng)雪，賣當(dāng)α等雄于0時(shí)順，吼實(shí)舌際托上些就找是宋以t期挨的依預(yù)腥測(cè)花值慎作斧為t團(tuán)+鉤1期密的地預(yù)改測(cè)飾值堵。2、梁二澤次因指匠數(shù)拴平妙滑桂法為時(shí)一衰次拘平赤滑摔值為賭二奔次贊平兆滑增值預(yù)曾測(cè)般公妹式陽(yáng)為李：式齒中篩：為t滔+增T期健的毒預(yù)咽測(cè)摧值石；T為康提聲前脊的鹿預(yù)訪測(cè)側(cè)期違數(shù)參鋼數(shù)獲值(四)數(shù)總學(xué)扇模捐型構(gòu)法1、芳直白線漸性辭趨跟勢(shì)承的鏈測(cè)證定2、飯曲膀線慢趨涌勢(shì)疲的誓測(cè)勢(shì)定宗和濕預(yù)竊測(cè)1、李直篩線介性袍趨剛勢(shì)歇的賢測(cè)令定理的某最喚小偉二耀乘屬估僵計(jì)（弟續(xù)曉前老）2、溪曲弦線某趨銹勢(shì)形的球測(cè)蛾定藏和巖預(yù)單測(cè)（1）棋二磁次妨曲它線（2）夜指茅數(shù)腰曲逼線（1）上二宜次犁曲械線（銀續(xù)膏前南）（尤續(xù)瓶前棕）（2）祥指悅數(shù)巖曲爆線（被續(xù)劣前吧）三絕、鑰選擾擇箱趨依勢(shì)元線擴(kuò)類然型謠的疼依呢?fù)?jù)首扭先互，洽應(yīng)奏弄刑清輔所遼觀媽察掘變寇量籃的狡實(shí)旺際雞意乓義脾及耗其巴相屋關(guān)序的蜜理黃論岸知淋識(shí)祖，貿(mào)根獨(dú)據(jù)虜觀競(jìng)察嚇值噸的佩變紹化過規(guī)邁律題及腰其拆散塵點(diǎn)屑圖憐的駐形甘態(tài)獎(jiǎng)確訓(xùn)定食適躬當(dāng)?shù)甑谋呄觿?shì)表線奧類濱型而。撈這濁在剝一裂定傻程賊度農(nóng)上隱取柔決扁于胞研哭究旦者劫本眾人羽的膏經(jīng)呆驗(yàn)蔑及跪理感論獄知息識(shí)謠水脊平什。其銹次繁，井可步根芬據(jù)州所志觀刊察蹤蝶的給數(shù)掠據(jù)淹本份身想，查計(jì)愁算克相耕應(yīng)糟指居標(biāo)橋并啟按嘉以嬸下靠標(biāo)逮準(zhǔn)芬選陳擇俱趨順勢(shì)露線答：辨若央觀微察盼值籮的奇一套次扭差載（糠逐登期購(gòu)增探長(zhǎng)殿量哲）蜓大鑼體每相止同囑，唐可皺配游合將直舊線伶；冷若削二蹤蝶次遭差拾大磚體絡(luò)相雹同琴，旦可醒配藏合踩二稠次薯曲越線魂；轎若指觀誦察平值斗的并環(huán)降比錄發(fā)凱展耍速幣度冰（轉(zhuǎn)或男環(huán)貨比廟增課長(zhǎng)正速圾度徹）濤大說體脅相幅同傅，當(dāng)可順配就合糧指層數(shù)嗎曲螺線睡；辜若呆各右期炸觀興察芹值沉一活次侮差叮的躁環(huán)親比夢(mèng)值話大道體黨相夏同宋，街可嫂配律合觀修倉(cāng)正心指渠數(shù)每曲璃線掠；桌若美各正期擔(dān)觀斗察阿值素的大對(duì)附數(shù)感一咱次愧差濕的猛環(huán)先比戰(zhàn)值狗大灶體擴(kuò)相鴿同讀，杜可忍配勺合撥龔邁珀委茲荷曲陽(yáng)線子；椒若鮮各表期哨觀旗察嘴值子倒捧數(shù)皆一飼次肆差痛的初環(huán)盒比鋒值燃大已體煮相丹同莫，讀可磚配夸合湯邏天輯牧（L離o嚼g棒i銅s明t術(shù)i娃c）呈曲章線剃。最珠后購(gòu)，街如閑果唇對(duì)荒同冬一鐘時(shí)槍間場(chǎng)序論列撕有逝幾辭種殲趨盯勢(shì)寨線職可辨供最選絞擇吼，鹿以毛估尺計(jì)遼標(biāo)萍準(zhǔn)廢誤養(yǎng)差援最偽小煌者獨(dú)為介宜愁。附余：計(jì)芽算椅估刮計(jì)鹽的不平掙方慈誤熱差s2的脅方駐法第釀三引節(jié)約季乒節(jié)沫變箱動(dòng)壺的蘇測(cè)璃定一惡、菌季虛節(jié)傭變鞭動(dòng)上的供基慎本剃思但想二賭、堵季成節(jié)盡變瓦動(dòng)爆的恢測(cè)撫定顯方蓬法三鑄、需季脅節(jié)毫指裂數(shù)早的鄉(xiāng)豐應(yīng)榮用一兇、君季懷節(jié)溉變樂動(dòng)嚇的裂基錦本癢思芬想測(cè)月定憲季刑節(jié)傘變鏡動(dòng)叼首白先唇可侵以漸分謙析貓現(xiàn)透象裝過框去廚的鍛季廁節(jié)喜變鑄動(dòng)置規(guī)釣律封。計(jì)如刷企談業(yè)時(shí)家象或輸商陳家桶，剪要削了惑解月一哭年弱之梨中彈所當(dāng)生戴產(chǎn)驕和蹄經(jīng)歉銷睛的疑產(chǎn)好品涂在帝生此產(chǎn)下、口銷棵售門的雜變排化穴中末有液多勁少遍是羅由償于婦季氏節(jié)寧變你動(dòng)蠻的蔥影辨響臺(tái)，批并格以翁此御作頂出狗生皇產(chǎn)羊經(jīng)選營(yíng)嘗的索決遠(yuǎn)策猛。局其菜次踩，柳通借過釣測(cè)侮定特季毅節(jié)荒變遲動(dòng)躬，割可斯以躲預(yù)提測(cè)懇經(jīng)例濟(jì)愚現(xiàn)憲象支未雄來隸的休發(fā)諷展緞變窮化唉。罩最私后灣，兵消喬除穗時(shí)煤間明序吊列幅中拒的宗季響節(jié)劍變呀動(dòng)匠因取素婦，罵以筆便造分憐析奧其包他銅影襪響啦因狹素猶。二享、鐘季雀節(jié)膀變面動(dòng)繪的逝測(cè)浴定獲方軍法(一)按巾月(季)平病均粘法(二)長(zhǎng)慰期且趨椅勢(shì)續(xù)剔狠除袍法(一)按捧月(季)平究均首法計(jì)檔算開步戴驟簡(jiǎn)和責(zé)方峰法橡如受下我：1．凡計(jì)間算右歷帽年辟同閣月喇平鐘均縮慧數(shù)旬；2．乓計(jì)莊算脾歷煉年侄的薯總壇的傳月加平美均妥數(shù)抱；3，衛(wèi)將吵歷逆年拉同鞏月推的錦平喘均集數(shù)您與陽(yáng)總膠的造月拌平預(yù)均霜數(shù)榴相餅比幫，剃即觸得明各間月勝季引節(jié)彈比菊率杏，絹也善稱食季澇節(jié)扒指踐數(shù)案。（脂二佩）永長(zhǎng)脹期抓趨寄勢(shì)旋剔膀除湯法計(jì)墨算恐步畝驟那和證方掌法押如糞下藍(lán)：1蒼.根遲據(jù)墾資矩料Y計(jì)做算非長(zhǎng)延期功趨醬勢(shì)T；2文.將滾實(shí)蒸際演數(shù)飄值Y除墳以弦趨舌勢(shì)蒜值腸即等得Y芳/械T；3瓣.寨Y塵/談T按戰(zhàn)月園排份列若，盒用抓按添月呀平刑均漢法折求竹季撞數(shù)耳；