歐洲議會市場調(diào)研和分析報告（英文版）-2024年1月上傳培訓(xùn)課件

POLITICS

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SOCIETYEuropeanParliamentElectionsCHAPTER

01OverviewofEuropeanParliamentElectionsSeatswoninEuropeanParliamentElectionsfrom1979to2019,bypartygroupingEuropeanParliamentElections:seatsgainedbypartiesinelections1979-2019SeatsinEuropeanParliamentEuropeanPeople'sPartyGreens/EuropeanFreeAllianceIndependentMEPsSocialists&DemocratsIdentityandDemocracyEuropeanUnitedLeftRenewEuropeEuropeanConservatives&ReformistsForzaEuropeTechnicalGroupofIndependentMembersGroupoftheEuropeanRightUnionforEuropeoftheNationsCommunistandAlliesGroupEuropeanDemocratsEuropeanRadicalAllianceRainbowGroupEuropeofFreedomandDirectDemocracyLeftUnity01002003004005006007008002019201420092004199919941989198419793Description:SincethefirstEuropeanParliamentelectionsin1979,17groupshavebeenrepresentedintheparliament,aswellasover200independentMEPs.ByfarthetwomostsuccessfulpartiesinthehistoryoftheparliamenthavebeentheEuropeanPeople'sParty(EPP)andtheSocialists&Democrats(S&Ds),beingtheonlytwopartygroupstohavewonaEuropeanelection.ReadmoreNote(s):Europe,EU;1979to2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentTotalnumberofseatswonintheEuropeanParliamentElectionsin2019,bycountryandpartygroupingSeatswonintheEuropeanParliamentElection2019bycountryandpartygroupEPP(center-right)S&D(center-left)ECR(right)RenewEurope(center)GUE/NGL(left/far-left)Greens/EFA(center-left/left)IdentityandDemocracy(far-right)Non-attachedmembers(various)1201008060402004Description:The2019EuropeanParliamentelectionswerewonbythecenter-rightEuropeanPeople'sParty(EPP),whichwon182ofthe751availableseats.SeatsintheEuropeanParliamentaredividedamongmemberstatesaccordingtotheirrelativeshareofthepopulationoftheEuropeanUnion,meaningthatthemostpopulousstate,Germany,got96seatsin2019,whiletheleastpopulous,Malta,gotsix.ReadmoreNote(s):Europe,EU;2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentaryResearchServiceVoterturnoutintheEuropeanParliamentElectionsintheEuropeanUnion(EU)from1979to2019EUParliament:voterturnoutintheEuropeanelections1979-201970%61.99%58.98%58.41%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%56.67%50.62%49.51%45.47%42.97%42.61%1979198419891994199920042009201420195Description:In2019,over50percentofEUcitizensvotedintheEuropeanparliamentaryelections,thehighestvoterturnoutsince1994,whenitwas56percent.ThehighestturnoutoccurredinthefirstsetofEuropeanparliamentaryelections,heldin1979,inwhich61.99percentofeligibleEuropeansvoted.Voterturnoutdeclinedineveryelectionsubsequentelectionhowever,reachingalowof42.61percentin2014.

ReadmoreNote(s):EU;1979to2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentGenderdistributionintheEuropeanParliamentfrom1979to2019GenderdistributionintheEuropeanParliament1979-2019MenWomen30%100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%16%18%19%26%31%35%37%41%84%82%81%74%70%69%65%63%59%1979198419891994199920042009201420196/statistics/300456/eu-parlament-turnout-for-the-european-electionsIn2019,41percentoftheelectedmembersofparliament(MPs)werewomen,anincreaseoffourpercentcomparedtothepreviouselectoralperiodat37percentofMPs.OveralltheshareoffemaleMPshasmorethandoubledduringthistime.

ReadmoreNote(s):EU;1979to2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentCHAPTER

022024EuropeanParliamentElectionTotalnumberofseatsintheEuropeanParliamentassignedtoeachEUmemberstateinthe2024elections,bycountryNumbersofseatstobewonintheEuropeanParliamentelections2024bycountryNumberofseatsin2024Numberofseatsin20191201008060402008Description:ThenextelectionfortheEuropeanParliamentwilltakeplaceinJune2024.TheEuropeanParliamenthasseenasignificantrestructuringsincetheUnitedKingdomlefttheEUin2020-whichreducedthenumberofMEPsfrom751to705-andin2024theparliamentwillseeanadditional15seatsdividedamongthememberstates.AteachEuropeanParliamentelection,seatsaredistributedtomemberstatesbasedontheirrelativesharesoftheEU'spopulation,withamaximumof96seatsper[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Europe,EU;2024Source(s):EuropeanParliamentaryResearchServiceTotalprojectedseatswonbypoliticalpartiesintheEuropeanParliamentelectionsin2024andseatswonbythepartiesin2019,bypartygroupProjectednumberofseatswonbypartiesintheEuropeanParliamentElections2024Seatswonin2019Projectedseatsfor20242001801601401201008018217315413910892807673746462576051454140200EPP(center-right)

S&D(center-left)RenewEurope(center)ECR(right)IdentityandDemocracy(far-right)Unaffiliatedandnon-inscrits(various)Greens/EFA(center-left/left)GUE/NGL(left/far-left)9Description:ThenextEuropeanParliamentelectionswilltakeplaceinJune2024,withpartiesontherightofthepoliticalspectrumexpectedtobethebiggestwinnersintermsofseatswon,whilepartiesofthecenterareprojectedtoloseseatsintheelections.Someoftheseatslostinthiselectionbythemaincentristparties(EPP,S&D,RenewEurope)canbeaccountedforbychangestothestructureoftheparliament,astheUnitedKingdomhadnotyetlefttheEUatthetimeofthelastelectionsin[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Europe,EU;2023Source(s):EuropeElectsMonthlyvotingintentionforthenextEuropeanParliamentelectionfrom2019to2023,bypartyOpinionpollingforthenextEuropeanParliamentElection2019-2023EPP(center-right)ECR(right)Greens/EFA(center-left/left)S&D(center-left)IdentityandDemocracy(far-right)GUE/NGL(left/far-left)Unaffiliated&Non-inscrits(various)ReformEurope(center)30%25%20%15%10%5%0%Month10Description:AsofOctober2023,Thecenter-rightEuropeanPeople'sParty(EPP)aresettowinthenextEuropeanParliamentelection,whichtakesplaceinJune2024.TheEPPhaverecoveredfromaperiodinlate-2021andearly-2022whentheywereneck-in-neckwiththeirclosestrivals,thecenter-leftSocialists&Democrats(S&D)group,withthecenter-rightnowhavingaroughly4percentagepointlead.AmongtheothergroupingsintheEuropeanParliament,nogrouphasmanagedtoachieve[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Europe,EU;May2019toOctober2023Source(s):EuropeElectsPublicopinionintheEuropeanUniononwhichissuesshouldbethepriorityinthecomingyearsfortheEuropeanParliamentin2023EUcitizens'opiniononwhattheEuropeanParliament'spriorityshouldbe2023Shareofrespondents0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%PovertyandsocialexclusionPublichealth12%11%11%ClimatechangeSupportofeconomy&creationofnewjobsThefutureofEurope10%9%9%DemocracyandtheruleoflawTheEU'sdefenceandsecurityTerrorismandorganisedcrimeHumanitarianaid8%5%4%AutonomyinthefieldsofindustryandenergyConsumerrights4%4%4%MigrationandasylumAgriculturalpolicyGenderequality,inclusionanddiversityDigitalisationofeconomyandsociety3%3%2%11Description:WiththenextEuropeanParliamentelectionsoccurringinJune2024,thepolicyprioritiesandpreferencesofEUcitizenshaveincreasinglycomeintofocusintherunuptotheelectioncampaign.Astheelectoratefortheseelectionsislargeanddiverse-consistingofaround400millionvotersfrom27EUmemberstates-thereisnosingleissuewhichissettodominatethecampaignin2024.TheissueswhichEUcitizensweremostlikelytopointtoastheirfirstpriorityin2023werethefight[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Europe,EU;March2ndtoMarch26th2023;26376respondents;14yearsandolderSource(s):EuropeanCommissionCHAPTER

032019EuropeanParliamentElectionNumberoftheMEPsintheEuropeanParliamentin2019,bymemberstateNumberoftheMEPsintheEuropeanParliamentin2019NumberofMEPs5001020304060708090100110GermanyFranceUnitedKingomItaly96747373SpainPoland5451RomaniaNetherlandsHungaryPortugalGreece322621212121CzechiaBelgium2013Description:ThisstatisticillustratesthenumberofMEPsallocatedtoeachmemberstateintheEuropeanParliamentforthe2019-2024term.GermanyhasthehighestnumberofMEPsat96MEPs,followedbyFranceandItalywhichhave79and76respectively.Luxembourg,MaltaandCyprushavesixMEPseach,thefewestofanymemberstates.IftheUKparticipatesinthisEuropeanElections,thenumberofseatswillremain751,fromwhere73seatswillbelongtotheUKwhiletheseatdistributionfor[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):EU;March-May2019Source(s):FinancialTimesShareofvotesforpopulistandnationalistpartiesintheEuropeanParliamentaryElectionsof2019,bycountryShareofvotesforpopulistpartiesintheEuropeanElections2019Shareofthevote0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%HungaryItaly61.91%57.86%Poland53.62%UnitedKingdomFrance33.95%26.82%24.61%LatviaSlovakiaNetherlandsAustria19.39%18.4%18.24%17.92%CroatiaSwedenDenmarkFinland15.34%14.46%14.1%14Description:TheEuropeanParliamentaryElectionsofMay2019sawnationalistandpopulistpartiesgaingroundontraditionalcenter-rightandleftparties,gainingamajorityofthevote-shareinHungary,ItalyandPoland,wherepopulistpartieshavealsofoundthemostsuccessinnationalelections.PopulistpartiesalsogainedthemostseatsinFranceandtheUnitedKingdom,withthelatterwitnessinganewly-formed'BrexitParty'take29oftheUK's73seatsintheEuropeanParliament.Elsewhere,the[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):EU;May23-26,2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentNumberofMEPsfromFranceelectedtotheEuropeanParliamentin2019,byEuropeanpoliticalpartygroupingNumberofMEPsfromFranceelectedtotheEuropeanparliamentin2019,bypartyNumberofMEPs1005152025Right-wingnationalists(ENF)Liberals(ALDE)2221Greens(EFA)12Center-right(EPP)Left(GUE/NGL)86Center-left(S&D)515Description:ThisstatisticpresentsthenumberofMEPselectedbyFranceintheEuropeanElectionsofMay2019,byEuropeanPoliticalPartygrouping.InFrancetheEuropeofNationsandFreedompoliticalgroupwon22seatsintheEuropeanParliamentwiththeAllianceofLiberalsandDemocratsforEurope(ALDE)winning21seats.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentNumberofMEPsfromGermanyelectedtotheEuropeanParliamentin2019,byEuropeanpoliticalpartygroupingNumberofMEPsfromGermanyelectedtotheEuropeanparliamentin2019,bypartyNumberofMEPs0510152025302935Center-right(EPP)Greens(EFA)22Center-left(S&D)Populists(EFD)Liberals(ALDE)Left(GUE/NGL)Others1611754Independent216Description:ThisstatisticpresentsthenumberofMEPselectedbyGermanyintheEuropeanElectionsofMay2019,byEuropeanPoliticalPartygrouping.InGermanythecenter-rightEuropeanPeople'sPartywon29seatsintheEuropeanParliamentwiththeGreenswinningafurther22.ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentNumberofMEPsfromtheNetherlandselectedtotheEuropeanParliamentin2019,byEuropeanpoliticalpartygroupingNumberofMEPsfromNetherlandselectedtotheEuropeanparliamentin2019,bypartyNumberofMEPs01234567Center-left(S&D)Liberals(ALDE)Conservatives(ECR)Center-right(EPP)Greens(EFA)66543Left(GUE/NGL)Others1117Description:ThisstatisticpresentsthenumberofMEPselectedbytheNetherlandsintheEuropeanElectionsofMay2019,byEuropeanPoliticalPartygrouping.Thecenter-leftSocialistsandDemocratsandtheLiberalALDEgroupingeachwonsixseatseach,whiletheEuropeanConservativeandReformiststookfiveseats.ReadmoreNote(s):Netherlands;2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentNumberofMEPsfromSpainelectedtotheEuropeanParliamentin2019,byEuropeanpoliticalpartygroupingNumberofMEPsfromSpainelectedtotheEuropeanparliamentin2019,bypartyNumberofMEPs100515202025Center-left(S&D)Center-right(EPP)Liberals(ALDE)Others12855Left(GUE/NGL)Greens(EFA)418Description:ThisstatisticpresentsthenumberofMEPselectedbySpainintheEuropeanElectionsofMay2019,byEuropeanPoliticalPartygrouping.TheSocialistsandDemocratswon20ofthe54seatsavailableinSpainwiththecenter-rightEuropeanPeople'sPartyhavingthesecondmostseatsat12.ReadmoreNote(s):Spain;2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentNumberofMEPsfromItalyelectedtotheEuropeanParliamentin2019,byEuropeanpoliticalpartygroupingNumberofMEPsfromItalyelectedtotheEuropeanparliamentin2019,bypartyNumberofMEPs100515202530Right-wingnationalists(ENF)Center-left(S&D)2818Populists(EFD)14Center-right(EPP)Conservatives(ECR)8519Description:ThisstatisticpresentsthenumberofMEPselectedbyItalyintheEuropeanElectionsofMay2019,byEuropeanPoliticalPartygrouping.InItaly,theEuropeofNationsandFreedompoliticalgroupingwon28seats,withthecenter-leftSocialistsandDemocratswinningafurther18seatsinthiselection.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentNumberofMEPsfromPolandelectedtotheEuropeanParliamentin2019,byEuropeanpoliticalpartygroupingNumberofMEPsfromPolandelectedtotheEuropeanparliamentin2019,bypartyNumberofMEPs051015202530Conservatives(ECR)Center-right(EPP)Center-left(S&D)Others26168120Description:ThisstatisticpresentsthenumberofMEPselectedbyPolandintheEuropeanElectionsofMay2019,byEuropeanPoliticalPartygrouping.TheEuropeanConservativesandReformistsGroupwon26ofPoland's51seats,withtheEuropeanPeople'sPartywinningafurthersixteen.ReadmoreNote(s):Poland;2019Source(s):EuropeanParliamentCHAPTER

04PublicOpinionShareofrespondentsinEuropeanUnionmemberstatesstatingthattheyhaveapositiveornegativeimageoftheEuropeanParliamentin2023,bycountryPublicopiniononwhethertheEuropeanParliamentispositiveornegative2023VerypositiveFairlypositiveNeutralDon'tknowFairlynegativeVerynegative100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%22Description:TheEuropeanParliamentisthedemocraticallyelectedlegislativebodyoftheEuropeanUnion.Thefirstelectionsfortheparliamenttookplacein1979,withelectionstakingplaceeveryfiveyearssincethen.TheparliamentdoesnothavedirectlegislativepowersintheEuropeanUnion,asitinsteadvotesonlegislationoriginatedbytheEuropeanCommission,thehighestbureaucraticbodyoftheEU.Thislackofdirectlegislativepowerhasmeantthattheparliamenthasoftenbeen[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Europe,EU;March2ndtoMarch26th2023;26376respondents;14yearsandolderSource(s):EuropeanCommissionShareofrespondentsindicatingapositive,neutral,ornegativeimageoftheEuropeanUnioninEUmemberstatesfrom2006to2022Euroscepticism:respondents'imageoftheEuropeanUnionfrom2006to2022PositiveNeutralDon'tknowNegative60%50%40%30%20%10%0%23Description:Euroscepticism,thepoliticalpositionwhichopposesEuropeanintegrationorproposesleavingtheEU,peakedintheearly2010sduringtheperiodoftheEurozonecrisis.ApprovaloftheEUhadbeenstableatarelativelyhighlevelinthe2000s,witharoundhalfofrespondentshavingapositiveimageoftheunion,beforesharplydroppingfrom2010onwardstounderathirdofrespondents.InspiteofthespikeinnegativeattitudestowardstheEU,thetotalshareofrespondentswitha[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):EU;2006to2022Source(s):EuropeanCommissionShareofrespondentsindicatingtheyaredissatisfiedwithhowdemocracyworksintheirowncountryandintheEuropeanUnionin2022DissatisfactionwithdemocracyintheEUandhomecountry2022OwncountryEuropeanUnion8070605040302010024Description:OneofthekeyissueswhichhasdrivendiscontentwithintheEuropeanUnionovertheperiodsincethegreatrecessionandtheEurozonecrisishasbeendissatisfactionwithhowdemocracyworks.CitizensofmanyEuropeancountrieshaveexpressedthattheyfeeltheyhavenorealinputintopoliticalprocesses,thatpoliticalpartiestendtorepresenteliteinterestsratherthantheirown,andthatdecisionareoftenmadebytechnocratsratherthanthroughdemocraticdeliberation.ReadmoreNote(s):Europe;2022;*EU13countrieswhojoinedtheEUafter2004(Bulgaria,Croatia,Cyprus,Czechia,Estonia,Hungary,Latvia,Lithuania,Malta,Poland,Romania,Slovakia,Slovenia).

**EU14countrieswhojoinedtheEUbefore1995(Austria,[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):EuropeanCommissionWouldyousaythatyouareveryoptimistic,fairlyoptimistic,fairlypessimisticorverypessimisticaboutthefutureoftheEU?PerspectivesonthefutureoftheEUamongmemberstatesin2022VeryoptimisticFairlyoptimisticDon'tknowFairlypessimisticVerypessimistic100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%25Description:ThefutureoftheEuropeanUnionisasubjectthatcandivideopinion.SomeeuroscepticvoiceshavebeenprophesizingthedownfalloftheblocsinceatleasttheEurozonecrisisoftheearly2010sandtheUK'sdecisiontoleavetheEUin2016.Ontheotherhand,federalistsputforwardtheideathatEuropeanintegrationisoncemoremovingforwardtowards"evercloserunion",afterCovid-19andtheRussianinvasionofUkrainepushedtheunionintoactiononanumberofkeypolicyissues,[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Europe;2022Source(s):EuropeanCommissionCHAPTER

05OtherissuesrelatingtotheEuropeanParliamentDistributionofTwitterpostsbyMembersoftheEuropeanParliament(MEPs)in2022,bypoliticalgroupMEPsdistributionofpostsonTwitter2022,bypoliticalgroupGUE/NGL7.7%EPP18.4%ID12.7%Renew13.2%ECR16.9%S&D15.8%Greens-EFA15.3%27Description:Accordingtoareportconductedthroughout2022,18.4percentofTweetsbyMembersoftheEuropeanParliament(MEPs)werepublishedbytheEuropeanPeople'sPartyGroup(EPP).Overall,16.9percentoftweetswerepostedbypoliticiansbelongingtothecenter-rightpoliticalparty,theEuropeanConservativesandReformistsGroup(ECR),whilsttheSocialists&Democratsgroup(S&D)accountedforalmost16percentoftweetsbyMEPsin2022.

ReadmoreNote(s):Europe;January1toNovember30,2022;605,789TwitterpostsSource(s):QuorumAnalyticsDistributionofFacebookpostsbyMembersoftheEuropeanParliament(MEPs)in2022,bypoliticalgroupMEPsdistributionofpostsonFacebook2022,bypoliticalgroupGUE/NGL6.1%Greens-EFA7.5%EPP26.8%S&D20.2%ECR9%Renew13.0%ID16.9%28Description:Accordingtoareportconductedthroughout2022,almost27percentofFacebookpostsbyMembersoftheEuropeanParliament(MEPs)werepublishedbypoliticiansoftheEuropeanPeople'sPartyGroup(EPP).Overall,around20percentofpostsonFacebookwerepostedbypoliticiansbelongingtotheSocialists&Democratsgroup(S&D),whilsttheIdentityandDemocracygroup(ID)accountedfor16.9percentofFacebookpostsbyMEPsin2022.

ReadmoreNote(s):Europe;January1toNovember30,2022;133,696FacebookpostsSource(s):QuorumAnalyticsLeadinghashtagsusedbyMembersoftheEuropeanParliament(MEPs)onselectedsocialmediaplatformsin2022MEPstophashtagsusedonsocialnetworks2022Numberofpostswithhashtag4,000

6,00002,0008,00010,00012,000#ukraine#