MELCOCROWN(MPEL.OQ)0927

1、20 16 12 8 4 0 1 2 deutsche bank markets research rating buy asia hong kong company melco crown date 27 september 2012 company update consumer hotels / leisure / gaming reuters mpel.oq bloomberg mpel us exchange ticker nms mpel price at 25 sep 2012 (usd) price target - 12mth (usd) 52-week range (usd

2、) hang seng index 12.79 17.40 16.00 - 7.38 20,528 potential to raise stake in studio city karen tang research analyst govt confirmed that studio city will have a casino mpel has announced an increase in its equity capital commitment to its 60%- owned studio city project of us$350m, to a total of us$

3、830m. if its partner chooses not to raise its contribution within six months, mpels stake will rise to 67%. last week, the govt confirmed that studio city was one of the five pipeline projects in macau that will receive table quota. these developments reduce risks for the project, in our view. reite

4、rate buy as mpels focus on premium mass should allow it to outgrow peers in 2013. trading at 8x 2013e ev/ebitda (14x pe), the stock looks to be pricing in a free option for two growth opportunities (cotai high-limit mass: min bet hk$1,000-1,500; deutsche bank ag/hong kongpage 3 27 september 2012 hot

5、els / leisure / gaming melco crown middle mass: min bet hk$300-800; grind mass: min bet hk$200 or below. figure 3 shows the distribution of mass market tables in the big 7 casinos by their min bet limits. key observations include: city of dreams has the highest exposure to premium mass (53%); galaxy

6、 macau has the second highest exposure to premium mass (36%); sands cotai central currently has the lowest % of tables at hk$2,000 min (8%); grand lisboa has the highest exposure to grind mass (8%); venetian macaus strength is in the middle mass (hk$300-800 min bet); mgm as a result, the recommendat

7、ions may differ and the price targets and estimates of each may vary widely. in august 2009, deutsche bank instituted a new policy whereby analysts may choose not to set or maintain a target price of certain issuers under coverage with a hold rating. in particular, this will typically occur for hold

8、 rated stocks having a market cap smaller than most other companies in its sector or region. we believe that such policy will allow us to make best use of our resources. please visit our website at http:/ to determine the target price of any stock. the financial instruments discussed in this report

9、may not be suitable for all investors and investors must make their own informed investment decisions. stock transactions can lead to losses as a result of price fluctuations and other factors. if a financial instrument is denominated in a currency other than an investors currency, a change in excha

10、nge rates may adversely affect the investment. past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. deutsche bank may with respect to securities covered by this report, sell to or buy from customers on a principal basis, and consider this report in deciding to trade on a proprietary bas

11、is. unless governing law provides otherwise, all transactions should be executed through the deutsche bank entity in the investors home jurisdiction. in the u.s. this report is approved and/or distributed by deutsche bank securities inc., a member of the nyse, the nasd, nfa and sipc. in germany this

12、 report is approved and/or communicated by deutsche bank ag frankfurt authorized by the bafin. in the united kingdom this report is approved and/or communicated by deutsche bank ag london, a member of the london stock exchange and regulated by the financial services authority for the conduct of inve

13、stment business in the uk and authorized by the bafin. this report is distributed in hong kong by deutsche bank ag, hong kong branch, in korea by deutsche securities korea co. this report is distributed in singapore by deutsche bank ag, singapore branch, and recipients in singapore of this report ar

14、e to contact deutsche bank ag, singapore branch in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, this report. where this report is issued or promulgated in singapore to a person who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or institutional investor (as defined in the applicable s

15、ingapore laws and regulations), deutsche bank ag, singapore branch accepts legal responsibility to such person for the contents of this report. in japan this report is approved and/or distributed by deutsche securities inc. the information contained in this report does not constitute the provision o

16、f investment advice. in australia, retail clients should obtain a copy of a product disclosure statement (pds) relating to any financial product referred to in this report and consider the pds before making any decision about whether to acquire the product. deutsche bank ag johannesburg is incorporated in the federal republic of germany (branch register number in south africa: 1998/003298/10). additional information relative to securities, other financial products or