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1、 中國汽車燃料經(jīng)濟(jì)性規(guī)范及燃料經(jīng)濟(jì)性政策研討 The Automobile Fuel Economy Standards and Fuel Efficiency Promotion Policies of China中國汽車技術(shù)研討中心 China Automotive Technology and Research Center 重要內(nèi)容:Content)1、評價體系建立的內(nèi)容、問題與方案(Content,question and schedule of establishment of evaluation system)2、技術(shù)本錢效益分析的內(nèi)容、問題與方案(Content,questi
2、on and schedule of technology cost-effectiveness analysis)3、汽車燃油經(jīng)濟(jì)性普查內(nèi)容、問題與方案(Content, question and schedule of universal survey)1、評價體系的研討與建立Establishment of Evaluation System評價體系的建立-緣由? Establishment of Evaluation System-Why? 選用類似CAFE的方法限制汽車燃油經(jīng)濟(jì)性?(restrain the auto fuel economy by the method of CAF
3、E?) 選用類似日本的方法來限制汽車燃油經(jīng)濟(jì)性?(restrain the auto fuel economy by the method like Japanese measure?) 采用完全不同的新方法?(use entirely different new method?)評價體系的建立-歐、美、日的根本情況 Establishment of Evaluation System-The situation in Europe, American and Japan 歐洲歐洲(Europe):采用較高的燃油價錢,公開汽車燃油耗;:采用較高的燃油價錢,公開汽車燃油耗;但最近也開場思索采用公
4、司平均法來限制但最近也開場思索采用公司平均法來限制CO2和油耗。和油耗。Higher fuel price, publishing vehicle fuel consumption rate to guide vehicle purchase. Recently, consider to restrain fuel consumption together with CO2 emission by means of company average value. ) 美國美國(American):公司平均油耗法。:公司平均油耗法。Corporate Average Fuel Economy(CA
5、FE) ) 日本日本(Japan):將乘用車按分量分為將乘用車按分量分為8類,分別要求。類,分別要求。(Passenger cars are take into eight categories according to vehicle weight, and the auto fuel economy of different category are restrained by different limit)評價體系的建立(1)-CAFE的優(yōu)點和問題Establishment of Evaluation System(1)-Advantages and question 可以從總體上控制
6、汽車的燃油耗費??梢詮目傮w上控制汽車的燃油耗費。(may restrain the auto fuel consumption in total) 不對詳細(xì)車型提出要求,有利于汽車企業(yè)的產(chǎn)品調(diào)整;不對詳細(xì)車型提出要求,有利于汽車企業(yè)的產(chǎn)品調(diào)整;(Do not limit on individual auto type. Benefit the adjustment of production in the manufactories) 能否有利于中國汽車向大集團(tuán)化的開展能否有利于中國汽車向大集團(tuán)化的開展?(Be helpful to the development of Chinese aut
7、o industry to large scale?) 問題:中國汽車企業(yè)眾多,各企業(yè)產(chǎn)品單一。問題:中國汽車企業(yè)眾多,各企業(yè)產(chǎn)品單一。 There are too many independent auto companies, and each of which always owns few types of auto in China)評價體系的建立(2)-對汽車分類要求?(1)Establishment of Evaluation System(2)-Limitation for Each Individual Auto Category?(1) 適宜當(dāng)前中國的企業(yè)現(xiàn)狀:企業(yè)眾多、產(chǎn)
8、品單一;適宜當(dāng)前中國的企業(yè)現(xiàn)狀:企業(yè)眾多、產(chǎn)品單一;(Fit the present situation of Chinese auto industry: There are too many manufactories which always own few types of auto) 不能從宏觀上控制燃油耗費;不能從宏觀上控制燃油耗費;(Can not restrain the fuel consumption in total.)評價體系的建立(2)-按汽車分量分類?2Establishment of Evaluation System(2)-Categorizing Auto b
9、y Weight?(2) 為什么日本選擇車重而不是發(fā)動機(jī)功率或排量作為汽車為什么日本選擇車重而不是發(fā)動機(jī)功率或排量作為汽車分類的根據(jù)?分類的根據(jù)?Why does Japan choose weight of vehicle other than displacement volume or engine power as the categorizing specific? 日本是如何決議類別劃分值?日本是如何決議類別劃分值?(How does Japan determine the boundary values?) 能否對較重的汽車要求較嚴(yán)?能否對較重的汽車要求較嚴(yán)?(If the re
10、quirement for heavy auto is stricter than that of light auto?) 能否會影響企業(yè)對采用輕型資料的的積極性?能否會影響企業(yè)對采用輕型資料的的積極性?If this will lead negative influence to the lightening effort of the auto? 評價體系的建立(2)-分類要求問題的處理?(3) Establishment of Evaluation System(2)-Answer to the question of Limitation for Each Auto Category
11、(3) 經(jīng)過大量數(shù)據(jù)的統(tǒng)計分析,努力使分類油耗限值合理;(Make the fuel consumption limits reasonable through statistic of large amount of data concerned with fuel consumption) 為了抑制高油耗車輛的增長,從而在一定程度上彌補(bǔ)這種方法對總體油耗控制的缺乏,可以嚴(yán)厲對高油耗汽車的限值要求;(For compensation of the disadvantage of not restraining in total at some extent and restrain the
12、increase of high-FE auto, we can give the stricter limit for these auto.) 也可以經(jīng)過提高高油耗車輛稅率到達(dá)以上目的。The goal may be reached by high-tax for high-fuel consumption cars)評價體系的建立(3)-方案確定Establishment of Evaluation System-Determination of Strategy 了解研討國外的方法和閱歷;了解研討國外的方法和閱歷;(learn the measures and experience a
13、broad) 搜集數(shù)據(jù):搜集數(shù)據(jù):CATARC在排放實驗時的油耗數(shù)據(jù)、中國汽車工業(yè)年在排放實驗時的油耗數(shù)據(jù)、中國汽車工業(yè)年鑒、企業(yè)申報數(shù)據(jù);鑒、企業(yè)申報數(shù)據(jù);(collect data: the fuel consumption data that have been received in the emission test at CATARC, China Auto Manual, declare data from manufacturers) 分析以上數(shù)據(jù),發(fā)現(xiàn)油耗與哪些汽車參數(shù)的相關(guān)性最大分析以上數(shù)據(jù),發(fā)現(xiàn)油耗與哪些汽車參數(shù)的相關(guān)性最大,明確分明確分類目的類目的,及劃分值及劃分值(a
14、nalyze and find the best relativity between fuel consumption and auto specifics with these data, and then define the specific of categorizing and boundary limits) 同時分析公司平均油耗同時分析公司平均油耗analysis of Corporate Average Fuel Consumption at same time) 提出方案,與汽車行業(yè)討論,給出評價體系框架。提出方案,與汽車行業(yè)討論,給出評價體系框架。(Give the st
15、rategy of evaluation system, discuss it within auto industry,give the frame work of evaluation system.) 評價體系的建立Establishment of Evaluation System-方案(schedule)2001 年2002 年2003 年項目789101112123456789101112123456研究建立中國汽車 FE 評價體系* 1、收集現(xiàn)有排放試驗的油耗數(shù)據(jù)(collect fuel consumption datareceipted from emission test)
16、 2、統(tǒng)計分析這些數(shù)據(jù)(count andanalysize these data) 3、考察國外的評價體系(surveythe evaluation system abroad) 4、召開國際研討會,國際專家組介紹國外經(jīng)驗、國內(nèi)外專家的建議(put out international meeting) 5、進(jìn)行若干次內(nèi)部討論(put outseveral discussion within CATARC) 6、提出評價體系初步方案(givethe initial protocol) 7、進(jìn)行小范圍討論(discussionwithin a small feld) 8、評價體系草案(give
17、the draftprotocol) 9、 召開會議廣泛討論(discuss in awide field)10、 最終方案(give final protocol ofthe evaluation system)2、技術(shù)本錢效益分析Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis技術(shù)本錢效益分析-緣由Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:reason 預(yù)測中國汽車在未來能夠采取的技術(shù)措施,以及對燃油經(jīng)濟(jì)性的改善。predict the possible adopted technologies by the auto ind
18、ustry in the future, and the improvement for FE) 其結(jié)果將影響汽車燃油耗費率限值國家規(guī)范的制定。(the result will effect the setting up of national standard concerning auto fuel consumption limits) 其研討結(jié)果有利于汽車廠家先進(jìn)技術(shù)的選擇。(the result benefit the chose of the advanced technologies for manufactory) 技術(shù)本錢效益分析-主要任務(wù)Technology Cost-Ef
19、fectiveness Analysis:main task 調(diào)查中國汽車如今的技術(shù)程度以及未來能夠采用的技術(shù)預(yù)測Survey the current technical situation of Chinese auto industry and the prediction of advanced technologies that would be adopted in future). 研討提高汽車能源效率的各項技術(shù)措施(study the every technology used for the improvement of EF) 分析其效果和本錢.(cost-effective
20、ness analysis) 預(yù)測中國汽車在未來能夠采取的技術(shù)措施,以及對燃油經(jīng)濟(jì)性的改善.(predict the technologies adopted likely in the future and then the improvement of the FE) 提出能夠的技術(shù)組合方案give the possible combination of those technologies)技術(shù)本錢效益分析-難點Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:Difficult 各種技術(shù)的本錢預(yù)測。(Predict the cost of implement
21、ation of technology.) 如何思索技術(shù)之間的疊加效應(yīng)?(How to take into account of the folding effect of these technologies.) 技術(shù)本錢效益分析-時間表Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysisschedule)2001 年2002 年2003 年項目789101112123456789101112123456提高 FE 技術(shù)的效益-成本分析 1、 收集資料、 確定方案 (searchinformation and make schedule) 2、與國務(wù)院發(fā)展研究中心接觸
22、(contact with China ProgressResearch Center) 3、制定調(diào)查表(國內(nèi)、國外)(make survey table) 4、國外調(diào)查(observe abroad) 5、向國外專家學(xué)習(xí)(learn forminternational experts) 6、分析方法的確定(determ theanalyse method) 7、燃油經(jīng)濟(jì)性改善的國際研討會上交流經(jīng)驗方法(put outinternational meeting) 8、國內(nèi)調(diào)查(survey domestic) 9、結(jié)果統(tǒng)計(statistic)10、對先進(jìn)技術(shù)進(jìn)行成本效益分析(cost-eff
23、ectiveness analysisof the advanced technogies)11、召開會議對以上研究結(jié)果討論(discuss the research result)12、完善,并提出分析結(jié)果(perfect the research, give thefinal result)3、汽車燃料經(jīng)濟(jì)性的普查Universal Survey on Auto Fuel Economy 汽車燃料經(jīng)濟(jì)性的普查-緣由?universal survey on auto fuel economy-reason? 了解中國汽車燃油經(jīng)濟(jì)性的現(xiàn)狀;learn the present situation
24、 of China auto) 為制定燃油耗費率限值國家規(guī)范提供根底;(make base data for the establishment of national standard of auto fuel consumption limits)汽車燃料經(jīng)濟(jì)性的普查-主要任務(wù)universal survey on auto fuel economy-main task 汽車制造廠上報各車型油耗。(declare auto fuel consumption by the manufactories) 召開研討會,引見普查及統(tǒng)計的意義和閱歷。(put out meeting, present
25、 the meaning and exchange the experience of the survey and statistic) 典型車輛的實驗(test of typical auto) 建立數(shù)據(jù)庫,統(tǒng)計各種相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)(make database and count out all the relative statistics) 汽車燃料經(jīng)濟(jì)性普查-實驗中的問題Universal Survey of Auto Fuel Economy-Question in Test 由排放實驗數(shù)據(jù)計算得到的油耗與實測油耗有何不同?相關(guān)性如何?Whats the difference between calculating fuel consumption and real fuel consumption? What about the relativity? 不同地域和不同設(shè)備測得的結(jié)果能否存在差別?如何對待這些差別?Is there any difference among the test result
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