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1、ke.co.id 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 indonesia 1 november 2012 insight indonesia october 2012 ke indonesia research researchmaybank-ke.co.id p: (62 21) 2557 1131 32 f: (62 21) 2557 1186 head of research katarina setiawan katarina.setiawanmaybank- analysts lucky ariesandi, cfa lucky.ariesandimaybank-ke.co.id
2、 rahmi marina rahmi.marinamaybank-ke.co.id pandu anugrah pandu.anugrahmaybank-ke.co.id adi n. wicaksono adi.wicaksonomaybank-ke.co.id anthony yunus anthony.yunusmaybank-ke.co.id arwani pranadjaya arwani.pranadjayamaybank- ke.co.id research supports lilita lilitamaybank-ke.co.id darajat kurniawan dar
3、ajat.kurniawanmaybank- ke.co.id top lq 45 market round-up jci went up2.1% mom in october to its highest end-of-month closing of 4350, thanks to strong result from some of the blue chip stocks like telkom and perusahaan gas, and generally in-line performance from major banks. the hype over low cost g
4、reen cars (lcgc) also helped market bellwether astra internasional to drive the index higher. aside from earnings announcement, the market has been quiet, which explains the 1% mom drop in daily trading value to idr4.54t auto and miscellaneous industry was the best performing sector last month (+6.5
5、% mom) thanks to strong early demand for lcgc, followed by infrastructure (+5.7%). in contrast, we have seen capitulation on commodity-related theme, with mining (-6.3%) and agribusiness (-5.0%) the two worst performing sectors. intraco penta, a heavy equipment supplier, was the worst performing sto
6、ck (-17.5% mom) due to prolonged weakness in coal price which was bearish for earth-moving equipment sector. other top losers were coal names like bumi resources (-9.6%) due to dispute in the boardroom of its major shareholder bumi plc, and adaro and harum energy due to falling coal price. sector re
7、turn no.1-mo top gainers trada maritime bakrieland dev alam sutera borneo lumbung perusahaan gas n (%) 23.4 20.4 17.2 14.8 12.7 3-mo top gainers bhakti investama kalbe farma alam sutera borneo lumbung perusahaan gas n (%) 35.8 26.8 26.1 24.0 22.4 1-month auto we like infrastructure, utilities, trade
8、-services, and construction. 445 440 435 430 425 420 415 410 405 400 395 x10 233061327310172418152229512 augustseptemberoctobernovember source: bloomberg 1 november 2012page 11 of 16 9 insight indonesia corporate actions historical cum-date 28-sep-12 1-oct-12 2-oct-12 3-oct-12 5-oct-12 9-oct-12 9-oc
9、t-12 15-oct-12 16-oct-12 16-oct-12 16-oct-12 18-oct-12 22-oct-12 25-oct-12 25-oct-12 29-oct-12 ex-date 1-oct-12 2-oct-12 3-oct-12 4-oct-12 8-oct-12 10-oct-12 10-oct-12 16-oct-12 17-oct-12 17-oct-12 17-oct-12 19-oct-12 23-oct-12 29-oct-12 29-oct-12 30-oct-12 company ikbi almi idkm csap klbf pwon tkim
10、 asgr aali hexa untr asii gmtd mdrn scma itmg action final dividend 11 final dividend 11 stock split: 5 (n) : 1 (o) final dividend 11 stock split: 5 (n) : 1 (o) final dividend 11 final dividend 11 interim dividend 12 interim dividend 12 final dividend 11 interim dividend 12 interim dividend 12 final
11、 dividend 11 rights issue: 30 (n) : 100 (o) stock split: 5 (n) : 1 (o) interim dividend 12 amount/price (rp) 42 50 4.5 1.45 25 15 230 usd0.0387 210 66 38 550 1,666 note 28-sep-12 1-oct-12 2-oct-12 3-oct-12 5-oct-12 9-oct-12 9-oct-12 15-oct-12 16-oct-12 16-oct-12 16-oct-12 18-oct-12 22-oct-12 25-oct-
12、12 25-oct-12 29-oct-12 upcoming cum-date 31-oct-12 5-nov-12 8-nov-12 14-nov-12* 19-nov-12 19-nov-12* 20-nov-12* 21-nov-12 29-nov-12* 29-nov-12* ex-date 1-nov-12 6-nov-12 9-nov-12 19-nov-12* 20-nov-12 20-nov-12* 21-nov-12* 22-nov-12 30-nov-12* 30-nov-12* company aces brna bwpt bbtn bbld cowl home tur
13、i bnli inpc action stock split: 10 (n) : 1 (o) stock split: 5 (n) : 1 (o) final dividend 11 rights issue: 94,943 (n) : 555,000 (o) interim dividend 12 rights issue: 109 (n) : 20 (o) rights issue: 17 (n) : 20 (o) interim dividend 12 rights issue: 2 (n) : 11 (o) rights issue: 10 (n) : 19 (o) amount/pr
14、ice(rp) 12 1,000-1,400 30 220 100 1,215 111 note * tentative date * tentative date * tentative date * tentative date * tentative date 6 warrants i for every 10 new shares 13-dec12*14-dec12*cnko rights issue: 122 (n) : 110 (o) 500* tentative date 1 november 2012page 12 of 16 insight indonesia 4400 jc
15、i 9,700 rp/us$ 9,650 4300 9,600 4200 9,550 9,500 4100 9,450 4000 1-aug-1218-aug-124-sep-1221-sep-128-oct-1225-oct-12 9,400 1-aug-1218-aug-124-sep-1221-sep-128-oct-1225-oct-12 (us$/ton) 19,000 nickel (us$/barrel) 100 oil 18,000 95 17,000 90 16,000 15,000 85 1-aug-1210-aug-1219-aug-1228-aug-126-sep-12
16、15-sep-1224-sep-12 1-aug-1210-aug-1219-aug-1228-aug-126-sep-1215-sep-1224-sep-12 (us$/ton) 1,000 950 900 850 800 cpo (us$/ton 90 88 86 84 82 coal - newcastle 1-aug-1210-aug-1219-aug-1228-aug-126-sep-1215-sep-1224-sep-12 3-aug-1212-aug-1221-aug-1230-aug-128-sep-1217-sep-1226-sep-12 source (all charts
17、): bloomberg 1 november 2012page 13 of 16 insight indonesia appendix i: terms for provision of report, disclaimers and disclosures disclaimers this research report is prepared for general circulation and for information purposes only and under no circumstances should it be considered or intended as
18、an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities referred to herein. investors should note that values of such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each securitys price or value may rise or fall. opinions or recommendations contained herein are in form of technical ratings
19、and fundamental ratings. technical ratings may differ from fundamental ratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on price and volume-related information extracted from the relevant jurisdictions stock exchange in the equity analysis. accordingly, investors re
20、turns may be less than the original sum invested. past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. this report is not intended to provide personal investment advice and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, the financial situation and the particular needs o
21、f persons who may receive or read this report. investors should therefore seek financial, legal and other advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or the investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report. the information contained herein has been obtained from
22、sources believed to be reliable but such sources have not been independently verified by maybank investment bank berhad, its subsidiary and affiliates (collectively, “mke”) and consequently no representation is made as to the accuracy or completeness of this report by mke and it should not be relied
23、 upon as such. accordingly, mke and its officers, directors, associates, connected parties and/or employees (collectively, “representatives”) shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses or damages that may arise from the use or reliance of this report. any information, opini
24、ons or recommendations contained herein are subject to change at any time, without prior notice. this report may contain forward looking statements which are often but not always identified by the use of words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “intend”, “plan”, “expect”, “forecast”, “pred
25、ict” and “project” and statements that an event or result “may”, “will”, “can”, “should”, “could” or “might” occur or be achieved and other similar expressions. such forward looking statements are based on assumptions made and information currently available to us and are subject to certain risks an
26、d uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward looking statements. readers are cautioned not to place undue relevance on these forward-looking statements. mke expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any such forward looking
27、 statements to reflect new information, events or circumstances after the date of this publication or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. mke and its officers, directors and employees, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this report, may, to the extent permitt
28、ed by law, from time to time participate or invest in financing transactions with the issuer(s) of the securities mentioned in this report, perform services for or solicit business from such issuers, and/or have a position or holding, or other material interest, or effect transactions, in such secur
29、ities or options thereon, or other investments related thereto. in addition, it may make markets in the securities mentioned in the material presented in this report. mke may, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the information presented herein, or the research or analysis on which they
30、are based, before the material is published. one or more directors, officers and/or employees of mke may be a director of the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report. this report is prepared for the use of mkes clients and may not be reproduced, altered in any way, transmitted to, copied
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32、o or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. this report is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be
33、permitted by applicable law. the securities described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. without prejudice to the foregoing, the reader is to note that additional disclaimers, warnings or qualifications may apply based on geographical loca
34、tion of the person or entity receiving this report. malaysia opinions or recommendations contained herein are in the form of technical ratings and fundamental ratings. technical ratings may differ from fundamental ratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on
35、price and volume-related information extracted from bursa malaysia securities berhad in the equity analysis. singapore this report has been produced as of the date hereof and the information herein may be subject to change. maybank kim eng research pte. ltd. (“maybank kerpl”) in singapore has no obl
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39、alternative investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a general public investor. the result, therefore, is from the perspective of a third party. it is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on inside information. the survey result is as of the date appearing in the corp
40、orate governance report of thai listed companies. as a result, the survey may be changed after that date. maybank kim eng securities (thailand) public company limited (“mbket”) does not confirm nor certify the accuracy of such survey result. except as specifically permitted, no part of this presenta
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43、ribution of this report by maybank kesusa in the us shall be borne by maybank kesusa. all resulting transactions by a us person or entity should be effected through a registered broker-dealer in the us. this report is not directed at you if mke is prohibited or restricted by any legislation or regul
44、ation in any jurisdiction from making it available to you. you should satisfy yourself before reading it that maybank kesusa is permitted to provide research material concerning investments to you under relevant legislation and regulations. uk this document is being distributed by maybank kim eng se
45、curities (london) ltd (“maybank kesl”) which is authorized and regulated, by the financial services authority and is for informational purposes only. this document is not intended for distribution to anyone defined as a retail client under the financial services and markets act 2000 within the uk. a
46、ny inclusion of a third party link is for the recipients convenience only, and that the firm does not take any responsibility for its comments or accuracy, and that access to such links is at the individuals own risk. nothing in this report should be considered as constituting legal, accounting or t
47、ax advice, and that for accurate guidance recipients should consult with their own independent tax advisers. 1 november 2012page 14 of 16 buy hold sell insight indonesia disclosures legal entities disclosures malaysia: this report is issued and distributed in malaysia by maybank investment bank berh
48、ad (15938-h) which is a participating organization of bursa malaysia berhad and a holder of capital markets and services license issued by the securities commission in malaysia. singapore: this material is issued and distributed in singapore by maybank kerpl (co. reg no 197201256n) which is regulate
49、d by the monetary authority of singapore. indonesia: pt kim eng securities (“ptkes”) (reg. no. kep-251/pm/1992) is a member of the indonesia stock exchange and is regulated by the bapepam lk. thailand: mbket (reg. no.0107545000314) is a member of the stock exchange of thailand and is regulated by th
50、e ministry of finance and the securities and exchange commission.philippines:matrkes (reg. no.01-2004-00019) is a member of the philippines stock exchange and is regulated by the securities and exchange commission. vietnam: kim eng vietnam securities company (“kevs”) (license number: 71/ubck-gp) is
51、licensed under the statesecuritiescommission of vietnam.hong kong: keshk (central entity no aad284) is regulated by the securities and futures commission. india: kim eng securities india private limited (“kesi”) is a participant of the national stock exchange of india limited (reg no: inf/inb 231452
52、435) and the bombay stock exchange (reg. no. inf/inb 011452431) and is regulated by securities and exchange board of india. kesi is also registered with sebi as category 1 merchant banker (reg. no. inm 000011708) us: maybank kesusa is a member of/ and is authorized and regulated by the finra broker
53、id 27861. uk: maybank kesl (reg no 2377538) is authorized and regulated by the financial services authority. disclosure of interest malaysia: mke and its representatives may from time to time have positions or be materially interested in the securities referred to herein and may further act as marke
54、t maker or may have assumed an underwriting commitment or deal with such securities and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking services, advisory and other services for or relating to those companies. singapore: maybank kerpl and the covering analyst do not have any interest in any c
55、ompanies recommended in this research report. thailand: mbket may have a business relationship with or may possibly be an issuer of derivative warrants on the securities /companies mentioned in the research report. therefore, investors should exercise their own judgment before making any investment
56、decisions. mbket, its associates, directors, connected parties and/or employees may from time to time have interests and/or underwriting commitments in the securities mentioned in this report. hong kong: keshk may have financial interests in relation to an issuer or a new listing applicant referred
57、to as defined by the requirements under paragraph 16.5(a) of the hong kong code of conduct for persons licensed by or registered with the securities and futures commission. keshk and the authoring analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report. mke may have, wi
58、thin the last three years, served as manager or co-manager of a public offering of securities for, or currently may make a primary market in issues of, any or all of the entities mentioned in this report or may be providing, or have provided within the previous 12 months, significant advice or inves
59、tment services in relation to the investment concerned or a related investment. others analyst certification of independence the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analysts personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research
60、analysts compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. reminder structured securities are complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for sale only to sophisticated investors who ar
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