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1、Juan Carlos CapuayAmbassador of Peru to PRCDecember, 2016ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND MINING INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES:PERU STRATEGIC PARTNERPeru & China45 Years of Diplomatic RelationsLargest Chinese Community in Latin America Legal and Political Framework:FTA 2010Comprehensive Strategic Partnership 2013Str
2、ategic Dialogue Committee 2014Peru & ChinaEconomic Perspectives: Growth PerformanceNominal GDP, 2004-2014(US$ Billion)Source: IMF, Central Reserve Bank of Peru Real GDP(Average annual % change)In the last 10 years Peruvian Ecnomy has grown considerablyMoodys: Reform - progress & advancesSource: Mood
3、ysChile (Aa3)Mexico (A3)Peru (A3)Colombia (Baa2)Uruguay (Baa2)Brazil (Baa3)Paraguay (Ba1)Panama (Baa2)Costa Rica (Ba1)Argentina (Caa2)Venezuela (Caa3)Positive continuedevelopmentStagnationNegative developmentDecline in reforms First generation Second generation “Perus A3 sovereign rating reflects it
4、s long-standing track record of macroeconomic stability, market-friendly policies and prudent fiscal management”“Perus fiscal strength is Very High on account of its low and affordable debt and prudent fiscal policy framework”(Moodys. August, 2015)Economic PerspectivesInvestment Protection Agreement
5、s and Free Trade Agreements with several countries.Australia China 1South Corea 1MalasyaSingapur 1TailandJapanArgentina BoliviaChile 1ColombiaEcuadorParaguayVenezuelaCubaEl SalvadorCosta Rica 1Panama 1European Union 2European association for free trade (Islandia, Liechtenstein, Switzerland and Norwa
6、y) 1Canada 1US.1Mxico 1Trade AgreementsTrade Agreements. While Peru has Bilateral Investment Protection Agreement with Germany, Belgium, Luxemburgo, Denmark, Spain, Finland, Francia, Italy, Portugal, United Kingdom, Chec Republic, Sweden and Switzerland.Tax agreements with: Brasil, Chile, Canada, So
7、uth Corea, Mxico y Switzerland.Economic Perspective: A growing connectivityAPEC“35th in the Doing Business Ranking 2015”12015782124162123341154135182ArgentinaUruguayBoliviaBrasilSurinamGuyanaVenezuelaColombiaPerChileEcuadorSource: World BankInvestment EnvironmentEasiness for doing business and compe
8、titivenessGuarantees for Private PropertyFree remittance of capital and profits Open Exchange MarketInvestment EnvironmentLAWorldGold 1 5Silver 1 4Zinc 1 2Tin 1 3Copper 2 2Iron 2 14Mercury 2 4Molybdenum 2 4Selenium 2 9Cadmium 1 10Investment Perspectives: Mining: Greater OpportunitiesPETROCHEMICAL SE
9、CTORIn 2013, natural gas production totaled 430.559 millioncubic feet, driven by growing demand from power plants, increased consumption of natural gas vehicles (NGV), domestic and commercial.Peru is the only sustainable source of natural gas in the South American Pacific.Peru has oil fields that ha
10、ve not been explored (29.97 million ha), making it a potential petrochemical hub.The petrochemical industry is integrated with the production of natural gas and other liquid hydrocarbons, creating a significant added value.Among the products produced by the petrochemical industry are Final fertilize
11、rs, plastics and detergents.Investment opportunities for US $ 6.500 million for the construction of 2 floors of ammonia, 1 level of ammonium nitrate, urea, ethylene and polyethylene.Fiscal Production of Natural Gas, 2005-2014PETROCHEMICAL SECTORFiscal Production of Natural Gas, 2005-2014Source: Peru
12、 Petro StatisticsFiscal Production of Oil 2005-20145,00010,00015,00020,00025,00030,00002005200620072008200920102011201220132014Northeast7,0717,1587,6649,1599,7319,5289,8089,5459,1239,112Continental Shelf3,9224,5564,3674,8065,0755,7375,3295,5274,7225,717Rainforest16,54816,60116,11614,06311,12111,2671
13、0,2469,3239,11110,467Total27,54128,31528,14728,02825,92726,53225,38324,39522,95625,296Millions of Cubic Feet5,00010,00015,00020,00025,00030,00002005200620072008200920102011201220132014Northeast7,0717,1587,6649,1599,7319,5289,8089,5459,1239,112Continental Shelf3,9224,5564,3674,8065,0755,7375,3295,527
14、4,7225,717Rainforest16,54816,60116,11614,06311,12111,26710,2469,3239,11110,467Total27,54128,31528,14728,02825,92726,53225,38324,39522,95625,296Thousands of BarrelsAnnounced Private Investment by Sector 2015-2017(US$ Million)2015-2017(US$ Million)Mining14,408Hydrocarbons7,224Electricity4,617Industria
15、l2,408Infrastructure4,057Other Sectors7,370Total40,084Number of ProjectsSource: Central Reserve Bank of Peru ”US$ 40bn worth of investment announced for 2015 and 2017”Investment PerpectivesGeographic Location of Perus Main Mining ProjectsProjects(EIA submitted / In process of evaluation)Estimated In
16、vestment (USD million)MetalPukaqaqa630Cu, MoTambomayo256Au, AgSanta Ana71AgPampa de Pongo1700FeEstimated portfolio of mining projectsPeru 2016Estimated portfolio of mining projectsPeru 2016Projects(Exploration)Estimated Investment(USD million)MetalMarcobre (Mina Justa)744CuMichiquilay700CuHierra Apurmac2300FeCaariaco1599CuChucapaca1200AuHilarin740ZnQuechua490CuDon Javier600CuGaleno2500Cu, Mo, Au, AgHaquira2800Cu, MoLos Calatos1320Cu, MoEstimated portfolio of mining projectsPeru 2016Projects(Exploration)Estimated Investment(USD million)MetalCerro Coopane-FeMagistral750Cu
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